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Dustin Garneau Announces Retirement

By Anthony Franco | October 10, 2022 at 8:30pm CDT

Former major league catcher Dustin Garneau took to Twitter this afternoon to announce his retirement. “Hanging them up. Thank you to everyone who had an impact on my career,” Garneau wrote. “To my wife for always being by my side through the ups and downs. To my agent (Marc Kligman) for always being there and making me a part of your family as well. And to my friends and family who were by my side.”

A 19th-round pick of the Rockies in the 2009 draft, Garneau reached the majors for the first time six years later. The Cal State Fullerton product broke into the big leagues just after his 28th birthday in August 2015. It marked the first of eight straight years in which he’d get to the highest level. Garneau was a prototypical depth catcher, never appearing in more than 41 MLB games in a season but donning six different uniforms along the way.

After two seasons in Colorado, Garneau bounced to the A’s on waivers. He’d find himself in the transactions logs fairly frequently thereafter, moving to the White Sox, Angels, back to the A’s and Astros through 2020. He returned to the Rockies on a minor league deal in 2021 but was dealt to the Tigers, with whom he spent the past couple seasons. That included eight games early this season, but he spent most of the year in Triple-A before reaching minor league free agency last week.

Altogether, Garneau appeared in 168 major league games. He hit .205/.285/.373 over 506 plate appearances, connecting on 15 home runs and 28 doubles. Six of those longballs came in a 20-game stint with Detroit in 2021. Over parts of eight Triple-A campaigns, the righty-swinging backstop was a .248/.329/.480 hitter. He played parts of 14 professional seasons. Best wishes to Garneau in all the best in his post-playing endeavors.

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Athletics Chicago White Sox Colorado Rockies Detroit Tigers Houston Astros Los Angeles Angels Transactions Dustin Garneau Retirement

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Orioles Outright Anthony Castro

By Anthony Franco | October 10, 2022 at 7:13pm CDT

The Orioles announced this afternoon that reliever Anthony Castro has gone unclaimed on waivers and been sent outright to Triple-A Norfolk. The right-hander has previously cleared outright waivers in his career, giving him the right to refuse the assignment and elect minor league free agency.

It’s likely the 27-year-old will indeed set out onto the open market in search of a new opportunity. Castro never suited up at the big league level with the Orioles, with Baltimore nabbing him off waivers from the Guardians in early September. He spent the final month of the season on optional assignment to Norfolk, making eight appearances with the Tides without getting an MLB look. Baltimore designated him for assignment last week to free a 40-man spot for catcher Anthony Bemboom, who otherwise would’ve qualified for minor league free agency.

Castro did make 13 MLB outings with Cleveland this year, but the results weren’t what the club envisioned when they acquired him in an Opening Day swap with the Blue Jays. Castro allowed 15 runs (11 earned) in 13 1/3 innings, surrendering five home runs while walking ten batters. He averaged 94.8 MPH on his four-seam and 84.4 MPH on a slider that served as his primary pitch, but the home runs and control issues plagued him at the big league level. He only surrendered two longballs in 38 innings of Triple-A work this year, but he walked an untenable 15.4% of batters faced there.

The control issues were worrisome enough Castro went unclaimed on waivers, but he’s likely to find some minor league offers this winter (assuming he indeed elects free agency). He’s punched out more than a quarter of opponents in 39 career big league innings, and he owns a 3.19 ERA through 48 Triple-A frames. The Venezuela native figures to get a Spring Training opportunity heading into 2023.

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Cubs, Drew Smyly To Discuss Possible Contract Extension

By Anthony Franco | October 10, 2022 at 5:36pm CDT

The Cubs are facing the potential free agent departures of a pair of veteran starters, with both Drew Smyly and Wade Miley headed towards the open market a month from now. Miley will be a free agent, while Smyly’s contract contains a $10MM mutual option with a $1MM buyout for the 2023 campaign.

Theoretically, a team will only exercise its end of a mutual option if it feels the price is at or below the player’s market value. The player, conversely, will typically only trigger his end if he feels the option price is at or above what he could find on the open market. Thus, mutual options are almost never exercised by both parties. In the vast majority of cases, players with mutual options are essentially impending free agents.

That’s the case for Smyly, but there’s a chance he doesn’t remain unsigned until free agency. Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports the Cubs are planning to meet with the left-hander’s representatives at Frontline later this month to discuss a potential new contract. Lee notes it’s unlikely Smyly will return on the terms of the mutual option itself but it’s possible the sides can line up on a new deal. As is the case with all impending free agents, the Cubs will have an exclusive negotiating window with Smyly until five days after the end of the World Series.

Smyly has technically had a pair of stints as a Cub, although he didn’t throw a pitch with Chicago until 2022. He signed a two-year deal heading into the 2018 season, with the Cubs aware he’d miss all of that season rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. After the ’18 campaign, Chicago dealt him to the Rangers. Smyly pitched for four different teams from 2019-21 before returning to the Cubs on a one-year deal this spring. He received a $4.25MM salary for this past season and will be guaranteed another $1MM on the option buyout.

