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By Ben Nicholson-Smith [July 9, 2009 at 1:28pm CST]
This year’s outfielders have a lot to live up to on July 31st.
It was just a year ago that the Red Sox
parted with Manny Ramirez and
acquired Jason Bay. This time, Matt
Holliday’s the big name, but there are also a few cheap, powerful players out there for teams
looking to add an outfielder. Here’s your list of trade candidates, ranked from
highest 2009 salary to lowest:
- Matt Holliday - At $13.5MM, Holliday's pricey, but he's a good defender with a history of batting excellence. With just seven extra base hits in the last month, Holliday's no longer perceived as a sure thing.
- Jermaine Dye - He makes $11.5MM this year and there's a mutual option with a $1MM buyout for 2010 on his deal. The White Sox want to win now though, so Dye doesn't appear to be on the block.
- Gary Matthews Jr. - The Angels would presumably pick up salary in any deal involving Matthews, as he makes $10MM this year and $23MM over the course of the next two years.
- Juan Pierre - Another overpaid outfielder in LA, Pierre makes $10MM this year and $18.5MM over the course of the next two. At least he's hitting well, with an OBP approaching .400 and a career-high slugging percentage.
- Alex Rios - He makes $5.9MM this year and has $60MM more coming his way between now and 2014. His teammate, Vernon Wells likely could not be traded.
- David Dejesus - Under contract for $3.6MM this year, he can play all three outfield positions, but his .714 OPS is ordinary.
- Mark Teahen - Makes $3.6MM as well and can play the outfield, though he's been manning third for the Royals. He has a .344 OBP and 27 extra base hits.
- Jeff Francoeur - He's struggled since last year and makes $3.4MM this season, so the suitors are not lining up for Francoeur.
- Josh Willingham - He has 10 homers for a .534 slugging percentage and he'll earn $3MM in 2009. Mike Rizzo says Adam Dunn's staying in Washington.
- Luke Scott - He makes just $2.4MM this year and won't be a free agent until after 2012, so the Orioles have a cheap, powerful asset on their hands. They have three talented outfielders already in Nolan Reimold, Nick Markakis and Adam Jones, so they could conceivably part with Scott.
- Jeremy Hermida - With good patience, some power and a $2.25MM contract, Hermida could appeal to teams in need of a bat.
- Cody Ross - Like Scott, Ross is cheap and powerful. He's slugging .505 and makes just $2.2MM this year. He's scheduled to hit free agency after 2011.
- Scott Hairston - He was just traded, but he plays solid defense and has extra base power, so Hairston, who makes $1.25MM this year, could appeal to other teams.
- Ryan Spilborghs - Apparently the Rockies would prefer to hold onto Spilborghs, who's under team control for three more years and makes just $415k this season.
The Tigers, Braves, Mets, Giants and Reds could all look for outfield bats.
The Cubs could deal for any left-fielder and move soriano to second. So don't write them off for getting an OF.
Posted by: CuBzwin | July 09, 2009 at 01:30 PM
The Giants are not looking for OF bats...OF is the last source of need. Don't just randomly throw out team names...doens't hurt to do a little research. Giants need a 2b or a 1b.
Posted by: lincecum4cy | July 09, 2009 at 01:34 PM
A little off-topic but the Hairston deal got me thinking of how the Padres are doing an impressive job of stripping down the roster for their youngsters and setting themselves up for a new era with the new ownership.
Donovan Tate represents a shift in previous draft strategy and definitely makrs what could be a long-term small-market success plan for San Diego.
With Brian Giles gone after this season and Jake Peavy very likely being traded this off-season (Angels? Brewers? Phillies? Rangers? White Sox?), their only big commitments are to Chris Young and Adrian Gonzalez, the former of whom could very likely be traded by '10, as well.
It's just a shame that Giles isn't playing well enough to be on this list of trade candidates 'cause it'd be nice to pick up a prospect or two for him.
Posted by: WestCoastBias | July 09, 2009 at 01:37 PM
A little off-topic but the Hairston deal got me thinking of how the Padres are doing an impressive job of stripping down the roster for their youngsters and setting themselves up for a new era with the new ownership.
Donovan Tate represents a shift in previous draft strategy and definitely makrs what could be a long-term small-market success plan for San Diego.
With Brian Giles gone after this season and Jake Peavy very likely being traded this off-season (Angels? Brewers? Phillies? Rangers? White Sox?), their only big commitments are to Chris Young and Adrian Gonzalez, the former of whom could very likely be traded by '10, as well.
