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Archives for 2024

Ross Atkins Will Return As Blue Jays’ General Manager In 2025

By Steve Adams | October 2, 2024 at 11:00am CDT

11:00am: Atkins revealed during his own media availability that bench coach and offensive coordinator Don Mattingly will no longer oversee the team’s offense; he’ll fill a “more traditional” bench coach role. Between the change in Mattingly’s role and the reported firing of hitting coach Guillermo Martinez — which Atkins confirmed — the team will conduct an external search to bring in new voice to oversee the team’s offense.

10:15am: Blue Jays team president Mark Shapiro is currently meeting with the media on the heels of a season he described as a “bitter disappointment” and announced that Ross Atkins will return as the team’s general manager for the 2025 season. “There won’t be a change with Ross,” said Shapiro. (Readers can watch the live press conference via Sportsnet.) The 2024 season was Atkins’ ninth season as Toronto’s general manager after spending 14 seasons as an integral part of Cleveland’s player development department. He signed a five-year contract extension covering the 2022-26 seasons back in April of 2021.

This past season was indeed a disaster for the Jays, who finished out the season at 74-88 — last place in the American League East. The Blue Jays made a spirited run at Shohei Ohtani in free agency last offseason but added primarily complementary pieces after he signed a ten-year deal with the Dodgers. The Toronto front office inked Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Yariel Rodriguez to multi-year contracts, also adding veterans Justin Turner and Kevin Kiermaier on one-year deals (Kiermaier’s second one-year pact with the Jays).

Depth proved to be an Achilles heel for the Jays as injuries mounted. Bo Bichette endured multiple IL stints and was limited to half a season’s worth of uncharacteristically feeble production at the plate. Alek Manoah underwent UCL surgery. Closer Jordan Romano pitched just 13 2/3 rough innings before undergoing arthroscopic elbow surgery. Top prospects Orelvis Martinez (PED suspension) and Ricky Tiedemann (Tommy John surgery) had lost seasons. Meanwhile, key veterans like Kiermaier, George Springer, Danny Jansen, Erik Swanson, Tim Mayza and others turned in performances that were not commensurate with their prior standards. The Jays turned to a host of in-house stopgaps but, particularly in the bullpen, were unable to piece together a serviceable performance.

The end result saw Jansen, Kiner-Falefa, Yusei Kikuchi, Yimi Garcia and Nate Pearson all traded away in deadline swaps for younger talent. The Jays were universally praised for a strong return on Kikuchi, an impending free agent. However, that’s at best a silver lining when considering the team entered the 2024 campaign looking to build on last year’s Wild Card berth into the playoffs and was viewed as a legitimate contender in a deep AL East division.

Heading into the 2025 season, it’ll be incumbent upon Shapiro and Atkins to engineer an immediate turnaround, lest the calls for changes in leadership grow even louder. Asked about the club’s payroll outlook for the ’25 campaign, Shapiro demurred, calling it “early” to ask such a question and suggesting that next month’s GM Meetings or even December’s Winter Meetings would be a time at which he could offer a clearer answer. For now, the club’s president merely suggested he didn’t anticipate player payroll rising or decreasing in a significant manner.

If that’s indeed the case, Atkins will have his work cut out for him. The Jays entered the 2024 season with a club-record $225MM Opening Day payroll. RosterResource currently pegs them for just shy of $125MM in 2025 commitments, not including an arbitration class projected by MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz to cost more than $61MM in total. Add in a slate of league-minimum players to round out the roster, and the Jays are at just over $194MM. There are some likely non-tenders in this offseason’s class of arbitration-eligible players, but the group is headlined by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his projected $29.6MM salary, with notable paydays projected for Romano ($7.75MM), Daulton Varsho ($7.7MM) and Alejandro Kirk ($4.1MM) as well.

Asked multiple times about Guerrero’s future, Shapiro generally sidestepped the question. The slugger is entering his final season of club control before potentially becoming one of the most coveted free agents in recent memory. Manager John Schneider recently touted Guerrero as a generational talent. Asked today whether he agreed with that assessment, Shapiro questioned the definition of what constitutes a generational player and suggested that it’s tough to say right now, noting that Guerrero has the “potential” to become such a player but implying that such a label can’t be placed on him this early in his career.

Atkins spoke more directly on the matter of Guerrero’s future, suggesting that ownership will provide the support to make long-term commitments to both Guerrero and Bichette. That doesn’t guarantee an extension for either player will happen, of course, and Atkins noted that it’s “difficult” to construct a contract of such magnitude for even one player — let alone two players. Still, he voiced confidence that the Jays can support long-term deals for both and still have the resources needed to build a competitive roster around what would presumably be a pair of substantial contracts.

With regard to the forthcoming offseason, Atkins spoke generally about the need to be “more aggressive” with external additions to the roster than the Blue Jays were this past offseason, specifically in the bullpen. He also called adding a power bat “low-hanging fruit” but also noted that it’s not as simple as adding a pure slugger, citing a need to look at contact ability, on-base skills, and strengths against specific pitch types.

Asked whether the aforementioned Rodriguez and Bowden Francis have pitched well enough to solidify their spots in the rotation next season, Atkins praised both pitchers for the job they did in the season’s second half. The Jays will be in the market for both depth and “impact” starting pitching, per Atkins, but with Kevin Gausman, Jose Berrios, Chris Bassitt, Rodriguez and Francis all in the fold, the GM said he feels fortunate to not feel a dire need to be in the market for a top free-agent starter.

The manner in which the Jays will pursue upgrades was left fairly open-ended. Both Atkins and Shapiro spoke favorably of the 13 young players Toronto acquired at this season’s trade deadline. Atkins acknowledged that while many of those players are viewed as potential near-term contributors, that influx of talent into the system also opens the door for potential trades involving some of those same prospects. The Blue Jays will explore both the free agent and trade markets as they look to revamp the roster, but it’s clear from both men’s comments today that the club does not plan to take any kind of step back and will endeavor to put a playoff contender on the field next year. That much has been reported at various points since the deadline, but today’s on-record commitment to such an approach from the team’s top two decision-makers is nevertheless notable.