The 33-year-old had a generally solid return season to the North Siders. He missed a month mid-summer with a right oblique strain, but he otherwise stayed healthy enough to take the ball 22 times. Across 106 1/3 innings, Smyly posted a 3.47 ERA. He struck out a career-worst 20.4% of opponents, leading to less favorable reviews from fielding independent estimators. On the plus side, he only walked 5.8% of batters faced (below the 7.5% league average for starters) and held opponents to a meager 86.7 MPH average exit velocity. Smyly’s 12.4% swinging strike rate was an above-average mark that suggests he was somewhat unfortunate to generate his mediocre strikeout percentage, and he absolutely stifled left-handed opponents to the tune of a .191/.277/.326 line through 101 plate appearances.

Smyly doesn’t have eye-popping velocity, and his below-average ground-ball numbers have contributed to home run troubles in prior years. The longball wasn’t much of an issue this season, though, and he’s generally posted solid strikeout and walk numbers throughout his career. He’s spent time on the injured list each year since 2016, failing to reach 130 innings in any of the past six seasons. He’s not been a prototypical innings eater, but he’s pitched to a decent 3.96 ERA in 259 1/3 frames going back to the start of 2020.

The Cubs didn’t seem to aggressively market and/or find much trade interest in Smyly this summer. Despite his being a rental on a non-competitive team, there weren’t many public trade rumors leading up to the deadline. Smyly pitched to a sparkling 2.28 ERA in nine starts after the deadline, however, sending him towards free agency on the heels of a strong final couple months.

Whether that’ll be enough for the Arkansas product to find a multi-year deal heading into his age-34 season remains to be seen. Alex Cobb received a two-year, $20MM pact at the same age last winter. Cobb was coming off 98 1/3 innings of 3.76 ERA ball through 18 starts. He had a similar swinging strike rate in 2021 as Smyly did this season, but Cobb finished off more strikeouts and had an excellent 53.3% grounder rate. It seems unlikely Smyly will get quite to that level as a result, but there’s recent precedent for a multi-year deal for a pitcher coming off a broadly similar showing at the same age.

As another recent comparison point, Corey Kluber landed a one-year, $8MM guarantee (with incentives that could take the deal’s value to $13MM) after pitching 80 innings with a 3.83 ERA and a 12.5% swinging strike percentage last year. Kluber, a two-time Cy Young winner, has had a far more accomplished career than Smyly, but his 2021 production wasn’t far off Smyly’s 2022 numbers.

President of baseball operations Jed Hoyer didn’t address contract specifics, but he did broadly suggest the Cubs would have interest in retaining both Smyly and Miley. “With both guys, in the right setup, we’d love to have them back,” Hoyer told reporters this afternoon (via Lee). “They both have a really positive impact on the organization. And there’s no finish line when it comes to adding guys that can make starts in the big leagues and that can add to your culture.”

Among in-house options, the Cubs are certain to pencil Marcus Stroman and Kyle Hendricks into the Opening Day rotation. Left-hander Justin Steele pitched well enough through 24 starts to likely earn a spot as well, but the back of the rotation is mostly up for grabs. Hayden Wesneski, acquired from the Yankees in the Scott Effross deadline deal, pitched well through his first four big league starts. He’s in the mix with Keegan Thompson and journeyman Adrian Sampson for back-end roles, but there’s certainly an opportunity for Hoyer and his staff to bolster the group this offseason.

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Giants Reportedly Planning To Decline Evan Longoria’s Option

By Steve Adams | October 10, 2022 at 4:47pm CDT

The Giants hold a $13MM club option over third baseman Evan Longoria — the final possible season on a six-year, $100MM guaranteed deal that Longoria originally signed with the Rays. Because of a hefty $5MM buyout on the option, it’s actually “only” a net $8MM decision for the upcoming season. Still, USA Today’s Bob Nightengale writes that the Giants are planning to opt for the buyout, which would make Longoria a free agent for the first time in his career.

That doesn’t necessarily close the books on Longoria’s time in San Francisco, however. President of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi said last week there’s “absolutely” a place for Longoria on next year’s Giants, even as the team strives to get younger on the whole. Per the San Francisco Chronicle’s John Shea, Longoria is open to negotiating a return at a lesser rate. That meshes with Nightengale’s report, which indicates that Longoria’s preferences in free agency would be San Francisco, Tampa Bay or Arizona.

With the decision at a net $8MM, simply picking up Longoria’s option would be plenty defensible. Despite celebrating his 37th birthday just this past Friday, he remains a productive hitter, having enjoyed a renaissance with the bat over the past couple seasons. In 589 trips to the plate dating back to Opening Day 2021, Longoria has turned in a .252/.336/.466 batting line with 27 homers, 30 doubles, a 25.6% strikeout rate and a 10.5% walk rate. That said, his exit velocity, hard-hit rate, strikeout rate and walk rate in 2022 all took a step back from their 2021 levels, and this year’s overall offensive output was down a bit from last year.

As one would expect for a player moving into his late 30s, Longoria has also seen his defensive ratings begin to slip. Early in his career, he was one of baseball’s best defensive players at any position, and Longoria managed to sustain slightly above-average grades at the hot corner even in his mid-30s, posting positive Defensive Runs Saved, Ultimate Zone Rating and Outs Above Average marks as recently as 2020. In 2022, he posted a -4 DRS mark and was a scratch defender, per both UZR and OAA.

Even with the slight downturn in 2022 production on both sides of the ball, Longoria remained productive with the bat. He could be particularly adept in a more limited role that shields him from top-tier righties but gives him plenty of time against left-handed pitching. Over the past two seasons, Longoria has tormented southpaws with a .295/.379/.536 batting line in 211 trips to the plate. His .229/.307/.429 line against same-handed pitchers is more pedestrian but still roughly league average output.

