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2025-26 Offseason Outlook

Offseason Outlook: Detroit Tigers

By Anthony Franco | October 27, 2025 at 2:18pm CDT

The Tigers were the best team in the American League for a few months. They had a quiet deadline and narrowly avoided what would've been a historic collapse. While winning the Wild Card series and pushing the Mariners to the brink in the Division Series kept this from being a complete disaster, they unquestionably lost momentum in the second half. They're now facing a couple free agent departures and questions about the future for the sport's best pitcher.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Javier Báez, SS: $48MM through 2027
  • Jack Flaherty, RHP: $20MM player option for 2026
  • Colt Keith, 3B: $20.642MM through 2029 (including buyout of '30 club option; deal also includes club options for 2031-32)

Option Decisions

  • RHP Jack Flaherty holds $20MM player option
  • Team, RHP Paul Sewald hold $10MM mutual option ($1MM buyout)
  • Team holds $4MM option on RHP José Urquidy

Additional Financial Commitments

  • Owe $1MM buyout to outrighted RHP Randy Dobnak
  • Owe $500K buyout to released RHP John Brebbia

2026 guaranteed contracts: $30.5MM or $50.5MM depending on Flaherty's option decision
Total future commitments: $71.142MM or $91.142MM through 2029 depending on Flaherty

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Tanner Rainey (5.167): $1.6MM
  • Tarik Skubal (5.114): $17.8MM
  • Casey Mize (5.111): $5.4MM
  • Jake Rogers (5.040): $2.9MM
  • Will Vest (4.100): $3.3MM
  • Zach McKinstry (4.099): $3.5MM
  • Matt Vierling (4.026): $3.1MM
  • Jason Foley (3.150): $3.15MM
  • Alex Lange (3.145): $900K
  • Andy Ibañez (3.133): $1.8MM
  • Riley Greene (3.110): $6.6MM
  • Spencer Torkelson (3.076): $5.1MM
  • Kerry Carpenter (3.057): $3.5MM
  • Beau Brieske (3.056): $1.3MM
  • Tyler Holton (3.047): $1.7MM

Non-tender candidates: Rainey, Vierling, Foley, Lange, Ibañez, Brieske

Free Agents

  • Jack Flaherty (if he opts out), Gleyber Torres, Kyle Finnegan, Tommy Kahnle, Rafael Montero, Chris Paddack, Paul Sewald, Alex Cobb

It took just a few days after the Tigers were eliminated for speculation to begin about Tarik Skubal. He's a few weeks from his second Cy Young award and now a year away from free agency. Jon Heyman of The New York Post has already suggested Skubal could seek a $400MM contract. Heyman reported that was at least $250MM above what the Tigers were willing to offer during extension talks last winter. Evan Petzold of The Detroit Free-Press subsequently reported that Detroit had offered a four-year deal between $80MM and $100MM.

That was a noncompetitive proposal when Skubal was two years from the open market. His asking price has only climbed after another dominant season that moved him a year closer to free agency. It's not accurate to say that they're facing a $300MM gap -- the Tigers would obviously be willing to offer more than that now -- but it doesn't exactly point to them being likely to hammer out a long-term deal. That naturally leads to wishcasting from other teams (and their fanbases) about the possibility of pulling off a blockbuster trade.

There hasn't been any reporting that the Tigers intend to seriously hear teams out on Skubal, much less actively shop him. The rumors to date have been driven by a few recent instances of contending clubs trading a superstar before his final season of arbitration. The Mookie Betts trade was a disaster for the Red Sox. The Padres did quite well when they traded Juan Soto to the Yankees, winning 90+ games in each of the following two seasons. The Brewers got a solid but not overwhelming return for Corbin Burnes and have remained one of the NL's best teams over the past couple years. The Astros landed a strong three-player package for Kyle Tucker but narrowly missed the playoffs in year one.

The Tigers have made consecutive playoff appearances after a nine-year drought. The front office has already come under fire for a deadline where they deepened the pitching staff in bulk without parting with any significant prospects for an impact acquisition (aside from arguably Kyle Finnegan). They already have a top-tier farm system and could enter the offseason with as little as $30.5MM in guaranteed contracts. They can easily accommodate a projected $17.8MM arbitration salary for Skubal.