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Newsstand Toronto Blue Jays Bo Bichette Bowden Francis Don Mattingly Mark Shapiro Ross Atkins Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Yariel Rodriguez

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MLBTR Podcast: Buster Posey Takes Over In SF And The Cardinals’ Succession Plan

By Darragh McDonald | October 2, 2024 at 9:25am CDT

The latest episode of the MLB Trade Rumors Podcast is now live on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and wherever you get your podcasts! Make sure you subscribe as well! You can also use the player at this link to listen, if you don’t use Spotify or Apple for podcasts.

This week, host Darragh McDonald is joined by Anthony Franco of MLB Trade Rumors to discuss…

  • The Giants firing president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi and giving the job to Buster Posey (1:15)
  • The Cardinals will replace president of baseball operations John Mozeliak with Chaim Bloom after 2025 (15:05)

Plus, we answer your questions, including…

  • What return could the Cardinals expect for Nolan Arenado, Willson Contreras, Sonny Gray, Ryan Helsley? (28:40)
  • Where will Paul Goldschmidt sign? (37:55)
  • What is the Guardians’ rotation going to look like in 2025 and is a Shane Bieber reunion possible? (41:30)
  • Do the Marlins have to turn the page on Edward Cabrera and Jesús Sánchez? (46:55)

Check out our past episodes!

  • Final Days In Oakland, The Surging Tigers, And If The Nats Will Pursue Juan Soto – listen here
  • The Matt Chapman Negotiations, Dodgers’ Pitching Injuries, And Strengths And Weaknesses Of Playoff Contenders – listen here
  • Matt Chapman’s Extension, Star Prospect Promotions, Bo Bichette’s Future In Toronto – listen here

The podcast intro and outro song “So Long” is provided courtesy of the band Showoff.  Check out their Facebook page here!

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Cleveland Guardians MLB Trade Rumors Podcast Miami Marlins San Francisco Giants St. Louis Cardinals Buster Posey Chaim Bloom Farhan Zaidi John Mozeliak

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The Opener: AL Wild Card Matchups, NL Wild Card Matchups

By Leo Morgenstern | October 2, 2024 at 8:37am CDT

With another full day of postseason baseball on the docket, here are the four games to watch this afternoon and evening:

1. Astros vs. Tigers:

The first game of the day kicks off at 1:32pm CT in Houston, where the Tigers (1-0) will send Tyler Holton to the mound as an opener against the Astros (0-1) and their Game 2 starter Hunter Brown. Holton has quietly been one of the most effective multi-inning relievers in the game over the past two years, pitching to a 2.15 ERA and 3.55 SIERA in 179 2/3 innings. Reese Olson (3.53 ERA, 3.93 SIERA in 22 starts) is a likely option to come in and pitch multiple innings after Holton as this surprising Tigers team looks to advance to the ALDS. Alternatively, Detroit could be trying to save Olson for a potential Game 3 (or Game 1 of the ALDS).

Brown is enjoying a breakout sophomore season, with a 3.49 ERA and 3.74 SIERA in 170 innings pitched. He has been especially successful in the second half, with a 2.26 ERA in 12 starts since the All-Star break. After ace Framber Valdez couldn’t get the job done on Tuesday, the responsibility of keeping Houston’s ALCS streak alive falls on Brown’s shoulders. The Astros have appeared in the past seven consecutive American League Championship Series.

2. Orioles vs. Royals:

Game 2 between the Orioles (0-1) and Royals (1-0) starts at 3:38pm CT, with Kansas City’s Seth Lugo taking on Baltimore’s Zach Eflin. The Orioles came into the series as the clear favorites, but the Royals hung on to win 1-0 in an incredible Game 1 pitchers’ duel between Cole Ragans and Corbin Burnes.

The second game of the series could make for another pitchers’ duel between Lugo and Eflin. Lugo is coming off a regular season for which he will surely receive Cy Young votes (3.00 ERA, 3.94 SIERA in 28 starts). Eflin hasn’t been quite as sharp all year (3.59 ERA, 3.97 SIERA in 28 starts), but his underlying numbers are similar to Lugo’s, and he looked excellent over the final two months of the season (2.37 ERA in eight starts). Considering how poorly the Royals’ offense performed in September, Eflin should also have the easier lineup to face as he strives to keep his team alive and snap the Orioles’ postseason losing streak at nine games.

3. Brewers vs. Mets:

The NL slate begins in the evening with Game 2 of the Brewers-Mets series starting at 6:38pm CT. The Brewers (0-1) will send Frankie Montas to the mound at American Family Field. Milwaukee has not won a postseason series since 2018, and the Brewers have never won so much as a single game in the Wild Card round of the playoffs.

Meanwhile, the Mets (1-0) will send Sean Manaea to the hill hoping to pull off a sweep. The Mets have not won a postseason series since 2015 when they won the NL pennant. Although Milwaukee has home-field advantage, New York has an edge when it comes to the pitching matchup. Manaea is coming off arguably the best season of his career (3.47 ERA, 3.97 SIERA in 32 starts), while Montas hasn’t been nearly as impressive (4.84 ERA, 4.38 SIERA in 30 starts).

4. Padres vs. Braves:

The final game of the evening begins at 7:38pm CT, with the Braves (0-1) sending Max Fried (3.25 ERA, 3.61 SIERA in 29 starts) to the bump against Joe Musgrove (3.88 ERA, 3.62 SIERA in 19 starts) of the Padres (1-0). While Fried has had the better season, Musgrove has been dominant since his return from the IL in August (2.15 ERA, 3.01 SIERA in nine starts). Working in Fried’s favor, however, is the fact that he is left-handed; the Padres have a .689 OPS against southpaws this season, much worse than their .764 OPS against righties.

Interestingly, this is the only Wild Card Series in which the higher-seeded team won the first game.

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The Opener

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Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2025

By Anthony Franco | October 1, 2024 at 11:59pm CDT

Matt Swartz has created a model to project salaries for arbitration eligible players, which we’ve been publishing at MLB Trade Rumors for 14 years.