A more sheltered role could have the added benefit of limiting Longoria’s reps slightly in an effort to keep him healthy. Zaidi alluded to that last week, rhetorically asking “one of the questions for us with Longo, and it’s a question for him as well, at this point in his career, what’s the appropriate workload and what’s the appropriate role?” (link via Evan Webeck of the San Jose Mercury News). Longoria has spent a notable chunk of time on the injured list in each of the past two seasons, appearing in just over half the Giants games (170 of 324).

Assuming Longoria does head back to the open market, he’ll be one of the better players available in the third base class. Nolan Arenado would obviously be the prize of the position if he opted out of the final five years of his deal with St. Louis. Otherwise, the class is comprised of veterans who could be brought back on team options (i.e. Longoria, Justin Turner and Josh Harrison) and multi-positional types (like Brandon Drury and Jace Peterson).

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Hoyer: Cubs Will Make Qualifying Offer To Willson Contreras

By Steve Adams | October 10, 2022 at 3:22pm CDT

Confirming what most rightly expected to be a foregone conclusion, Cubs president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer said at today’s end-of-season press conference that the team will “definitely” make a qualifying offer to free-agent catcher Willson Contreras (Twitter link via Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times). That much was widely assumed from the moment the team surprisingly opted against trading Contreras prior to the Aug. 2 deadline.

An exact amount on this year’s qualifying offer, which is set annually at the average of the game’s 125 highest-paid players, has not yet been determined. Last year’s qualifying offer clocked in at $18.4MM, and in 2020 it was set at $18.9MM.

Any player rejecting a qualifying offer is then subject to draft-pick compensation, meaning a team choosing to sign him will be required to surrender at least one pick in the following year’s draft (in addition to potentially forfeiting resources from its international bonus pool. Teams that receive revenue sharing would forfeit their third-highest selection to sign a “qualified” free agent. Non-revenue sharing, non-luxury tax paying teams lose their second-highest pick and $500K of international bonus pool space. The six teams that paid the luxury tax this year — Mets, Dodgers, Yankees, Phillies, Red Sox, Padres — would forfeit their second- and fifth-highest picks as well as $1MM of international pool space. The Cubs, meanwhile, would receive a compensatory pick between Competitive Balance Round B and Round 3 of next summer’s draft — typically in the No. 75 overall range.

The Cubs will still have the remainder of this month and an exclusive five-day window to negotiate with Contreras following the completion of the World Series (as all teams do with their pending free agents). That said, Contreras, who’ll be 31 next May, has been vocal about his desire to remain in Chicago for several years now. No extension has materialized.

In all likelihood, Contreras will hit the open market and sign with a new club — presumably one seeking more offense behind the plate. That’s not to disparage Contreras’ glove; he boasts plus arm strength and one of the fastest pop-times in MLB (1.93 seconds, per Statcast, good for 11th out of 83 catchers in 2022). Contreras, however, generally draws average to below-average marks for framing pitches, and Baseball Prospectus dinged him slightly in 2022 for his work blocking pitches in the dirt (although that was an anomaly and he’s typically graded better than average in that regard).

Broadly speaking, Contreras is far from a liability behind the plate, particularly when it comes to controlling the running game. He doesn’t grade as well when it comes to stealing strikes for his pitchers (and for ensuring that borderline strikes are accurately called), but he’s still a quality option behind the dish — particularly when considering that few of his positional peers can match his work with the bat. Contreras hit .243/.349/.466 with 22 home runs, 23 doubles and a pair of triples in 2022.

Contreras’ 132 wRC+, indicating that he was 32% better than the league-average hitter at the plate, ranked fifth among the 70 catchers who took at least 100 plate appearances in 2022, only narrowly trailing Adley Rutschman (133) and Tyler Stephenson (134) for third on the list behind Contreras’ own brother, William, and Toronto’s Danny Jansen. Given that the average catcher was 11% worse than the league-average hitter, Contreras was about about 43% better at the plate than the average backstop, by measure of wRC+. The only catchers to produce more round-trippers than Contreras were Cal Raleigh, Will Smith and Salvador Perez.

Precisely where Contreras lands in free agency, at this point, is anyone’s guess. He won’t know how things will play out until he gauges interest around the league, but there’s no shortage of teams that could look to upgrade behind the plate. Only seven teams — Braves, Jays, Phillies, A’s, Cubs, Dodgers, Mariners — received offense that was better than that of a league-average hitter from the catcher position in their lineup this season, so even with draft compensation attached, Contreras should command a strong multi-year deal.

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Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2023

By Steve Adams | October 10, 2022 at 12:30pm CDT

Matt Swartz has created a model to project salaries for arbitration eligible players, which we’ve been publishing at MLB Trade Rumors for 12 years.

In the baseball industry, teams and agents determine arbitration salaries by identifying comparable players. To project the entire arbitration class in this way would take a massive amount of time and effort. So, Matt has developed an algorithm to project arbitration salaries that looks at the player’s playing time, position, role, and performance statistics while accounting for inflation. The performance of comparable players matters, but our system is not directly selecting individual comps for each individual player.

