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MLBTR Originals

Draft Prospect Q&A: Nick Gordon

By Zachary Links | June 2, 2014 at 5:00pm CDT

MLBTR is re-launching its Draft Prospect Q&A series this season in order to give our readers a look at some of the top names on the board in this year’s draft. MLBTR will be chatting with some of the draft’s most well-regarded prospects over the next couple of weeks as they prepare for the 2014 draft on June 5-7.

Florida’s Nick Gordon is universally regarded as the best shortstop in the 2014 draft and, according to some, is the best position player prospect in the draft.  With a pedigree like his, it’s no surprise.  Gordon is the son of three-time All-Star right-hander Tom “Flash” Gordon and the younger brother of Dodgers second baseman Dee Gordon.  While his father made his mark in the game and Dee continues to see his star rise, all signs point to Nick making a terrific legacy of his own in the years to come. image-2

At 6’2″, 170, Gordon exhibits tremendous speed both on defense and around the base paths.  Of course, he also boasts a terrific arm for the shortstop position and, in fact, many believe that he could pursue pitching if he wanted to.  At the plate, the Olympia High School star projects to be an above-average hitter, but his intangibles and makeup have scouts drooling just as much as his physical tools.

In 27 games last season, Gordon, reportedly being advised by Beverly Hills Sports Council, which also represented father Tom “Flash” Gordon and represents brother Dee, posted an absurd slash line of .494/.576/.843 in 99 plate appearances and stole 13 bases.  The youngster has had the attention of college scouts and pro scouts alike for years, but his senior season helped to boost his stock even further.

Gordon, ranked as the fourth-best prospect in the draft by ESPN.com’s Keith Law, No. 5 by MLB.com, and No. 7 by Baseball America, spoke with MLBTradeRumors late last week about the draft process, the possibility of going No. 1 overall, and what he’s learned from watching his father and brother:

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Zach Links: What advice has your dad given you about the draft process?

Nick Gordon: He gives me very good advice.  He just tells me to sit back and take it one day at a time, don’t stress out about these things.  You can’t control what happens.  I did my best and left it all on the field and after that it’s in God’s hands.

ZL: What did you take away from your brother’s draft experience?

NG: I just remember the great feeling we had afterwards.  Just knowing the hard work he put in high school and to know that it was starting to mean something.  He was ready for his moment and he earned it.

ZL: Do you feel like your transition to major league life will be smoother than others thanks to your family’s experience and guidance?

NG: I think I have a little bit of an edge because of my brother and dad.  With everything I’m about to go through they can help me along the way and give me information that maybe some other kid might not get because of the relationships I have with my dad and my brother.

ZL: Scouts look at you as a phenomenal shortstop prospect but there’s also talk that you could be a strong pitcher as well.  Is that something that interests you?

NG: I’ll do whatever my team needs from me.  I love playing shortstop, it’s my Plan A and I don’t really have a Plan B.  I think I can be a great one.  But, if my team needs me to pitch, I’ll do whatever my team needs from me.

ZL: Before you chose Florida State, what other schools were you giving serious consideration to?

NG: Florida, North Carolina, Clemson, LSU, and a couple of other big schools.  I even liked UCF a lot.

ZL: Why did you ultimately choose FSU?

NG: I went down and I loved it.  Every bit of it.  The coaching staff they have, the players, and just a great environment to be around.  It’s like a home away from home for me and knowing the coaches there, it’s phenomenal.  Being there I feel like I learned more about my game and myself.  It also helped that I knew a couple of other players that have been there as well and they told me it’s awesome.

ZL: Is there a certain range that you have in mind that would make you forgo college?  Certain contract terms?  Certain clubs?

NG: I could see myself playing in every single uniform so every club interests me.  I wouldn’t mind playing for every single club. I just want to play the game. My lifelong dream has been to play professional baseball and I want to fulfill my dream.  Whichever organization I end up with, I know that God has a plan for me.

ZL: If you had to call it now, what are the odds that you go to Florida State?

NG: When that day comes for me to decide, I’ll talk it over with my family and I’ll do whatever is best for me, my mom, and my dad.  I couldn’t really put odds or a number on it.

ZL: I’ve read that you’re working to add muscle to your frame.  What’s your weight right now and what’s your goal weight?

NG: My goal weight is about 185, 190 pounds.  When I get older, probably 24 or 25, then I’d like to be 195 or 200.  Right now I’m at 177-180 pounds.

ZL: Do you have any concern that more muscle will hinder your speed and agility?

NG: Not at all.  In fact I think it can make it just that much better.

ZL: What’s the top thing you want to improve on as you go forward?

NG: My strength and staying healthy and getting stronger.

ZL: At what age did you realize that you had a good chance of becoming a major league baseball player?

NG: I always believed that, ever since I was a kid I said I’d be a Major League baseball player.  And when my teachers said, “You need a backup plan,” I said, “No ma’am, I’m going to be a baseball player.”  All my life I’ve all I’ve known is baseball and I’ve always been striving to be a baseball player and an athlete.  I was never okay with anyone telling me that I wouldn’t make it as a player.

ZL: Did you play other sports growing up?  Was there ever a point in your life where you thought your future might be in a different sport?

