MLBTR Chat Transcript

Steve Adams

  • Good afternoon! I’ll get going at the top of the hour, but feel free to start sending in questions now.

Cards Fan

  • Gorman a change of scenery candidate?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think they’ll get a ton for him, but at a certain point, I don’t know why they wouldn’t move on. He’s trending toward a non-tender, and he’s had a pretty substantial leash both in ’26 and more broadly over the past several seasons. Does feel like a change-of-scenery guy, whether this summer or in an early-November trade or just as a free agent with a new team after he’s non-tendered.

Dave

  • Who says no: Josue De Paula straight-up for CJ Abrams?

Steve Adams

  • One prospect — and De Paula is a good one! — isn’t going to pull two-plus years of Abrams.

Yankeespitching

  • Do you think Jac Caglione would be worth keeping or dropping. I was hoping for a break out year but so far it hasn’t worked out

Steve Adams

  • Always depends on league context, but if you’re in a standard 10- or 12-team mixed league, yeah, I don’t see a need to hang onto him. If it’s a deep mixed league or an AL-only format, might be another story

Guest

  • If the Astros are 4+ GB at the deadline, what are the odds they trade Yordan Alvarez?

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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

Steve Adams

  • Good afternoon! I'll get going at about 2pm CT, but feel free to submit a question(s) ahead of time if you're so inclined. Looking forward to it!
  • Good afternoon! I'll get going in one minute here, just wrapping up a long email on our forthcoming Free Agent Power Rankings.
  • Ok!

Little Texas

  • could you see the Rangers moving in the outfield walls this winter or try signing more power hitters

Steve Adams

  • They've already brought in power hitters on both sides of the plate. Neither Joc Pederson nor Jake Burger has had the impact they hoped. I can see them altering the dimensions at some point, yeah. Seems like they're pretty surprised the new Globe Life plays so pitcher-friendly.

Guy Incognito

  • Hi Steve. Do you think the uncertainty of the next CBA and possible work stoppage is going to affect trade deadline targets? I was wondering specifically about guys that have extra years of control beyond 2026. Would a guy with 1 extra year be treated as such if 2027 might get washed out? Would a guy with 2+years be affected because of the possible salary cap?

Steve Adams

  • It didn't have a major impact last time around, just like the shortened Covid season didn't have a huge impact on the trade deadline. Teams are motivated to win now, and I expect everyone to operate under the assumption that there'll be a lockout but no games lost. I think fans have a more pessimistic outlook on games being played in '27 than a lot of people who work within the sport, which is kind of the point. The league is trying (and succeeding) to rally fan sentiment/support for the cap with a lot of doom-and-gloom narratives but I don't think nearly as many front office people (I'm sure there are some) see it as a foregone conclusion that games will be lost.

Steve

  • Instead of teaching and encouraging pitchers to throw ungodly MPH. Is it a lost cause to teach pitchers how to pitch instead of throw? This, in my mind, cut down TJ surgeries, especially younger and younger kids getting the operation. I site a prime example of Greg Maddox. It takes strategy. Have a great fastball...that's fine, but there are a few pitchers scattered throughout MLB that are good pitchers and not gifted with speed. I was going to point to a guy like Bailey Ober, but I think even he had the surgery. Any thoughts on any of this. Love the chats. Thanks.
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Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

Anthony Franco

  • Good afternoon, hope all is well!
  • Looking forward to another of these, let's get going

NL West

  • How many playoff teams will the division have? SD looks like they are crashing down to earth and Arizona just lost the only rotation help they could afford this season.

Anthony Franco

  • Yeah I'll stick with two even though I don't know that I'd pick either Arizona or San Diego to make it individually. Still think their combined playoff chances are above 50% though

The Knuder

  • Are the Padres cooked? And, if so, what are they gonna sell at the deadline?

