Dodgers Acquire Matt Kemp For Adrian Gonzalez, Kazmir, McCarthy, Culberson
In a stunning swap of big contracts, the Dodgers have traded first baseman Adrian Gonzalez, left-hander Scott Kazmir, right-hander Brandon McCarthy and infielder Charlie Culberson to the Braves in exchange for outfielder Matt Kemp. The Braves will also receive $4.5MM in cash. Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic was the first to report news of the trade. Furthermore, Mark Bowman of MLB.com adds that the Braves have already designated Gonzalez for assignment. A source close to Rosenthal tells him that the Dodgers are likely to trade or release Kemp (Twitter link).
There’s a ton to unpack here, but the biggest motivator of the trade appears to be money, and more specifically luxury tax implications for the Dodgers. Rosenthal notes in another tweet that the trade is “effectively cash-neutral overall,” but adds that the swap will put the Dodgers below the $197MM luxury tax threshold for the 2018 season. That will allow the Dodgers to reset the escalating luxury tax penalties, which seems to have been a significant objective for the club this offseason. The money owed to Kemp is spread out across the 2018-2019 seasons, while Gonzalez, Kazmir and McCarthy all have just one year remaining on their contracts.
Rosenthal offers further clarification yet, as he points out that the Dodgers have paid the luxury tax for five consecutive seasons. Their penalty for 2017 was over $30MM, but if they keep their payroll below $197MM, their penalty will drop from 50% on the overage to 20% the next time they exceed the luxury tax threshold.
Joel Sherman reports in his own tweet that the Braves are planning to release Gonzalez, but can’t do so until Monday since MLB teams can’t release players on weekends during the offseason. Gonzalez actually had to waive his no-trade clause in order to make this trade possible, and Bob Nightengale of USA Today Sports reports that he did so mainly because the Dodgers told him he’d be buried on the bench and receive limited at-bats.
[RELATED: Updated Dodgers Depth Chart; Updated Braves Depth Chart]
As for the Braves, the $4.5MM they’ll get in the deal will even out the overall dollars swapped in the trade (hat tip to Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports). GM Alex Anthopoulos says that McCarthy satisfies the team’s “desire to add a veteran starter,” while Culberson fills their need for a bench player (via Mark Bowman of MLB.com). Kazmir has some upside as a rotation piece too.
Not insignificant is the fact that the Dodgers have opened up multiple spots on their 40-man roster, including one that was already earmarked for Tom Koehler, with whom the Dodgers have recently agreed to a one-year deal.
Kemp, 33, was a sixth-round selection of the Dodgers back in 2003. He made his major league debut in 2007, and went on to have some great seasons for Los Angeles, including a 2011 campaign in which he finished as the runner-up in the MVP voting. Later that year, the club signed the outfielder to an eight-year, $160MM extension. Not long after that, his performance began to decline; Kemp has only topped 1 WAR once in the past four seasons as his contract has been tossed between the Padres, Braves and Dodgers. For the 2017 season, Kemp hit .276/.318/.463, making him a roughly average major league hitter (100 wRC+). However, his poor defense in the outfield dropped his overall value to -0.5 fWAR.
Gonzalez, now 35 years of age, went to the Marlins with the number one overall pick in the 2000 draft. His breakout season came with the Padres in 2006; that year began a streak of ten consecutive seasons wherein the left-handed-hitting first baseman posted at least 2.9 fWAR. Across those years, he posted a .292/.366/.501 slash line and mashed 283 homers. This past season, however, Gonzalez battled injuries throughout the year and didn’t hit well when healthy; he amassed only 252 plate appearances across 71 games with the Dodgers and managed a career-worst .355 slugging percentage. All told, Gonzalez was valued at 1.1 wins below replacement level.
Kazmir’s story is a roller coaster of sorts; he was a great pitcher during his early years with the then-Devil Rays, including a 2007 season in which he posted a 3.48 ERA with 239 strikeouts across 206 2/3 innings. However, Kazmir began to struggle with injuries and ineffectiveness in 2009, and though he experienced a resurgence in July that prompted a trade to the Angels, his ERA during the 2009 postseason was an ugly 7.59. Those struggles continued into the 2010 season, and by 2011 Kazmir was pitching for the Angels’ Triple-A affiliate and was cut before June was over. After spending 2012 out of MLB entirely, the Indians took a chance on him in 2013, and he rewarded them with a 4.04 ERA (and 3.51 FIP) campaign that earned him the Comeback Player of the Year Award. He signed a two-year deal with the Athletics the following offseason, and seemed to be “back.” The Dodgers signed Kazmir to a three-year, $48MM deal, but the injury bug struck once again, marring his 2016 performance and keeping him off the field entirely in 2017.
