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« Brad Penny Nowhere To Be Found | Main | Baseball Blogs Weigh In: Tigers, Teixeira, Burnett »
Here's a look at the latest column from SI.com's Jon Heyman.
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Big offseason again for the Pirates, it will be interesting to see how they handle it. I think they at least partly bothced last offseason.
There was never a confirmed rumor of what Seattle offered for Snell last year, just that a firm offer was made by Seattle. But given what Seattle gave up for Bedard, I think its pretty obvious that the Pirates would have been better off pulling the trigger on whatever was offered for Snell.
Also, it sounded like there was some interest in Morris if the Pirates were willing to eat some contract. It isn't revisionist for me to say the Pirates should have eaten 1/2 his contract if they could have dumped him on someone else (I suggested this in the offseason, which is why it isn't revisionist).
This year, they might have similar opportunities with McLouth, Doumit, and Capps. McLouth and Doumit are both arbitration eligible and coming off their best seasons. Both are in their primes, but can't reasonably be expected to improve much on their numbers from this year.
The CF market is extremely weak and McLouth is still affordable enough for any team in baseball. His CF defense is weak, but he does have some potential to slide to a corner if his bat holds up. He also has the athleticism to improve his defense, as I think its his breaks and routes that are holding him back, which are easier to improve with diligent work than raw speed. It would be really intersting to see what the Yankees would offer for him. Hughes' last outing probably means they aren't ready to give up on him. Maybe they are willing to give up on Kennedy, but his upside isn't enough to give up McLouth.
Same story with Doumit, only he has enough injury history that this really might be the best time to sell high on him.
Capps has been consistently very good since arriving in the majors and I could see a lot of teams being interested if the Pirates wanted to shop him. He isn't overpowering, so if I was the Pirates, I would be worried he might go "Chad Cordero" on me and I would at least field offers on him.
If I were the Pirates, I would quietly but aggressively shop Doumit as a catcher (even if his defense is shaky). I don't trust his defense or health to hold up as a catcher and his bat isn't nearly as special at a corner spot.
I would talk extension with McLouth in case I could get something very team friendly, but I'd also listen to offers from other teams. Can't aggressively shop him because then he probably wouldn't talk extension. Whether I traded him would depend on the offers.
I'd also aggressively shop Capps. He has no place to go but down and I think closers are a little overrated. Depends on what kind of offers the Pirates get, but they could trade him and try to sign someone like Affeldt to close.
Adam LaRoche and Jack Wilson could also be traded, but they might have more value at the trade deadline. Plus the Pirates don't have an obvious replacement for Wilson.
Posted by: mymrbig | September 26, 2008 at 03:06 PM
Not coughing up the Mighty Mouse, sorry.
Posted by: BuccoNation | September 26, 2008 at 03:07 PM
You want to shop the only 2 young guns we have? Get serious. Doumit and McClouth are the only building blocks we have my friend.
Posted by: BuccoNation | September 26, 2008 at 03:10 PM
Can't see the Yanks having serious interest in McClouth. They expect big things from Gardner and already have a logjam in the OF when you factor in Damon, Matsui, and Nady. Plus, by 2010 A-jax will be ready.
Posted by: Aaron | September 26, 2008 at 03:16 PM
Well, let me rephrase that. They may have "interest" in him and tons of other players. But they won't actually go after him.
Just clarifying my comment before someone comes along and gets nit-picky about it.
Posted by: Aaron | September 26, 2008 at 03:18 PM
Absurd! Mcclouth is really steady in centerfield. He may not be Willie Mays by any stretch, but he catches what he is suppose to and makes an amazing catch here and there. Really, Mcclouth is a 4 tool player. He just lacks the arm. He hits for average, steals bases, hits homeruns, and plays very solid defense. To back that statement up his 2008 numbers will look like this .280-27hrs, 100rbi, 21sb and ONE ERROR playing centerfield in PNC PARK(big outfield) and an aweful pitching staff. If the Yankees want him, they better fork over the farm and some in my book.