As a disclaimer, it should be emphasized that our projections are not to be used as a scorecard for the agent and team on an individual player level. A player doing better or worse than our projection isn’t indicative of anything. Our arbitration projections are created as a tool for our readers to get a general idea of a team’s payroll situation.

The service time figures, listed in parentheses below, are official. However, there is not yet an established Super Two cutoff. That could lead to a few late entrants being added to the list. It’s also worth noting that contracts signed prior to the non-tender deadline aren’t generally considered to be normal arbitration comparables; contracts signed prior to that deadline can be skewed by light offers that are presented to borderline non-tender candidates in take-it-or-leave-it fashion (with “leave it,” in such instances, being a non-tender). That’s not universal to all pre-tender deals but is frequently applicable.

If you find MLBTR’s arbitration projections useful, please consider supporting us with a subscription.

Onto the numbers…

Angels (7)

  • Griffin Canning (3.075): $1.1MM
  • Luis Rengifo (3.043): $2.4MM
  • Jaime Barria (3.035): $1.2MM
  • Chad Wallach (3.030): $800K
  • Jared Walsh (3.010): $2.7MM
  • Taylor Ward (2.164): $2.9MM
  • Patrick Sandoval (2.149): $2.8MM

Astros (9)

  • Phil Maton (5.047): $2.5MM
  • Ryne Stanek (5.038): $3.1MM
  • Framber Valdez (3.163): $7.4MM
  • Josh James (3.110): $800K
  • Kyle Tucker (3.079): $5.6MM
  • Jose Urquidy (3.049): $3.2MM
  • Cristian Javier (3.000): $3.3MM
  • Blake Taylor (3.000): $800K
  • Mauricio Dubon (2.162): $1.2MM

Athletics (6)

  • Tony Kemp (5.098): $3.9MM
  • Deolis Guerra (4.071): $900K
  • Austin Pruitt (4.055): $1.2MM
  • Ramon Laureano (3.165): $3.6MM
  • Sean Murphy (3.029): $3.5MM
  • Paul Blackburn (3.018): $1.9MM

Blue Jays (13)

  • Teoscar Hernandez (5.097): $14.1MM
  • Raimel Tapia (5.020): $5.2MM
  • Adam Cimber (4.156): $3.2MM
  • Trevor Richards (4.084): $1.5MM
  • Bradley Zimmer (4.077): $1.3MM
  • Danny Jansen (4.050): $3.7MM
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (3.157): $14.8MM
  • Tim Mayza (3.156): $1.9MM
  • Cavan Biggio (3.129): $2.6MM
  • Trent Thornton (3.073): $1.1MM
  • Bo Bichette (3.063): $6.1MM
  • Jordan Romano (3.051): $4.4MM
  • Santiago Espinal (2.149): $2.1MM

Braves (6)

  • Guillermo Heredia (5.112): $1.1MM
  • A.J. Minter (4.154): $5MM
  • Max Fried (4.148): $12.2MM
  • Mike Soroka (4.122): $2.8MM
  • Tyler Matzek (4.019): $1.8MM
  • Silvino Bracho (3.099): $900K

Brewers (18)

  • Hunter Renfroe (5.165): $11.2MM
  • Brent Suter (5.161): $3.1MM
  • Victor Caratini (5.051): $2.8MM
  • Luis Perdomo (5.034): $1MM
  • Brandon Woodruff (4.161): $11MM
  • Matt Bush (4.132): $2MM
  • Willy Adames (4.105): $9.2MM
  • Trevor Gott (4.057): $1.4MM
  • Corbin Burnes (4.049): $11.4MM
  • Eric Lauer (4.033): $5.2MM
  • Jandel Gustave (4.027): $900K
  • Adrian Houser (4.010): $3.6MM
  • Rowdy Tellez (4.004): $5.3MM
  • Luis Urias (3.120): $4.3MM
  • Hoby Milner (3.068): $1.1MM
  • Devin Williams (3.056): $3.2MM
  • Mike Brosseau (3.031): $1.2MM
  • Keston Hiura (3.009): $2MM

Cardinals (11)

  • Jordan Montgomery (5.153): $10.1MM
  • Chris Stratton (5.100): $3.5MM
  • Alex Reyes (5.056): $2.85MM
  • Jack Flaherty (5.006): $5.1MM
  • Jordan Hicks (5.000): $1.6MM
  • Dakota Hudson (4.062): $2.7MM
  • Tyler O’Neill (4.059): $5.1MM
  • Tommy Edman (3.114): $4.3MM
  • Ryan Helsley (3.105): $2.4MM
  • Andrew Knizner (3.021): $1MM
  • Genesis Cabrera (3.011): $1.2MM

Cubs (10)

  • Ian Happ (5.036): $10.6MM
  • Steven Brault (4.167): $1.7MM
  • Franmil Reyes (4.115): $6MM
  • Rowan Wick (3.114): $1.5MM
  • Alec Mills (3.097): $800K
  • Brad Wieck (3.085): $800K
  • Nico Hoerner (3.014): $2.2MM
  • Codi Heuer (3.000): $800K
  • Nick Madrigal (2.164): $1.1MM
  • Rafael Ortega (2.145): $1.7MM

Diamondbacks (9)