The 34-year-old McCarthy has a career 4.15 ERA across 1,145 big league innings with the White Sox, Rangers, Athletics, Diamondbacks, Yankees and Dodgers. He’s generally provided value while on the field, but has only topped 140 innings twice in his twelve-year career. Part of that can be attributed to injuries, including a 2015 Tommy John surgery when he famously noted on Twitter that “31 years is a lot to ask for from a ligament.” During the past two seasons, he’s put up a 4.27 ERA while striking out 116 batters in 132 2/3 innings.
Based on his age and team control, the soon-to-be 29-year-old Culberson is the one player in this deal who looks capable of being a long-term piece. The Georgia native won’t even be eligible for arbitration until next winter, meaning the Braves could control him for the next four seasons. The righty-hitting Culberson hasn’t found much big league success since debuting in 2012, though, having hit just .229/.269/.321 in 443 PAs with three NL West clubs – the Giants, Rockies and Dodgers. Culberson racked up a mere 83 trips to the plate in two seasons with the Dodgers, but he did swat a couple dramatic homers during his LA tenure.
Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Cardinals Sign Luke Gregerson
Dec. 16: Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports tweets a breakdown of Gregerson’s contract. The reliever is guaranteed $5MM in both 2018 and 2019, with a vesting option for 2020 that requires him to appear in either 60 games in 2019 or 130 games total in 2018 and 2019 combined. It also appears as though he must be healthy for the option to vest on the latter condition. Gregerson can earn up to $1MM in incentives.
Dec. 13: The deal is now official, Jenifer Langosch of MLB.com tweets.
Dec 10: The Cardinals and free agent reliever Luke Gregerson have agreed to a two-year, $11MM contract with an option, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports (via Twitter). It’ll be a $5MM club option or a $6MM vesting option (with a $1MM buyout), Bob Nightengale of USA Today tweets. The option will vest at 60 games in 2019 or 130 games from 2018-19, Nightengale adds. He’ll make $5MM in both guaranteed years of the pact, per Ken Davidoff of the New York Post (Twitter link).

The deal is pending a physical, which Gregerson will take Tuesday, according to Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch (Twitter link). Gregerson is an O’Connell Sports Management client.
This will be the second stint with the St. Louis organization for the right-handed Gregerson, whom the Cardinals selected in the 28th round of the 2006 draft. Gregerson never got past the Double-A level during his first go-around with the franchise, though, as the Redbirds traded him to the Padres in 2009 in a deal involving shortstop Khalil Greene.
Gregerson made his major league debut the same year of the trade and quickly became a highly effective member of the Padres’ bullpen. He stuck with the Friars through 2013 before pitching for the Athletics (2014) and Astros (2015-17). Although the 33-year-old Gregerson has never been a hard thrower, he has nonetheless registered excellent numbers across 599 innings, with a 3.02 ERA, 9.12 K/9, 2.55 BB/9 and a 50.9 percent groundball rate. Gregerson has been quite durable along the way, having never pitched fewer than 55 2/3 frames in any season, and he brings experience as a setup man and a closer.
Although Gregerson is coming off a season in which he recorded a career-worst 4.57 ERA as a member of the title-winning Astros, his year wasn’t devoid of positives. With 61 innings, he eclipsed the 60-frame mark for the sixth time. Gregerson also continued to put up appealing strikeout, walk and groundball numbers (10.33, 2.95 and 50.0 in those respective categories), and he notched the third-highest swinging-strike rate of his career (15.6 percent).
If the career-worst home run-to-fly ball rate (23.6 percent) Gregerson logged in 2017 proves to be an aberration, he should be a quality piece for a Cards bullpen in need of aid. With Trevor Rosenthal, Seung Hwan Oh, Juan Nicasio and Zach Duke currently on the open market, St. Louis has been on the lookout for relief help since last season concluded. Gregerson may be the first of multiple pickups this offseason for the club’s bullpen, and he’s clearly the most established member of a group that includes a few solid holdovers in Brett Cecil, Tyler Lyons, Matthew Bowman, Sam Tuivailala and John Brebbia.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Rockies Sign Bryan Shaw
Dec. 16: Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports breaks down Shaw’s contract in a tweet, noting that the right-hander will earn $7.5MM in 2018, $8.5MM in 2019, and $9MM in 2020. The contract comes with a $9MM vesting option for 2021, which will vest if Shaw either makes 60 appearances or finishes 40 games in 2020. Alternatively, the option vests if he makes 110 appearances combined from 2019-2020. If Shaw doesn’t hit those marks, however, the option has a $2MM buyout. The deal also offers the righty $4MM in incentives.
