Discussion: High-Risk Arms

This year's class of free agent starters is littered with high-risk, high-reward arms. These pitchers can dominate, but as the Red Sox found out with Brad Penny and John Smoltz, they aren't sure things.

Starters like Rich Harden (10.9K/9), Erik Bedard (9.8K/9), Ben Sheets (3.09 ERA in 2008), Justin Duchscherer (2.54 ERA in 2008), Smoltz (8.4K/9), Penny, Brett Myers and Randy Johnson (8.1K/9), provide plenty of options for teams willing to take a risk on an aging or recovering arm.

Would you offer any of these pitchers a multi-year deal? Which one of them is likeliest to pitch at an elite level next year?

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