Posted by: jdt58 | September 26, 2008 at 03:22 PM
Ok so I read the plus/minus system for fielders and have no idea how McClouth could have had a -21 rating. To me, that is ridiculous. I will estimate that I have watched probably 130 pirate games this season (as painful as that has been), and nothing I have seen would suggest a number such as that. I always heard that McClouth was an above average outfielder with good speed and an average/solid arm (threw out winning run in all star game I believe). Maybe I only think he is good because that is what I read. The guy has 1 error all season and that was two games ago. I have seen many diving/sliding catches as well as him tracking balls down in the gaps all season. As far as trading him goes, I would like to believe that it is not going to happen and that it shouldn't happen. I do believe that he will move to Left Field once McCutcheon is ready. We have a huge left field at PNC and small right field. If we wanted to hide him, we would put him in right. We will put him in left because he is a GOOD fielder. And the Yankees can suck it if they think they can get him for one of their 'young stud' pitchers that probably won't pan out. The media builds them up because they are in the Yankees system. Give me McClouth of Kennedy or Hughes any day of the week. I would have been happy to get one of those two in the Nady/Marte deal, but not for Nate. Not going to happen.
Posted by: The Sobesman | September 26, 2008 at 03:24 PM
"They expect big things from Gardner and already have a logjam in the OF when you factor in Damon, Matsui, and Nady. Plus, by 2010 A-jax will be ready."
Most in the Yankees organization see Gardner as nothing more than a fourth/backup outfielder. And none of those other people you mention can play center anymore. Thus we need a centerfielder.
As for Jackson, we will have outfield room for him in 2010, as most of the other outfielders' contracts will run out by then
Posted by: defense | September 26, 2008 at 03:27 PM
Where do you get this information about the people in the Yankee organization only seeing Gardner as a 4th OFer? I've never seen that anywhere and I'm on this and 20 other sites multiple times a day.
Now I completely agree that the other options cannot play CF any longer. Matsui and Nady are corner guys, presuming Matsui can even play the OF anymore after another knee surgery. Damon hasn't been a solid CF in about four years so he needs to be stuck in a corner for good.
Posted by: Aaron | September 26, 2008 at 03:31 PM
One last thing, can people please stop thinking that the Yankees will part with Hughes. He isn't going to be traded. Not anywhere or for anyone.
I realize he had a horrible season. He was ineffective at the start and then hurt for most of the season. Yet, he's got too much potential for the Yanks to just give up on him.
If they wouldn't trade him for Johan Santana then they surely aren't going to trade him for someone else.
Posted by: Aaron | September 26, 2008 at 03:33 PM
Rate McLouth however you want defensively, that was a BULLET he slung to Russell Martin in the ASG :)
Posted by: abcrazy4dodgers | September 26, 2008 at 03:40 PM
hey yankees lets make this clear right now. YOU CANT WIN BY RUINING YOUR FARM. they have much bigger problems than a center fielder. they got a 200 million dollar third baseman in therapy and a team that is the oldest in the league by far. you started your dominance by building through your system. batting might win games but pitching wins championships. yankees should know this better than anyone.
now the big news this off season will be who matt holliday goes to. hes proved that he isnt just a mile high hitter anymore. and i dont know about what anyone else thinks but will the sox make a run at him? move drew to center and have ellsbury play all three outfields? or will the rays send some players to the rockies for the slugger? we will see
Posted by: gmac | September 26, 2008 at 03:42 PM
Honestly, who would sign Alou at this point?
Posted by: GaryKeith&Ron | September 26, 2008 at 03:50 PM
BuccoNation said:
"You want to shop the only 2 young guns we have? Get serious. Doumit and McClouth are the only building blocks we have my friend."
Dude, you get serious.