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Detroit Tigers Front Office Originals

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Offseason Outlook: New York Yankees

By Darragh McDonald | October 25, 2025 at 4:02pm CDT

The Yankees had another good season in 2025, but with the Yankees, good isn't good enough. Going into 2026, they will undoubtedly be looking to reload as they continue trying to take advantage of having a superhuman Aaron Judge on the roster.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Aaron Judge, OF: $240MM through 2031
  • Max Fried, LHP: $196MM through 2032 (includes $10MM to be paid in January of 2026, half of $20MM signing bonus)
  • Gerrit Cole, RHP: $108MM through 2028
  • Carlos Rodón, LHP: $81MM through 2028
  • Giancarlo Stanton, OF/DH: $64MM through 2027 (includes $10MM buyout on $25MM club option for 2028; Marlins covering $30MM of remaining guarantee as part of trade)
  • Ryan McMahon, 3B: $32MM through 2027

Other Financial Commitments

  • Owe $15MM to released IF DJ LeMahieu
  • Owe $1MM option buyout to released OF Aaron Hicks

Option Decisions

  • Cody Bellinger, OF: will opt out of one-year, $25MM, taking $5MM buyout
  • Club has $5MM option on RHP Jonathan Loáisiga with no buyout
  • Club has $3MM club option on LHP Tim Hill with $350K buyout

2026 guarantees, assuming Hill's option is picked up: $184MM
Total future commitments: $715MM

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. (5.075): $10.2MM
  • David Bednar (5.073): $9MM
  • Mark Leiter Jr. (5.031): $3MM
  • Clarke Schmidt (4.148): $4.9MM
  • Camilo Doval (4.071): $6.6MM
  • Jake Cousins (3.091): $841K
  • Ian Hamilton (3.081): $941K
  • Luis Gil (3.073): $2.1MM
  • Scott Effross (3.063): $800K
  • Jake Bird (3.051): $1MM
  • Oswaldo Cabrera (3.050): $1.2MM
  • Fernando Cruz (3.035): $1.3MM
  • Anthony Volpe (3.000): $3.9MM
  • José Caballero (2.170): $1.9MM

Non-tender candidates: Leiter, Schmidt, Doval, Cousins, Hamilton, Effross, Bird, Cabrera

Free Agents

  • Cody Bellinger, Paul Goldschmidt, Devin Williams, Trent Grisham, Luke Weaver, Amed Rosario, Ryan Yarbrough, Austin Slater, Paul Blackburn

The Yankees haven't had a losing season since 1992. They have missed the playoffs just five times in the past 31 years. But the expectations in the Bronx are higher than that. It's now been more than 15 years since the last parade.

There's always pressure for the Yankees to compete but that title drought should create extra urgency. There's also the ticking clock on Judge. He is still producing at an incredible level. Despite missing some time this year, FanGraphs credited him with 10.1 wins above replacement. But he can't keep that up forever and will turn 34 in April. Key contributors like Giancarlo Stanton, Gerrit Cole, Max Fried and Carlos Rodón are also in their 30s, adding to the sense that winning needs to come sooner than later.

A lot of good things still happened in 2025. In spring training, the club lost Cole to Tommy John surgery and Luis Gil to a lat strain. Despite losing two rotation building blocks, the team dominated early. They were 35-22 through the end of May, giving them a 5.5 game lead in the American League East. But a summer swoon took some wind out of the sails, allowing the Blue Jays to take over the top spot in the East. Those two clubs kept battling and ended up with the same record, though the Jays were given the nod via tiebreaker. They would then face off head-to-head in the ALDS, with the Jays emerging victorious.

Going into 2026, there is still a lot of talent on the Yankee roster, though there are questions. The rotation should be strong in the long run, though that's assuming improved health relative to now. There is certainly work to do in the outfield and bullpen, and maybe the infield too. There's also the question of how much the club can throw its weight around financially.

Historically, the Yankees have often been the biggest-spending club in the league. In 2025, they were third, according to RosterResource. The Yanks were at $294MM, well behind the Dodgers and Mets, and just barely ahead of the Phillies. Owner Hal Steinbrenner seems to feel that he shouldn't have to spend much more than $300MM, per Greg Joyce of The New York Post. The 2026 payroll is currently slated for $227MM, per RR. That gives the Yanks some breathing room even if they are going to be capped around $300MM, though that kind of powder can get used up pretty quickly when filling a roster with some notable holes. Is there enough pressure to push Steinbrenner beyond his comfort zone?

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Front Office Originals New York Yankees

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Offseason Outlook: Pittsburgh Pirates

By Steve Adams | October 25, 2025 at 7:51am CDT

The Pirates took a step back in 2025 and fired manager Derek Shelton early in the season. He was replaced by his bench coach, Don Kelly, who'll take over in the dugout into 2026 and beyond. General manager Ben Cherington's job status prompted plenty of speculation, but he'll be back for 2026 as well. Can the Pirates finally turn things around?