NG: I played football and basketball. I played both up until 9th grade.  I was playing football and I broke my ankle in 6th grade and then rolled it playing ball..or at least I thought I rolled it. My dad just told me that I bruised it.   Whatever it was, I think it just told my brain [to stop playing] basketball and football.

ZL: What positions did you play in each sport?

NG: I played running back and slot back and safety in football and in basketball I played shooting guard and small forward.

ZL: There was a report recently that the Astros are considering you at No. 1 overall.  I’m sure you don’t want to address any team or outcome specifically, but what would it mean to you to be the very first player off the board?

NG: It would mean the world to me.  I know how much talent there is in this draft.  You can’t really predict it and there are so many guys that could go No. 1, so it would be a blessing.  If the day comes and I’m the No. 1 pick, that’d be great, but I’m taking it one day at a time.  There’s so much great talent here and you can’t predict who will be No. 1.

ZL: If, hypothetically, you had your pick, would you prefer to play in a warm climate like what you’re used to in Florida or would you welcome a change? [Note: The Astros and Marlins have the top two picks in the draft, but it gets a lot colder from there with the White Sox, Cubs, and Twins rounding out the top five.]

NG: I’d welcome a change because I know I can play in a warm or cold climate.  I know that some guys have a hard time playing in cold weather and I know if I go out there in the cold weather, I’ll be fine.  I want that change and that experience as well because just playing in the hot sun all the time can wear on you too.  When I do get the chance to go elsewhere, I mean, it can get cold, but if I’ve got to play in the cold or the sun, I’m going to play the same way no matter what.  There’s no difference in my mind.

ZL: You’ve spoken quite a bit about your relationship with God.  How has that shaped you as a baseball player and as a person?

NG: I thank God every moment, for everything I get, everything I do.  My faith is a very big part of my life experience and my success in baseball.  I thank God for everything and the position he’s put me in and even when he allows for me to learn from my mistakes.

ZL: Recently it was announced that you’ll be one of just seven prospects in attendance on draft night.  Who will be with you?

NG: My mom, my father, my little sister, my little brother, and my coach and his wife.

ZL: Will you be nervous on draft night?

NG: I think I’ll be a little bit nervous, but I think I’ll be relieved when I hear that today is the day I’m welcomed into professional baseball.

ZL: Did you ever find it challenging to keep yourself focused on your high school team’s goals as you prepared to take the next step in your career?

NG: Not at all.  It’s actually pretty fun for me to sit there and play with my teammates.  I enjoyed it as much as I could and I rarely thought about things concerning the draft.  A lot of times my coach would come to me and say, “Wow, it looks like you’re not really thinking about the draft too much,” and I just said that I’m enjoying my teammates…I’m appreciative of every moment I had with them.  I loved playing with those guys.

ZL: We all know that you’re not going to last until the Dodgers’ pick at No. 22, but how cool would it be to play alongside your brother on the other side of second base?

NG: It’d be pretty cool but it’d be competition every single day even though we don’t play the same position anymore [laughs].  We’d give each other a handful but it’s brotherly love.  I mean, that’d be great.  It’d be a blessing to play next to my brother and my family would love that as well.

ZL: Who wins in a footrace, you or your brother?

NG: I don’t know…well…he’d get me.  There’s not too many people in this world that can run as fast as him.  He wouldn’t beat me by much, but he’d get me.

ZL: How about basketball in the driveway, 1-on-1?

NG: I’d dunk on him.

ZL: As someone whose lifelong dream has been to dunk a basketball, I’m jealous.  At what age could you dunk?

NG: The first time was in 8th grade.  I remember as soon as I did it I called Dee right after the game.  The ref told me to get off the rim. I remember it like it was yesterday.  When I called Dee, my mom was in the background yelling “What?!  You got in trouble for hanging on the rim?“

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Draft Prospect Q&A Houston Astros Interviews MLBTR Originals Newsstand Nick Gordon

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MLBTR Originals

By edcreech | June 1, 2014 at 9:40pm CDT

A look back at the original reporting and analysis found on MLBTR the last seven days:

  • Zach Links continued the Draft Prospect Q&A series by profiling Louisville right-hander Nick Burdi. “I think what I can bring is just being a reliable relief pitcher,” Burdi told Zach. “I’m already comfortable in that role and I’m ready to be the seventh or eighth inning guy, know my place, and help a team out.” Burdi added he has modeled himself after closers Trevor Rosenthal, Aroldis Chapman, and Craig Kimbrel and “always watched the taller closers and followed what they did.“
  • Jeff Todd asked MLBTR readers who will sign Kendrys Morales. Nearly 41% of you believe Morales will ink a deal to wear pinstripes.
  • Charlie Wilmoth asked MLBTR readers who the Astros will take with the first overall selection when the draft begins Thursday. One-third of you predict Houston will call the name of North Carolina State left-hander Carlos Rodon.
  • Tim Dierkes was the first to report left-hander Mike Zagurski signed a minor league contract with the Blue Jays.
  • Jeff confirmed the trade sending utilityman Jason Donald to the Rangers from the Royals.
  • Steve Adams hosted this week’s chat.
  • Zach compiled the latest edition of Baseball Blogs Weigh In.
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MLBTR Originals