Doumit gets injured every year, even this year for a time. And I haven't read a single positive review of his defense behind the plate. Maybe he is passable and maybe he will get better, but catcher is one of the most important positions for defense (which includes game calling and rapport with pitchers). Doumit's impressive .322/.360/.501 line is propped up by a .343 BABIP (career .318). Even if you regress his BABIP, his numbers are still impressive, but you have to wonder if he's having a career year at 27. Combine the possibility of a career year, the questionable defense behind the plate, his injury history, and the fact that his stats are a little inflated by luck, and everything screams "sell high!!!!!!!" Plus, the Pirates have Wieters ready to start anyway, so a trade makes sense anyway. Oh wait...
As for McLouth, I'm a big fan. Was all over him in many fantasy baseball leagues as proof! But he is also turning 27, leading to the possibility of a career year. Nothing about his numbers look lucky, so he has a decent chance of maintaining his .280/.360/.507 line in the future. Which is why I was saying the Pirates should talk extension. But if they get bowled over with an offer, they have to keep an open mind. If they can't get an extension, then McLouth is gone after 2011. And the Pirates aren't winning by 2011 unless they stumble upon a few #1/#2 pitchers. So they have to keep an open mind. I think he's legit, though I do think his CF defense is below average. He's not a stud, but he's very good.
Posted by: mymrbig | September 26, 2008 at 04:24 PM
GKR - Anyone for the right price with the right incentives...he can hit, plain and simple, someone will take a flyer on him
Posted by: viktor06 | September 26, 2008 at 04:25 PM
Aaron said:
"One last thing, can people please stop thinking that the Yankees will part with Hughes. He isn't going to be traded. Not anywhere or for anyone."
That is what everyone said about Tabata last year. Things change. Hughes's upside hasn't looked quite as high this year. Many in the Yankees' front office are impatient, to their detriment. I think they are more likely to give up on Kennedy than Hughes this offseason (which I think is stupid, as Kennedy = Slowey = #2/#3 starter once he settles in).
Posted by: mymrbig | September 26, 2008 at 04:29 PM
"Where do you get this information about the people in the Yankee organization only seeing Gardner as a 4th OFer? I've never seen that anywhere and I'm on this and 20 other sites multiple times a day."
Read a scouting report? Sure his speed and walks are nice, the latter being virtually non existent in the big leagues, but scouts question whether his bat plays as a starter.
Oh and thanks for letting us all know how many websites you peruse on a daily basis. Now I know not to question you when you make definitive statements regarding the affairs of ball clubs you actually have very little knowledge of.
Posted by: Meoveryouok | September 26, 2008 at 05:12 PM
Mclouth won't go anywhere. and doumit is more suited to end up being in the AL, he's extremely poor behind the plate and i'm not so sure he could even play 1B that well. perhaps we could send snell with mclouth in a deal to the yanks, because of mussina and pettite's situation.... it worked for Oliver perez going to NY so perhaps it could work for snell as well
Posted by: yokedog22 | September 26, 2008 at 05:24 PM
"He just lacks the arm."
I don't view McLouth's arm as poor. It is very accurate and he has a quick release. His arm is effective in the way Barry Bonds' arm was before Bonds' knees went to hell.
Posted by: AA | September 26, 2008 at 05:24 PM
If I'm the Pirates I have no intention of trading Nate but hey request some insane offer and see if they cave. Like Jackson and Cano now obviously they would not take that but it would make it clear that Nate stays unless someone is ready to seriously pony up. Same for Doumit.
PS: I think Ian Snell even with his bad year has significantly high trade stock.
Posted by: BucSox | September 26, 2008 at 05:30 PM
Meoveryouok ..... Thank you for completely misinterpreting my comment regarding the sites I read. I merely meant that to say that I haven't seen much written regarding people thinking that Gardner cannot handle being an everyday player.
I was never attempting to say that I know more than someone else or anything along those lines. And just because you disagree with my opinions it does not mean that I know little about the Yankees or any other team.
Posted by: Aaron | September 26, 2008 at 05:30 PM
Kemp to Yankees? What would it take for the Dodgers to even think about trading him? I dont think Cano will be enough value for him.