In the baseball industry, teams and agents determine arbitration salaries by identifying comparable players. To project the entire arbitration class in this way would take a massive amount of time and effort. So, Matt has developed an algorithm to project arbitration salaries that looks at the player’s playing time, position, role, and performance statistics while accounting for inflation. The performance of comparable players matters, but our system is not directly selecting individual comps for each individual player.

As a disclaimer, it should be emphasized that our projections are not to be used as a scorecard for the agent and team on an individual player level. A player doing better or worse than our projection isn’t indicative of anything. Our arbitration projections are created as a tool for our readers to get a general idea of a team’s payroll situation.

The service time figures included are not official.  Also, there is not yet an established Super Two cutoff, which delineates which players with between two and three years of service qualify for early arbitration. That could lead to a few late entrants being added to the list. It’s also worth noting that contracts signed prior to the non-tender deadline aren’t generally considered to be normal arbitration comparables; contracts signed prior to that deadline can be skewed by light offers that are presented to borderline non-tender candidates in take-it-or-leave-it fashion (with “leave it,” in such instances, being a non-tender). That’s not universal to all pre-tender deals but is frequently applicable.

One other note: it’s increasingly common for teams to negotiate one-year deals with club options or mutual options covering an additional arbitration season. We’ve noted all of the players who have an option for the 2025 season under the terms of a prior agreement. If the team buys out that option, the player does not become a free agent. He simply is paid whatever buyout (if any) was agreed upon under the terms of the prior agreement and heads back through the arbitration process again this winter.

If you find MLBTR’s arbitration projections useful, please consider supporting us with a subscription.  Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers received early access to these arbitration projections, and the subscription also includes the best research tools you can get without actually working for an MLB team: our contract tracker, and our agency database.

The projections:

Angels (12)

  • Griffin Canning (5.075): $5.1MM
  • Luis Rengifo (5.043): $5.8MM
  • Taylor Ward (4.164): $9.2MM
  • Patrick Sandoval (4.149): $5.9MM
  • Jose Quijada (4.046): $1.1MM
  • Brock Burke (4.045): $1.2MM
  • Jose Suarez (4.022): $1.2MM
  • Carson Fulmer (3.108): $1MM
  • Jo Adell (3.085): $2.1MM
  • Matt Thaiss (3.038): $1.3MM
  • Mickey Moniak (3.027): $1.8MM
  • Reid Detmers (2.159): $1.9MM

Astros (10)

  • Framber Valdez (5.163): $17.8MM
  • Kyle Tucker (5.079): $15.8MM
  • Jose Urquidy (5.049): $3.75MM
  • Mauricio Dubon (4.162): $4.6MM
  • Luis Garcia (4.083): $1.875MM
  • Bryan Abreu (4.022): $3.7MM
  • Chas McCormick (4.000): $3.3MM
  • Jake Meyers (3.044): $2.2MM
  • Jeremy Pena (3.000): $4.4MM
  • Penn Murfee (2.169): $800K

Athletics (5)

  • Austin Adams (5.150): $1.7MM
  • Miguel Andujar (5.053): $2.8MM
  • Seth Brown (4.096): $3.8MM
  • Brent Rooker (3.059): $5.1MM
  • Dany Jimenez (2.162): $1MM

Blue Jays (10)

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (5.157): $29.6MM
  • Erik Swanson (5.059): $3.2MM
  • Jordan Romano (5.051): $7.75MM
  • Genesis Cabrera (5.011): $2.5MM
  • Dillon Tate (4.144): $1.9MM
  • Daulton Varsho (4.128): $7.7MM
  • Alejandro Kirk (4.047): $4.1MM
  • Alek Manoah (3.063): $2.4MM
  • Zach Pop (2.171): $1MM
  • Ernie Clement (2.168): $1.7MM

Braves (6)

  • Ramon Laureano (5.159): $6.1MM
  • Cavan Biggio (5.110): $4.3MM
  • Huascar Ynoa (3.117): $825K
  • Jarred Kelenic (2.169): $2.3MM
  • Dylan Lee (2.150): $1.2MM
  • Eli White (2.140): $800K

Brewers (10)

  • Hoby Milner (5.068): $2.7MM
  • Aaron Civale (5.058): $8MM
  • Devin Williams (5.056): $7.7MM (Brewers hold $10.5MM club option/$250K buyout)
  • Jake Bauers (4.084): $2.3MM
  • Bryse Wilson (4.036): $1.5MM
  • Joel Payamps (4.027): $2.8MM
  • Eric Haase (3.159): $1.8MM
  • William Contreras (3.112): $7.6MM
  • Nick Mears (3.022): $900K
  • Trevor Megill (3.002): $2MM

Cardinals (6)

  • Ryan Helsley (5.105): $6.9MM
  • JoJo Romero (4.045): $1.9MM
  • John King (3.145): $1.5MM
  • Lars Nootbaar (3.076): $2.5MM
  • Brendan Donovan (3.000): $3.6MM
  • Andre Pallante (2.145): $2.3MM

Cubs (14)

  • Yency Almonte (5.143): $2.2MM
  • Christian Bethancourt (5.023): $2.5MM
  • Mike Tauchman (4.143): $2.9MM
  • Julian Merryweather (4.109): $1.3MM
  • Nick Madrigal (4.087): $1.9MM
  • Patrick Wisdom (4.058): $3MM
  • Adbert Alzolay (4.050): $2.3MM
  • Trey Wingenter (4.049): $1.4MM
  • Nate Pearson (4.005): $1.4MM
  • Isaac Paredes (3.160): $6.9MM
  • Justin Steele (3.143): $6.4MM
  • Jimmy Herget (3.069): $900K
  • Colten Brewer (3.063): $800K
  • Keegan Thompson (3.006): $1MM

Diamondbacks (8)