It's just a shame that Giles isn't playing well enough to be on this list of trade candidates 'cause it'd be nice to pick up a prospect or two for him.
Posted by: WestCoastBias | July 09, 2009 at 01:37 PM
I would add the Cardinals to the list of teams that need outfield help (especially from the right side). There is no reason to keep two poor left-handed hitters (Duncan and Ankiel) on the roster, and Nick Stavinoha is a stop-gap at best.
Posted by: WY | July 09, 2009 at 01:46 PM
The Cubs could deal for any left-fielder and move soriano to second. So don't write them off for getting an OF.
Posted by: CuBzwin | July 09, 2009 at 01:30 PM
---
you guys want Pierre back? I'd rather not see him go but I'd be cool with a straight up Pierre for Zambrano trade. Get Zambrano under Torre instead of Pinella where there isn't a pure clash.
Obviously not going to happen, just wanted to throw it out there.
Posted by: ThinkBlue | July 09, 2009 at 01:46 PM
I would definitely list the Ranger's OF as a trade candidate... One of Byrd, Murphy or Jones could be available.
Posted by: laxtonto | July 09, 2009 at 01:47 PM
lincecum4cy:
Lewis and Winn have fielded well, but the Giants need offense, as they're 13th in the NL in runs.
Lewis and Winn have *combined* for 6HR, 45RBI, 45BBs and 117Ks. And neither one has an OPS over .718.
So I believe the Giants could look for outfield bats.
Posted by: Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 09, 2009 at 01:47 PM
Get Luke Scott out of the AL East and hopefully out of the AL period, a 1 man wrecking machine against the Red Sox.
Why the Fish would be shopping Cody Ross is strange, especially while they are 2 games out of 1st place and he is the 2nd best hitter right now on the team.. Anybody wanting Ross will probably have to wait until after the season is over more than likely for the yearly salary dump they have to have a chance at his bat more than likely, or offer a top closer in exchange under team control for years to come.
Posted by: johns | July 09, 2009 at 01:49 PM
If only someone would take Francoeur off the Braves hands and give them a decent OFer...
Posted by: Andy Braves Fan | July 09, 2009 at 01:52 PM
"David Dejesus - Under contract for $3.6MM this year, he can play all three outfield positions, but his .714 OPS is ordinary."
Braves' fans would crawl over broken glass for "ordinary."
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | July 09, 2009 at 01:52 PM
you guys want Pierre back? I'd rather not see him go but I'd be cool with a straight up Pierre for Zambrano trade. Get Zambrano under Torre instead of Pinella where there isn't a pure clash.
Obviously not going to happen, just wanted to throw it out there.
Posted by: ThinkBlue | July 09, 2009 at 01:46 PM
--
lol, no way in the world. He might be in anger management but is worth much more to us than Pierre cill ever be.
Posted by: CuBzwin | July 09, 2009 at 01:54 PM
"The Giants are not looking for OF bats...OF is the last source of need. Don't just randomly throw out team names...doens't hurt to do a little research. Giants need a 2b or a 1b.
Posted by: lincecum4cy"
Umm you might want to check your team's roster again. Roward is in center so outside of Rios they probably won't find an upgrade there. But at the corners they have Winn, Lewis and Torres and Schierholtz. Schierholtz is a platoon player at best, and has been extremely lucky. In particular match-ups he's good but he can't be a starter. Winn, Lewis and Torres have just 8 HR's in over 500 at bats. They desperately, need some corner outfield help.
Posted by: Steveo26 | July 09, 2009 at 01:55 PM
will*
Posted by: CuBzwin | July 09, 2009 at 01:55 PM
"The Cubs could deal for any left-fielder and move soriano to second. So don't write them off for getting an OF."
Or release Milton Bradley and save themselves a ton of money in 2011, especially since Bradley is a below replacement level player and that option ain't cheap.
The A's are most likely willing to eat salary looking at their past under Wolff, so don't rule the Cubs trading for Holliday out of the question.
And of course its obvious what the A's would want in such a deal. The two teams match up well.
Posted by: melonis rex | July 09, 2009 at 01:56 PM
Along the lines of Steveo’s comment the only name on that list that interested me- as Giants’ fan- is Rios. It is a gamble (it might take up most of the slack out the payroll budget to do it and that itself is valuable) but he could provide really good production in Center Field for a number of years to come. The Giants’ don’t have much cooking down on the farm in terms of CF help. It would be very short sighted not to look into Rios.