Dec. 15: The Rockies have formally announced the signing of Shaw to a three-year deal.
Dec. 13: Shaw is expected to command a $27MM guarantee over three years, Heyman tweets.
Dec. 12: The Rockies have agreed to a deal with free agent righty Bryan Shaw, Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports reports (Twitter link). Joel Sherman of the New York Post reported earlier tonight (Twitter links) that talks between the two sides are “advanced” and “nearly done.” The deal is a three-year contract that will pay Shaw in the area of $9MM per season, according to ESPN.com’s Buster Olney, who also tweeted earlier today that teams believed Shaw and fellow right-hander Tommy Hunter already had agreements in place. Shaw is a client of Rowley Sports Management.
Shaw has posted strong numbers during his seven seasons with the D’Backs and Indians, with a career 3.13 ERA, 2.64 K/BB rate and 8.0 K/9 over 446 1/3 relief innings. The durable righty has never spent any time on the disabled list and leads all pitchers with 442 appearances between 2013-17. He owns a 50.6% career ground ball rate, which will serve him well at Coors Field, though Shaw has also been known to have been hurt by the home run ball. His 0.6 HR/9 in 2017 was his lowest such number in the last four seasons, however.
Shaw has 11 saves in his career but has never really worked as a closer, rather primarily serving as Cody Allen‘s setup man in Cleveland. It would seem as if the Rockies may also intend to use Shaw in a setup role, as the team has been connected to such established closers as Wade Davis and former Rockie Greg Holland on the rumor mill. Bullpen reinforcement was a stated goal for Colorado this winter, with Holland, Pat Neshek (who has signed with the Phillies), and Jake McGee all hitting the free agent market.
Several teams had interest in Shaw this winter, and he was weighing multiple three-year offers, including one from the Mets. Newsday’s Marc Carig recently speculated that Shaw could have waiting to see if he landed a deal from a team (like the Rockies) that holds its Spring Training in Arizona, where Shaw and his family have a home.
MLB Trade Rumors ranked Shaw 25th on our list of the winter’s Top 50 Free Agents, predicting him for a three-year deal worth $21MM. Landing a deal with a rough average annual value of $9MM is a nice get for Shaw’s representatives, and another sign of how heavily teams are valuing relief pitching this winter. Neshek’s two-year deal with the Phillies guarantees him $16.25MM, while Brandon Morrow found two years and $21MM from the Cubs and Luke Gregerson two years and $11MM from the Cardinals.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Cubs Sign Steve Cishek
Dec. 16: The Cubs have announced the signing. Mark Gonzales of the Chicago Tribune reports that the two-year deal is worth $13MM. Chris Cotillo of MLB Daily Dish adds that the deal includes up to $1MM in performance escalators based on appearances.
Dec. 14: The Cubs have agreed to terms with righty Steve Cishek, according to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic (via Twitter). Once he passes a physical, the Jet Sports Management client is expected to receive a two-year deal worth somewhere in the range of $12MM to $14MM, per ESPN.com’s Jerry Crasnick (via Twitter).
Cishek, 31, has had a few ups and downs at times in recent years and has played with four organizations in the past three seasons. For the most part, though, he has continued to function as a quality setup option.
In the 2017 campaign, Cishek opened with the Mariners and ended up moving to the Rays via mid-season trade. With an excellent push down the stretch in Tampa Bay, he ended the season with 44 2/3 innings of 2.01 ERA ball and 8.3 K/9 with 2.8 BB/9. As usual, Cishek was tough to square up; he permitted just 26 base hits and three total home runs on the season.
Those results came despite a notable velocity drop from Cishek, who delivered his two-seam fastball at less than 91 mph for the first time in his career. His slider came in eight ticks slower than it did in his debut season, continuing a trend, though it also gained horizontal movement.
The sidearming Cishek will offer a different look out of a re-worked Cubs pen. He joins Brandon Morrow as multi-year free agent additions for Chicago thus far. It still seems likely the organization will look for additional pieces over the coming weeks.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Twins Sign Fernando Rodney
Dec. 16: Bob Nightengale of USA Today tweets some updated details on Rodney’s contract, noting that his $4.5MM guarantee comes in the form of a $4.25MM 2018 salary and a $250K buyout on a 2019 club option. Rodney will also earn an additional $1.5MM if he finishes 55 games in the upcoming season, or $1MM if he makes 65 appearances. In a subsequent tweet, Nightengale further specifies that the reliever will make $300K per five games finished, starting with his 35th game and ending at 55 games.