  • Caleb Smith (5.077): $2.7MM
  • Keynan Middleton (5.023): $1.1MM
  • Carson Kelly (4.161): $4.1MM
  • Christian Walker (4.124): $7.3MM
  • Reyes Moronta (4.111): $2MM
  • Jordan Luplow (4.108): $2MM
  • Zac Gallen (3.100): $4.5MM
  • Josh Rojas (2.152): $2.4MM
  • Daulton Varsho (2.128): $2.8MM

Dodgers (12)

  • Cody Bellinger (5.160): $18.1MM
  • Julio Urias (5.117): $13.7MM
  • Walker Buehler (4.168): $8.1MM
  • Caleb Ferguson (4.088): $1.1MM
  • Yency Almonte (3.143): $1MM
  • Will Smith (3.090): $5.2MM
  • Dustin May (3.059): $1.4MM
  • Trayce Thompson (3.010): $1.7MM
  • Edwin Rios (3.003): $1.4MM
  • Brusdar Graterol (2.167): $1.2MM
  • Tony Gonsolin (2.152): $3.5MM
  • Evan Phillips (2.136): $1.4MM

Giants (13)

  • Jarlin Garcia (5.114): $2.4MM
  • Scott Alexander (5.080): $1.1MM
  • John Brebbia (5.078): $1.9MM
  • Jakob Junis (5.002): $3.3MM
  • Austin Slater (4.147): $2.7MM
  • J.D. Davis (4.137): $3.8MM
  • Jharel Cotton (3.162): $1.1MM
  • Mike Yastrzemski (3.128): $5.7MM
  • Zack Littell (3.067): $900K
  • Logan Webb (3.044): $4.8MM
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (3.035): $1.4MM
  • Tyler Rogers (3.034): $1.8MM
  • Thairo Estrada (2.169): $2.4MM

Guardians (9)

  • Luke Maile (5.148): $1.3MM
  • Amed Rosario (5.062): $9MM
  • Shane Bieber (4.097): $10.7MM
  • Anthony Gose (3.139): $800K
  • Cal Quantrill (3.132): $6MM
  • Josh Naylor (3.1287): $3.5MM
  • Zach Plesac (3.086): $2.9MM
  • Aaron Civale (3.058): $2.2MM
  • James Karinchak (2.169): $1.4MM

Marlins (12)

  • Joey Wendle (5.088): $5.4MM (Marlins hold a $6.3MM mutual option and $75K buyout that will first need to be dealt with)
  • Garrett Cooper (5.053): $4.1MM
  • Dylan Floro (5.053): $4.2MM
  • Brian Anderson (5.031): $5.2MM
  • Jacob Stallings (4.149): $3.3MM
  • Pablo Lopez (4.093): $5.6MM
  • Tanner Scott (4.059): $2.7MM
  • Elieser Hernandez (4.051): $1.8MM
  • Jon Berti (3.168): $2.4MM
  • Cole Sulser (3.028): $1MM
  • Jeff Brigham (3.010): $800K
  • Jesus Luzardo (2.165): $2MM

Mariners (11)

  • Tom Murphy (5.092): $1.9MM
  • Diego Castillo (4.118): $2.9MM
  • Paul Sewald (4.072): $3.6MM
  • Ryan Borucki (4.066): $1.1MM
  • Casey Sadler (4.035): $1.025MM
  • Dylan Moore (4.000): $2MM
  • Erik Swanson (3.096): $1.4MM
  • Luis Torrens (3.091): $1.2MM
  • Ty France (3.089): $4.7MM
  • Abraham Toro (2.149): $1.4MM
  • Kyle Lewis (2.146): $1.2MM

Mets (8)

  • Daniel Vogelbach (4.138): $2.9MM (Mets can bypass arbitration by exercising a $1.5MM club option)
  • Tomas Nido (4.089): $1.6MM
  • Dominic Smith (4.081): $4MM
  • Jeff McNeil (4.069): $6.2MM
  • Joey Lucchesi (4.067): $1.15MM
  • Drew Smith (4.034): $1.2MM
  • Pete Alonso (4.000): $15.9MM
  • Luis Guillorme (3.167): $1.5MM

Nationals (10)

  • Carl Edwards Jr. (5.169): $1.6MM
  • Luke Voit (4.169): $8.2MM
  • Erick Fedde (4.099): $3.6MM
  • Victor Robles (4.033): $2.5MM
  • Tanner Rainey (3.127): $1.5MM
  • Hunter Harvey (3.047): $1MM
  • Victor Arano (3.022): $1MM
  • Lane Thomas (3.014): $2.1MM
  • Ildemaro Vargas (3.007): $1.1MM
  • Kyle Finnegan (3.000): $2MM

Orioles (7)

  • Anthony Santander (4.162): $7.5MM
  • Cam Gallagher (4.073): $1MM
  • Austin Voth (3.127): $2MM
  • Cedric Mullins (3.078): $4.4MM
  • Austin Hays (3.057): $3.1MM
  • Dillon Tate (3.048): $1.5MM
  • Jorge Mateo (3.000): $1.8MM

Padres (10)

  • Josh Hader (5.115): $13.6MM
  • Jorge Alfaro (5.083): $3.6MM
  • Juan Soto (4.134): $21.5MM
  • Tim Hill (4.112): $1.7MM
  • Austin Adams (4.015): $1MM
  • Jose Castillo (3.125): $900K
  • Austin Nola (3.106): $2.2MM
  • Trent Grisham (3.060): $2.6MM
  • Adrian Morejon (3.013): $800K
  • Jake Cronenworth (3.000): $4.4MM