Anthony Franco

  • Obviously went into this more here:
  • https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/06/padres-trade-rumors-deal-from-b...
  • I expect Machado and Merrill to bounce back enough that they'll hang around and won't need to sell, but they clearly need multiple bats and at least one starter no matter what happens with Musgrove and Pivetta
  • Don't really see the path to doing all that unless they dangle a reliever -- Estrada or Bradgley make the most sense but you could sell me on Morejon -- in more of a baseball trade

Cat_Herder

  • Tigers sweep the Rays and haven't lost in June.  Is this is a fluke or are they turning a corner with Torres, Carp, etc. back in the lineup?
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MLBTR Chat Transcript

Steve Adams

  • Good afternoon! I’ll get going at the top of the hour, but feel free to start sending in questions ahead of time.
  • Let’s get underway!

o-birds

  • Will the Orioles be able to sign Gunnar before he becomes a free agent, knowing Boras is a players agent why do teams draft them knowing they will be difficult to sign when they become free agents? Thank you Steve 😊

Steve Adams

  • I don’t see any real chance of a Henderson extension.Avoiding an agent in the draft seems pointless though. Very few players, regardless of representation, sign team-friendly extensions — relatively speaking, anyhow. And there are plenty of Boras guys who’ve signed long-term deals. The narrative is a bit overstated. Cooper Pratt just signed an eight-year deal before he even reached the majors, and he’s a Boras guy.

    You get the player for six-plus years regardless.

Dodgers101

  • Will skubal be sealed at the deadline?

Steve Adams

  • Assuming that’s “traded” — the short, boring and most accurate answer is: “Maybe?”If the Tigers are 10+ games back, then yeah, I imagine he’ll be moved. They’ll get a big return in a trade that eclipses the draft pick they’d net upon him rejecting a QO and signing elsewhere.

    But today’s brand of front office almost universally waits until the eleventh hour to make even minor decisions. The Tigers aren’t going to punt on the season in early June. Unless they’re still just absolutely buried in the standings, I doubt they’ll make a final call on Skubal any sooner than 72-ish hours before the deadline. If they have a glimmer of hope, they’re going to wait until the last possible second.

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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

Steve Adams

  • Good afternoon! I'll get going at 2pm CT, but feel free to start submitting questions ahead of time, as always.
  • Good afternoon! Let's get underway

Ewitkows

  • Are we past the super 2 point of the season, when is Pratt and Jett coming up for the Brewers?

Steve Adams

  • Super Two no longer matters for Pratt. He signed an eight-year extension, buying out all his arb years and multiple free agent years. He started the season really poorly but has been hitting well the past month or so. I have to think he's under consideration for a promotion before too terribly long.
  • It could be a modest consideration with Williams, but he also just hasn't hit his way onto the big league roster yet. He looked to be getting going a few weeks ago but has cooled back down. Not necessarily worried about his long-term outlook, but he's not really forcing the issue so the Brewers haven't brought him up yet.

Chief

  • How do the Royals turn things around?

Steve Adams

  • I'm really not sure they can. 15 under .500, losers of six in a row, lots of key arms on the shelf (Bubic, Ragans, Estevez, Mears), big drop-offs from some key bats (Pasquantino, Perez... Garcia to a lesser extent). I just don't think they're getting back on track this year. I'd be listening on Wacha, Lugo, Strahm, Schreiber ... Bubic, if he's healthy.

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MLBTR Chat Transcript

Mark P

  • Welcome, weekend chatters!  We’ll open the floor just as soon as a few questions enter the queue….

A’s at home

  • A’s just can’t get it done at home. What needs to be done to turn it around? They are still in it and still lots of season left to play.

Mark P

  • Today’s loss drops the A’s to 11-17 at home, with a much more respectable road record of 17-14.  Pitching at that ballpark just seems to be taking more of a toll on the Athletics’ pitchers than it does opponents, and it doesn’t help that the A’s have gotten even thinner in the rotation department due to the injury bug
  • The more interesting stat is maybe the fact that the A’s are only middle-of-the-pack when it comes to home offense.  Kurtz, Langeliers, and (of all people) Cortes can only do so much to prop up an overall disappointing offense
  • In what has become this chat’s catchphrase of the last month, “they’re still in it because the AL as a whole is so weak.”  If guys like Soderstrom start hitting and the A’s pitching becomes even half-decent (not even good), a run at a wild card berth or even the AL West crown isn’t out of the question.  But in general, the A’s seemed like a team that was still at least a year away, and that might well end up being the case

Hunter

  • Murakami gets injured and White Sox pull up Jacob Gonzalez. He was hitting .300 with 18 bombs and 58 rbis in almost 50 games. What’s your current thoughts on the white sox right now

Big Hurt

  • Are the White Sox legit playoff contenders?