  • Zac Gallen (5.100): $14.1MM
  • A.J. Puk (4.124): $2.6MM
  • Ryan Thompson (4.095): $2.9MM
  • Kevin Ginkel (4.033): $2.3MM
  • Joe Mantiply (4.029): $1.6MM
  • Kyle Nelson (3.076): $800K
  • Geraldo Perdomo (3.015): $2.1MM
  • Pavin Smith (3.015): $1.6MM

Dodgers (9)

  • Dustin May (5.059): $2.135MM
  • Michael Kopech (5.041): $5.2MM
  • Brusdar Graterol (4.167): $2.7MM
  • Tony Gonsolin (4.152): $5.4MM
  • Evan Phillips (4.136): $6.2MM
  • Gavin Lux (4.114): $2.7MM
  • Alex Vesia (4.078): $1.9MM
  • Connor Brogdon (3.139): $800K
  • Anthony Banda (3.135): $1.1MM

Giants (4)

  • Mike Yastrzemski (5.128): $9.5MM
  • LaMonte Wade Jr. (5.035): $4.7MM
  • Tyler Rogers (5.034): $5.5MM
  • Camilo Doval (3.071): $4.6MM

Guardians (9)

  • Josh Naylor (5.127): $12MM
  • Lane Thomas (5.014): $8.3MM
  • James Karinchak (4.099): $1.9MM
  • Triston McKenzie (4.002): $2.4MM
  • Sam Hentges (3.157): $1.4MM
  • Nick Sandlin (3.157): $1.6MM
  • Eli Morgan (3.091): $1MM
  • Steven Kwan (3.000): $4.3MM
  • Ben Lively (2.133): $3.2MM

Marlins (6)

  • Jesus Luzardo (4.165): $6MM
  • Anthony Bender (3.153): $1.4MM
  • Jesus Sanchez (3.118): $3.2MM
  • Braxton Garrett (2.168): $1.8MM
  • Nick Fortes (2.149): $1.6MM
  • Edward Cabrera (2.147): $2.2MM

Mariners (12)

  • Austin Voth (5.115): $2.2MM
  • JT Chargois (5.101): $1.7MM
  • Luis Urias (5.014): $5MM
  • Trent Thornton (4.148): $2.1MM
  • Randy Arozarena (4.129): $11.7MM
  • Josh Rojas (4.126): $4.3MM
  • Sam Haggerty (4.036): $900K
  • Logan Gilbert (3.144): $8.1MM
  • Tayler Saucedo (3.112): $1MM
  • Cal Raleigh (3.085): $5.6MM
  • Gabe Speier (2.172): $900K
  • George Kirby (2.151): $5.5MM

Mets (8)

  • Joey Lucchesi (5.112): $1.8MM
  • Paul Blackburn (5.018): $4.4MM
  • Luis Torrens (4.105): $1.1MM
  • Tyrone Taylor (4.093): $2.9MM
  • David Peterson (4.089): $4.4MM
  • Alex Young (4.085): $1.4MM
  • DJ Stewart (3.144): $1.7MM
  • Sean Reid-Foley (3.133): $900K
  • Tylor Megill (3.031): $2.1MM

Nationals (9)

  • Tanner Rainey (5.127): $1.9MM
  • Derek Law (5.081): $3MM
  • Ildemaro Vargas (5.007): $1.8MM
  • Kyle Finnegan (5.000): $8.6MM
  • Luis Garcia Jr. (3.142): $4.8MM
  • Josiah Gray (3.075): $1.4MM
  • Mason Thompson (3.046): $800K
  • Riley Adams (3.005): $1.1MM
  • MacKenzie Gore (3.000): $3.5MM

Orioles (15)

  • Gregory Soto (5.102): $5.6MM
  • Cedric Mullins (5.078): $8.7MM
  • Jorge Mateo (5.000): $3.2MM
  • Matt Bowman (4.137): $1.3MM
  • Ryan Mountcastle (4.105): $6.6MM
  • Cionel Perez (4.085): $2.1MM (Orioles hold $2.2MM club option)
  • Keegan Akin (4.083): $1.4MM
  • Trevor Rogers (4.075): $2.8MM
  • Jacob Webb (4.046): $1.7MM
  • Ramon Urias (4.025): $3.1MM
  • Tyler Wells (3.132): $2.1MM
  • Dean Kremer (3.112): $3.5MM
  • Emmanuel Rivera (3.026): $1.4MM
  • Adley Rutschman (3.000): $5.8MM
  • Kyle Bradish (2.160): $2.1MM

Padres (8)

  • Luis Arraez (5.121): $14.6MM
  • Dylan Cease (5.089): $13.7MM
  • Tyler Wade (5.058): $900K
  • Michael King (5.004): $7.9MM
  • Adrian Morejon (4.140): $1.8MM
  • Jason Adam (4.132): $5.3MM
  • Luis Patino (3.061): $800K
  • Luis Campusano (2.144): $1.7MM

Phillies (9)

  • Ranger Suarez (5.112): $8.9MM
  • Austin Hays (5.057): $6.4MM
  • Jose Ruiz (4.148): $1.2MM
  • Edmundo Sosa (4.140): $2.5MM
  • Garrett Stubbs (4.120): $1.2MM
  • Alec Bohm (4.106): $8.1MM
  • Kolby Allard (4.021): $1.1MM
  • Brandon Marsh (3.078): $3MM
  • Bryson Stott (3.000): $3.5MM

Pirates (9)

  • Dennis Santana (4.126): $1.8MM
  • David Bednar (4.076): $6.6MM
  • Ben Heller (3.165): $1MM
  • Connor Joe (3.136): $3.2MM
  • Johan Oviedo (3.079): $1.5MM
  • Bryan De La Cruz (3.056): $4MM
  • Joey Bart (3.020): $1.8MM
  • Colin Holderman (2.144): $1.4MM
  • Bailey Falter (2.138): $2.8MM

Rangers (5)

  • Nathaniel Lowe (4.145): $10.7MM
  • Jonah Heim (4.097): $4.8MM
  • Dane Dunning (4.078): $4.4MM
  • Josh Sborz (4.055): $1.3MM
  • Leody Taveras (3.124): $4.3MM

Rays (12)