Dec. 15: The Twins have announced the signing. Rodney told reporters in a conference call that he was indeed told that he’d have the opportunity to step into the Twins’ ninth-inning vacancy (Twitter link via MLB.com’s Rhett Bollinger).
Dec. 14, 10:35am: Mish now corrects his report (via Twitter): Rodney is only promised $4.5MM and can earn another $1.5MM via incentives, it turns out. There’s also an option for the 2019 season, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com tweets.
10:28am: The Twins have struck a deal with free agent righty Fernando Rodney, according to Craig Mish of MLB Network Radio (Twitter links). He’ll receive a $4.5MM guarantee on a one-year term upon passing a physical, becoming the latest in a long line of relievers to secure significant annual salaries in an otherwise sluggish free agent market.
Rodney is nearing his 41st birthday but still brings a power arsenal to the table and drew interest from multiple organizations. And he has ample experience in the late innings, making it seem likely that he’ll step into the Twins’ open closer role.
While the veteran hurler managed only a 4.23 ERA on the season in 2017, he did save 39 games for the Diamondbacks. The runs tended to come in bursts, too, as Rodney gave up three or more on five separate occasions but did not allow an opponent to cross the plate in fifty of his 61 appearances.
Those clean frames don’t often come without baserunners, of course, as Rodney has a long-established penchant for doling out quite a few free passes. He averaged 4.2 per nine in two of the past three seasons and 5.1 per nine in 2016.
That often makes for an adventure — as it’s familiarly known, The Fernando Rodney Experience — but there are reasons that Rodney is still often effective. He continues to generate strong groundball numbers (52.2% in 2017), doesn’t allow many long balls (0.67 per nine for his career), and still generates a healthy number of swings and misses (12.2% in 2017) with an arsenal predicated on mid-nineties heat and a devastating change.
[Related: Updated Minnesota Twins depth chart]
For the time being, Rodney projects to join impressive sophomore Trevor Hildenberger, Ryan Pressly and Tyler Duffey as right-handed options at the back of the Minnesota bullpen, with Taylor Rogers serving as the primary left-handed setup option. Of course, there’s still plenty of room for the Twins to supplement that relief corps both in free agency and on the trade market.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Pitching Notes: Cardinals, Chavez, Stammen, Rodney
John Mozeliak (President of Baseball Operations for the Cardinals) expressed that he’s content with his club’s rotation, via Ben Frederickson of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Carlos Martinez, Michael Wacha, Luke Weaver, and the recently-signed Miles Mikolas are likely to occupy the first four spots in the rotation. Mozeliak says that a lot depends on how Adam Wainwright looks; however, John Gant and Tyler Lyons could also be in the mix. Mozeliak feels as though the Cards are “fine,” which would seem to make it less likely that St. Louis will be in the mix for big names such as Yu Darvish or Jake Arrieta.
More pitching notes from around the league…
- Free agent Jesse Chavez has offers from five different MLB clubs to fill a starter/long reliever role, Jerry Crasnick of ESPN reports, adding that the right-hander is expected to make a decision this weekend. Chavez pitched 138 innings for the Angels in 2017, and although his 5.35 ERA seems somewhat uninspiring, his 4.43 xFIP suggests he might have pitched a bit better than the surface results indicate. He also walked fewer than three batters per nine innings for the third season in a row. In addition to the Angels, Chavez has pitched for the Dodgers, Blue Jays, Athletics, Royals and Pirates over the course of his ten-year big league career.
- The Reds have recently spoken with right-hander Craig Stammen, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports. Sheldon notes that Stammen is a product of the University of Dayton, which is within an hour of Cincinnati. The 33-year-old reliever tossed 80 1/3 innings across 60 appearances for the Friars in 2017, posting a 3.14 ERA. Stammen began his big league career as a starter for the Nationals, but has pitched exclusively out of the bullpen since 2011.
- Before choosing to sign with the Twins, Fernando Rodney had offers from three other big league clubs. The Rangers, Mets and Tigers all tried to sign the right-hander, according to a tweet from Mike Berardino of the Pioneer Press. Rodney will reportedly have a chance to hold down the closer role in Minnesota this season; he can earn up to $6MM if he meets incentives in his contract, which includes a club option for the 2019 season.
Matt Albers Expected To Sign Next Week
9:42am: Albers does not currently have an agreement in place with an MLB club, Chris Cotillo of MLB Daily Dish reports (Twitter link). Rather, it’s simply expected that he will sign a two-year deal with someone within the next week. Darren Wolfson of KSTP adds in a tweet of his own that the Twins have not reached out to Albers.
8:17am: Free agent reliever Matt Albers is expected to sign next week, tweets ESPN’s Jerry Crasnick. He’s expected to receive a two-year deal.