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Poll: Best Short-Term Free Agent Signings

By charliewilmoth | June 1, 2014 at 8:43pm CDT

A number of players have made big contributions so far this season despite only signing a one-year deal or a minor-league deal this past offseason. Here’s a list of every player who fits that description and who’s produced more than 1 fWAR heading into today’s action. That cutoff excludes a few players clearly having productive seasons (such as Ervin Santana, Joba Chamberlain, Francisco Rodriguez and Emilio Bonifacio), and it excludes the possibility that the newly-signed Stephen Drew will make a big impact in Boston. But it’s as good a cutoff point as any, restricting us to players currently on pace to post seasons of around 3 WAR. Here they are, in alphabetical order.

In April, MLBTR’s Jeff Todd asked you to rank one-year deals in the $4MM-$8MM range. We now have more data on players signed to those deals, plus more information about no-risk minor-league signees we might have overlooked in April, so now is a good time to revisit last year’s free-agent class to see which low-risk deals are netting the most value.

Nelson Cruz, Orioles, $8MM plus roster bonuses. The Orioles also gave up the No. 55 overall pick in next week’s draft. Cruz has hit .315/.383/.675 in 230 plate appearances so far this season. He left today’s game with a hand injury, but he’s hit brilliantly for Baltimore so far, piling up an incredible 20 home runs.

Juan Francisco, Blue Jays, minor-league contract. The Jays signed Francisco after the Brewers dropped him in late March, and he’s hit a remarkable .275/.365/.596, with nine home runs in his first 126 plate appearances.

Jason Hammel, Cubs, $6MM. Hammel has pitched 71 1/3 terrific innings so far thanks to excellent control — he’s only allowing 1.9 BB/9. Hammel’s 2.78 ERA likely isn’t sustainable, but it doesn’t need to be for him to provide the Cubs with great value for $6MM.

Aaron Harang, Braves, minor-league deal, $1MM. Harang’s resurgence with Atlanta has been nothing short of amazing — last year it looked like his days as a productive big-leaguer might be over, but this year he has a 3.29 ERA with peripherals to match (9.7 K/9, 2.6 BB/9). The Braves also got two more solid pitchers in Santana and Gavin Floyd on one-year deals last offseason.

Michael Morse, Giants, $6MM. Morse’s poor defense limits his value, but it’s almost impossible not to be an asset when one hits .295/.351/.574. Morse is a big reason the Giants currently have the best record in baseball. His slugging percentage so far is 92 points above his career total.

A.J. Pierzynski, Red Sox, $8.25MM. Pierzynski has produced 1.1 WAR this season while hitting .288/.318/.417 in 174 plate appearances, accumulating much of that value in a recent 10-game hitting streak. He has not, however, won good reviews for his handling of the Red Sox’ pitching staff.

Yangervis Solarte, Yankees, minor-league contract. Solarte has been a highlight of an unsettled Yankees infield, playing decent defense at both third and second while hitting .299/.369/.466. That’s not bad for a 26-year-old who had never played in the big leagues before this season. The Yankees also can control his rights for several more years beyond this one if they choose.

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Draft Prospect Q&A: Nick Burdi

By Zachary Links | June 1, 2014 at 12:05pm CDT

MLBTR is re-launching its Draft Prospect Q&A series this season in order to give our readers a look at some of the top names on the board in this year’s draft. MLBTR will be chatting with some of the draft’s most well-regarded prospects over the next couple of weeks as they prepare for the 2014 draft on June 5-7.

Teams looking to draft a future closer with serious velocity will be taking a long look at Louisville pitcher Nick Burdi.  In fact, with a fastball that hits 96-100 mph on the radar gun, Burdi stands as the hardest thrower in college.  To complement the heat, Burdi also boasts a plus slider that can develop into a premium pitch.

NCAA Baseball: Louisville Regional-Miami vs Louisville

You could say that hard throwing runs in the family.  Burdi’s older brother, Drew, was a quarterback at Western Michigan.  His younger brother, Zack, is a promising pitcher in his own right for the Cardinals.  Burdi has shown that he can hold that velocity over two- and three-inning outings, leading some to believe that he could blossom into a starter.  Baseball America has Burdi pegged as the No. 27 prospect in the draft, MLB.com has him ranked at No. 34, and ESPN.com’s Keith Law has him at No. 52.  Burdi spoke with MLBTradeRumors on Friday about his skill set, whether he’d be interested in starting, and more:

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Zach Links: What can you bring to an MLB organization?

Nick Burdi: I think what I can bring is just being a reliable relief pitcher.  I’m already comfortable in that role and I’m ready to be the seventh or eighth inning guy, know my place, and help a team out.

ZL: Ultimately, though, you want to close, right?

NB: Yes, absolutely.

ZL: Who are some of the closers that you’ve modeled yourself after?

NB:  Trevor Rosenthal, Aroldis Chapman, and Craig Kimbrel.  I always watched the taller closers and followed what they did.

ZL: How vital is the “closer’s mindset”?

