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« Red Sox Notes: Hoyer, Ellsbury, Okajima | Main | Odds & Ends: Rockies, Orioles, Mets »
SUNDAY, 12:35pm: As suggested by Lennon earlier, Chapman's price tag is too high for the Mets. Bart Hubbuch of the New York Post reports (via Twitter) that the Mets were told Chapman wants up to $60MM to sign.
SATURDAY, 7:23pm: John Stockstill - the Orioles' director of international scouting - has confirmed that the club will meet with Chapman and his agent next week in New York, according to Roch Kubatko of MASN.com. In a piece yesterday, Kubatko wrote that he doesn't think Baltimore will end up signing the 21-year-old.
SATURDAY, 2:38pm: Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports the A's have also had interest in Chapman since he became a free agent. However, they were not among the teams that met the hard-throwing left-hander in New York this week.
FRIDAY, 1:59pm: Lennon says (via Twitter) that the Mets won't bid $40-60MM for Chapman.
FRIDAY, 1:19pm: Add the Blue Jays to the mix of teams interested in Chapman, according to our source. Also, the Orioles have maintained interest and want to meet.
THURSDAY, 2:39pm: MLBTR has learned that the Cubs and White Sox have expressed interest in free agenty lefty Aroldis Chapman. The Cardinals have been more aggressive than those clubs, and plan to meet with Chapman next week. The Yankees and Red Sox, of course, have also been among the aggressive suitors. A meeting with the Mets will come later this week, according to Newsday's David Lennon.
The Chapman tour began yesterday in New York, as the 21-year-old's agency decided not to make MLB clubs come to Andorra. ESPN's Jorge Arangure Jr. believes Chapman will command a contract in the $40-60MM range.
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Sox, Cubs, or Cards not in at that price range. Who starts this
Posted by: rockford | October 22, 2009 at 02:50 PM
where do you "hear" this MLBTR?
The second part about the Cardinals being more aggressive is completely false. They are still uncertain about age and are going to explore it more next week, as opposed to "meeting" with him.
Come on, dude.
Posted by: mosero | October 22, 2009 at 02:58 PM
It's a good source, I wouldn't post it if it wasn't.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | October 22, 2009 at 03:12 PM
Yeah, I don't doubt that it's a good source, this certainly isn't like the Zito/Reyes trade that Tim posted a couple years back, but some clarification on how the source knows this couldn't hurt. Not that I'm questioning your credibility by any means, though.
And as a fan of the Chicago teams, I'm really curious to see how Chapman fits into the Cubs' plans, unless his contract isn't factored into their payroll or something, because they have way too much money committed already.
With the White Sox, certainly their past interest in Cuban defectors like Alexei and Viciedo, along with Contreras' success here, factors into their interest, as well as the fact that they dealt the majority of their quality pitching talent in the Peavy trade, but on the whole, they would probably be better off hedging their bets, signing multiple amateur guys, than spending all of this cash on Chapman.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 22, 2009 at 03:18 PM
40-60 million? Who do they think they got, Chelsea Clinton?
Posted by: TwinRoyals | October 22, 2009 at 03:21 PM
Oh god, I just had a Chris Tucker flashback...
Posted by: Koby | October 22, 2009 at 03:26 PM
i presume the sox would only be interested if Chapman took some kind of 'familiarity' discount to play alongside some familiar faces (alexei, viciedo). a long-shot for sure, but never underestimate kenny williams.
Posted by: 2HeadedBoy | October 22, 2009 at 03:27 PM
I'm sorry but I'd rather take the 40-60 million and put it towards established MLB players. Vs giving it to a player with a young talented player with a "chance" to be good...who also has more of a reality that he will not be.
Posted by: yanks2585 | October 22, 2009 at 03:35 PM
Who knows...maybe it won't actually cost $40-60MM.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | October 22, 2009 at 03:36 PM
"Who knows...maybe it won't actually cost $40-60MM."
Yeah given his numerous flaws (command, lack of offspeed stuff, lack of out-pitch, essentially lack of anything but a 96-100 fastball), I'm not convinced that the bidding will reach that high. He'll definitely get a lot, more than Strasburg, but $60M?
He just has an awful lot of develop left for a guy that wants more money than essentially every other free agent?
And another question: Does anyone know how the MLB service time situation will apply to Chapman? Like, if he signs a four-year deal, would that cover three years and one arbitration year, leaving two more years of team control, or would he hit free agency upon finishing that four-year deal?
Posted by: scribbletone | October 22, 2009 at 03:47 PM
I would venture to say that if the Cardinals DO sign Chapman, it would all but ensure that Holliday is going elsewhere.