Albers has a wide variety of suitors given his recent performance with the Nationals. As Crasnick notes (and as MLBTR mentioned here), Albers had a 1.62 ERA in Washington this past season. While his .203 BABIP might seem to suggest that luck had something to do with it, it’s worth noting that the righty had the fourth-highest soft contact rate (30.9%) among MLB relievers with at least 50 innings pitched; those batted balls obviously go for outs a high percentage of the time. His 22.2% hard contact rate was also the third-best among bullpen arms, which paints a picture of a rare and valuable skill set. Albers posted some attractive peripheral stats too, including a 27% strikeout rate that was more than double his 2016 figure with the White Sox. He also managed a respectable 51% ground ball rate; success in that area long been his signature success as a major-leaguer.
Any team would likely benefit from adding Albers to their bullpen. A two-year contract, however, would mean that some team is placing a lot of faith in a player who has been inconsistent throughout the course of his career. Prior to 2017 Albers had a career 4.34 ERA to go with a 6.23 ERA K/9 and 3.80 BB/9. Perhaps some teams have found a reason to believe that his newfound success is sustainable over the long term.
The Astros originally selected Albers in the 23rd round of the 2001 draft. He made his major league debut with Houston in 2007, and pitched for the Orioles, Indians, Red Sox, Diamondbacks and White Sox before finding his way to the Nationals on a minor league deal this past March.
Top 60 Remaining Offseason Trade Candidates
With Giancarlo Stanton joining the Yankees, the offseason’s most prominent trade piece is officially off the board. Other significant players have swapped jerseys recently, including former Stanton teammates Dee Gordon and Marcell Ozuna as well as veteran second baseman Ian Kinsler, among others.
That said, there are still quite a few significant players left that seem to be plausible or even likely trade pieces. Unlike our trade deadline version of this post, we’re not going to attempt a ranking — though, generally, I’ve attempted to list players in order of my subjective assessment of their trade likelihood and value. The primary focus here is to give a sense of the most notable names that appear to be in play at this stage.
Starting Pitchers
- Chris Archer, Rays: His favorable contract, compelling peripherals, and youth make Archer the top arm on the market — if he’s truly made available.
- Michael Fulmer, Tigers: Detroit is said to be listening, and several organizations are circling, but the question remains whether the club will truly be willing to let a top-end, controllable starter go for anything shy of an astronomical price.
- Danny Duffy, Royals: While a recent DUI and elbow surgery introduce some questions, Duffy is still just shy of 29 years of age and has shown enough the past two years to make his contract ($60MM remaining over four years) a notable bargain.
- Gerrit Cole, Pirates: While not in top form in 2017, he did throw 200 frames and teams still see a front-line arsenal and history of success. There are some hints that the Bucs are ready to make a deal, but it’s not clear yet whether that’ll come to pass.
- Jake Odorizzi, Rays: Much like Drew Smyly last year, Odorizzi is coming off of a season where he wasn’t at his best and is owed a decent sum (a projected $6.5MM arb tab) with an extra year of control to go. It seems reasonably likely that he’ll be moved and that there will be strong interest.
- Zack Greinke & Patrick Corbin, Diamondbacks: Arizona needs to free up payroll space if it is to make other moves, and both of these hurlers have come up in recent days. Greinke’s huge remaining commitment is a major barrier to any deal; Corbin, meanwhile, should have solid value as a one-year rental but also wouldn’t free up nearly as much cash.
- Dan Straily, Marlins: While he continued to pile up solid innings, Straily also doesn’t seem to be the type of pitcher that teams will go wild to acquire. For the budget-conscious Fish, holding him will have appeal.
- Danny Salazar, Indians: Many other organizations would love to take a chance on this talented hurler, though it’s fair to wonder whether Cleveland would rather just keep the upside in-house.
- Ian Kennedy & Jason Hammel, Royals: The contracts still outstanding to these two hurlers are both under water, but if Kansas City decides to hit “go” on a rebuild, some of the obligations could be moved elsewhere.
- Julio Teheran, Braves: Coming off of a down year, it seems less than likely that Teheran will be moved, and we haven’t heard any suggestion that’ll come to pass. Then again, has anyone asked new GM Alex Anthopoulos whether there’s a body part he’d stake on keeping Teheran?
- Matt Harvey, SP, Mets: The idea that the Mets might look to move Harvey was a short-lived Winter Meetings side story, but it’s conceivable it could occur. But Harvey’s value is at an all-time low.