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Bryan Reynolds, OF: $76MM through 2030 (including buyout of 2031 club option)
  • Mitch Keller, RHP: $54.5MM through 2028

Total 2026 commitments: $30.5MM
Total long-term commitments: $130.5MM through 2030

Option Decisions

  • None

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; salary projections via MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Dennis Santana (5.126): $3.4MM
  • Johan Oviedo (4.078): $2MM
  • Joey Bart (4.020): $2.7MM
  • Justin Lawrence (3.167): $1.2MM
  • Yohan Ramirez (3.135): $1.2MM
  • Colin Holderman (3.120): $1.7MM
  • Oneil Cruz (3.110): $3.6MM
  • Dauri Moreta (3.056): $800K
  • Jack Suwinski (2.170): $1.7MM
  • Non-tender candidates: Holderman, Ramirez, Suwinski, Moreta

Free Agents

  • Andrew McCutchen, Tommy Pham

The Pirates have drawn increasing levels of praise for their excellent core of young pitching, headlined by likely NL Cy Young winner Paul Skenes, but the team's collection of bats is miles behind its impressive stable of arms. Anemic offense proved to be Pittsburgh's downfall yet again in 2025. The Pirates scored just 583 runs -- last in the majors and nearly 300 fewer than the MLB-leading Yankees' mark of 849. Pittsburgh hitters connected on just 117 homers -- a whopping 31 long balls behind the 29th-ranked Cardinals. The Pirates' lineup ranked 28th in batting average, 23rd in OBP and dead last in slugging percentage.

Addressing such widespread offensive deficiency isn't an easy task. Cherington's job security was the source of considerable speculation late in the year. He'll be back for 2026, but with Shelton out the door and owner Bob Nutting calling for "urgency" -- a rich declaration from an owner who hasn't signed a free agent to a multi-year deal in a decade -- there's mounting pressure for the sixth-year Pittsburgh GM to bolster the lineup in support of a strong pitching staff.

Even coming off a last-place finish, the Pirates seem far likelier to add to the roster than subtract. That doesn't mean there won't be some veteran Buccos available via trade -- there very likely will be -- but such trades will be aimed at acquiring young, MLB-ready hitters who can augment a lineup that's badly in need of an overhaul. Let's run through the roster and some possibilities.

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals Pittsburgh Pirates

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Offseason Outlook: San Francisco Giants

By Anthony Franco | October 24, 2025 at 7:00pm CDT

The first year of Buster Posey's front office tenure saw the Giants add a pair of stars. The end result was the same league average record that defined the Farhan Zaidi era. That spurred a bold change in the dugout. The Giants fired three-time Manager of the Year Bob Melvin while turning to the college ranks with a splash hire of former University of Tennessee head coach Tony Vitello.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Rafael Devers, DH: $238.5MM through 2033
  • Willy Adames, SS: $150MM through 2031
  • Matt Chapman, 3B: $125MM through 2030
  • Jung Hoo Lee, CF: $85MM through 2029 (can opt out after '27)
  • Logan Webb, RHP: $70MM through 2028
  • Robbie Ray, LHP: $25MM through 2026

Option Decisions

  • Team holds $4MM option on C Tom Murphy ($250K buyout)

2026 guaranteed contracts: $132.75MM
Total future commitments: $693.75MM through 2033

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • JT Brubaker (5.162): $2.1MM
  • Andrew Knizner (5.090): $1.3MM
  • Joey Lucchesi (5.047): $2MM
  • Ryan Walker (2.136): $2.5MM
  • Patrick Bailey (2.136): $2.2MM

Non-tender candidates: Brubaker, Knizner, Lucchesi

Free Agents

  • Justin Verlander, Wilmer Flores, Dominic Smith, Tom Murphy

After a few years of coming up empty on star pursuits, the Giants landed two impact hitters within the first nine months of Buster Posey's tenure atop baseball operations. They signed Willy Adames to a seven-year, $182MM free agent deal that represented the largest in franchise history. They made an even bigger commitment when they pulled off the Rafael Devers blockbuster in June. The Giants took on more than $240MM on Devers' contract over eight and a half seasons.

While the moves added much needed star talent to the San Francisco lineup, they didn't push the team to a playoff berth. On the heels of another .500 finish, they're now emphasizing a deeper pitching staff. "I think our focus is going to be on pitching, to try to fortify our starting staff. The same goes with the bullpen," Posey told Alex Pavlovic and Laura Britt of NBC Sports Bay Area. "I believe that pitching and defense wins, so that's where we'll probably start looking this offseason when free agency does happen."

That won't happen for another week or two, but the Giants didn't waste any time making significant changes. They fired manager Bob Melvin the day after the end of the regular season. A few weeks later, they zeroed in on Tony Vitello as their hire. There isn't any precedent for a top-tier college baseball coach jumping directly into MLB managing without any coaching or front office experience in pro ball.