Phillies (7)

  • Jose Alvarado (5.082): $3.2MM
  • Rhys Hoskins (5.053): $12.6MM
  • Seranthony Dominguez (4.131): $2MM
  • Ranger Suarez (3.112): $3.5MM
  • Sam Coonrod (3.078): $800K
  • Yairo Munoz (3.003): $1MM
  • Edmundo Sosa (2.140): $1MM

Pirates (6)

  • Robert Stephenson (5.049): $1.9MM
  • Kevin Newman (4.046): $2.8MM
  • Miguel Andujar (4.002): $1.7MM
  • Duane Underwood Jr. (3.044): $1MM
  • Mitch Keller (3.026): $2.4MM
  • JT Brubaker (3.000): $2MM

Rangers (6)

  • Mitch Garver (5.045): $4.2MM
  • Brett Martin (3.151): $1.5MM
  • Taylor Hearn (3.125): $1.7MM
  • Dennis Santana (3.095): $1.1MM
  • Jonathan Hernandez (3.041): $1MM
  • Nathaniel Lowe (2.145): $4.3MM

Rays (19)

  • Ji-Man Choi (5.076): $4.5MM
  • Yonny Chirinos (4.125): $1.6MM
  • Yandy Diaz (4.122): $5.4MM
  • Ryan Yarbrough (4.117): $4.2MM
  • Shawn Armstrong (4.113): $1.3MM
  • Jalen Beeks (4.070): $1.2MM
  • Andrew Kittredge (4.070): $2MM
  • Francisco Mejia (4.062): $2.2MM
  • Jeffrey Springs (4.055): $3MM
  • Roman Quinn (4.035): $900K
  • Nick Anderson (3.153): $845K
  • Harold Ramirez (3.124): $2.1MM
  • Colin Poche (3.109): $1.7MM
  • JT Chargois (3.101): $1MM
  • Pete Fairbanks (3.057): $1.5MM
  • Christian Bethancourt (3.038): $1.6MM
  • Ryan Thompson (3.000): $1.1MM
  • Jason Adam (2.132): $1.9MM
  • Randy Arozarena (2.129): $4MM

Red Sox (11)

  • Ryan Brasier (5.109): $2.3MM
  • Rafael Devers (5.070): $16.9MM
  • Abraham Almonte (5.012): $900K
  • Nick Pivetta (4.166): $5.9MM
  • Franchy Cordero (4.092): $1.5MM
  • Alex Verdugo (4.078): $6.9MM
  • Rob Refsnyder (4.048): $1.6MM
  • Christian Arroyo (4.036): $2.2MM
  • Josh Taylor (3.121): $1.1MM
  • Reese McGuire (3.027): $1.3MM
  • Yu Chang (3.007): $900K

Reds (11)

  • Buck Farmer (5.140): $1.4MM
  • Luis Cessa (5.131): $2.6MM
  • Kyle Farmer (4.129): $5.9MM
  • Jeff Hoffman (4.105): $1.2MM
  • Lucas Sims (4.014): $1.3MM
  • Nick Senzel (3.150): $2.2MM
  • Derek Law (3.081): $900K
  • Aramis Garcia (3.036): $800K
  • Justin Dunn (3.016): $1.1MM
  • Aristides Aquino (3.003): $1.6MM
  • Tejay Antone (3.000): $800K

Rockies (6)

  • Dinelson Lamet (5.070): $4.8MM
  • Garrett Hampson (4.030): $2.1MM
  • Tyler Kinley (4.014): $1.3MM
  • Austin Gomber (3.111): $1.8MM
  • Brendan Rodgers (3.075): $2.7MM
  • Ty Blach (3.007): $800K

Royals (11)

  • Luke Weaver (5.112): $3MM
  • Amir Garrett (5.099): $2.6MM
  • Adalberto Mondesi (5.088): $3MM
  • Brad Keller (5.000): $7MM
  • Scott Barlow (4.030): $4.9MM
  • Ryan O’Hearn (4.002): $1.5MM
  • Nicky Lopez (3.139): $3.4MM
  • Taylor Clarke (3.120): $1.5MM
  • Josh Staumont (3.072): $1MM
  • Brady Singer (2.156): $2.9MM
  • Kris Bubic (2.135): $1.8MM

Tigers (12)

  • Drew Hutchison (5.097): $1.8MM
  • Joe Jimenez (5.061): $2.6MM
  • Jeimer Candelario (5.038): $7MM
  • Jose Cisnero (5.020): $2.2MM
  • Victor Reyes (4.075): $2.2MM
  • Austin Meadows (4.074): $4MM
  • Harold Castro (3.141): $2.6MM
  • Gregory Soto (3.102): $3.1MM
  • Tyler Alexander (3.058): $1.6MM
  • Willi Castro (3.017): $1.7MM
  • Rony Garcia (2.138): $1MM
  • Kyle Funkhouser (2.133): $800K

Twins (12)

  • Gio Urshela (5.127): $9.2MM
  • Emilio Pagan (5.091): $3.7MM
  • Tyler Mahle (5.018): $7.2MM
  • Caleb Thielbar (4.131): $2.4MM
  • Jorge Lopez (4.102): $3.7MM
  • Danny Coulombe (4.008): $800K
  • Chris Paddack (4.000): $2.4MM
  • Jake Cave (3.137): $1.2MM
  • Luis Arraez (3.121): $5MM
  • Cody Stashak (3.064): $800K
  • Jorge Alcala (3.014): $800K
  • Kyle Garlick (2.163): $1.1MM