Relievers
- Brad Hand, LH Reliever, Padres: Anyone hear any juicy Brad Hand rumors? Yeah, me neither. But we haven’t seen action at the very top of the relief market yet, and Hand is now established as an elite pen arm, so I suspect we haven’t heard the last of him for the offseason.
- Alex Colome, RH Reliever, Rays: The Tampa Bay closer has received the most attention on the trade market, but a deal hasn’t yet been completed. That could reflect the fact that the Rays are still a bit uncertain in their direction, or it may indicate that some teams with interest still want to explore other options.
- Kelvin Herrera, RH Reliever, Royals: It’s always hard to give up your favorites, but the Royals parted with Wade Davis last year and have much greater cause to move Herrera now — though his value is down after a less-than-excellent 2017.
- Zach Britton, LH Reliever & Brad Brach, RH Reliever, Orioles: Attention has shifted to another, even more important possible trade candidate. But the O’s still have two really good relief assets to market.
- Raisel Iglesias, RH Reliever, Reds: There’s no indication that Iglesias is going to be available for anything approaching his market value, but you never know if a team will end up offering up something the Reds can’t turn down.
- Brad Ziegler, RH Reliever, Marlins: The wily veteran is probably slated to earn a bit more than he’d receive on the open market after a down season, but he’s still an appealing roster target so Miami can anticipate finding some payroll savings here.
- Joakim Soria, RH Reliever, Royals: Speaking of trimming payroll, finding a taker for some of Soria’s remaining $10MM guarantee (that includes a 2019 buyout) is surely near the top of the Royals’ to-do list.
- Shane Greene & Alex Wilson, RH Relievers, Tigers: The rebuilding Detroit organization is willing to consider anything, but also won’t just give way affordable players such as these.
- Kyle Barraclough, RH Reliever, Marlins: That reasoning likely holds for the Marlins, too; they could hand over closing duties to the powerful but volatile Barraclough.
- Arodys Vizcaino, RH Reliever, Braves: With two years of control remaining, Vizcaino is coming off of a promising 2017 campaign. But if the organization wants to compete — or, at least, project an intention to do so — then it’d be tough to deal away such a prominent part of the bullpen.
- Darren O’Day, RH Reliever, Orioles: Sure, he’s 35 and hasn’t been as spectacular in the pat two seasons as he was in the four prior. But given the way the market has treated relievers this winter, two years at a $18MM commitment isn’t an unapproachable price tag for a high-quality relief arm.
- Junichi Tazawa, RH Reliever, Marlins: The Fish gave Tazawa a $12MM guarantee in hopes his results would catch up to his K/BB rates, but the opposite occurred in 2017. Miami will need to eat most of the $7MM remaining to make a deal.
- Dellin Betances, RH Reliever, Yankees: It seems clear that the Bronx Bombers have set their sights on some top-end pitching after finagling the acquisition of Stanton. The rights to the high-powered Betances, who struggled with command down the stretch, could help fill other needs and open some added payroll space.
Outfielders
- Christian Yelich, OF, Marlins: With his two outfield mates already gone, Yelich is now in the spotlight. While Miami is sending out signs that it may not deal the controllable, high-quality performer, that feels mostly like posturing.
- Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pirates: With some hints the Bucs may feel that 2018 just isn’t their year, perhaps we ought to expect a move involving McCutchen. His $14.75MM salary is a good price for a quality player, though it’s nothing like the bargain rate for an MVP the club no doubt expected it would be when the contract was signed.
- Billy Hamilton, OF, Reds: There has been plenty of smoke coming from Hamilton — not just from him tearing around the bases, but from the trade signal fires being sent up around the game. It seems the Reds have gone fairly far down the line on moving the speed-and-defense specialist, though there seem to be scenarios where he stays, too.
- Randal Grichuk, OF, Cardinals: With a 40-man roster loaded up with righty outfield bats, it seems that additional players will likely need to follow Stephen Piscotty out the door. Since the Cards now have settled their primary outfield mix, with eyes on some other improvements, Grichuk feels likeliest of the remaining players to be shipped out.
- Avisail Garcia, OF, White Sox: There has been some word of interest, but more of the exploratory variety. Odds are the ChiSox will hang onto Garcia and see whether he can sustain his 2017 outbreak before deciding upon next steps. It’s also possible the team could make a run at extending him this spring.
- Domingo Santana & Keon Broxton, OF, Brewers: After a highly promising 2017 season for both player and team, you might expect that Santana would not be on the market. And perhaps, realistically, he isn’t. But the Milwaukee organization is blessed with an impressive slate of outfield talent, and it makes sense to consider moving even Santana if it could mean a drastic improvement in the rotation. The likelier outcome, perhaps, is a deal involving Broxton, who is looking over his shoulder at a group of talented center field options.