There have been a few instances of teams poaching college pitching coaches. There are also examples of the "college to professional head coach" move in the NFL, NHL and NBA. Vitello will be the first test case in Major League Baseball. It remains to be seen how much of Melvin's staff will be retained. Bench coach Ryan Christenson and third base coach Matt Williams were out as soon as Melvin was dismissed.

The front office's focus now turns to the roster. They should have a good amount of payroll space with which to work. They have $132.75MM in guaranteed commitments for six highly-priced players. It's one of the game's lightest arbitration classes, though, with MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projecting the group for a little over $10MM. Non-tenders of JT Brubaker, Joey Lucchesi and Andrew Knizner would drop that below $5MM, as Patrick Bailey and Ryan Walker are their only two locks to be offered contracts.

That'd put their Opening Day payroll projection in the $150-155MM range if they filled the rest of the roster with minimum salaried players. RosterResource estimates their luxury tax number around $174MM, which is $70MM below the base threshold. The Giants ducked the luxury tax this year but had exceeded the threshold as recently as 2024. Even if they're not willing to go all the way to $244MM, they should be able to make multiple notable additions.

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Front Office Originals San Francisco Giants

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Offseason Outlook: Cleveland Guardians

By Darragh McDonald | October 24, 2025 at 3:15pm CDT

The Guardians pulled off one of the most incredible comebacks in baseball history to win the American League Central in 2025. Going into the winter, they have a lot of good pieces in place and will look to strengthen the roster as they try to win a third straight division title in 2026.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • José Ramírez, 3B: $69MM through 2028.
  • Tanner Bibee, RHP: $43MM through 2029, including $1MM buyout on 2030 club option.
  • Emmanuel Clase, RHP: $8MM through 2026, including $2MM buyout on 2027 club option. Deal also includes 2028 club option.
  • Trevor Stephan, RHP: $4.75MM through 2026, including $1.75MM buyout on 2027 club option. Deal also includes 2028 club option.
  • Austin Hedges, C: $4MM through 2026.

Other Financial Commitments

  • Owe $2.75MM to Blue Jays as part of Myles Straw trade

Option Decisions

  • Club has $6MM option on LHP John Means with no buyout

2026 guarantees: $44.5MM
Total future commitments: $131.5MM

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Kolby Allard (5.004): $1.9MM
  • Sam Hentges (4.157): $1.3375MM
  • Steven Kwan (4.000): $8.8MM
  • Ben Lively (3.133): $2.7MM
  • Nolan Jones (3.007): $2MM
  • Will Brennan (2.155): $900K
  • David Fry (2.154): $1.2MM
  • Matt Festa (2.153): $1MM

Non-tender candidates: Hentges, Lively, Jones, Brennan

Free Agents

  • Jakob Junis, Lane Thomas

2025 was quite the rollercoaster season for the Guardians. They were 31-26 at the end of May and in possession of a Wild Card spot. But then they hit a skid, going 9-16 in June, which included part of a ten-game losing streak that went from June 26th to July 6th. After that losing streak, they were 40-48 and seven games back of a playoff spot.

Amidst that losing streak, right-hander Luis Ortiz was placed on leave due to a gambling investigation. It seemed the season was slipping away, so trade rumors started to swirl around players like Emmanuel Clase, Steven Kwan and Shane Bieber. Then Clase himself was placed on leave alongside Ortiz, also due to that gambling investigation. That took him off the trading block but also harmed Cleveland's bullpen. As the deadline came and went, they did some modest selling. They flipped Bieber and Paul Sewald, who were both on the injured list at the time, but held Kwan and everyone else.

Amazingly, everything turned around from there. The Guards went 14-13 in August and then an incredible 20-7 in September. That latter month included a ten-game winning streak from September 11th to 20th. As the Guards were surging, the Tigers were scuffling. Cleveland managed to finish a game ahead of Detroit, winning the Central for a second straight season. The Tigers got the last laugh by beating the Guards in the Wild Card round, but it was still an incredible run for the Guards, and one that could give them momentum going into 2026.