Unless of course the Cards plan on playing Chapman, Holliday, Pujols, and 22 bat boys.
Posted by: JT | October 22, 2009 at 03:54 PM
scribbletone-
I don't know for sure, but I would venture to say that Chapman, since he didn't go through the draft, would b etreated as a FA.
Posted by: JT | October 22, 2009 at 04:02 PM
"I don't know for sure, but I would venture to say that Chapman, since he didn't go through the draft, would b etreated as a FA."
But other international signees, like Jesus Montero for example, are required to have six years of service time before reaching free agency.
I'm just wondering if there's an exception for Cuban defectors.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 22, 2009 at 04:05 PM
I think most teams realize he is has some deficiences and is unproven, so they won't offer big,big money. And seeing as he'll get another huge contract(if successful) in 4/5 years, they will keep his value down this time.
I could see only 25-30 million for 4/5 years getting him signed. somehwere in a 5/6 million per year range, IMO.
Posted by: budman3 | October 22, 2009 at 04:15 PM
Why would there be an exception for Cuban defectors? There isn't an exception for Japanese imports. Hideki Okajima is going through arbitration now. Daisuke's contract was also for 6 years for just this reason. I'd expect that if he gets 40-60 million, it would run for at least a 6 year contract anyways (plus or minus a year). I seriously doubt he gets anything close to that as a signing bonus.
Posted by: gfulla | October 22, 2009 at 04:27 PM
Tim, I have a question about the 40-60 million dollar range presented. Is this based strictly on speculation on behalf of the writer or is it based on comments made by an agent or something else?
Posted by: TwinRoyals | October 22, 2009 at 04:32 PM
Why are you asking Tim? The 40-60 estimate came from Jorge Arangure and Tim said as much. Read the article.
Posted by: gfulla | October 22, 2009 at 04:35 PM
I'm not an ESPNinsider and I just want to know what this figure is based off of.
Posted by: TwinRoyals | October 22, 2009 at 04:37 PM
As a White Sox fan, this is complete B.S. First of all, the Sox haven't paid a free agent more than $20 million since 1996. Second, assuming they stay healthy, the White Sox will have one of the best, if not THE best, pitching rotations in all of baseball in 2010. Why spend ungodly money on another starter? Kenny Williams needs to focus on relief pitching and a power hitting lefty this offseason.
Posted by: coco1997 | October 22, 2009 at 04:38 PM
"Why would there be an exception for Cuban defectors? There isn't an exception for Japanese imports. Hideki Okajima is going through arbitration now."
Because the MLB and the NBP have an agreement about non-FA players enter the MLB. As for Cuba, well you have the how international politics thingy. Chapman is a FA and fair game... it's a weird policy and it always brings up the question of an international draft, but there you go.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | October 22, 2009 at 04:40 PM
The report here is that these teams have expressed interest, with the Cards planning a meet. There is no cost to expressing interest, no harm in hanging around to see where the bidding actually starts.
There is an exception for Japanese imports...Akinori Iwamura would be one such example, Takashi Saito another.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | October 22, 2009 at 04:43 PM
"Why would there be an exception for Cuban defectors? There isn't an exception for Japanese imports. Hideki Okajima is going through arbitration now. Daisuke's contract was also for 6 years for just this reason"
I'm just not clear on this because Jose Contreras signed a four-year deal when he came to the U.S., and then signed another three-year extension with Chicago, but he never went through the arbitration process or anything.
I would love it if someone gave me an actual answer.
"I'm not an ESPNinsider and I just want to know what this figure is based off of."
It's speculation, as far as I can tell, Chapman or his agent haven't discussed their asking price publicly yet.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 22, 2009 at 04:45 PM
*sticks foot in mouth*
Posted by: gfulla | October 22, 2009 at 04:58 PM
I am guessing since he had to establish residency in a country other than Cuba before being declared a free agent he will be subject to the same arbitration rules as all other international free agents.
Posted by: TradeYouk | October 22, 2009 at 05:02 PM
Cot's breakdown of Alexei Ramirez contract says he will be eligible for Arb 2 when his 4 year contract runs out.
Posted by: TradeYouk | October 22, 2009 at 05:04 PM
I'm obviously as lost as you are scribbletone then (more lost actually). I wondered why someone i knew was usually very well informed would ask what i thought to be such an obvious question. My mistake.
Also sorry TwinsRoyals for criticizing. I'm not usually this much of a jerk.
I'm just embarassing myself all over the place today.