Posted by: daveinexile | July 09, 2009 at 02:10 PM
The Scottbino!
(tearing it up this year)
Posted by: HumanToilet | July 09, 2009 at 02:19 PM
Luke Scott should be atop of every team's wish list, (though it will cost a bunch). He is crushing the ball, and is cheap and under team control for 3 and a half years. No other player comes close to that level of value.
Posted by: Steveo26 | July 09, 2009 at 02:30 PM
Luke Scott will probably be a reasonably priced LFer with pop the Giants are looking for.
Posted by: Thee4stringking | July 09, 2009 at 02:34 PM
I agree with steveo....IMO the 2 most sought after should be Luke Scott (for his production and BAL already having a crowded OF) followed by Mark Teahen (for his ability to play several positions).
Holliday, Dye, Rios, and Matthews are too expensive, Pierre won't keep it up (and has a huge salary next year), and Francoeur has no trade value at all.
But Scott is the cream of those options IMO.
Posted by: bigscott | July 09, 2009 at 02:40 PM
Steve O: It is the cost in prospects for Scott and the lesser defensive position the puts him below Rios in my eye. I am assuming Rios plays significant amounts time in CF. I know assuming is dangerous. There are not a lot of teams willing to take on a lot of wages now days but if your team is it might be possible a dramatically reduced rate in prospects paid in exchange for eating that big part of that contract.
Posted by: daveinexile | July 09, 2009 at 02:45 PM
Dave: I don't disagree that Rios has the potential to be a top OF again and if he can stay in CF, he could be a huge boost to some team. I think the big issue with Rios is his contract. Not many teams can take on that money to begin with (though Giants are prob one of them), and esp. not for one who is struggling so much.
Now i get what you are saying, given his slump and contract the Giants wouldn't have to part with top prospects. But is tying up a huge chunk of payroll worth it for a guy who is average at best right now.
Posted by: Steveo26 | July 09, 2009 at 03:18 PM
What's the chances the Braves trade for Rios? He's got a halfway decent salary to take on, but if the Braves can somehow get the Jays to take Frenchy, Medlen and I dunno who else to make it work...but is that completly bogus??
Posted by: kidlax17 | July 09, 2009 at 04:06 PM
Luke Scott is one of the most under rated players in the game, probably because he 1st of all plays in Baltimore and also in the AL East and over shadowed by tons of other talented players, but the guy is a real 5 toll player that can absolutely crush a baseball.
I really hope he leaves the AL East like posted above, he seems to hit at least a couple HR's in every series vs Boston.
Posted by: johns | July 09, 2009 at 05:14 PM
Another overpaid outfielder in LA? ANAHEIM IS NOT IN LA; it's not even in the same county. Stop perpetuating the ignorance around the Angels' pathetic attempt at grabbing a major market.
Posted by: BaseballBryce | July 09, 2009 at 05:50 PM
Detroit doesnt need an outfield bat. They NEED relief pitching because Lyon, rodney, and Zumaya are proven chokers. And I wont listen to a word of the "19-19" business. Rodney is going to burst and everyone knows it.
Unrelated, but Holliday plays really uninspired in oakland. They need to deal him ASAP. His numbers will bounce back once he cares about the team he is on.
Posted by: Calriver | July 09, 2009 at 05:57 PM
I doubt the Rangers would part with Murphy since they have him under team control for awhile. Byrd who can play all OF positions and a free agent next year would be appealing with only 1.5M left on his contract, Jones would also be a candidate now that his hitting has come around. They won't be given away, that's for sure, not with the amount of their salaries.
Posted by: Rett Davis | July 09, 2009 at 06:15 PM
HoleeeeCrap! I didn't realize Alex Rios was making less than $6 mil. Wow, I'd love to see him in RF for the Braves asap!
Posted by: drphonic7 | July 09, 2009 at 06:17 PM
HoleeeeCrap! I didn't realize Alex Rios was making less than $6 mil. Wow, I'd love to see him in RF for the Braves asap!