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Cleveland Guardians Front Office Originals

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Offseason Outlook: Minnesota Twins

By Steve Adams | October 23, 2025 at 4:27pm CDT

The Twins gutted their roster at the trade deadline, fired their manager after the season and still haven't divulged any information on their new limited partners who bought a heavy share of the club. To call morale "low" among fans would be an egregious understatement, and the looming offseason doesn't offer much reason for optimism.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Byron Buxton, OF: $45MM through 2028
  • Pablo Lopez, RHP: $43MM through 2027

Other Financial Commitments

  • $30MM owed to Astros through 2028 as part of Carlos Correa trade ($10MM annually)

Total 2026 commitments: $46.5MM
Total long-term commitments: $118MM through 2028

Option Decisions

  • Justin Topa, RHP: $2MM club option with $225K buyout (Topa remains under control via arbitration if Twins decline)

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; salary projections via MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Genesis Cabrera (5.149): $1.4MM
  • Ryan Jeffers (5.089): $6.6MM
  • Justin Topa (5.044): $1.7MM (Twins hold a $2MM club option with a $225K buyout)
  • Michael Tonkin (5.044): $1.4MM
  • Bailey Ober (4.093): $4.6MM
  • Joe Ryan (4.033): $5.8MM
  • Trevor Larnach (4.014): $4.7MM
  • Royce Lewis (3.142): $3MM
  • Anthony Misiewicz (3.082): $1.1MM
  • Cole Sands (3.017): $1.3MM

Non-tender candidates: Cabrera, Tonkin, Larnach, Misiewicz

Free Agents

  • Christian Vazquez

The Twins were in contention for much of the season's first half, even rattling off a 13-game winning streak from early May into the middle portion of the month. When things went south and the club fell below .500 with the deadline approaching, Minnesota emerged as a clear seller. It was originally expected to be a minor sale of pending free agents like Willi Castro, Chris Paddack and Harrison Bader. Instead, Minnesota traded a staggering 11 players, including several who were controlled beyond the current season -- in some instances (e.g. Louis Varland) as far out as 2030.

Whether that was due to the front office acting opportunistically in a market that lacked many pure sellers or (more likely) because ownership mandated further payroll cuts after being unable to find a buyer for the team due to a reported $400MM+ in outstanding debt, Minnesota's stunning deadline fire sale set the stage for what feels like a notable step back that will continue into the forthcoming offseason.

The large-scale changes didn't stop at the deadline. Manager Rocco Baldelli was the sacrificial lamb at season's end, getting fired with a year to go on his contract. Baldelli's tenure was far from perfect, as the Twins have had their share of disappointing seasons (including 2024's September collapse), but no manager could have succeeded in the wake of such a dramatic teardown, which included shipping out the five best relievers in what had been an excellent bullpen.

The Twins' offseason, accordingly, commences with a managerial search that has already seen them tied to names like former Mariners skipper Scott Servais, Red Sox bench coach Ramon Vazquez, and old friends Derek Shelton, James Rowson and (stretching much further back) Nick Punto. Change is coming in the Twins' dugout, but there's also still a fair bit of turnover possible on the roster itself.

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals Minnesota Twins

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Offseason Outlook: Philadelphia Phillies

By Mark Polishuk | October 23, 2025 at 10:02am CDT

For the second straight season, the Phillies won the NL East and earned a bye to the NLDS, only to lose in four games.  The Phils again face some big decisions about retaining or replacing members of their core, and the bigger-picture question might be if this core group needs a larger shakeup to get the team over the top.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Trea Turner, SS: $218.19MM through 2033
  • Bryce Harper, 1B: $144MM through 2031
  • Aaron Nola, SP: $122.86MM through 2030
  • Zack Wheeler, SP: $84MM through 2027
  • Nick Castellanos, OF: $20MM through 2026
  • Cristopher Sanchez, SP: $19MM through 2028 (includes $1MM buyout of $14MM club option for 2029; Phillies also have $15MM club option for 2030 with $1MM buyout)
  • Taijuan Walker, SP: $18MM through 2026
  • Matt Strahm, RP: $7.5MM through 2026

Option Decisions

  • Harrison Bader, OF: $10MM mutual option ($1.5MM buyout)
  • Jose Alvarado, RP: $9MM club option for 2026 ($500K buyout)

2026 financial commitments (assuming Alvarado's option is exercised):$177.34MM
Total future commitments (assuming Alvarado's option is exercised): $642.54M

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Jesus Luzardo (5.165): $10.4MM
  • Edmundo Sosa (5.140): $3.9MM
  • Alec Bohm (5.106): $10.3MM
  • Garrett Stubbs (4.148): $925K
  • Brandon Marsh (4.078): $4.5MM
  • Jhoan Duran (4.000): $7.6MM
  • Bryson Stott (4.000): $5.8MM
  • Tanner Banks (3.092): $1.2MM
  • Rafael Marchan (3.006): $1MM
  • Non-tender candidates: Bohm, Stubbs, Marchan

Free Agents

  • Kyle Schwarber, Ranger Suarez, J.T. Realmuto, Max Kepler, Jordan Romano, Walker Buehler, David Robertson, Tim Mayza, Lou Trivino, Bader (assuming mutual option is declined)

Coming off a 56-homer season, Kyle Schwarber is understandably looking to cash in, and could aim for a five-year free agent deal that would cover his age 33-37 seasons.  That would be a hefty commitment to a player who is basically a DH-only bat at this point in his career, though it is possible that in exchange for a longer term, Schwarber and his reps at Excel might be willing to bend a little on the contract's average annual value.