Posted by: richie | September 26, 2008 at 07:06 PM
"Plus, the Pirates have Wieters ready to start anyway, so a trade makes sense anyway. Oh wait..."
... the hurt will never go away, but hey, at least we got danny moskos. he was probably the 23rd best pitcher in all of college baseball at the time, so he was a great "value" that far down in the draft. lol, i love dave littlefield.
Posted by: BuccoBrigade | September 26, 2008 at 08:12 PM
I think Gardner starting CF for the yanks next year is just as likely as Bubba Crosby was supposed to start in 2006.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | September 26, 2008 at 08:15 PM
Nate for Cano of course both teams would probably have to add but then the Pirates can trade Sanchez and the starting OF next year is Morgan/Moss LF, McCutchen CF, Moss/Pearce RF. Maybe even a Tabata sighting by years end. Then trade Jack Wilson to the Dodgers for Hu and some others or wishful thinking Brignac. Then trade Sanchez for whatever you can get.
Posted by: BucSox | September 26, 2008 at 09:56 PM
Like the Dodgers are gonna give up Kemp for Cano, especially after the crappy year he had, no way.
Posted by: jdodgers27 | September 27, 2008 at 04:38 AM
GAardner I think is going to be a solid centerfeirlder. To me hes like Jocby Ellsbury for the Red sox. The kid runs mad fast. He has to start learning how to hit more and then he could become an every day player. maybe Johnny Damon could mentor the kid to be more of a slahy hitter like Damon and use his speed to get more hits.
They dont need McClouth. Id rather see the Yankees pursue
Adam Laroche.
Posted by: yankfan1 | September 27, 2008 at 09:44 AM
These Kemp to the Yankee rumors really need to die. Kemp is a Dodger, and that will not change in the next few years.
Posted by: Ivdown | September 28, 2008 at 02:05 AM
I am a Yanks fan and I really can't understand why anyone would consider trading Hughes, Cano or Kennedy considering our top needs are young players and pitching. CF is not a major need for us to succeed. Between Gardner and Cabrera we have major league quality options. I am a big fan of Melkys game but I like the speed Gardner has shown. If he can ever become a solid .280 hitter I can see him with 50 sb a year. So McClouth to me is not a desirable player. If there were a young (27-30) CF out there like Beltran was when he was a FA then maybe I would bite but I'm content to go w/ what we have.
I have a question though. As a Pirates than do you guys ever get tired of trading your best young players for more and more prospects? When is your team ever going to make a run at being competetive?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | September 28, 2008 at 10:52 PM
Jdodgers:
I know this is not a Yankees board but since when is:
162 hits
35 doubles
14 hrs
72 rbis
.271 ba
for a 26yr old 2b a "crappy" year? And by the way he's still a lifetime .300 hitter.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | September 28, 2008 at 10:55 PM
"for a 26yr old 2b a "crappy" year?"
You do realize that, at 39, Jeff Kent had a significantly better year last year than Cano did this year.
Hell, Kent had a better year this year at 40, on a bad knee.
Cano had a terrible year this year empirically
Posted by: AA | September 29, 2008 at 01:32 AM
AA:
How in the world do you figure Kent had a better year than Cano?
42 Runs vs 70
123 hits vs 162
23 dbls vs 35
12 hrs vs 14
52 rbis vs 72
.280 vs .271
BA is the only slight advantage that Kent had over Cano. However, Cano earned $3mill vs Kent's $9mill and contentious attitude in the club house.
And keep in mind those numbers came with him batting 7th or 8th all year with Jose Molina or Melky Cabrera batting behind him.
Please don't make silly comments that obviously can't be backed up with proof.
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | September 29, 2008 at 11:20 AM
After last year horrible deal,if I was the Pirates,I would stay away from the Yankees.The Pirates should take a bite a Pedro Martinez.
Posted by: pittsburgh86 | November 08, 2008 at 01:13 PM