Posted by: gfulla | October 22, 2009 at 05:06 PM
TradeYouk, thanks a lot for the clarification, I thought that was the case but I couldn't find the information anywhere for myself, probably should've checked Cot's long before asking anyone on here.
I'm going to assume that Chapman can't be a free agent until he accumulates six years of service time for now, until I see some sort of legitimate report explaining that whatever applied to Saito/Iwamura applies to Chapman.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 22, 2009 at 05:32 PM
I remember this came up in the Danys Baez situation after he signed with the Indians. I distinctly recall that he signed a four-year deal, which upon expiration had a team option that hte Indians declined. At that point, he was still under team control, not a free agent.
So yes, even if Chapman's deal runs for just four years, he'd still be under the Yankees...err..team control for six.
Posted by: vtadave | October 22, 2009 at 05:38 PM
It is a good question scribbletone and one I will try to find an answer to. It might just be up to the two negotiating parties...Chapman's agent could make a condition that he be extended or released after this contract ends, if it's fewer than six years.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | October 22, 2009 at 05:40 PM
"I'm going to assume that Chapman can't be a free agent until he accumulates six years of service time for now"
It depends on the contract. Let's say hypothetically Chapman signs a 5 year contract major league deal. Now unless there's specific wording that says the team forfeits arbitration rights when the contract expires, Chapman would be arbitration eligible for 1 year. Hideki Matsui had a situation like that. According to Cot's they had to sign him to an extension when his first contract expired or grant him FA. At least I think that's how it works... someone please correct me if I'm wrong.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | October 22, 2009 at 05:40 PM
I could see where all MLB teams have some interest but both Chicago teams are in a great situation where they have a strong rotation 1-4 and probably 2 of the better 5th starters in the league. No need for either team especially the white sox to spend money on a starting pitcher.
Posted by: g13 | October 22, 2009 at 08:10 PM
For certain players they do put a clause in the contract where the player wont be offered arbitration. For example Kosuke Fukudome. After his contract is up he will be a free agent. For other players its the same thing. If the contract is worked out to cancel out arbitration then the player is just a free agent.
Posted by: chicubs25 | October 22, 2009 at 10:05 PM
i would love to see Nyy get him but im afriad after some of the stuff i read about him being a relief pitcher scares me .. a guy who can pump in the high 90's to 100's reminds me of someone we already have that cant go 6 innings and should be the closer .Joba but chapman is a lefty so i hope he pans out
Posted by: kwhizz2011 | October 22, 2009 at 10:53 PM
It has to do with they type of contract they sign. If Chapman signs a minor league contract then he will go through arbitration. The large amount he is paid is a signing bonus. If he signed a major league contract for 30 million 5 year deal, that would be a major league deal then he plays for the year he signed for. It all depends on the type of contract. Minor League then you go through arbitration. If its a major league then it's the amount of years he signed for.
Posted by: kcatlantis | October 23, 2009 at 01:44 AM
I would rather see the Yankees obtain Felix Hernandez. He's a proven pitch. I think he would fit well into the team.
Posted by: mjr234nyu | October 23, 2009 at 10:43 AM
Can we just say that EVERY MLB team has interest in Aroldis Chapman? Just to save time...
Posted by: JT | October 23, 2009 at 01:32 PM
This kid has a great slider and a fastball that moves even when thrown at rediculously high speeds. The Cubans wouldn't have put him on the spot if he weren't their best shot at the time. He's just a little rusty and needs to find more accuracy. You guys go all ga ga over Strasburg and want Washington to start him right away...I see he got bombed in the AFL in his second outing. The Cubans play baseball like you did growing up. No, they even took a machede, went deeper into the brush and bet money with each other in all out baseball warfare with their friends...'cause a kid who has almost nothing and is playing for everything he does have...he learns to come through in the clutch. Yunel Escobar, Kendry Morales, Alexei Ramirez...and there's more...it's the Japanese who have given us high risk/high reward. I've seen Matsuzaka struggle, Johjima not hit...but I haven't seen a bunch of Cubans come here and not be able to compete favorably. Yes, they are as good as our kids...better on the whole! Sorry. The way it is.
Posted by: HeadFirstSlide | October 23, 2009 at 01:35 PM
He's going to the Marlins.....
Posted by: Xycosis | October 23, 2009 at 02:16 PM
"I would rather see the Yankees obtain Felix Hernandez. He's a proven pitch. I think he would fit well into the team. "
Guessing he would also fit well on 29 other teams...