Posted by: drphonic7 | July 09, 2009 at 06:17 PM
I guess you skipped over this: has $60MM more coming his way between now and 2014. Rios is way overpaid and there are better options ie Willingham for 3M, Holliday as a FA in the off-season, or Nelson Cruz as part of a Vazquez trade during the off-season. The Braves options for an in-season trade are very limited but if they wait to go all out for next year and the future then there are many choices. Rios is OPS'ing .729 this year, that's mediocre. if they're willing to give him away I might be interested but if we have to give up anything of value then no
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | July 09, 2009 at 06:33 PM
Okay so most of Rios' struggles can be explained by bad luck, a BABIP well below his career average, but still with that contract I'd have a hard time sending a nice package back. If they are just looking to move the contract, I'd be calling the jays if i were frank wren
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | July 09, 2009 at 06:41 PM
Ben-
There is no way the Giants sit Randy Winn. Secondly, to acquire any of those guys will take a significant amount of prospects that Sabean has already said he won't deal top prospects. 3rdly, the Giants called up John Bowker...lets see how he does. I don't see the Giants pursing any OF bat... there is absolutely no way they sit winn...no matter if hes not hitting that well.
Posted by: lincecum4cy | July 09, 2009 at 06:48 PM
bravesfan22193, take a look at the article today on Rios. They prove that he is UNDERPAID according to his value. He is one of, if not the best defensive outfielder in the game. Fangraphs goes on to say that he has an excellent contract for his talent and value, and the Jays should be building around him.
Posted by: s17 | July 09, 2009 at 08:11 PM
I would love to see Rios on the Mets. I think he is a tremendous outfielder, both defensively and with the bat. He's also only 28 so he's just hitting his prime. I would guess he'll probably cost too much but maybe we can pull something off. I want Omar to at least be in the mix for Rios. Holliday we can sign next year, but at least ask about Rios.
Posted by: JoseJoseJoseeee | July 09, 2009 at 09:11 PM
Look I think Fangraphs is awesome and one of the better sites out there but the rios article was a little over the top. He is not underpaid, he is going to get 12 million a year for the next five. Right now his value in dollars through the halfway point is 3.8 million, hardly a bargain for the 6 million he's making this year. If he returns to the 3.5-5 WAR player he was the past two seasons before this then sure he's slightly underpaid but value should be higher than salary. And look Rios is a great defensive OF but let's not kid ourselves and say he is tops, he's right on par with Nelson Cruz who gets no love for his D. Like I said as long as he's carrying that price tag and underperforming i wouldn't give up a top prospect for him
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | July 09, 2009 at 09:35 PM
I would love if the Tigers picked up Luke Scott. He's not the best fit, but he has some pop and he will stop terrorizing Tigers pitching.
Posted by: rdccdr801 | July 10, 2009 at 01:21 AM
I still maintain these trades should happen:
Jose Guillen for Jeff Franceur, Alderson for Rios, Hermeida for John Grabow.
All fair, all can be justfiied for each team.
Posted by: OhPityMe | July 10, 2009 at 08:08 AM
Oh and whoever posted that Alex Rios is the best defensive OF in baaseball a certain Carlos Beltran would like you to watch him play.
Posted by: OhPityMe | July 10, 2009 at 08:09 AM
Luke Scott is a STEAL. Cannot believe the Orioles would let him go. Easily could hit 30 homers for next 5 years.
Posted by: Cyyoung | July 10, 2009 at 09:20 AM
there is absolutely no way they sit winn...no matter if hes not hitting that well.
Posted by: lincecum4cy |
They are already sitting him against lefties. He's been terrible from the right side. The Giants need a righty with a little pop. What would it take to get Willingham? To me he's more the type of player the Giants could use.
Posted by: WillieMaysField | July 10, 2009 at 10:20 AM
how about the mets trade ryan church for jeff francoeur?
Posted by: johan is GOD | July 11, 2009 at 10:25 AM
Luke Scott is actually a good fielder, with average range, and average arm. I wouldn't say he's weak there at all. The reason why he was always platooned on other teams was because he was thought to struggle vs. LHPs, but he's really never been given a consistent shot at it. On the Orioles he has received that in exchange for being the fulltime DH. Right now, he's actually hitting over .300 and 8 HRs off them so it's been a super move.
That being said, vs. Rios, Scott is not as good as him on defense but that's because Rios has one great range and an excellent arm, one of the best in the league...tho Scott is not a liability there at all. There's an assumption that something about his game must be off because of his past lack of playing time. He's just one of those players who's always played for clubs with a young studin the OF.
Posted by: basemonkey | July 14, 2009 at 01:07 PM