White Sox (8)

  • Lucas Giolito (5.080): $10.8MM
  • Adam Engel (5.058): $2.3MM
  • Kyle Crick (5.027): $1.5MM
  • Reynaldo Lopez (5.004): $3.3MM
  • Dylan Cease (3.089): $5.3MM
  • Jose Ruiz (3.048): $1MM
  • Michael Kopech (3.041): $2.2MM
  • Danny Mendick (2.168): $1MM

Yankees (14)

  • Wandy Peralta (5.168): $3.1MM
  • Frankie Montas (5.015): $7.7MM
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa (5.000): $6.5MM
  • Lou Trivino (4.163): $4.2MM
  • Gleyber Torres (4.162): $9.8MM
  • Clay Holmes (4.031): $2.9MM
  • Jonathan Loaisiga (4.022): $2.1MM
  • Domingo German (4.017): $2.6MM
  • Lucas Luetge (4.015): $1.7MM
  • Kyle Higashioka (4.005): $1.7MM
  • Tim Locastro (3.122): $1.2MM
  • Nestor Cortes (3.094): $3.5MM
  • Jose Trevino (3.063): $2MM
  • Michael King (3.004): $1.2MM
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Arbitration Projection Model MLBTR Originals Newsstand

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Phillies Sign Manager Rob Thomson To Two-Year Extension

By Steve Adams | October 10, 2022 at 11:32am CDT

Rob Thomson is “interim” Phillies manager no more. The Phillies announced today that Thomson has been signed to a two-year extension covering the 2023-24 seasons, shedding his “interim” label and installing him as the team’s official manager.

Thomson, 59, opened the season as the bench coach to then-manager Joe Girardi but was promoted when the Phils fired Girardi on the heels of an ugly 22-29 start to their season. That early June dismissal came as owner John Middleton sought to shake up the clubhouse and breathe new life into that had spent more than half a billion dollars in free agents over the past several seasons. Despite having inked the likes of Bryce Harper, Zack Wheeler, J.T. Realmuto, Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber, however, the Phils looked to be on their way to an 11th consecutive postseason miss when Girardi was ousted.

The key phrase there is “looked to be on their way,” because in short order under Thomson, the Phillies not only found their stride and played back into contention — they posted one of MLB’s best records from June on, fought into the National League Wild Card round, and quickly ousted the NL Central-champion Cardinals in a two-game sweep on the road.

The Phillies went 65-46 under Thomson from the day he took the reins, and the pair of postseason wins — one a dramatic, ninth-inning comeback against a quality Cardinals bullpen — only furthered Thomson’s cause. Now after more than three decades of working in various front office and coaching capacities, Thomson will land his first long-term managerial post. He’s previously coached in the minors with the Tigers, held high-ranking player development positions in the Yankees organization, and accumulated more than two decades as a first base coach, third base coach and bench coach between the big leagues and the minors.

Even with the interim skippers being elevated both in Philadelphia and in Anaheim, there are five current managerial positions that are either vacant or occupied by an interim skipper throughout the league. The Rangers, Royals, White Sox, Blue Jays and Marlins will all need to name new managers, and it’s possible that postseason results could yet dictate another ousting or two.

Jim Salisbury of NBC Sports Philadelphia reported the move was coming just minutes before the formal announcement (Twitter link).

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Newsstand Philadelphia Phillies Rob Thomson

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Guardians’ Nick Sandlin Will Miss Remainder Of Postseason

By Steve Adams | October 10, 2022 at 9:47am CDT

Guardians righty Nick Sandlin has been diagnosed with a strain in his upper back/shoulder and will miss the remainder of the postseason, tweets Zack Meisel of The Athletic. Cleveland will need to swap him out for the next round of postseason play. Starter Aaron Civale, who took the ball in the final regular-season game and was thus left off the Wild Card roster, will likely be added, though depending on other moves the team wishes to make, right-hander Cody Morris could be a candidate to join the fray as well. The team will have until tomorrow morning to make a formal decision on who’ll take Sandlin’s roster spot.

The loss of Sandlin is a notable one for Cleveland, even if the 25-year-old —  like much of the Guardians’ roster — is far from a household name. The 2018 second-rounder made his big league debut in 2021, when he tossed 33 2/3 innings of 2.94 ERA ball, and has had similar success in 2022.

While this year’s 22.8% strikeout rate and 13.3% walk rate were steps back from 2021 levels (34% and 12.1%, respectively), Sandlin also saw his ground-ball rate spike from 41.7% to a whopping 55.9%. He tossed 44 innings of 2.25 ERA ball out of the Cleveland ’pen, including a sparkling 1.11 ERA and 26-to-6 K/BB ratio over his final 24 1/3 frames.

The Guardians haven’t formally announced the injury, a treatment plan or a potential timeline, but they’ll likely provide more details in the days to come. For now, what’s immediately clear is that their powerhouse bullpen will take at least a slight hit in their American League Division Series date with the Yankees. The bullpen — and the pitching staff in general — will still remain an unquestioned strength, however. Even with Sandlin sidelined, Cleveland can turn to righties Emmanuel Clase, James Karinchak, Trevor Stephan and lefty Sam Hentges in leverage spots — all four of whom had ERAs of 2.69 or better and strikeout rates of 28.4% or higher.