Posted by: vtadave | October 23, 2009 at 03:28 PM
Isn't it odd that some posters come on here and pan MLBTR for posting this? They claim to know more than a reputable site that's always been upfront and reliable, yet they don't say how they themselves know the information they claim to know. They claim they know what teams are willing to spend, who's in the bidding and who's out, who's aggressive and who's not, etc etc..... If you're going to rip MLBTR because you don't agree with what's posted then how about telling us how you happen to know all this information that you just pulled out of your a$$? Oh that's right, you can't, you don't have any sources or inside information and no clue beyond what you think might happen. /end rant
Nice to see the Cubs and White Sox in the bidding. They both should always be in on players like this given the size of their market. No team in either of their divisions can compete with them for market size so they should be using that to their advantage by spending the money they earn from their market size on players. If nothing else they'll drive up the price for other large market teams. I'm sure small market teams won't like this but that's the way it is.
Posted by: pageian | October 23, 2009 at 03:34 PM
Pageian-
That was quite the rant considering all of 1 person on this thread had a negative comment about MLBTR...
Posted by: JT | October 23, 2009 at 03:58 PM
Being a diehard yankees fan I'm not sold on this kid. I'd much rather go out and get lackey and keep pettitte and have a rotation with
CC
Lackey
Burnett
Pettitte
Joba
To me that makes more sense and sign figgins and retain Damon to dh that to me would be a great post season and would make them the beasts of the east big time..
Posted by: yanksdiehard79 | October 23, 2009 at 05:02 PM
Don't do it Mozeliak. "21" year old Aroldis Chapman has less control of his stuff than my ex girlfriend had of her legs. Let someone else blow the cash on him. Work on keeping Pujols and Holliday in STL.
Posted by: BKuGotIt | October 23, 2009 at 06:57 PM
You might as well take the White Sox out of that mix, Kenny Williams is as unpredictable as they come but at that price range he wouldn't even consider him.
Rightful so too, 100 mph on the gun without legit experience does not earn you that kind of check, ridiculous to think even a large market team such as the Yankees or Bo Sox offer such an insane amount for an unproven pitcher.
Posted by: danks50 | October 23, 2009 at 08:21 PM
LETS GO TORONTO!!!
Posted by: TrueBlue | October 23, 2009 at 09:36 PM
Chapman to meet with the Cardinals on Monday in then the Red Sox on Wednesday according to Jorge Arangure of ESPN.
http://twitter.com/jorgearangure/status/5102660444
Posted by: Cardsfan387 | October 24, 2009 at 02:48 PM
I'll second the idea of the Yankees going out and spending that type of cash on an established pitcher and not a high-reward/high-risk pitcher.
Perhaps if the Yankees already had another front-end pitcher, they could take a gamble. Financially, they can make mistakes whereas other teams can't.
CC
#2
Burnett
Chapman
Pettitte
is a lot more dominant than...
CC
Burnett
Pettitte
Chapman
Hughes/Joba/whoever
Posted by: InvalidUserID | October 24, 2009 at 03:08 PM
how bout this.
CC
Burnett
Davis
Chapman
Pettite
Davis as in Doug Davis
Posted by: andre14 | October 24, 2009 at 03:59 PM
I like Burnett but I don't know if I trust him as the #2 guy. Good AJ is a lights-out guy with electric stuff...bad AJ gets frustrated and can't get out of the big innings, like a horror movie you know its coming but can't do anything about it. To me, that means he's better suited as the #3.
Hell, I'd put healthy Wang as #2 ahead of Burnett...consistency.
Davis as a #3? Maybe as a #5 behind Andy.
Posted by: InvalidUserID | October 24, 2009 at 04:12 PM
Oakland will only sign Chapman if he is 39 yrs old and wants to DH.
Posted by: Will Smiff | October 24, 2009 at 05:50 PM
I can't believe anybody is acting like this kid is worth so much money. So he has a high-90s fastball that he can't command. He should top out at whatever you would pay a good college prospect. Certainly nobody thinks he's going straight to the big leagues... right?
Posted by: Christian Seehausen | October 24, 2009 at 07:43 PM
Christian. You win the prize for common sense. Now, if only some MLB GM's and agents can borrow some of yours until this deal is done.
Posted by: gerald troy | October 24, 2009 at 08:12 PM
I'm more interested in learning what the Zito/Reyes trade was all about...that Scribble mentioned.
Posted by: Humm Baby | October 24, 2009 at 09:20 PM
how could this guy ask for $40-60MM when he never even pitched in Mlb? No team should try to sign him.
Posted by: antor | October 24, 2009 at 09:38 PM
In other news Kubatko realizes pigs really cannot fly.