  • Colin Poche (5.114): $3.4MM
  • Zack Littell (5.043): $4.8MM
  • Tyler Alexander (5.011): $2.8MM
  • Drew Rasmussen (4.111): $2MM
  • Dylan Carlson (4.104): $2.7MM
  • Cole Sulser (4.031): $1MM
  • Taylor Walls (3.092): $1.3MM
  • Garrett Cleavinger (3.060): $1.4MM
  • Ben Rortvedt (3.043): $1.1MM
  • Jose Siri (3.015): $2.3MM
  • Richard Lovelady (3.008): $900K
  • Shane Baz (2.158): $1.9MM

Red Sox (3)

  • Tanner Houck (3.100): $4.5MM
  • Jarren Duran (2.155): $4.9MM
  • Kutter Crawford (2.136): $3.5MM

Reds (10)

  • Ty France (5.089): $8.6MM
  • Tejay Antone (5.000): $1.1MM
  • Santiago Espinal (4.149): 4MM
  • Jake Fraley (4.097): $3.3MM
  • Tyler Stephenson (4.056): $5.2MM
  • Austin Wynns (4.017): $1.4MM
  • Ian Gibaut (3.077): $800K
  • Sam Moll (3.075): $1.1MM
  • Alexis Diaz (3.000): $4.2MM
  • Nick Lodolo (3.000): $2.2MM

Rockies (10)

  • Dakota Hudson (5.141): $2.3MM
  • Cal Quantrill (5.132): $9MM
  • Austin Gomber (5.111): $5.6MM
  • Brendan Rodgers (5.075): $5.5MM
  • Jake Cave (5.071): $1.8MM
  • Peter Lambert (4.083): $1.5MM
  • Sam Hilliard (4.023): $1.7MM
  • Lucas Gilbreath (3.148): $900K
  • Justin Lawrence (2.167): $1MM
  • Ryan Feltner (2.143): $2.6MM

Royals (10)

  • Josh Taylor (5.121): $1.1MM
  • Hunter Harvey (5.047): $3.9MM
  • Brady Singer (4.156): $8.8MM
  • Kris Bubic (4.135): $2.8MM
  • Kyle Wright (4.062): $1.8MM
  • John Schreiber (4.027): $2MM
  • Carlos Hernandez (3.099): $1.2MM
  • Kyle Isbel (3.043): $1.7MM
  • MJ Melendez (2.153): $2.5MM
  • Daniel Lynch IV (2.136): 1.1MM

Tigers (11)

  • Tarik Skubal (4.114): $8MM
  • Casey Mize (4.111): $2MM (Tigers hold $3.1MM club option/$10K buyout)
  • Jake Rogers (4.040): $2.5MM
  • Will Vest (3.100): $1.4MM
  • Zach McKinstry (3.099): $1.3MM
  • Jason Foley (3.033): $3.5MM
  • Matt Vierling (3.026): $3MM
  • Akil Baddoo (3.003): $1.6MM
  • Alex Lange (3.003): $1.3MM
  • Andy Ibanez (2.170): $1.5MM
  • Beau Brieske (2.134): $1.3MM

Twins (13)

  • Willi Castro (5.017): $6.2MM
  • Jorge Alcala (4.165): $1.7MM (Twins hold $1.5MM club option/$55K buyout)
  • Ryan Jeffers (4.089): $4.7MM
  • Michael Tonkin (4.074): $1.5MM
  • Justin Topa (4.044): $1.3MM
  • Alex Kirilloff (3.141): $1.8MM
  • Bailey Ober (3.093): $4.3MM
  • Brock Stewart (3.093): $800K
  • Griffin Jax (3.091): $2.6MM
  • Joe Ryan (3.033): $3.8MM
  • Trevor Larnach (3.009): $2.1MM
  • Jhoan Duran (3.000): $3.7MM
  • Royce Lewis (2.142): $2.3MM

White Sox (9)

  • Nicky Lopez (5.139): $5.1MM
  • Matt Foster (4.093): $900K
  • Garrett Crochet (4.028): $2.9MM
  • Enyel De Los Santos (4.015): $1.7MM
  • Andrew Vaughn (4.000): $6.4MM
  • Justin Anderson (3.122): $1.1MM
  • Jimmy Lambert (3.108): $1.2MM
  • Gavin Sheets (3.076): $2.6MM
  • Steven Wilson (3.000): $1MM

Yankees (10)

  • Jon Berti (5.168): $3.8MM
  • Tim Mayza (5.129): $4MM
  • Nestor Cortes (5.094): $7.7MM
  • Jose Trevino (5.063): $3.4MM
  • Trent Grisham (5.060): $5.7MM
  • JT Brubaker (5.000): $2.275MM
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. (4.075): $6.9MM
  • Mark Leiter Jr. (4.031): $2.1MM
  • Clarke Schmidt (3.148): $3.5MM
  • Scott Effross (2.156): $900K
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Kendrick, Hazen Discuss Jordan Montgomery Signing

By Anthony Franco | October 1, 2024 at 11:48pm CDT

The Diamondbacks came up just shy of the postseason. Arizona missed out on the final Wild Card spot via tiebreaker after the Mets and Braves split Monday’s doubleheader to each punch their ticket. In the immediate aftermath of that disappointment, the club’s owner provided a scathing criticism of one of the team’s biggest offseason moves.

Owner Ken Kendrick appeared on The Burns & Gambo Show on Monday afternoon. Asked about the team’s late free agent pickup of Jordan Montgomery, the owner both took responsibility for the signing while not holding back with an indictment of the southpaw’s performance.

“If anyone wants to blame anyone for Jordan Montgomery being a Diamondback, you’re talking to the guy that should be blamed,” Kendrick said (starting around the 12:45 mark). “Because I brought it to (the front office’s) attention. I pushed for it. They agreed to it. It wasn’t in our game plan. … And looking back, in hindsight, a horrible decision to have invested that money in a guy that performed as poorly as he did. It’s our biggest mistake this season from a talent standpoint. And I’m the perpetrator of that.”