NB: I think being a closer is different when the game is on the line, everything is riding on the line at the end.  So, I think having that mindset is something that really sets some pitchers apart from others.  It’s a big quality and having that football mentality where you want to just go in and set everyone down is what I bring every time.

ZL: How long did it take you to cultivate that way of thinking and what’s going through your head when you’re running out to the mound?

NB: For me, I kind of learned the whole mindset of being a closer while I was at Chatham playing in the Cape Cod League and facing stiff competition up there.  You learn that role pretty quickly because you know that if you have success there against that kind of talent, it shows big league scouts that you’re capable of more.  I took that into my sophomore year and, as you said, I just felt comfortable in that closer’s role.  I just close everything down when I’m up there it just me and the catcher.

ZL: Do you feel like you could start in the big leagues?  Is that a transition you’d be interested in making?

NB: Yeah, if a team wants to groom me to be a starter I’d be comfortable with that.  That’s what I was doing up until these last two years, so I’d never rule it out.  But, for me, growing into this closers role has made me that much better of a pitcher.  That’s where I shine.

ZL: How was making that transition from starter to closer for you in terms of recovery time?  I’d imagine that it’s hard for a lot of guys to go from pitching every fifth day to consecutive outings.

NB: Yeah, not for me.  With my diet and my workout regiment, it was kind of an easy transition.  You pitch an inning on Friday and then maybe on Saturday and you’ll usually get Sunday off.  It was never a bad bounce back for me.

ZL: What does your diet look like?

NB: I’ve gotten really serious about it over the past couple of years.  I eat a lot of chicken, fish, veggies, rice, fruit, smoothies, and stuff like that.  As a closer, recovery is really important, so I’m very diligent about putting the right things in my body.

ZL: With a fastball that sits at 95-98 mph, velocity is one of your best attributes.  Did it take you some time in college to develop that or have you always been throwing that hard?

NB: Since my junior year of high school I’ve been throwing pretty hard and my senior year of high school I reached this velocity.  I’ve also become a more complete pitcher and over the last few years I’ve been making the most of my slider and the other pitches.

ZL: When did you realize you were MLB bound?

NB: Back in junior high I was hitting 93-94 [mph] on the gun and that’s when I got really serious with the game of baseball.  Ever since then, that’s what I’ve lived and breathed.  I work out, play the games, and then get start getting ready for the next day immediately after.  This is what I’ve always wanted to do.

ZL: When did you stop playing football?  Could you have pursued that instead?

NB:  I played quarterback freshman and sophomore year.  Honestly, at that time, that was probably my better sport and I had some interest from different colleges.  My pitching also got sharper at this point and I realized that if I wanted to make it baseball I had to totally commit to it and give up the whole football deal.

ZL: You’re widely regarded as one of the top pitchers in this year’s draft and there’s no shortage of complimentary things written about you online.  Do you pay attention to the rankings, scouting reports, etc?

NB: For me, I’m focused on just going out and playing baseball.  As a closer, there’s not much more I can do than going out there and getting the job done.  Hopefully teams realize the stuff that I have and my potential.  I’m a hard working player who wants to give his all every single day and I’m sure everyone sees that.

ZL: What were some of the other schools you had offers from before you committed to Louisville?

NB: I had an offer from Florida State and I was also talking to LSU, Clemson, and Vanderbilt.

ZL: What did you learn from your time at Louisville?

NB: Over these past two-three years, [Louisville pitching coach Roger Williams] has really taught me how to control the game.  If I went to a different school, I’m not sure that I would have gotten all of the same benefits and insight.  I’m really glad that I got to develop my game at Louisville and I’m grateful to the coaches for giving me the chance to make those strides in my game.

ZL: Your brothers are accomplished athletes themselves.  Drew played quarterback at Western Michigan and your younger brother Zack is a pitcher for Louisville.  Could we see Zack on a big league mound someday?

NB: Yeah I definitely think so.  He throws 93-95 mph, touching 96 at times, so he’s a little bit like me.  Over time he’s going to grow a bit more and I think he’ll be a starter ultimately.  He has a big frame and he’s so athletic so I think that’s the best role for him.

ZL: Is Zack in the same mold as you or is he a different kind of pitcher?

NB: He’s a little bit different.  His mechanics are a little more clean than mine when I was his age.  His fastball is right there and he’s got a good change up, so I think once he develops his other pitches a bit more he could be just as good as anybody.

ZL: When you were taken in the 24th round of the 2011 draft, did you give some real consideration to making the jump to the pros?

NB: Coming into my senior year that was something that was up in the air and I ended up being drafted by the Twins.  There was some consideration on my part, but I always wanted to come to school and play at the college level and play in the College World Series.

ZL: One scouting report indicated that you made some changes to your delivery which may have an adverse affect on your command.  Do you feel like that’s a valid point?

NB: I don’t think so.  I know people have said that but this year I pitched 32 innings and had just eight walks.  So, from a command standpoint with my two plus pitches I’m able to place everything in the exact spot I want to.

ZL: Who did you grow up rooting for?

NB: I was kind of a Red Sox fan, though I wasn’t a diehard or anything.  I just love watching the game in general.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Poll: Who Should The Astros Take With The First Pick?