Mark P

  • Gonzalez’s 2026 output is so far beyond his previous numbers that it seems like an outlier, but then again, breakouts happen.  It doesn’t seem likely that Gonzalez will do much to make up the Murakami-sized hole in Chicago’s lineup, and losing him for at least a month is a tough break for both the team and for casual fans as a fun story.
  • Still too early to say if the Sox can sustain this all the way through September, but it helps that the Royals and Tigers are both flailing right now.  I don’t think second place in the AL Central is even out of the question since I don’t trust Minnesota.

Jack

  • What do the Pirates do with Carme M? Leave him on the restricted list list or trade him?

Mr. Mlodzinski

  • Think I’ll be on the move?

Mark P

  • While Mlodzinski isn’t happy with his current situation, I don’t think this is an Eric Lauer situation where there are hard feelings “and” the pitcher isn’t performing.  I’m sure a few teams have checked in with the Bucs on trade offers, but if you’re Pittsburgh, Mlodzinski is a valuable depth arm.

Snow the Informer

  • If a MLB contract clause states X amount of time on the IL for an “arm injury” voids the opt out, does that include a shoulder injury?  Or what if he goes on the IL for a shoulder injury then stays on it because of a lat issue, does that void the opt out? Asking for a friend.

Mark P

  • Ha, a friend named Craig?
    That’s an interesting question, and I’m sure the actual contract has more official language covering the specifics.

Rangers Fan

  • Can Josh Jung keep this up? He’s hitting at an all-star level over the last month.

Mark P

  • His advanced metrics hint that some regression is coming, but maybe not much.  Jung is making a lot of hard contact and he has drastically reduced his strikeouts, which is a nice recipe for sustained success.Interestingly, Jung seems to be the one batter who has figured out Globe Life Field.  He’s crushing the ball at home to the tune of a 1.000 OPS, as opposed to around a .700 OPS on the road.

Dustin

  • What do the Mariners do with their starters? They have 6 up and 2 ready in Sloan and Anderson? I know they shouldn’t trade pitching, but, they have so many. Sell
  • sell high on Hancock?

Mark P

  • Obligatory “you can never have too much pitching” quote
    With the M’s in pure win-now mode, a major deadline trade can’t be ruled out.  But that’s still two months away, and that’s plenty of time for another injury or two to emerge.  Pitching surpluses have a way of solving themselves once someone inevitably gets hurt.

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Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

Anthony Franco

  • Hey all, hope you're well!
  • I've been under the weather all week so going to keep this one right at an hour, let's get it going

NL Central

  • I suggested in a previous chat that Nolan Arenado and Wilson Contreras would have the same fate as other hitters leaving STL/Busch, and it was met with skepticism. I had been hurt too often before. Nolan Arenado is running a wRC+ higher than all but one of his seasons in STL. Same for Willson. Is it just Busch or is it the dev team, or the hitting coaches? Seems crazy how often this happens.

Anthony Franco

  • Contreras had stretches like this with STL. This is a little above his baseline but he's been a well above-average hitter everywhere he's been
  • I think you have more of a case with Arenado's rebound but it's mostly coming at home, where Chase Field definitely plays more hitter-friendly than Busch, and probably has more to do with improved health than anything else
  • Interesting debate with how little they've gotten from Gorman if they were better off holding Arenado than giving him away. Felt at the time like everyone needed the clean break, especially with where the organization was going, but you're probably looking at a win or two difference at third base in a season where the Cards are more competitive than they thought they'd be

Mike d

  • Thoughts on a trade that would center around Matt McClain and top prospect for Duran?  Boston and Cincy players could both use change of scenery.

Anthony Franco

  • McLain's not doing anything for me at this point but I wouldn't give up a "top prospect" for Duran so I guess that's the bigger thing

AA

  • my braves hit the ground running this year which is rare for my tenure.who do i trade for at the deadline? righty corner OF? starting pitcher? shortstop? bullpen? all seem like options but im ready for the big move. who is it and what will it cost?
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MLBTR Chat Transcript

Mark P

  • Greetings! We’ll open up the Weekend Chat in a minute or two, once we get some tasty questions rolling in….