Speculating on the tenor of negotiations could be a moot point, however, since there is a sense that the Phillies are dead set on bringing Schwarber back.  There has been public interest in a reunion from Schwarber himself, from president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski, and (most importantly) from owner John Middleton.  The Phils have been more than willing to pay top dollar to retain most of their top talents during the Middleton era, ranging from Zack Wheeler's extension to new contracts with Aaron Nola and J.T. Realmuto after first letting them test free agency.

Realmuto is back on the market again now that his five-year, $115.5MM deal is up.  It was money well spent, as Cal Raleigh is the only catcher in baseball to post a higher fWAR than Realmuto's 17.8 number over the 2021-25 span.  On the flip side, Realmuto's production at the plate dropped in his age-34 season, as he hit .257/.315/.384 with 12 homers (for a 94 wRC+) over 550 plate appearances in 2025.

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Front Office Originals Philadelphia Phillies

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Offseason Outlook: Los Angeles Angels

By Anthony Franco | October 22, 2025 at 7:58pm CDT

The Angels pushed MLB's longest active playoff drought to 11 seasons. They've lost at least 89 games in four consecutive years. While general manager Perry Minasian will get a sixth season, there's another change in the dugout. Kurt Suzuki has a difficult task ahead of his first year as an MLB manager.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Mike Trout, RF: $177.25MM through 2030
  • Yusei Kikuchi, LHP: $42MM through 2027
  • Anthony Rendon, 3B: $38MM through 2026
  • Jorge Soler, DH: $13MM through 2026
  • Robert Stephenson, RHP: $11MM through 2026 (deal includes $2.5MM club option for '27)
  • Travis d'Arnaud, C: $6MM through 2026

Additional Financial Commitments

  • Owe $2MM buyout to outrighted 1B Evan White
  • Owe $250K buyout to released IF Kevin Newman

2026 guaranteed contracts: $126.5MM
Total future commitments: $289.5MM

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Taylor Ward (5.164): $13.7MM
  • Brock Burke (5.045): $2MM
  • Jo Adell (4.085): $5.5MM
  • Reid Detmers (3.159): $2.6MM
  • José Soriano (3.121): $3.2MM
  • Logan O’Hoppe (3.008): $2.9MM
  • Zach Neto (2.170): $4.1MM

Free Agents

  • Kyle Hendricks, Tyler Anderson, Luis Rengifo, Yoán Moncada, Kenley Jansen, Luis García, José Ureña, Andrew Chafin, Hunter Strickland, Chris Taylor

The Angels are in an all too familiar position. They've shown no appetite for a rebuild without having the kind of depth on the MLB roster to compete over a 162-game schedule. They outperformed their run differential in the first half of this past season, allowing them to essentially sit on their hands at the trade deadline. Then they went 19-34 over the final two months -- a record better only than the Rockies and Twins -- to lose 90 games yet again.

GM Perry Minasian gets another opportunity to turn things around. He's going into the final guaranteed season of his contract. He has yet to win more than 77 games. The Angels' issues predate Minasian's hiring and can be laid largely at the feet of owner Arte Moreno, but the front office is surely under some pressure to get better results. The Angels opted not to bring back Ron Washington or interim skipper Ray Montgomery, so they're now on the fourth full-time manager of the Minasian era.

That'll be Kurt Suzuki, a first-time manager with no MLB coaching experience. Sam Blum of The Athletic reports that it's a one-year contract, an atypically short commitment to any manager. Suzuki was highly respected as a longtime big league catcher and has spent the past three seasons working as a special assistant in the Angels' front office. While the jury is out on that hiring, the search process didn't exactly point to the organization having a coherent plan.

As recently as two weeks ago, it looked like Albert Pujols would be the choice. The future Hall of Famer seemed to be Moreno's preferred candidate. Last week, The Athletic's Sam Blum reported that the team had reversed course and would at least interview Suzuki and Torii Hunter as well. Pujols was out a few days later. Jon Heyman of The New York Post reported that disagreements regarding the coaching staff and compensation were among the reasons the Pujols talks fell apart. Blum wrote that it was mostly a contractual dispute.

