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By Tim Dierkes [December 5, 2008 at 8:55am CST]
Rumor machine Ken Rosenthal has a new column...
- Free agent starters C.C. Sabathia and A.J. Burnett are in no hurry to sign. Makes sense; they're obviously special compared to the other starters on the market.
- Nationals owner Ted Lerner "has spent extensive time" with Scott Boras, presumably in regard to Mark Teixeira.
- The Cubs want to acquire their left-handed hitting outfielder before worrying about Jake Peavy. Rosenthal says the trade market is bleak, suggesting free agents such as Raul Ibanez and Milton Bradley might make sense. As we've said, there is no perfect fit for the Cubs' right field vacancy (unless Brian Giles will waive his no-trade clause).
- Paul Byrd is "virtually certain" to decline Boston's offer of arbitration. He aims to pitch near his Atlanta home - the Braves, Marlins, or Rays could work for him.
- A Rosenthal source pegged Jon Garland's chance of accepting arbitration at less than 50-50. ESPN's Jerry Crasnick recently indicated it was 75-25 he'd decline. Buster Olney says "some executives are stunned" that Garland will seemingly not accept.
- Rosenthal spoke to officials from two teams interested in Mariners closer J.J. Putz. The Ms haven't decided yet whether to make him available, contrary to a previous report. Jack Zduriencik apparently doesn't consider his club in rebuild mode.
- The Giants' signing of Edgar Renteria: "widely panned in industry circles." Joel Sherman found the same consensus. This differs from the web, where Keith Law and Dave Cameron liked it.
- Rosenthal says the Dodgers are not pursuing Jack Wilson; those talks broke down earlier in the offseason. Who to believe? He says the Tigers are making a "more serious push."
- Phillies shortstop prospect Jason Donald is a popular trade target, but the Phils might need him to fill in for Chase Utley at the start of the season.
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It's good to see the Dodgers beat writer and Rosenthal debunking the rumors of Jack Wilson to the Dodgers. He's a horrible hitter who costs money and prospects to acquire. If the Dodgers won't let Hu play SS, they can bring back Izturis.
Posted by: DodgersBruin | December 05, 2008 at 09:06 AM
Oh god. Zdurenick needs to realize that THE MARINERS ARE IN REBUILD MODE. Stop doing a Bavasi impersonation.If the M's can get a good deal for Putz, trade him. The only excuse for not trading Putz should be that nobody made a decent offer.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 05, 2008 at 09:07 AM
Burnett being called "special?" I know he's got great stuff, but really? Give me Sheets any day. If Burnett goes to the NL, then he could be "special."
Posted by: Chris | December 05, 2008 at 09:07 AM
Utley's injury could be a blessing in disguise. We get to see what we have in Donald instead of possibly shipping him out for pitching. Just make sure that we see him in spring training/start of season. We know what we have in Bruntlett.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 05, 2008 at 09:08 AM
Byrd would be like #10 in the pecking order with the Marlins or Rays, don't see a fit there.
Posted by: kinsler5 | December 05, 2008 at 09:16 AM
Can we get a Hermida to the Cubs rumor going?
Posted by: BigRob | December 05, 2008 at 09:16 AM
What about Abreu to the Cubs rumors? He was not offered Arbitration...Is he going to cost a ton more then Ibanez? We lose our draft pick if we get Ibanez.
Posted by: uww1 | December 05, 2008 at 09:27 AM
byrd to the mets? make sense? gives them some back-end help...
Posted by: nyyankz | December 05, 2008 at 09:29 AM
what is the deal with hu? the dodgers regard him so highly that they refuse to trade him for anything, but they appear to have no interest in actually using him on the major league team. they went as far as trading for angel berroa instead of using hu.
Posted by: CSL | December 05, 2008 at 09:38 AM
melonis rex -
I'd have to disagree with you. Yes, they COULD be in rebuild mode, but with a weakened AL West, they can rebuild on the fly while still being competitive. They have one of the best rotations in the league (King Felix, Bedard, Morrow, RS), and they play in that huge park of theirs.