- Adam Duvall, OF, Reds: There’s been some chatter here, but nothing yet that would suggest the Reds are preparing to deal away a player that has hit the ball out of the park thirty times in each of the past two seasons — but also has a sub-.300 MLB on-base percentage.
- Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, Yankees: A no-trade clause and large contract make Ellsbury a difficult piece to move, but he doesn’t seem to fit very well on a roster that includes Aaron Hicks and Brett Gardner along with corner sluggers Stanton and Aaron Judge. The Yanks would love to move some salary, but doing so will be tough — unless, perhaps, they are willing to hold onto the bulk of the remaining commitment and find a contending team that Ellsbury wouldn’t mind playing for.
- Shin-Soo Choo, OF/DH, Rangers: As the Rangers look for ways to improve their rotation, taking on a big contract while moving some of the dollars owed to Choo seems to have emerged as something of a possibility. It’ll be a tall order to get rid of much of the $62MM Choo still has coming his way, though, after he again hovered around league average at the plate in 2017.
- Yasmany Tomas, OF, Diamondbacks: Likewise, the D-Backs would surely love to get some of these dollars off of their books. But Tomas struggled early before losing the rest of his season to injury, so it seems unlikely that a trade will come to pass.
- Jackie Bradley Jr., OF, Red Sox: There are conflicting signs here, but it seems there’s at least some plausibility to the idea that Boston could move Bradley if it finds cause to put a big slugger in the outfield. On talent, he’d be much higher up this list, as Bradley has a significant defensive and baserunning floor along with a history of some high-quality output at the plate. But the odds still seem to weigh against a deal at this stage.
- Kyle Schwarber, OF/?, Cubs: On the one hand, it just makes good sense for Schwarber to be playing in the American League. On the other, the Cubs front office may not be able to part with him — at least, not for what the market would likely bear at this point. While everyone knows the upside, Schwarber wasn’t good in 2017 and the market is flooded with defensively limited power bats.
Infielders
- Manny Machado, 3B, Orioles: While reporting now suggests the O’s are likely to deal their best player, this is one we’ll need to see to believe. The key difficulty here is that Baltimore still wants to compete in 2018 while also improving in the future. Threading the needle on a trade wont be easy.
- Jose Abreu, 1B, White Sox: On paper, Abreu is a pretty likely trade piece. But indications are the South Siders have a high asking price. And the rebuiding team’s present strategy is a bit difficult to discern at the moment given its reported interest in renting Machado.
- Yasmani Grandal, C, Dodgers: There have been some suggestions that Grandal can be had, as he has seemingly been bypassed as the number one option by Austin Barnes. But the Dodgers don’t need to deal him and talks seemingly haven’t really heated up.
- Evan Longoria, 3B, Rays: The veteran had a tepid season at the plate and is still owed a big chunk of change, but he has been durable and mostly productive for quite some time now, so there will be interest. The seriousness of the Rays’ dabbling in trade considerations remains unclear.
- Cesar Hernandez, 2B, Phillies: The departure of Freddy Galvis leaves Hernandez with more breathing room. It’s still possible he’s shipped out if the right opportunity arises, but the Phils will surely also be mindful of rushing to part with a valuable and controllable player when the younger options still have some learning and growing left to do.
- Jed Lowrie, 2B, Athletics: Oakland has sent conflicting signals on the veteran, but the latest word is he’s on the block again. There should be solid interest if that’s the case.
- Josh Harrison, INF, Pirates: There should be quite some interest in Harrison, a versatile player who’d add many dimensions in just one roster spot. It helps that the last two years of his contract (2019 and 20) come via option, leaving an escape clause if he can’t sustain his return to league-average offensive output.
- Jason Kipnis, 2B, Indians: Chatter on the 30-year-old has gathered some team despite the fact he’s owed $30.5MM over the next two years (including a 2020 buyout). He’s coming off of an injury-plagued, sub-standard 2017 season, but Kipnis has mostly been a quality MLB regular.
- Jose Iglesias, SS, Tigers: With Galvis being dealt to the Padres, the avenues for an Iglesias deal seem less clear. Perhaps there are still some possibilities, but it feels increasingly likely he’ll remain with Detroit to open the season.
- Starlin Castro, INF, Marlins: The just-acquired Castro is no more bolted to the deck than is any other player, though the team could hang onto the relatively marketable player while also hoping he’d be an even better chip at the trade deadline. Teammate Derek Dietrich could also be considered.
- Jurickson Profar, INF, Rangers: The Profar saga has continued to twist and turn over the offseason, as the once-forgotten man now could be back in the team’s plans. We’ll just sit back and see how this situation turns out.