B

  • What do you think the Phillies do in terms of trades soon or before the deadline they are turning it around but what do they still need? Third base? Right field? Garcia and bohm haven’t been good.

Mark P

  • Bullpen will again be a target area, and rotation depth is a need.  Nola just isn’t pitching well at all and Painter is inconsistent, leaving the Phils with just three reliable starters.But, you’re correct that 3B/RF will both also be on the radar.  Bohm and Garcia are simply running out of time to get their seasons turned around.  The Phillies could also use bench depth in general, and someone they obtain for a part-time role could well work their way into more of a regular job at 3B/RF depending on what’s available out there on the market.

Undecided CT

  • Somebody just officially announced on his instagram he is actually retiring. I’ve never seen someone change their mind twice on retirement in two days.

Mark P

  • Annnnnd, the chat is immediately halted for a couple of minutes since I needed to update our Chris Taylor retirement post.Reading between the lines, I wonder if Taylor decided that he just didn’t feel like going through the grind of the rehab process after fracturing his forearm.  It’s understandable how a major injury like that might be the final push to get a veteran player on the fence over into retirement.  And hey, can’t blame Taylor for taking some time and a few second thoughts about ending a career path that has dominated most of his life.

Doofus

Mark P

  • Alvarez is signed through 2028, so unless the Astros decide to entirely blow things up and rebuild, he isn’t being traded.  While it is increasingly looking like the Astros may be deadline sellers, Alvarez doesn’t seem likely to be moved.It would require a huge offer of top prospects and MLB-ready young players for the BoSox to pry Alvarez away.  Franklin Arias, at least one of Tolle or Early, etc.

Scott Harris

  • Of course I’ve failed to build a sufficient offense but can some of my teams shortcomings be attributed time injury?

Mark P

  • There are currently 14 players on Detroit’s IL, so yeah, “some” is understating things.  One can certainly take issue with how the Tigers chose to build their roster, but there aren’t many teams that can get by with so many key injuries

Guest

  • Is it possible the Cards are for real?

Mark P

  • “For real” in the sense that they can make the playoffs…..probably not, since their pitching (both the rotation and pen) still doesn’t seem like it’ll hold up over the long haul.”For real” in the sense that they’re looking like a solid team?  Absolutely.  The Cardinals don’t need to reach the postseason for 2026 to be a nice step in the right direction.  Even a .500 record is a big success for a step most expected to be terrible.

Scott

  • Who loses there job if the cubs dont make the playoffs, Hoyer or Counsell? Thanks

Mark P

  • Hoyer just signed a new extension last summer, whereas Counsell is signed through 2028.  Counsell is earning more than $8MM per season, so that would be over $16MM that Cubs ownership would have to eat in the event of a managerial change.This is another situation where the injuries have to be acknowledge, since it isn’t Counsell’s fault that the Cubs’ list of pitching injuries is well into the double figures.

Dave

  • Can the Giants find a trade for Chapman? I know he has a no trade clause but moving him is a key for both Schmitt and Eldridge.

Mark P

  • I believe June 15 is the first day teams are allowed to trade players they signed to a free agent deal the previous offseason.  So that means San Francisco has a few more weeks to gauge their situation before opening the door to Luis Arraez offers.  It is far, far more likely that an impending free agent like Arraez is dealt before guys like Chapman on long-term contracts.
  • If Arraez is dealt, Schmitt then plays second base, and Eldridge now has a regular spot at either 1B or DH.

Chaim Bloom

  • Will I have to ruin the farm system to buy at the deadline if we continue winning?