It’s the kind of public criticism that an owner rarely levels at a player who remains on the roster. Montgomery’s $25MM deal contained a vesting player option for the upcoming season. That was initially valued at $20MM and the veteran pushed that to $22.5MM by reaching 18 starts. He’s certainly not going to walk away from that sum after this season, so he’ll at least go into the offseason on the Arizona roster.

Montgomery’s 2024 campaign was very underwhelming. He allowed a 6.23 earned run average through 117 innings while striking out a career-low 15.6% of batters faced. Montgomery had an ERA above 5.00 in every month from May onward. He lost his spot in the rotation late in the year when Ryne Nelson outperformed him for the fifth starter job. Montgomery stepped back into the rotation with Nelson on the injured list in the season’s final couple weeks. He allowed three runs without completing five innings in either of his final two starts — games which Arizona dropped in Colorado and Milwaukee respectively.

Kendrick certainly isn’t alone in being frustrated with Montgomery’s performance. It’s nevertheless surprising to see an owner publicly call a free agent signing “a horrible decision” while that player is still on the team.

General manager Mike Hazen conducted his annual end-of-season press conference on Tuesday. As one would expect, the GM took a more diplomatic tone when asked about Kendrick’s statement. Hazen began by stating that as the leader of baseball operations, he is “ultimately responsible to say no … or yes to a lot of things” (relayed on X by Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports). The GM called the Montgomery signing “a group process” before stating that he expects better results in 2025. “Whatever myriad of factors went into this year … it didn’t work out. It didn’t work out, but I also think next year is going to look a lot different,” Hazen concluded.

The GM’s comments are far more typical in these kinds of situations. Even if the Montgomery signing was driven by ownership, Hazen isn’t likely to take a public jab at Kendrick. One can debate how sincerely Hazen expects Montgomery to rebound, though it’s hard to imagine he won’t improve to some extent. Before this season, the 6’6″ lefty had been one of the more consistent pitchers in MLB. He posted a sub-4.00 ERA with 30+ starts in each year from 2021-23. Montgomery’s late signing deprived him of a normal Spring Training.

In August, Montgomery opined that former agent Scott Boras “kind of butchered” his free agency. That’s presumably a reference both to the one-year guarantee that fell well shy of expectations and his late landing in the desert. Montgomery changed his representation within weeks of signing with Arizona.

Kendrick’s comments figure to further speculation that the D-Backs could try to trade Montgomery this offseason. That’d probably have a goal for the front office in either case. They’re not going to find anyone willing to take on his entire salary, but the Snakes could try to explore an undesirable contract swap of some kind. Arizona goes into the offseason with a projected rotation of Zac Gallen, Merrill Kelly, Brandon Pfaadt, Eduardo Rodriguez and Nelson. That’s a talented group on paper, but only Gallen and Nelson performed up to expectations late in the year. Pfaadt posted an ERA near 6.00 after the All-Star Break, while Rodriguez and Kelly battled shoulder injuries and didn’t pitch at their typical level during the playoff push.

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Arizona Diamondbacks Jordan Montgomery

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34 Players Elect Free Agency

By Anthony Franco | October 1, 2024 at 9:55pm CDT

As the offseason nears, a number of players elect minor league free agency each week. These players are separate from six-year MLB free agents, who’ll reach the open market five days after the conclusion of the World Series. Eligible minor leaguers can begin electing free agency as soon as the regular season wraps up. These players were all outrighted off a team’s 40-man roster during the year and have the requisite service time and/or multiple career outrights necessary to reach free agency since they weren’t added back to teams’ rosters.

Electing free agency is the anticipated outcome for these players. There’ll surely be more to test the market in the coming weeks. We’ll offer periodic updates at MLBTR. These transactions are all reflected on the MiLB.com log.

Catchers

  • Alex Jackson (Rays)
  • Andrew Knapp (Giants)
  • Andrew Knizner (D-Backs)
  • Reese McGuire (Red Sox)
  • Jakson Reetz (Giants)
  • Ali Sánchez (Marlins)
  • Brian Serven (Blue Jays)

Infielders

  • Diego Castillo (Twins)
  • José Devers (Marlins)
  • Thairo Estrada (Giants)
  • Danny Mendick (White Sox)
  • Cole Tucker (Angels)
  • Jason Vosler (Mariners)

Outfielders

  • Billy McKinney (Pirates)
  • Cristian Pache (Marlins)

Designated Hitter

  • Willie Calhoun (Angels)

Pitchers

  • Phil Bickford (Yankees)
  • Ty Blach (Rockies)
  • Nick Burdi (Yankees)
  • John Curtiss (Rockies)
  • Kent Emanuel (Marlins)
  • Cole Irvin (Twins)
  • Casey Kelly (Reds)
  • Matt Koch (Rockies)
  • Steven Okert (Twins)
  • Yohan Ramírez (Red Sox)
  • Gerardo Reyes (A’s)
  • Trevor Richards (Twins)
  • Ryder Ryan (Pirates)
  • Kirby Snead (Mariners)
  • Touki Toussaint (White Sox)
  • Tanner Tully (Yankees)
  • Jordan Weems (Nationals)
  • Mitch White (Brewers)
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Arizona Diamondbacks Athletics Boston Red Sox Chicago White Sox Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies Los Angeles Angels Miami Marlins Milwaukee Brewers Minnesota Twins New York Yankees Pittsburgh Pirates San Francisco Giants Seattle Mariners Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays Transactions Washington Nationals Alex Jackson Ali Sanchez Andrew Knapp Andrew Knizner Billy McKinney Brian Serven Casey Kelly Cole Irvin Cole Tucker Cristian​ Pache Danny Mendick Diego Castillo (b. 1997) Gerardo Reyes Jakson Reetz Jason Vosler John Curtiss Jordan Weems Jose Devers Kent Emanuel Kirby Snead Matt Koch Mitch White Nick Burdi Phil Bickford Reese McGuire Ryder Ryan Steven Okert Tanner Tully Thairo Estrada Touki Toussaint Trevor Richards Ty Blach Willie Calhoun Yohan Ramirez

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Brewers Owner Discusses Upcoming Offseason

By Darragh McDonald | October 1, 2024 at 4:31pm CDT

The Brewers still have business to attend to here in 2024, as they won the National League Central. They naturally still have aspirations of continuing to win through October and nabbing a World Series title. But the offseason is going to start in a few weeks regardless of what happens in the playoffs and plans have to be made. Owner Mark Attanasio was asked about some of the questions facing the club with Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reporting on his responses. Most notably, Attanasio didn’t offer much insight on the club’s planned payroll for next year while downplaying the chances of the club re-signing shortstop Willy Adames.