By charliewilmoth | May 26, 2014 at 8:52pm CDT

We’re less than two weeks away from the June amateur draft, and there still isn’t consensus about who the Astros will take with the first overall pick. That’s not surprising, since there isn’t a clear No. 1 overall talent. “There’s not a [Gerrit] Cole, in our minds. There’s not a [Stephen] Strasburg, in our minds,” as Pirates GM Neal Huntington put it yesterday. John Manuel of Baseball America recently quoted an executive saying, “It just seems like there isn’t a $6 million player in this draft,” which means the Astros’ task will be a tricky one.

It’s always better to have an earlier pick than a later one, of course. But compared to, say, 2010, when the Nationals took Bryce Harper first overall, 2014 seems to be a worse year to have the top pick, and a better year to have a lower pick.

Many recent mock drafts have suggested the Astros will take either California high school lefty Brady Aiken or NC State lefty Carlos Rodon first overall, but the Astros also invited Texas high school righty Tyler Kolek to a pre-draft workout.

Aiken has added velocity and now throws in the mid-90s. He also has an outstanding curveball and could have excellent control, and he has an easy delivery. Kolek can throw 100 MPH and potentially has a good slider, although his command lags behind Aiken’s. In the cases of both Aiken and Kolek, stock disclaimers about high school pitchers apply.

Rodon entered the college season as the clear favorite to be the No. 1 pick, but he has not been as dominant as expected this season for NC State. Manuel quotes an executive even wondering whether Rodon will be a starter in the long term. There is, perhaps, a comparison to be made to Cole, who also failed to dominate in the season before he was drafted No. 1 overall, but Manuel points out that Cole’s stuff was outstanding that year, whereas Rodon’s hasn’t been consistent. Rodon does, however, still have an outstanding slider.

Earlier today, Peter Gammons quoted an executive guessing that the Astros could also consider California high school C/OF Alex Jackson. “Many of the Astros’ people believe that picking a pitcher at the top is a gamble because of the historical predictability of pitchers,” the executive said. Gammons notes that the Astros did pick Mark Appel with the top spot last year. But if there’s ever a year to question gambling on pitchers, this might be it — not only is there not a consensus No. 1, but it’s also been a rough year for big-league pitchers and for former top draftees in the minors, like Appel and Jameson Taillon. Jackson is the consensus top hitting prospect in the draft.

In a draft where little is certain, LSU righty Aaron Nola could represent another possibility. Unlike some of the other top pitching prospects, he doesn’t look like a prototypical ace — he’s just a little bit undersized, and his stuff isn’t as outstanding. But he’s performed very well this year and he should get to the majors relatively quickly, and he might be a good candidate to take first overall if the Astros decide to save a bit of money against their bonus pool to spend on later picks. That’s what they did in 2012, when Appel and Byron Buxton were the consensus top picks, and the Astros instead took Carlos Correa, then used the savings to sign Lance McCullers Jr. and Rio Ruiz later in the draft.

With all that in mind, who do you think the Astros should take with the first overall pick?

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MLBTR Originals

By edcreech | May 25, 2014 at 6:43pm CDT

A look back at the original reporting and analysis found on MLBTR this past week:

  • Tim Dierkes updated MLBTR’s 2015 Free Agent Power Rankings and there has been a change at the top with Max Scherzer replacing Hanley Ramirez.
  • Steve Adams relaunched the MLBTR series Draft Prospect Q&A by interviewing University of San Francisco center fielder Bradley Zimmer. Among the topics the consensus top-15 pick discussed with Steve: how his brother Kyle being selected fifth overall by the Royals in 2012 “was definitely a leap in the right direction for me, as far as getting to experience the process of being looked at and being a high prospect” and why he decided to attend college rather than sign with the Cubs, who made him their 23rd-round pick in the 2011 draft.
  • Rangers GM Jon Daniels told Zach Links he is not currently looking outside the organization to replace Prince Fielder. “I think that our focus right now is on the group of guys [including the injured Jurickson Profar and Dan Robertson] that are going to come back,” Daniels said. “There’s a group of guys that are up here in the big leagues that have put together a few good games this week, and we want to see if we can build on that and then evaluate where we are and adjust if that time comes.”
  • Red Sox GM Ben Cherington provided Zach his rationale for re-signing shortstop Stephen Drew. “He did a great job for us last year and he’s a very good Major League shortstop and a good teammate and does a lot of good things that we value,” said Cherington. “We have a high degree of respect for Stephen, what he can do on the field, and what he can do for our team.“
  • Steve charts how hard the 2015 free agent starting pitchers throw and notes their fortunes on the open market could be dictated by whether their velocity is increasing or decreasing.
  • Zach broke the news right-handed reliever Frank Francisco elected free agency rather than accept an outright assignment to the White Sox’s Triple-A affiliate.
  • Jeff Todd asked MLBTR readers which free agent third baseman they would prefer to sign: Chase Headley or Pablo Sandoval. More than 53% of you favor Headley.
  • Steve hosted this week’s live chat.
  • Zach assembled the best of the baseball blogosphere for you in Baseball Blogs Weigh In.
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MLBTR Originals

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Draft Prospect Q&A: Bradley Zimmer

By Steve Adams | May 23, 2014 at 3:01pm CDT

MLBTR is re-launching its Draft Prospect Q&A series this season in order to give our readers a look at some of the top names on the board in this year’s draft. MLBTR will be chatting with some of the draft’s most well-regarded prospects over the next couple of weeks as they prepare for the 2014 draft on June 5-7.

