Yankees right-hander Lou Trivino will undergo Tommy John surgery tomorrow, per Jack Curry of the YES Network.
It’s an unfortunate blow to Trivino, 31, who will now be out of action for the remainder of this season and at least the first half of next year as well. Given the typical 14 to 18 month recovery timeline for TJS, he likely won’t pitch in the majors again until the second half of the 2024 campaign.
He has already spent the entirety of this season on the injured list, having been shut down due to elbow issues in March. The club recently transferred him to the 60-day injured list as he was going to get a second opinion on the elbow, which seemed to suggest a notable absence was upcoming and has now indeed come to fruition.
Trivino was drafted by the Athletics and had much success with them. From 2018 to 2021, he tossed 231 innings with a 3.70 ERA. His 10.9% walk rate was certainly on the high side but he struck out 23.9% of batters faced and got grounders at a 46.1% clip. He also earned some high leverage work in that time, racking up 26 saves and 48 holds.
2022 was a strange year for the righty, however, as he was sitting on a 6.47 ERA through the end of July but that was largely a mirage. His strikeout rate was up to 28.7%, his walks were down to 8.9% and his ground ball rate was up to 53.2%. The inflated ERA was undoubtedly influenced by a sky-high .451 batting average on balls in play and 67.3% strand rate, leading to a 3.83 FIP and 2.89 SIERA.
The Yankees believed enough in the track record and the peripherals that they acquired Trivino alongside Frankie Montas at the deadline last year in an attempt to bolster both their rotation and bullpen in one move, both for the stretch last year and going forward since neither player was a rental. Trivino pitched well last year, a 1.66 ERA after the deal, but will now be missing 2023 entirely. Montas battled shoulder issues last year and struggled when on the hill, then required surgery in the offseason that’s prevented him from appearing at all so far this year.
That’s obviously a frustrating development for the Yanks, who sent four prospects to Oakland in the deal and have reaped very little from it so far. Montas could still return this year but is a free agent at season’s end. Trivino could still be retained via arbitration in 2024 but is making $4.1MM this year and seems like a non-tender candidate since he’ll be missing at least half of the upcoming campaign.