On the payroll side of things, Attanasio didn’t really tip his hand. While the club’s strong performance this year has led to increased ticket revenue and strong TV ratings, the owner suggested that it may end up a wash with the club receiving less revenue sharing.

“We have a budget every year,” Attanasio said. “Revenue isn’t just ticket revenue; it (includes) beverage and sponsorships, all of which are strong. (There’s) also revenue sharing, which we’ve talked about a lot. The way that the revenue sharing model works, everybody puts their money in the pot and then it gets recalibrated. The more money you make on a comparative basis, the less revenue sharing you get.”

Attanasio also went on to highlight that the club will face some uncertainty in terms of their TV revenues. “We’ve got local media – some would say challenges, but I would say opportunities – with the challenges at Diamond (Sports Group) and Bally’s. If you look to the medium term and not just the short term, I look at that as opportunities because of the ability to control our digital rights, which are very valuable. And that may occasion a step back next year.” Per Hogg, Attanasio clarified that “a step back” meant less TV revenue coming in, not necessarily less money going out to the player payroll.

Diamond has been in a limbo state for quite some time now. Reports emerged in the 2022-23 offseason that the company, which owns Bally Sports networks, was in a bad financial position. The company filed for bankruptcy just before the 2023 season kicked off but has since tried to stay afloat. It’s not yet clear if their efforts to continue operating will ultimately be successful.

Though the company has continued to put together broadcasts for some clubs, their total portfolio has shifted. They dropped their contracts with the Padres and Diamondbacks in 2023. It threatened to do the same with the Guardians, Twins and Rangers for 2024 but ultimately renegotiated lower fees with those clubs. The Brewers have been fairly untouched so far but Hogg’s piece notes that their deal with Diamond expires after the 2024 season, making their 2025 TV revenue a big unknown at this point.

There are many moving parts between the gate revenue, uncertainty with the broadcast situation and the revenue sharing. Since the club continues to perform well on the field but is facing those questions about the business side of things, perhaps it’s fair to expect that the payroll won’t be wildly shifting in either direction.

The club’s payroll has generally fallen in the middle of the league, per Cot’s Baseball Contracts. Attanasio purchased the club in 2005 and the club has never been higher than 13th in terms of player spending since then. Since the pandemic, the Brewers have been in the range of 19th to 22nd among the 30 clubs in the majors. This year, they were 22nd with an Opening Day budget of $104MM.

Despite those financial limitations, there has been a lot of on-field success. This is the sixth time in the past seven years that Milwaukee has cracked the postseason, missing by just a single game in 2022.

Per RosterResource, the club only has $39MM committed to next year’s roster, though that number doesn’t really reflect the offseason picture. Rhys Hoskins has an $18MM player option that he will surely trigger on the heels of a down year. There’s a $4MM buyout, so he’ll add $14MM to the budget by sticking around for next year. The club will surely pick up club options on Freddy Peralta, Devin Williams and Colin Rea, adding another $21.25MM.

That would get the total number up to the $75MM range, before accounting for arbitration raises. Aaron Civale is making $4.9MM this year and should get a bump of a few million. Hoby Milner and Joel Payamps each made around $2MM this year and will get bumps. William Contreras will qualify for the first time and should be able to get a notable raise with his strong career to date. Players like Jake Bauers, Bryse Wilson, Eric Haase, Trevor Megill and Nick Mears are also in line for arb raises.

Depending on which of those players are tendered contracts and where the salaries ultimately end up, the Brewers could wind up fairly close to this year’s $104MM payroll before even making any offseason moves. Some trades could always free up some cash, but the club might not have a lot of powder dry to bring back Adames, which Attanasio was frank about.

“He’s going to get an enormous free-agent contract and I’m very happy for him and his family, and we’ll give it our best shot,” Attanasio said. “But there’s a lot deeper pockets out there. That’s just the reality.”

Adames had a bit of a down year in 2023 but has had a strong bounce back this year. He hit 32 home runs and drew walks in 10.8% of his plate appearances. His .251/.331/.462 line translated to a 119 wRC+, indicating he was 19% above league average at the plate overall. He also stole 21 bases in 25 tries. His defensive reviews weren’t as strong as previous years, with -16 Defensive Runs Saved and 0 Outs Above Average, though his career tallies are still positive in both of those metrics. Even with the diminished grades for his glovework, FanGraphs still considered him to be worth 4.8 wins above replacement on the year.

As a solidly above average shortstop going into his age-29 season, his free agency has a lot of comparables to Dansby Swanson, Javier Báez and Trevor Story. All three of them were in similar positions as they hit the open market. Báez and Story each got $140MM over six years while Swanson got $177MM over seven.

The Brewers have only once given out a contract anywhere near that range, with the extension for Christian Yelich getting to $188.5MM. Apart from that, the largest contract in franchise history was $105MM for Ryan Braun back in 2011, as shown on MLBTR’s Contract Tracker.

Given the club’s track record and current budgetary question marks, and Attanasio’s straightforward comments, the odds of Adames returning to Milwaukee seem to be quite low. Assuming that comes to pass, they will recoup draft pick compensation by making him a qualifying offer, which he will reject.