University of San Francisco center fielder Bradley Zimmer is considered by some to be the best college position player in this year’s draft. The brother of Royals prospect and 2012 No. 5 overall pick, Kyle Zimmer, Bradley is ranked as the fifth-best prospect in this draft class by ESPN’s Keith Law (ESPN Insider subscription required and recommended). Baseball America has Zimmer ranked 14th, and MLB.com currently ranks him No. 10.

Bradley Zimmer

The 6’5″, 205-pound Zimmer put himself on the prospect map with an outstanding sophomore season in 2013 when he slashed .320/.437/.512 with 29 walks with seven home runs against just 31 strikeouts in 58 games.

He’s followed up that breakout campaign with an even more impressive .368/.461/.573 batting line to go along with seven homers, seven triples and 10 doubles. Once again, he’s walking (31 times) almost as often as he strikes out (34), and he’s swiped 21 bases in 32 tries in 2014. Bradley was kind enough to take some time out of his busy schedule to talk with MLBTR last week:

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Steve Adams: The first thing I want to ask you is if you can, in your own words, describe your overall game.

Bradley Zimmer: I think, I’d say I’m a very hard-working, very hard-nosed player. I go out there every day with the mindset that I’m going to do whatever I can to help my team win, whether that be stealing a base, driving in runs, or playing good defense.

SA: Is there a particular player or maybe multiple players that you modeled your game after growing up, or that you continue to model your game after?

BZ: Yeah, definitely. I think guys like Carlos Gonzalez, Matt Kemp, Jacoby Ellsbury — I think those are all some names that I kind of look to and model my game off.

SA: Those guys you mentioned there are kind of “complete players” — blends of power, speed and hitting for average. Is that the the type of player that you ultimately see yourself becoming in an ideal setting?

BZ: Yeah, I think so. I think that I have attained those five tools as my career has gone on. I think there’s definitely room for improvement, and as time goes on, I think I’m just going to get bigger, stronger, faster and be able to hit for more power, run faster, throw a little harder. I think as time goes on, I’ll just continue improving.

SA: I know you were drafted previously in the 23rd round by the Cubs back in 2011. Can you talk a little bit about the decision to head to college and go play at the University of San Francisco instead of signing out of high school?

BZ: I think it was a decision based off of the sole fact that I wanted to pursue my academics and play college baseball. I’d like to get my degree from USF whether that be now or in a year or two. That was a big reason, and I wanted to get the college experience. And the coaching staff at USF is amazing. I give them all the credit for my success as a player and a student. I got the opportunity to play with brother as well, which was awesome. I think those things were the main components of my decision.

SA: Talking about your brother, you’ve been through process before, to an extent, in terms of being exposed to the pressure and the attention that a potential first-round pick goes through. Has what Kyle went through a couple of years ago helped prepare you for that scenario this year?

BZ: Yeah. I think seeing him going through this process previously in 2012 was definitely a leap in the right direction for me, as far as getting to experience the process of being looked at and being a high prospect. I think that was definitely beneficial for my development as a player — being able to see him go through that.

SA: I’ve seen a couple reports that you were actually clocked in the 90s off of a mound. Kyle’s obviously had plenty of success as a pitcher — was there ever any temptation for you to follow that lead and pitch as well?

BZ: No, not really. We’ve joked around about it here and there, but I never really strongly considered being a pitcher. I’ve always been a hitter, and I think that’s the way I always will be.

SA: You’ve played all around the outfield, and you played center field primarily of late. Is that your preferred position in the outfield and the position you see yourself playing in the future?

BZ: Yeah, I got the opportunity to move over to center field this year, and I think did a really good job there. I think I helped our team quite a bit out there. I felt really comfortable, and I feel like I can really help a team the most at that position. Hopefully, I get a chance to stay there, but if not, whatever works — I can play corner outfield as well.

SA: There are some people that say you’re 6’5″ — which is big for a center fielder. What’s your response to scouts that say that despite the fact that you have good speed, you’ll eventually have to move to a corner? Do you feel you can handle any outfield position?

BZ: Oh, absolutely. I played right field my first year in college, and I had no problem with it. Like I said, wherever works best and whatever fits for the team, I’m willing to do that.

SA: There’s a lot of praise for your swing — a really smooth, line-drive stroke that lets you hit for good average. Have you ever felt any pressure to hit for power, or are you of the mindset that home runs will come when they come?

BZ: Yeah, I think some people question my power, but I think I’ve put up some good power numbers. But with that, I know it’s only going to improve more. I’ve just got to keep going out there every day and do what I do and let the rest take care of itself.

SA: It seems like your sophomore season is what really put you on the map. Your freshman year, you hit .242 and walked four times, and then you had this breakout season as a sophomore where you walked almost as many times (29) as you struck out (31). What was the difference between those two seasons for you? What changed from freshman to sophomore year?

