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Official Elias Rankings

MLBTR has obtained the official Elias rankings for the upcoming offseason. The list below includes all ranked free agents, including those who have already signed, those who say they'll retire and those whose options will likely be picked up.

Once the regular season ended, the Elias Sports Bureau took all players over the 2009-10 period, divided them into five groups for each league, and ranked them based on various statistics.  Each player was labeled a Type A, B, or none.  Those designations and the possible accompanying arbitration offers determine draft pick compensation (click here for a refresher).

The numbers beside the players' names represent their rankings. If teams sign more than one Type A free agent, one team gets a top compensation pick and other teams lose out. The team losing the highest-ranked free agent obtains the best pick the signing team can offer and other teams fall in line behind the team that loses the top-ranked player.

Type A

Bronson Arroyo -- 80.033 - club option
Grant Balfour -- 72.923
Adrian Beltre -- 81.633 - player option
Carl Crawford -- 85.128
Jorge de la Rosa -- 74.422
Scott Downs -- 76.352
Adam Dunn -- 74.167
Frank Francisco -- 73.171
Jason Frasor -- 73.383
Vladimir Guerrero -- 80.000 - mutual option
Matt Guerrier -- 79.569
Ramon Hernandez -- 74.517
Derek Jeter -- 91.304
Paul Konerko -- 78.095
Jason Kubel -- 80.000 - club option
Cliff Lee -- 87.500
Derrek Lee -- 74.167
Ted Lilly -- 80.116
Victor Martinez -- 87.054
Bengie Molina -- 72.321
Magglio Ordonez -- 77.436
Carl Pavano -- 75.568
Andy Pettitte -- 80.492
A.J. Pierzynski -- 80.804
Manny Ramirez -- 76.154
Arthur Rhodes -- 72.229
Mariano Rivera -- 88.830
Takashi Saito -- 69.657
Rafael Soriano -- 91.799
Miguel Tejada -- 76.720
Matt Thornton -- 86.214 - club option exercised
Billy Wagner -- 83.313
Jayson Werth -- 91.807
Dan Wheeler -- 74.673 - club option

Type B

Rod Barajas -- 59.459
Joaquin Benoit -- 66.879
Lance Berkman -- 64.762 - club option declined
John Buck -- 67.411
Orlando Cabrera -- 66.667
Randy Choate -- 62.460
Kevin Correia -- 57.591
Jesse Crain -- 60.657
Johnny Damon -- 74.359
Octavio Dotel -- 66.473
Chad Durbin -- 57.471
David Eckstein -- 65.801
Mark Ellis -- 74.405 - club option
Pedro Feliciano -- 66.855
Brian Fuentes -- 67.055
Jon Garland -- 71.947 - mutual option
Alex Gonzalez -- 61.376 - club option
Kevin Gregg -- 66.967 - club option
Brad Hawpe -- 70.769
Aaron Heilman -- 58.420
Trevor Hoffman -- 62.829 - club option
Orlando Hudson -- 70.238
Aubrey Huff -- 60.000
Omar Infante -- 62.338 - club option
Brandon Inge -- 67.347
Hiroki Kuroda -- 68.152
Gerald Laird -- 60.045
Adam LaRoche -- 61.667 - mutual option
Felipe Lopez -- 67.532 -  club option
Mike Lowell -- 62.585
Hideki Matsui -- 73.333
Kevin Millwood -- 58.617
Miguel Olivo -- 65.251 - mutual option
David Ortiz -- 75.000 - club option
Vicente Padilla -- 58.168
Carlos Pena -- 64.762
Jhonny Peralta -- 62.585 - club option
Scott Podsednik -- 69.880 - club option
J.J. Putz -- 62.213
Chad Qualls -- 56.168
Aramis Ramirez -- 63.187 - player option
Jon Rauch -- 69.088
Jose Reyes -- 62.434 - club option
Hisanori Takahashi -- 58.650
Yorvit Torrealba -- 63.900 - mutual option
Koji Uehara -- 68.010
Juan Uribe -- 65.608
Jason Varitek -- 64.732
Javier Vazquez -- 71.970
Kerry Wood -- 62.778 - club option declined

Eddie Bajek reverse-engineered the Elias rankings for MLBTR and was right on every free agent except for Derrek Lee, Adam Dunn and Mark Ellis, who were all on the bubble at their respective positions.


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