The AL West is pretty much wide open. With the Angels are in transition mode, as they could lose Anderson, Rivera, Texeira, AND K-Rod; The A's have a young rotation and weak offense, even with Matt Holliday; and the Rangers have no pitching to even be close to contending this year, and they're about a year away from being serious competition.
In previous years, the M's were in contention because of their great defense. They were 26th ranked defensively last year, 27th the year before. In 2001 and 2003, they had the best defensive teams in franchise history. And they were very competitive then. As many teams are learning, defense wins games. They already have a pretty good infield defense, with Beltre anchoring the left-side infield defense with Betancourt, and Lopez at 2nd. They have a gold-glover in Ichiro in right. With the loss of Ibanez, they could definitely improve upon their defense in LF. If they can grab the best defensive CF out there, they could prevent runs big time. SIgn a bopper bat, and they can stay competitive in that division.
I mean, it's not like the A's are going to blow anyone away with their offense either, and their considered serious competition to the Angels in that division. Comparing the M's to the A's, the M's have better pitching (well, SHOULD HAVE better pitching), and their offense is similar, if only because the M's won't have Vidro and Sexson playing for them at all next season.
So yes, they could be in rebuild mode, but there's enough talent there to have a chance to compete in the AL West. Besides, if the Mets are interested in Putz, I highly doubt the M's will get any good enough prospects to make that happen.
Posted by: Ink&Paper | December 05, 2008 at 09:43 AM
why is it that any team with an OF vacancy isn't going after Adam Dunn. 30-40 HR, with over 100 RBI. This guy is no slouch. Put him on the Mets, and you have a lineup where you can have Reyes, Beltran, Wright, Dunn, and Delgado. And the Mets can then trade Delgado...if they choose, and put Dunn at 1st.
Either way, the Mets would be able to add a strong bat, and then add someone like Paul Byrd, and/or Derek Lowe to solidify the rotation. And with regards to the bullpen, they have many options.
Posted by: bsalamon | December 05, 2008 at 09:47 AM
Byrd back in Atlanta? Reaching and grabbing lately??? the return to prominence started with Vazquez and ended when they got put in the mix for a has been like Byrd
Posted by: americans1901 | December 05, 2008 at 09:47 AM
"why is it that any team with an OF vacancy isn't going after Adam Dunn. 30-40 HR, with over 100 RBI. This guy is no slouch. "
Because most teams probably can't afford him, or are more concerned on fixing their rotation than to worry about their offense.
Posted by: Ink&Paper | December 05, 2008 at 09:50 AM
sox agenda should read.....
1. sign varitek to a 2 year deal worth around 12 million
2.sign teixeira to a 8 year deal worth around 185-190
3. trade for a young catcher from texas im leaning more towards salty with the numbers hes putting up in the winter league but teagarden would be a better defensive solution without giving a whole lot up offensively.
varitek can only blame himself for the lousy contract in a contract year you have to play above the grain and he played well below it but his veteran leadership skills will earn him atleast 6 million.
Posted by: americans1901 | December 05, 2008 at 09:56 AM
Here is a good fit for the Cubs Right Field need of a power lefty bat....
Brad Hawpe.
If the Cubs are truly going for broke with a win now (or next 2 years) approach this move would make a ton of sense.
This would obviously require the Rockies to focus on rebuidling more then retooling, but with their need for pitching it makes sense.
Posted by: KangarooBoxer26 | December 05, 2008 at 10:04 AM
''why is it that any team with an OF vacancy isn't going after Adam Dunn. 30-40 HR, with over 100 RBI. This guy is no slouch. Put him on the Mets, and you have a lineup where you can have Reyes, Beltran, Wright, Dunn, and Delgado. And the Mets can then trade Delgado...if they choose, and put Dunn at 1st.
Either way, the Mets would be able to add a strong bat, and then add someone like Paul Byrd, and/or Derek Lowe to solidify the rotation. And with regards to the bullpen, they have many options.''