Posted by: Mickey Six | October 24, 2009 at 11:03 PM
Who really thinks this kid will get even 40 million, please the only way he gets that kind of dough is if he is a 21-year old left handed pedro martinez and thats even pushin it
Posted by: Chicagostat21 | October 24, 2009 at 11:06 PM
Just more smoke and mirrors for Orioles fans so that there is some minor interest stirred up about this during what is likely to be a very long off-season.
Posted by: Mickey Six | October 24, 2009 at 11:07 PM
its what people think he will ask for.. He wont get it. He'll sign, IMO, for about 30-40 M over 6 years(fixing the arb problem). Thats about 5-6.5M a year(average). Remember, this kid will need at LEAST 1.5 years in the minors. Making 5M+ in the minors is pretty good.
While I dont actually know the answer to the question scribble asked, my guess is it is 6 years of service and then they are a FA. Remember, he had to become a resident in a different country(andorra) before he came over, which is as-if he was a guy from France that wanted to play baseball in America. Its only different in Japan because there is an established professional league in Japan and teams are able to 'trade' players to American clubs for posting fees(aka, money). There is no professional league in Cuba or even Europe(correct me if Im wrong), so he's just a FA.
Is it just me, or does it seem really stupid Cuba didnt take his passport??? Everyone knew he'd leave when he could, but they basically told him it was OK.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 25, 2009 at 01:54 AM
Good Hot Stove Stuff, teams are going to worry about Major League ready players, I think right now. He'll never get this money with the economy, and as teams spend going into next season. The longer he waits the more it will come down to a reasonable price.
Posted by: Cyyoung | October 25, 2009 at 10:37 AM
If he wants up to $60mil to sign the Cardinals shouldn't even bother with the meeting tomorrow. Let someone else spend all that money on him.
Posted by: Cardsfan387 | October 25, 2009 at 01:22 PM
so this guy wants 40-60 million? well the cubs will probably get him. lets face it they spend and they spend and they still seem to find all the terds of the league. the only way the cards get him is if mark mulder returns all the money he stole from them
Posted by: jaybuck | October 25, 2009 at 07:15 PM
Unless Chapman can be had for something a lot more reasonable (4/30) then I would prefer the Yanks to pass. I think the rotation has 3 solid starters in CC, AJ and Pettite and the back end can be adequately filled by Joba, Hughes, Wang, Gaudin or a solid free agent pickup like Sheets, Harden, etc. Either way the Yankees, nor any team for that matter, should look at Chapman as a mlb ready SP. I think it would be in everyone's best interest to start him off in AA/AAA for a full season. If he's light out then he can make a Aug/Sept callup out of the pen or get some starts if needed. No way should any team stick him in the rotation out the gate. If the Yanks make the move and sign him, then it should be with 2011 in mind.
Joba needs a full offseason to get himself together. He threw pretty well in terms of his velocity out the pen in the playoffs but that 97-100 mph fastball hasn;t returned and I'm not sure why. I really, really think it has something to do with possibly poor conditioning? Maybe the Yanks can talk Roger Clemens into creating some offseason work out routine minus the 'roids? I joke, but seriously, who better than Clemens or Nolan Ryan to be a guru for Joba?
Hughes just needs to be told what his role is for 2010 and needs to prepare himself to fill that role. I still would love to see him and Joba attacking hitters with great control and dominant stuff for years to come in the SP role.
The wild card players to me are Wang and Ben Sheets. If either of them is healthy for 2010 then I think the Yanks need to go after them, with Wang being more of a late season call up option.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | October 26, 2009 at 10:11 AM
sox need to have a stronger bullpen starting rotation looks stacked
Posted by: gosox22 | October 26, 2009 at 11:53 AM
Chapman seems like a good pick up if the price is right
Posted by: gosox22 | October 27, 2009 at 11:39 AM
sox should only get his kid if its a bargan
Posted by: gosox22 | October 27, 2009 at 11:59 AM
I know it was reported a few weeks ago that the Dodgers are out of Chapman, but I wonder if they could get back in it. They were out of it because they were focused on Kuyicki(sp?), but now that he is gonna stay in Japan, I wonder if they use that money they'd potentially use on him and tey at Chapman..?
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 27, 2009 at 10:20 PM
they*
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 27, 2009 at 10:21 PM
Pettitte pitches in a way that ages well. He never has thrown 98 consistenly, and instead relies on a good FB, but good secondary stuff to get guys out.. He could pitch to 40 and not lose too much...
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 27, 2009 at 10:42 PM