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Cleveland Guardians Nick Sandlin

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Aroldis Chapman To Be Left Off Yankees’ ALDS Roster After Skipping Team Workout

By Maury Ahram and Darragh McDonald | October 9, 2022 at 10:59pm CDT

Yankees lefty Aroldis Chapman will be left off the club’s ALDS roster after skipping a team workout on Friday. Manager Aaron Boone told reporters this morning, saying that the veteran lefty was scheduled to throw live batting practice on Friday but missed it with “not an acceptable excuse,” per Lindsey Adler and Chris Kirschner of The Athletic.

General manager Brian Cashman also spoke with the media, with Bryan Hoch of MLB.com relaying about two minutes of video on Twitter. Cashman said that the official roster decisions have not been made yet but that Chapman has taken himself out of consideration, explaining that the southpaw flew to Miami for the club’s off-day between Wednesday’s regular season finale and a scheduled workout on Friday. However, he didn’t return for that workout and has now been fined by the team, in addition to being told not to return for the time being.

Chapman certainly wasn’t guaranteed a spot on the roster based on his performance this season and Cashman indeed said that an element of the workout was for the lefty to throw a live bullpen as part of competing for a spot. However, he’s now made it a moot point with his truancy. Since Chapman is an impending free agent, this news creates the possibility that Chapman has thrown his final pitch as a Yankee.

After pitching to a then-career-high 3.36 ERA in 55 1/3 innings in 2021, Chapman hoped to reestablish himself as a premier closer before entering free agency in his age-35 season. Instead, today’s debacle is the latest development in Chapman’s saga-filled 2022 season.

In the final year of a three-year, $48MM extension signed after the 2019 season, Chapman has begun to show his age. The long-time closer lost his role at the back of the bullpen to Clay Holmes after a month into the season, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in May before left Achillies tendinitis forced a trip to the 15-day IL for the entirety of June.

Upon his return in July, Chapman continued to underperform, allowing 10 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings before landing on the 15-day IL again, this time due to a leg infection stemming from a tattoo. Chapman returned in mid-September and showed signs of improving, giving up only 2 runs over his final 5 2/3 innings. Collectively, Chapman finished the 2022 regular season with a 4.46 ERA in 36 1/3 innings.

Whether or not Chapman returns to the club for a later postseason round, it’s fair to wonder how much interest he will have in free agency this winter. Though he was once one of the most dominant relief pitchers in the game, he’s coming off a poor season and has compounded those concerns with off-field problems. In addition to this year’s issues, Chapman was also given a 30-game suspension in 2016 for domestic violence.

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Yankees ALDS Notes: Rotation, Peralta, Holmes, Carpenter

By Jacob Smith | October 9, 2022 at 10:50pm CDT

In the wake of the news that Aroldis Chapman will not be named to the Yankees’ ALDS roster for skipping a mandatory team workout, notes about other Yankees have helped clarify how the Bronx Bombers will prepare to take on the Guardians:

  • Gerrit Cole will be getting the start in Game 1 of the ALDS in New York on Tuesday night, manager Aaron Boone announced. Cole will be followed by Nestor Cortes and Luis Severino in games 2 and 3, respectively. Boone stated that he considered different alignments for his starting rotation, but ultimately decided on Cole for the opener. Boone added that the Yankees are likely to opt for a three man rotation of Cole, Cortes, and Severino for the ALDS, considering the series’s unique schedule, which features an off day between the first and second games. The extra off day will allow Cole to pitch Game 4 on full rest.
  • Clay Holmes is going to face hitters on Monday, in what he hopes will be a final tune up for the ALDS, reports Meredith Marakovits of YES (via Twitter). Holmes has battled a strain in his right shoulder since the end of September and was last used on September 26. Holmes said that his most recent bullpen felt “free and easy” and that his velocity was good. It remains to be seen whether or not Holmes will be used as a closer in the ALDS, given his second half struggles. Holmes accumulated a 4.84 ERA during the second half, a far cry from his dominant first half, during which he logged a 1.31 ERA.
  • Wandy Peralta will be ready and back in the Yankees bullpen for the ALDS, Marakovits reports (via Twitter). Peralta hit the 15-day IL retroactive to September 19 with thoracic spine tightness. Peralta, a left hander, has been one of New York’s most effective relievers, posting a 2.72 ERA in 56 1/3 innings. Peralta projects to be particularly important if the Yankees are to quiet the bats of Guardians lefties, like Andres Giminez and Steven Kwan. He has held lefties to an OPS of .422 in 2022. With Chapman off the roster, Peralta and Lucas Luetge figure to be the Yankees only left-handed options out of the bullpen.
  • Matt Carpenter expects to be ready to play in the ALDS, reports Bryan Hoch of MLB.com (via Twitter). Carpenter has been hitting, running bases, and took some grounders at first base on Sunday. After a sensational 47-game summer stretch in which Carpenter slugged 15 home runs and hit .305, the veteran infielder suffered a broken left foot on a foul ball. If Carpenter plays as a designated hitter against the Guardians, it is possible that Giancarlo Stanton will spend some time in the outfield, where he has not played since July 21.
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