Yup, or put Dunn at first base in 2010. Put Dunn and Delgado back-to-back in the 4 and 5 spots, which would settle Beltran into the #2 spot where he belongs, trade Church for pitching help to break up the constant string of lefties in the lineup and put Murphy/Tatis as a platoon in one of the corner outfield spots and Dunn in the other. Then, get to work on the bullpen and some back-of-the-rotation pitching help).
If I know Omar well enough, a (very good hitter, right now at least... in) Raul Ibanez is getting 3/36 that'll leave him in Queens until the ripe age of 39, which is the way Omar likes it.
Man, I really hope this guy flips the script and does something different this offseason than what I'm used to him doing.
Posted by: MattyMets | December 05, 2008 at 10:06 AM
bosox87,
in arbitration if Tek was to accept he would make around $10-11 Million for 1 year.
Why would he sign a 2 year deal for $1-2 million more?
He is much better served accepting arbitration and hoping he can rebound offensively in an effort to turn that into a 2 year deal after the season.
Just a bad choice to sign a 2 year $12 million deal when you could accept arbitration for 1 year for almost as much.
Posted by: KangarooBoxer26 | December 05, 2008 at 10:07 AM
this offseason has been a complete mess. yesterday, rosenthal says the cubs/padres speak daily about peavy. today, the whole thing is on hold. then, there was that one day a couple weeks back that every report that came out was later denied that same day. now there's the jack wilson drama (never thought there'd be so much written about jack wilson). and then there were all the questionable arbitration decisions (wood, abreu, dunn). i guess the economy is messing things up quite a bit, but it also seems like there's a ton of misinformation out there, moreso than other offseasons.
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | December 05, 2008 at 10:08 AM
I hope the Phillies are planning to hold onto Donald. He could really turn out to be something special.
At this point, I wouldn't be happy with anything other than a young quality SP in a trade for Donald.
Posted by: UtleyFan | December 05, 2008 at 10:10 AM
The only reason the Braves need Byrd is if they can sign AJ or get Peavy then...only if he signs for around 4 mil
Without an ace
Vazquez
Jurrjens
Byrd
Campillo
Hanson/Glavine/???
With an ace(Looks much better)
Burnett/Peavy
Jurrjens
Vazquez
Byrd
Hanson/Glavine
Posted by: bartendermlb | December 05, 2008 at 10:11 AM
forgot to mention renteria supposedly signing with the giants 2 weeks ago, only to get shot down, then he ultimatel does sign...with the giants.
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | December 05, 2008 at 10:11 AM
sign teixeira to a 8 year deal worth around 185-190..
i dont think the red sox will sign him, i think they are just in it too drive up the price for the angels and yankees.
lars anderson is going to be ready within a year, if lowell doesnt come into spring training healthy next year, i think anderson starts at first for the sox, pending a good Spring training
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 05, 2008 at 10:13 AM
I think Byrd to the Braves makes a lot of sense now that Hampton is gone. I'd say sign him to a one-year deal with an option. He can eat some innings in Huddy's spot this year, then we can decline the option or exercise it if the youngsters are not ready or the injury-bug bites again.
Byrd would be in addition to Burnett/Peavy.
Posted by: Thundersticks | December 05, 2008 at 10:16 AM
If only you could have confidence that Milton Bradley could start 135+ games, then he is the obvious answer for the Cubs. His "attitude" issues are a minor concern IMO, especially in a player-friendly town like Chicago.
But the guy just isn't capable of putting a full season on the board, which is a shame. Lifetime average GP/season < 100? Yikes.