- Yangervis Solarte & Chase Headley, INF, Padres: Taking on Headley’s salary was not about adding the veteran infielder. The Pads will be looking to move either or both of these players; despite a desire to begin winning before long (despite an overarching focus on the future), there’s just no real reason for both of these solid but unspectacular veterans to be on the same roster.
- Martin Prado, 3B, Marlins: It stands to reason that some organization would take on some money to get the respected Prado. But Miami will have to decide whether to take what it can get now or roll the dice that he’ll turn in a big first half in 2018.
- Nicholas Castellanos, 3B/OF, Tigers: Despite somewhat surprising extension talks, it still seems possible that Castellanos could be parted with. He has been a quality hitter in the past two seasons, but defensive question marks weigh down his trade value.
- Javier Baez (INF), Addison Russell (INF) & Ian Happ (INF/OF), Cubs: Coming into the winter, it seemed one of these three would likely be moved for pitching. Now? It’s really not clear.
- J.T. Realmuto, C, Marlins: How deep will the cuts go? There’s an argument to be made that any and all trade assets should be marketed, and Realmuto would be an excellent one. He’s an established, affordable, and controllable young regular catcher — one of baseball’s rarest birds — and it is hard to see Miami truly being competitive during his three remaining arb seasons.
- Josh Donaldson, 3B, Blue Jays: While Donaldson is in theory in a similar spot to Machado, the rumor flow has been in quite the opposite direction. It seems unlikely that Toronto will move him.
Dustin Fowler Sues White Sox Over Injury
Athletics outfielder Dustin Fowler has brought a lawsuit against the White Sox and the Illinois Sports Facilities Authority relating to the serious knee injury he suffered in June, as Tom Schuba of the Chicago Sun Times reports.
Fowler was injured when he collided with an electrical box along the right field wall at Chicago’s Guaranteed Rate Field while chasing a foul pop-up. At the time, he was playing for the Yankees in his first major league baseball game. He suffered a ruptured patella tendon that required surgery and cost him the entire remainder of the season.
Now a member of the Athletics after being included in the Sonny Gray swap at the 2017 trade deadline, Fowler is working his way back in preparation for Spring Training. The hope is that he will regain his health and former trajectory as a player, though certainly it is not yet clear whether he’ll face ongoing physical limitations.
Fowler, who’ll soon turn 23, had increasingly been seen as an intriguing young player during the course of the 2017 season. He hit 13 home runs and posted a .293/.329/.542 batting line in 313 plate appearances at Triple-A, earning his first call-up.
According to the suit, the White Sox and/or Authority failed to adequately protect players from the unpadded electrical box, leaving players exposed to the sort of harm that Fowler ultimately suffered. He is seeking damages for “severe and permanent” injuries, pain and suffering, and certain medical costs.
Mets Sign Anthony Swarzak
The Mets have announced their deal with righty Anthony Swarzak, as Marc Carig of Newsday first reported (via Twitter). It’ll be a two-year, $14MM contract for the Jet Sports Management client, according to Carig. Swarzak will take home a $1MM signing bonus and then salaries of $5MM and $8MM, per Jon Heyman of Fan Rag (via Twitter).
Swarzak, 32, will bolster the late-inning mix for the Mets, who had stated all winter long that the bullpen was a priority. He was the option chosen after New York failed to land a few other targets, Carig notes.
Of course, the veteran looks to be a nice consolation prize. After all, he turned in 77 1/3 innings of 2.33 ERA ball, with 10.6 K/9 against 2.6 BB/9, in a strong 2017 campaign.
That was a notable breakout for a reliever that had only once previously allowed less than four earned runs per nine over a full MLB campaign. The eight-year veteran owns a lifetime 4.22 ERA in 561 1/3 career frames.
While it’s easy to raise an eyebrow at the idea that Swarzak can sustain the improvement, there was more to it than sample fortune. The veteran clearly found something, as he turned in a personal-best 95.0 mph average fastball and a 14.0% swinging-strike rate that dwarfed anything he had shown previously. The velo boost was also evident in Swarzak’s slider, which was quite a different pitch than it was in most of his prior work. He was equally effective against lefties and righties in his sparkling campaign, MLB.com’s Anthony DiComo notes on Twitter.
For the Mets, the move gives new skipper Mickey Callaway one more arm to call upon when the game is on the line. Deepening the relief corps as much as the organization hopes may still require further acquisitions, though perhaps not at this contractual magnitude. Since the club was chasing some higher-priced pieces that have since signed elsewhere, it’s also possible that there could be some extra cash available for further relief moves or to address other needs.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.