The club has a couple of in-house options to cover for Adames, as both Brice Turang and Joey Ortiz came up as shortstops in the minors. They have posted strong defensive grades primarily at second and third base this year respectively and either could be a candidate to move back to short going forward. Neither has qualified for arbitration yet, so it would be a low-cost solution to Adames’ departure if the club goes that route. They would then have to address either second or third base but could find internal solutions for that issue as well. The club has toyed with Sal Frelick being moved to third as a solution to its crowded outfield picture, though injuries have allowed him to stay in the outfield for now. Prospect Tyler Black is also a possibility at the hot corner going forward.

There will be many questions to be answered in the weeks and months to come. For now, the club will be focused on winning the games in front of them, which could also impact the upcoming winter. A lengthy playoff run would lead to more gate and TV revenue, which could perhaps impact how the front office and ownership answer some of these questions.

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Milwaukee Brewers Willy Adames

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Offseason Outlook: Washington Nationals

By Steve Adams | October 1, 2024 at 3:15pm CDT

After more than three years of rebuilding, the Nationals enter the offseason with a very clean long-term payroll outlook, young core players emerging at multiple spots on the roster, and a front office that sounds motivated to get back into contention sooner than later.

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Blue Jays Making Several Changes To Coaching Staff

By Anthony Franco | October 1, 2024 at 1:38pm CDT

Oct. 1: In addition to Martinez, the Blue Jays are reassigning field coordinator Gil Kim and assistant pitching coach Jeff Ware, reports Shi Davidi of Sportsnet. It seems they’ll remain with the club in other capacities but will no longer have direct roles on the major league staff. Assistant pitching coach David Howell is also slated for reassignment, per Davidi.

Kim was hired back in 2016, taking on the role of director of player development. He’s been on the big league staff since 2020. Ware was a minor league pitching coordinator and pitching coach in the Jays’ system for several years before joining the big league staff with a particular focus on the team’s bullpen in 2023. Howell was in his third season on the big league staff, and his focus has been on general pitching strategy.

Toronto will be on the lookout for some new staffers heading into the 2025 season and it’s possible that additional changes will be made.

Sept. 30: The Blue Jays are parting ways with hitting coach Guillermo Martinez, reports Scott Mitchell of TSN (X link). It’s the first change to John Schneider’s staff on the heels of a disappointing season.

Martinez has been Toronto’s hitting coach since the 2018-19 offseason. The Jays have also employed Don Mattingly as bench coach and offensive coordinator for the past couple seasons. However the Jays divided responsibilities between Mattingly and Martinez, they’ll look for a new voice at hitting coach.

The Jays had high expectations this year after winning between 89 and 92 games in each of the previous three seasons. Instead, Toronto finished at the bottom of the AL East with a 74-88 showing. The offense was a big part of that. The Jays finished 23rd in MLB with 671 runs. Their rate stats were closer to average. They hit .241/.313/.389, finishing between 13th and 20th in the slash categories. The Jays were 26th in home runs, though, certainly not providing the kind of power they’d anticipated. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. connected on 30 homers; no one else on the team reached 20.

Guerrero looks like a top 10 hitter in MLB. The Jays got promising work out of rookie infielder Spencer Horwitz. There wasn’t a ton else that went right for the team offensively. Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Justin Turner were traded midseason. Leo Jiménez was the only other hitter (minimum 200 plate appearances) with a better than average wRC+, and his .229/.329/.358 line was marginally above par. Toronto’s biggest focus on the offensive side is getting Bo Bichette back on track. The star shortstop entered the 2024 campaign as a career .299/.340/.487 hitter. He hit .225/.277/.322 this season around a trio of injured list stints.

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Toronto Blue Jays Guillermo Martinez

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Giants To Replace General Manager Pete Putila

By Darragh McDonald | October 1, 2024 at 1:25pm CDT

The Giants held a press conference today to allow new new president of baseball operations Buster Posey to address the media. During that session, Posey announced that general manager Pete Putila will be given a new role and the franchise will be hiring a new GM. Maria I. Guardado of MLB.com was among those to relay the news on X. Chairman Greg Johnson reported at the conference that Posey will retain his seat on the club’s ownership board and has a three-year contract to serve as the POBO (X links from Andrew Baggarly of The Athletic).

Putila was hired as the club’s general manager going into the 2023 season, working under then-president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi. He got that gig on the heels of a long run with the Astros. He started with Houston as an intern in 2011, eventually moving up to director of player development and then assistant general manager before jumping to the Giants.

It’s difficult to assign blame and/or credit to someone in Putila’s shoes, who had a notable position on the Giants’ decision-making pyramid for the past two years, but on a staff that involved input from dozens of people. Regardless, it’s not terribly surprising that Posey is looking to find his own lieutenant, as opposed to just inheriting one from the previous regime.

Posey is coming into his gig in fairly unusual circumstances. Many of the people who lead baseball operations departments work their way up the ladder through scouting or analytics channels, gradually getting promotions and moving to more important positions. Posey took a different route, as he was on the field as a player as recently as 2021. Less than a year after announcing his retirement in November of 2021, it was announced in September of 2022 that Posey was joining the club’s ownership board.

At that time, Posey said that he wasn’t “taking on any type of front office role” and that it would be more “hey, let me know where I can help and I’ll help there” approach with his new position. It seems that his role and influence have grown in the past two years. It was reported a couple of weeks back that Posey took a leading role in the Matt Chapman extension negotiations and now he has been given the POBO role with a three-year contract.

Though the club clearly has lots of faith in Posey and he surely has confidence in his own abilities to handle this role, it’s possible that his second-in-command could play a notable role in helping him deal with any parts of the job that he hasn’t fully tackled yet. As such, he probably wants to pick someone that he feels best suits that particular requirement or simply someone that he has a good working relationship with.

For Putila, it seems like he will remain with the club for now but in a changed role of some kind. Prior to joining the Giants, he had interest from other front offices. He was a candidate for Pittsburgh’s general manager vacancy that eventually went to Ben Cherington, for instance. If he has interest for other such vacancies going forward, there would be little standing in the way of him pursuing those now. Clubs generally allow their employees to interview for positions with other teams as long as a promotion is involved, so Putila shouldn’t have any obstacles if another club views him as a possible future GM or POBO.

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Newsstand San Francisco Giants Buster Posey Pete Putila

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