Posted by: Johnny Rotten | December 05, 2008 at 10:24 AM
"2.sign teixeira to a 8 year deal worth around 185-190"
As a Sox fan, how can the thought of your team signing Teixeira to an 8 year deal worth 190 million not make you sick to your stomach? The idea just disgusts me. He is a 1B, and arguably not even a top 5 one. I wouldn't pay him anything more then 4/60. I know I will get bombarded by angry people for saying that, but he is a 1B. Even paying him 18 million, it is an easy decision for me. 18 million for a 1B to give you a 900-950 OPS, or minimum dollars to some guy you can get off the scrap heap and give you a 850 OPS and spend that 15 million elsewhere. It is not even necessarily a matter of me not liking Mark Teixeira as a player. It is just that when you look around the league, there are productive 1B/DH types pretty much on every roster. While those specific guys may not be available, it just shows that they can always be had from somewhere, and there are always sluggers without positions that can provide offense for you at the first base position. The only way I give a 1B a megadeal like that is if it if for Albert Pujols, because he is just different. Otherwise I spend those dollars elsewhere and I take my chances on cheap young slugger without a position.
Posted by: nrmax88 | December 05, 2008 at 10:27 AM
I can't imagine a team like the Red Sox, one that considers themselves a WS contender, would ever imagine starting the season with Lars Anderson (133 AB at AA and 0 at AAA) as their opening day starting 1B. The guy is an awesome prospect, but in an organization like Boston a September call up is likely the earliest you'd see Lars at the ML level.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 05, 2008 at 10:36 AM
I don't understand the fascination with Ibanez or Abreu for the Cubs right field spot - the Cubs don't need a left handed batter just to confuse the pitcher - they need someone who HITS righties better than lefties and both Abreu and Ibanez have WORSE averages and OPS's vs. righties than they do lefties.
Dunn is the best FA OF who kills righties (150-200 point higher OPS vs. righties) and his defense, while bad, isn't much worse than Ibanez or Abreu trying to play right field in Wrigley. Anyone not named Dunn would be a waste of money for the Cubs IMHO.
Posted by: Banks1954 | December 05, 2008 at 10:42 AM
nrmax,
I usually like what you have to say, but you seriously couldn't be more wrong on this one. Do you seriously think you can just find some 1B off the scrap heap to OPS 850? There were only 13 1B in all of baseball who posted an OPS over 850 last season, but there are plenty of 850 OPS guys available on the FA market for nothing? Teams must be pretty dumb then...
Seriously, the only 1B in baseball within 70 points of Tex in OPS were Pujols, Berkman, and Youk. The guy isn't a 900-950 OPS guy. Excluding his rookie season, he has been at 930 or better all but one year and each of the past two years he's been north of 960, with an OPS+ of 150 or better. Throw in the gold glove caliber defense (voted #2 by the Fielding Bible), age, and the fact that Tex is unlikely to start declining anytime soon and a 4 year 60 million dollar offer just looks ludicrous. If you seriously think that's all Tex deserves, then you must think Dunn's contract is going to be for 2 years and less than 20 million.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 05, 2008 at 10:50 AM
I have to agree with nixa37. Lars Anderson may be the 1B of the future, but that future is not 2009. If they need someone to fill in for a month until Lowell is ready, look for Jeff Bailey.
Posted by: Little Bear | December 05, 2008 at 11:08 AM
I wouldn't give any 1B 20 mil. Or any LF. Besides Manny or Albert or something. Those positions are too easy to find production. Spend your money elsewhere. Find a minor leager like Chris Carter, or like you said, give Adam Dunn 3/45 too play 1B. Adam Dunn at 3/45 beats the hell out of Tex at 8/190.
Posted by: nrmax88 | December 05, 2008 at 11:13 AM
Adam Dunn at 3/45 certainly doesn't beat the hell out of Tex for a team like the Red Sox. They have the money to spend and they are looking to make their team as good as possible and Teixeira makes their team much better than Dunn does. Take these rankings for example:
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2008/10/22/639856/best-first-basemen-of-2008
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2008/10/29/648300/best-left-fielders-of-2008
Those numbers have Tex as being worth 50 runs more above replacement than Dunn. BP has Tex being worth 3-4 more wins per season (and their system unrealistically ranks Tex as below average at 1B). Yeah Tex is a longer term commitment, but I think he may be the safest investment of any of the big money players this offseason. He's just entering his prime and given his skill set there is no reason to think he is going to decline significantly until at least 6-8 years from now.