BZ: I think just overall experience of playing at the college level and knowing that I can compete at that level and potentially dominate. I think just the experience. The coaches are awesome. They helped me a lot. I felt a lot more comfortable and I knew that I belonged.

SA: At the beginning of this year you hit third a lot, and then toward the end you were hitting leadoff a lot. Do you have a preference between those two positions? What’s your ideal slot in the future?

BZ: I’m not really used to hitting leadoff — I’ve been in the middle of the lineup the last few years — but coach put me there and he thought that was best for the team, so I had no problem with it. I think it’s been going just fine. I’ve actually gotten used to it to the point where I enjoy hitting leadoff. I don’t see that big of a difference in hitting leadoff versus hitting third, at least for me. My approach has pretty much stayed the same and like I said, I’ve enjoyed it.

SA: That’s obviously a change late in the season. Have you, with the draft coming up, made any changes to your training regimen and day-to-day activities?

BZ: No, not necessarily. I’ve taken batting practice for a few scouts — they’ll come out to practice — but other than that, it’s pretty standard stuff at the ballparks. Just execute in my role and help my team win.

SA: I’ll wrap this up pretty quick but wanted to ask one more question. If we fast forward to five years from now, and Bradley Zimmer is stepping into the box in the bottom of the ninth inning with two guys on base against Royals ace Kyle Zimmer, who is trying to close out a complete game shutout… who wins that battle?

BZ: [Laughing] Obviously, I’ve got to give it to myself. I’m going to win that battle. I think he wouldn’t even mess with throwing me the offspeed stuff, he’d just try and blow it by me, so I’d be ready for that first-pitch fastball and just jump all over it.

SA: Future bragging rights at every family holiday?

BZ: Oh, yeah. Just wait for one of those 98 mph fastballs.

Photo courtesy of the University of San Francisco Athletics Department.

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Rangers GM Jon Daniels On Injuries To Fielder, Profar

By Zachary Links | May 22, 2014 at 5:20pm CDT

Earlier today we learned that Rangers first baseman Prince Fielder was “seriously considering” season-ending surgery to fix a herniated disc in his neck.  Later, an afternoon conference call with Rangers GM Jon Daniels confirmed that the five-time All-Star will go ahead with that plan.  Naturally, the injury to Fielder raised speculation from many that the Rangers could consider free agent Kendrys Morales.  While Daniels didn’t refer to the former Mariners slugger directly, I asked him if he might consider making a notable out-of-house pickup to fill the void in the batting order.

“Not today, not right now,” Daniels said.  “I think that our focus right now is on the group of guys [including the injured Jurickson Profar and Dan Robertson] that are going to come back…There’s a group of guys that are up here in the big leagues that have put together a few good games this week, and we want to see if we can build on that and then evaluate where we are and adjust if that time comes.”

The Rangers received $30MM from the Tigers to help cover part of Fielder’s deal, but with an Opening Day payroll north of $136MM, one might wonder if the owners are feeling tapped out.  When I asked Daniels if he might be afforded some financial flexibility to make a significant out-of-house addition, he simply said that he’s not willing to divulge one way or another.

In addition to losing Fielder, the Rangers also got some bad news concerning Profar, who will be sidelined another 8 to 12 weeks thanks to the Grade 2 strain in his right arm.  That’s similar to the timeline we initially heard on Profar in late March, but the clock has been reset and this time around his rehab process will be “even more conservative.”  With the rash of injuries that the Rangers have had to deal with, Daniels had a hard time concealing his frustration.

“My reaction to the news unfortunately wasn’t surprise just because from talking to [Prince] and seeing him, we knew that this was serious.  We were hoping the injection could keep him comfortable and get him through the season.  Sometimes you have that response.  His response was initially positive,” Daniels said.  “The upside is that I’ve been told that this particular surgery has a high success rate.  It doesn’t have the same level of risk that a lumbar [problem] of the lower back has in terms of how you use those two parts of the body and the weight you have to support.  I’m looking forward to seeing this guy healthy and what he can do, but that’s more of a 2015 and beyond thing.”

The other silver lining, if there is one, is that Profar is not ticketed for surgery at this time.  For Fielder, he’ll have to have a cervical fusion on his c5 and c6 vertebrae on Tuesday.  One might wonder if the problem could have been caught if the Rangers had Fielder undergo a full physical after acquiring him, but Daniels says that a cervical MRI wouldn’t have been conducted anyway since there was no prior issue there.

It remains to be seen whether the Rangers will make a splashy move to help bolster their weakened lineup, but there’s no doubt that they’ll miss Fielder in 2014.

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Red Sox GM Cherington On Drew Signing

By Zachary Links | May 21, 2014 at 2:54pm CDT

If the offseason felt long to you, imagine how Stephen Drew must have felt.  Today, the shortstop’s extended spring officially came to a close when the Red Sox announced that they signed him to a one-year deal, reportedly worth the prorated portion of the $14.1MM qualifying offer ($10.1MM).  The Red Sox, who had a significant need on the left side of the infield and didn’t have to forfeit a pick to sign their own free agent, have been regarded as a frontrunner for months, but there wasn’t a lot of foreshadowing in recent days.  On a conference call this afternoon, I asked General Manager Ben Cherington when the talks got more serious between him and agent Scott Boras.