The Angels owe Pujols $1MM annually for the next seven seasons as part of the personal services contract that he signed when he retired as a player. It's unclear if the Angels hoped to incorporate that into Pujols' managerial salaries. In any case, it's not a great look for the organization that they were unwilling to meet the asking price of the person they considered the best candidate available. Pujols' salary demands aren't known, but even the most successful managers in MLB make around $8MM annually. That's barely more than the Angels are paying backup catcher Travis d'Arnaud.

None of that is meant as a slight at Suzuki. It's certainly not a given that Pujols would have been a better hire. Yet it's the latest example of Moreno valuing marginal short-term savings over what he ostensibly believed would have been the best choice for the team. That probably doesn't bode well for the more significant roster shakeup that should be in the cards.

Suzuki will have his work cut out for him with what is likely to remain one of the league's weakest rosters. The Angels have questions behind the plate, at both second and third base, and in center field. They have at most two reliable starting pitchers, neither of whom fit at the top of a rotation. Building Reid Detmers back up gives them another potential mid-rotation arm but leaves them with arguably one dependable reliever (Brock Burke). Minasian told Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register and other reporters earlier this month that Detmers "earned" another look as a starter and is expected to be in the Opening Day rotation.

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Front Office Originals Los Angeles Angels

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Offseason Outlook: Chicago Cubs

By Tim Dierkes | October 22, 2025 at 2:16pm CDT

The Cubs won a playoff series for the first time in eight years.  With clean books beyond 2026, will they make a major rotation addition this winter?

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Dansby Swanson, SS: $105MM through 2029
  • Ian Happ, LF: $18MM through 2026
  • Seiya Suzuki, DH/OF: $18MM through 2026
  • Jameson Taillon, SP: $18MM through 2026
  • Nico Hoerner, 2B: $12MM through 2026
  • Matthew Boyd, SP: $16.5MM through 2026
  • Carson Kelly, C: $6.5MM through 2026

Option Decisions

  • Shota Imanaga, SP: three-year, $57.75MM club option.  If declined, Imanaga has a $15.25MM player option for 2026.  If Imanaga exercises that, he'd have another $15.25MM player option for 2027 if the Cubs don't exercise a $42.5MM club option for 2027-28.
  • Andrew Kittredge, RP: $9MM club option with a $1MM buyout
  • Colin Rea, SP/RP: $6MM club option with a $750K buyout
  • Justin Turner, 1B/DH: $10MM mutual option with a $2MM buyout

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; salary projections via Matt Swartz)

  • Reese McGuire (5.110): $1.9MM
  • Justin Steele (4.143): $6.55MM
  • Eli Morgan (4.091): $1.1MM
  • Javier Assad (3.027): $1.9MM
  • Non-tender candidates: McGuire, Morgan

Free Agents

  • Kyle Tucker, Brad Keller, Caleb Thielbar, Drew Pomeranz, Taylor Rogers, Michael Soroka, Aaron Civale, Willi Castro, Ryan Brasier

The Cubs broke through this year with a 92-win season, their highest total since 2018.  They reached the playoffs for the first time since 2020 and won a playoff game and series for the first time since 2017.  After the Cubs lost Game 5 of the division series to the Brewers with a "bullpen game" pitching approach, fans couldn't help but wonder if the team could have gone further with a healthy Cade Horton and/or Justin Steele.

Let's start this offseason outlook by assessing the complicated option of the pitcher the Cubs chose to avoid in Game 5, Shota Imanaga.  Imanaga, 32, was a rousing success last year as an MLB rookie.  He made the All-Star team and garnered Cy Young and Rookie of the Year votes, posting a 2.91 ERA in 173 1/3 innings.

After eight starts this year, Imanaga suffered a strained left hamstring that knocked him out for 53 days.  On the season, Imanaga's control remained excellent, but his average fastball velocity slipped below 91 miles per hour and his strikeout rate dropped below league average.  Among starters with at least 100 innings, Imanaga's 29.2% groundball rate was the lowest in baseball, leading to a 1.93 HR/9 rate that ranked second-worst.

Imanaga still managed a 3.73 ERA, but it's fair to say he demonstrated the skills of perhaps a 4.20 pitcher.  Even if 150 innings of a 4ish ERA is what the Cubs can expect from Imanaga moving forward, that's rotation-worthy.  The question is whether the Cubs would sign such a pitcher to a three-year, $57.75MM contract heading into his age-32 season, and commit to that in early November.

A good comp for that might be Dallas Keuchel's three-year, $55.5MM deal with the White Sox six years ago.  Though a groundball heavy pitcher, Keuchel was also a soft-tossing lefty heading into his age-32 season.  That contract did not go well.