Good luck making up those extra 3-4 wins Tex gives you from the ~9 million in savings you got from signing Dunn instead of Tex.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 05, 2008 at 11:27 AM
I also can't believe you said you'd give Manny 20 million per, but not Tex. Manny still has a slight advantage currently with his bat, but once you take defense into account it becomes pretty clear that Tex is the more valuable player. Throw in the fact that Manny is a head case and turning 37 next season and I don't think there's really a big debate.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 05, 2008 at 11:32 AM
Not to sound annoyingly confident about the Cubs, but the rest of the division is falling so much, the Cubs could afford to have Milton Bradley's backup start 40-50 games and still win the division pretty handidly, as long as Bradley is good to go in October. More of a knock on the rest of the division than positive thinking on the Cubs. I would sign Bradley, he'll be cheaper and less years than Ibanez/Abreu, plus he would be a better hitter and fielder. Also, it'd be a way to get Mike Fontenot some more at bats without taking Derosa's bat out of the lineup.
Posted by: Teetz1 | December 05, 2008 at 11:33 AM
For a team like the Cubs, I could see that making a lot of sense. It'd be kind of similar to the Red Sox with JD Drew. Sure he might miss some time, but as long as he's healthy come October he gives the Red Sox a better chance than just about anyone else would in RF.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 05, 2008 at 11:39 AM
Bradley would definitely be an interesting signing. As a Cub fan, I'm quite certain that he would be healthy all year before tearing his hamstring 2 weeks before the playoffs and missing the rest of the year. It would probably come the day after Harden throws his shoulder out.
Posted by: amhcubby12 | December 05, 2008 at 12:07 PM
I'm gonna side partially with nrmax on this debate.
While I'm not going to say Teixeira is not a top 5 1b, i will say that I don't believe he's worth that to many clubs, especially the RedSox.
My take on it is this:
Tex (1B) at 22M
Youklis (3B?)10MM (arb. guess)
Lowell (bench) $12MM
Ortiz (DH) $12.5MM
That's $56.6 million in 4 guys. Can you trade Lowell? His value is low due to injury and then knowing that he's expendable what will Theo get for him??
Sorry it makes no sense to me.
And while his stats are very good, even great in most years, you can get first baseman that have close enough stats at a much lesser cost. Save your money at get pitching. Now in a fantasy world where cost is no option, absolutely go get him and AROD too.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 05, 2008 at 12:20 PM
As I pointed out, there were only 3 1B last year that were within 75 points of Tex in terms of OPS. Only 12 were within 120 points of Tex. Who are these magical 1B that are both available, much cheaper, and close statistically? None of the guys within 120 points of Tex are really available and almost everyone of them is significantly worse than Tex with the glove.
Also, Lowell is either going to be able to be traded because he's healthy enough to play or he's a sunk cost because he's done. Either way that shouldn't affect the Sox decision regarding Tex. You can't allow sunk costs to affect baseball decisions.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 05, 2008 at 12:46 PM
Check out these numbers too...
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2008/10/22/639856/best-first-basemen-of-2008
Only Pujols, Berkman, and Youk were worth even 1/2 as many runs above replacement as Tex.
Only 10 1B were worth even 1/3 as many runs above replacement. Thats right, 2/3 of the leagues starting 1B didn't even manage to match 30% of Tex's production in terms or runs above replacement level.
Posted by: nixa37 | December 05, 2008 at 12:52 PM
Teetz1
I think you are right about Bradley. As long as he is healthy during October.
Bradley
2yrs/18 mil??? Am I close?
Posted by: uww1 | December 05, 2008 at 01:05 PM
maybe a lot of teams are truly interested in Adam Dunn but dont want his price to get jacked up by some mass bidding war. I would meet a lot of teams need in the of. not to mention he can play 1st and a little catcher.
Posted by: Phillip_Cannon | December 05, 2008 at 01:28 PM