Mark P

  • Bloom’s not going to shift course from this long-planned rebuild just to suddenly trade key prospects for short-term upgrades.  If St. Louis is still in the running at the deadline, I can see the Cards making a few modest adds (likely for pitching) but nothing earth-shaking

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Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

Anthony Franco

  • Good afternoon, hope all is well!
  • Looking forward to another of these, let's get going

Drew

  • If you’re Andrew Friedman, which of the Dodgers outfield prospects are untouchable and which are in the mix in Skubal trade

Sandy at 90

  • I know it is early but assuming that Skubal comes back from surgery and the Tigers fall out of the race, opinion on this deal to Dodgers. Skubal to LA for Zyhir Hope, River Ryan and Kellon Lynsey. Who says no?

Scott Harris

  • Should I worry about my job or Hinch's? With the season slipping away, what is the max value Tarik Skubal would bring in a trade, once he's pitched effectively in a regular-season game?  With Valdez, Mize, Montero, Anderson and some other starters soon to return, pitching isn't the issue - hitting is.  Would a Skubal trade for a controllable OF/3B/1B bat be feasible? Perhaps a three-way for Devers if the Giants turn sellers? That might at lease let us improve offensively to compensate for Skubal's loss. Speaking of offense, Tork has produced very little; Keith has a nice BA but 0HR/6RBI isn't a 1B profile, either.  Should Tork head to Toledo and Anderson get a shot?  Keith to 1B until a trade brings another bat?

Anthony Franco

  • Understandably a handful of Skubal questions. Tigers are going to take this to the wire but obviously the odds of a midseason trade keep going up the more they lose. Four-game sweep at the hands of the biggest threat in the division is brutal
  • Don't think any of the Dodgers' prospects should be untouchable for Skubal. Assuming he comes back before the deadline, he's the player who'd most single-handedly improve their World Series odds
  • De Paula's the one I'd most want to avoid trading, but if the Tigers were insistent on him as the headliner, I'd have a tough time walking away
  • Hope + Ryan feels like a reasonable starting point. If Tigers do trade Skubal, it'd be more multiple young players. They're not going to have any interest in Devers

John B

  • When Webb comes off the IL does Mahle get waived? I know it's a chunk of money but he's been awful and McDonald has been their best starter so far.

Anthony Franco

  • Can't send McDonald down, I agree. Guessing it's Houser to the bullpen given the amount of money they invested in him and Mahle but those guys have both had brutal starts
  • Houser's results have been a little better lately but still about an equal number of walks and strikeouts. It's rough
  • I was fully out on Mahle but thought Houser would be better than this, even if I would not have gone to 2/22

Chad Tracy

  • With all due respect to Trevor Story, is his injury an opportunity for the Red Sox to make an improvement to the infield on both sides of the ball?
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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

Steve Adams

  • Good afternoon! We'll get going in 90 minutes or so, but feel free to submit questions ahead of time if you prefer. Looking forward to it!
  • Happy Monday! Let's get going

Rookie Craze

  • AJ Ewing or Henry Bolte?  Who's ship are you jumping on?  I see Ewing as a higher floor more guarantee to be a major league regular.  I see Bolte as having a higher ceiling and more chance at All Star status but more risk of being a flop.  Am I right?

Steve Adams

  • I think Ewing just has a higher ceiling and floor. Bolte probably has more power and obviously has elite speed, but the hit tool is so shaky. Ewing feels both safer and likelier to become an All-Star

Olereb

  • Are the Braves stuck with Jurickson Profar?  I mean it does not sound fair, the Braves signed him because they felt he could help them for the next 3 years. He cheated not once but twice, he let them down. In my opinion the Braves should be able to void his contract. There’s nobody that’s going to want him and the circus that’s going to follow him.

Steve Adams

  • They're not stuck paying him or anything. He's not taking a roster spot or collecting any salary while he's out with his suspension. He hit when he was healthy last year. I suppose they're stuck with him for 2027.I don't think you'll ever see an agreement that a PED suspension should void a player's contract. There are millions (tens of millions, in some cases) on the line. Imagine if ... I don't know, Anthony Rendon tested positive for PEDs last year and had his contract voided, then accused the Angels of giving him some kind of banned substance. It'd be a fiasco, and it flies in the face of the fully guaranteed contracts for which players have fought. I don't see it.

Carter

  • Marlins are gearing towards a disappointing season... do you think they will capitalize on the market and sell off starting pitching? Alcantara can warrant a good return while someone like Meyer can get a better one. Any thoughts?
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