There are soft factors to consider here, such as the Cubs' recruiting efforts toward other Japanese players and Imanaga's popularity with fans last year.  MLBTR writers debated Imanaga's complicated option situation, and here's our best guess:

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Chicago Cubs Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals

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Offseason Outlook: Baltimore Orioles

By Darragh McDonald | October 21, 2025 at 6:39pm CDT

The Orioles came into 2025 as contenders but their season fell apart quickly. They have the pieces to bounce back in 2026 but what remains to be seen is how aggressive they will be in making offseason upgrades.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Tyler O'Neill, OF: $33MM through 2027
  • Samuel Basallo, C/1B: $67MM through 2033, including buyout of 2034 club option

Option Decisions

  • OF Tyler O'Neill can opt out of remaining two years and $33MM on his deal
  • Club has $5.5MM option on IF/OF Jorge Mateo
  • Club has $3MM option on LHP Dietrich Enns

2026 guarantees (assuming the Enns option is picked up): $20.5MM
Total future commitments: $103MM

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Ryan Mountcastle (5.105): $7.8MM
  • Keegan Akin (5.083): $3MM
  • Dylan Carlson (5.067): $1.5MM
  • Trevor Rogers (5.047): $6MM
  • Tyler Wells (4.132): $2.7MM
  • José Castillo (4.112): $1.7MM
  • Dean Kremer (4.112): $5.1MM
  • Adley Rutschman (4.000): $6.8MM
  • Félix Bautista (4.000): $2.1MM
  • Kyle Bradish (3.160): $2.8MM
  • Yennier Cano (3.065): $1.8MM
  • Gunnar Henderson (3.036): $6.6MM
  • Alex Jackson (3.036): $1.8MM
  • Albert Suárez (3.019): $900K

Non-tender candidates: Mountcastle, Akin, Carlson, Castillo, Cano, Jackson

Free Agents

  • Tomoyuki Sugano, Zach Eflin, Gary Sánchez

As seen up top, the O's have almost no long-term commitments. They have a large arbitration class but none of the projections are particularly onerous. Even with those arb players, RosterResource projects the club for a paltry $69MM payroll next year, almost $100MM below what they spent in 2025. A few non-tenders should give them even more breathing room.

All that potential payroll capacity doesn't guarantee of aggressive moves, however. They also had lots of dry powder last winter and still kept things fairly modest. The only multi-year pact was a three-year deal for Tyler O'Neill with an opt-out after the first season. Otherwise, it was one-year deals for veteran players like Charlie Morton, Tomoyuki Sugano, Andrew Kittredge, Gary Sánchez and Ramón Laureano.

The starting pitching investments were particularly underwhelming. The O's clearly needed more in the rotation. Since it was the first offseason under new owner David Rubenstein, some fans believed a new level of spending was possible. In November, then-general manager Mike Elias set the expectations fairly high. "You’re certainly wanting to keep the whole menu of player acquisition open," he said. "That involves high-end free agent deals over many years. We’ve been engaged in those conversations already.”

But the O's ended up with a 41-year-old Morton and a 35-year-old Sugano. The rotation ended up being a source of frustration for the O's all year. A spring injury to Grayson Rodriguez quickly cut into the depth and led the O's to a mid-March signing of Kyle Gibson. In April, Zach Eflin hit the injured list and Morton struggled enough to get bumped to the bullpen. Gibson came up to try to patch the holes but he was torched in four starts and released in May. Plenty of other guys struggled to put good numbers together as well.

The season quickly slipped away. They were 12-18 at the end of April and then went 9-18 in May. They were better the rest of the way but it was too late to get the season back on track. They went into the deadline as sellers and were aggressive in trading away veterans for prospects.

Going into 2026, the rotation again needs some work, though there have been some positive developments. Trevor Rogers took a while to get on track in 2025, starting the season on the IL with a knee injury, but had an amazing finish. He posted a 1.81 earned run average over 18 starts. It's not realistic to expect him to stay that good over a longer sample but the numbers under the hood are promising. Kyle Bradish got back on the mound after his 2024 Tommy John surgery. He only made six starts in the majors but also made six more as part of his rehab.

Rogers and Bradish make for a strong one-two punch atop the rotation. Rodriguez would be another front-of-rotation option but he missed the entire season due to elbow and shoulder issues. He's expected to be ready for spring training but the O's will probably have to be mindful of his workload for a while. Guys like Dean Kremer, Cade Povich and Tyler Wells can fill in the back but adding another front-end guy makes sense, something Elias has admitted. Will the poor 2025 season prompt a bolder strike this offseason?

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Baltimore Orioles Front Office Originals

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