“I would say that talks picked up over the weekend and into the early part of the week,” the GM said. “We know Stephen well.  He did a great job for us last year and he’s a very good Major League shortstop and a good teammate and does a lot of good things that we value…We have a high degree of respect for Stephen, what he can do on the field, and what he can do for our team.  We’re happy to have him back on the team.”

The signing of Drew will have a reverb effect for other Red Sox players.  Xander Bogaerts, who was charged with manning shortstop in 2014, will shift over to third base, bumping the injured Will Middlebrooks out of the starting lineup.  Drew’s arrival also backs things up for well-regarded third base prospect Garin Cecchini.  When it comes to Bogaerts, Cherington says that after this season, his future could still very well be at shortstop.

“We believe that he can play shortstop well, things have stabilized there.  I know he made a couple of errors last night but we believed last year and during Spring Training that he can play shortstop, we still believe that.  This move with Stephen is not in any way about a lack of belief that Xander can play short,” Cherington said.  “Xander’s ability to play short and third base allowed us to consider different options and alternatives.  Stephen just happened to be the one we pursued.”

When asked if Drew’s arrival could signal some sort of position change for Middlebrooks, Cherington was non-committal and said that his main focus was getting the 25-year-old healthy.

As for Drew himself, Cherington confirmed that he’ll be on the Major League roster tonight but won’t be in the lineup against the Blue Jays.  Drew will ultimately have a stint in the minors to warm up to big league action, but because of “administrative steps” that need to take place, there’s not an exact timetable for that just yet.

Presumably, Cherington is referring to the fact that Drew needs to pass through optional waivers, which take 48 hours, as the Boston Globe’s Nick Cafardo reported earlier this afternoon (Twitter link).  Cafardo noted that Drew has consented to head to the minors to pick up 25 at-bats before playing with the big league club.

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Boston Red Sox MLBTR Originals Newsstand Ben Cherington Stephen Drew Xander Bogaerts

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Velocity Changes Among Free Agent Starters

By Steve Adams | May 20, 2014 at 1:18pm CDT

With more than six weeks behind us, nearly every team has completed a quarter of its games this season. Impending free agents have a significant amount of their platform years in the books, though it’s certainly not too late to change the opinions of potential offseason suitors.

One way in which free agent pitchers can raise their stock is to up their velocity, although the opposite of that can hold true as well. A resurgence in velocity helped to save Scott Kazmir’s career last season and took him from a minor league contract to a two-year, $22MM guarantee. On the other side of the spectrum, a rapid decline in velocity dropped Tim Lincecum from a lock to receive $100MM+ to a two-year, $35MM contract that looks to be a questionable investment.

A look at the coming free agent crop of starters shows that several arms could be improving their stock by turning up the heat on their fastballs, while several free-agents-to-be have seen troubling declines in their velocity that have contributed to poor results. Some will be quick to point out that many starters’ velocity increases over the course of a season. Because of this, I’ve included a comparison of each pitcher’s 2013 and 2014 April velocities as well. This should give a rough indicator of where each pitcher is right now compared to this point in the 2013 season.

I’ve included any pitcher who is working as a starter and has a chance at free agency next season, even if it’s a virtual lock that their club option will be exercised (e.g. Johnny Cueto). Additionally, potential starters who are working out of the bullpen (e.g. Chris Capuano) have been omitted, as their velocity spikes are likely due to a change in role (pitchers typically see increased velocity when switching to a relief role). Here’s the list, sorted by the most positive change to most negative change from 2013 to 2014:

As J.A. Happ is a testament to, a noticeable velocity increase doesn’t guarantee improved performance. Though his ERA is down, his command has suffered greatly, making his 3.57 mark unsustainable without improvement in that area. However, most starters with a positive change have demonstrated improvements in their swinging-strike rate and overall strikeout percentage. Ryan Vogelsong has cut his ERA by more than two full runs. Brandon McCarthy and Jorge De La Rosa, while they haven’t seen their ERAs dip, have seen notable improvements in sabermetric ERA estimators such as xFIP and SIERA.

A dip in velocity, on the other hand, is often a precursor to an arm-related injury, and could ultimately serve as a red flag for interested teams on the free agent market if paired with declining results. There is, of course, still time for each pitcher on this list to see his velocity change in one direction or the other, but the above velocity changes are something to keep an eye on as it relates to the free agent stock of each. Names like Justin Masterson, who currently ranks sixth on MLBTR’s Free Agent Power Rankings but has seen the largest decline of any free agent, will be of particular interest as the season wears on.

*=Velocity data from May 2014 was used, as Floyd did not pitch this April.
**=Velocity data from April 2012 was used, as Lewis didn’t pitch in the Majors last season.
***=Velocity data from May 2013 was used, as Liriano didn’t pitch in the Majors last April.
****=Velocity data from May 2012 was used, as Paulino didn’t pitch in the Majors in either of the past two Aprils.

Data from Fangraphs was critical to the creation of this post.

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Free Agent Stock Watch MLBTR Originals Newsstand

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