Jared Jones To Start For Pirates On Friday
Pirates manager Don Kelly told members of the media, including Jason Mackey of MLB.com, that right-hander Jared Jones will start for the Pirates on Friday. Carmen Mlodzinski will move to the bullpen. Jones is on the 60-day injured list, so the Bucs will have to add him to both the 40-man and active rosters.
Jones will be making his first big league start since the 2024 season. He experienced some elbow discomfort during spring training in 2025. He didn’t initially require surgery but ultimately went under the knife on May 21st, requiring an internal brace procedure. The Bucs announced his return timeline as 10 to 12 months and he will now rejoin the club after an absence just a bit longer than the initial window.
Prior to that injury absence, Jones put together an exciting debut season. Paul Skenes got a lot of the attention in 2024 but Jones was also putting up good numbers as a rookie, just not to the same degree. Jones made 22 starts that year and logged 121 2/3 innings with a 4.14 earned run average, 26.2% strikeout rate and 7.7% walk rate. He has made five rehab starts this year with a 2.89 ERA, 32.9% strikeout rate and 8.2% walk rate.
While Jones has been gone, other young arms have stepped in, with Braxton Ashcraft and Bubba Chandler debuting in 2025. Ashcraft has an excellent 2.73 ERA through his first 138 1/3 innings. Chandler hasn’t been as effective but his 4.54 ERA through 83 1/3 innings is serviceable.
If Jones can pick up where he left off, it’s an exciting rotation core. Skenes and Jones are under club control through 2029. Ashcraft and Chandler are controlled for another two years after that. Mitch Keller is signed through 2028. Prospects like Hunter Barco, Thomas Harrington and Antwone Kelly are lurking in the upper minors. Seth Hernandez, the club’s first-round pick in last year’s draft, isn’t even 20 years old yet but he just got promoted to High-A and could be a fast riser.
The long-term rotation picture seemed to motivate the Pirates to add more offense this winter. They felt good enough about the depth to send out Mike Burrows and Johan Oviedo, bringing back Jhostynxon García, Brandon Lowe, Jake Mangum and a couple of other pitchers. They also signed free agents Ryan O’Hearn and Marcell Ozuna.
So far, the team is hanging in a tough National League playoff race. All five clubs in the Central are above .500, leaving the Bucs technically in last place despite a solid 29-27 record, but they are just one game back of a playoff spot at the moment. Jones will jump into the rotation next to Skenes, Ashcraft, Keller and Chandler, hopefully strengthening the staff for the coming months and into future seasons.
Mlodzinski has been holding down a rotation spot in the meantime. He has made 11 appearances this year, only nine of which were officially starts, but the other two were effectively starts behind an opener. Overall, he has 55 innings on the year with a solid 3.76 ERA. His 19.3% strikeout rate is subpar but his 8.4% walk rate and 43.5% ground ball rate are both a bit better than average.
He also has plenty of relief experience, so he should be able to return to that role fairly easily. Officially, he has a 4.40 ERA as a starter and a 2.63 ERA as a reliever in his career, though that split is thrown off a bit since he has occasionally worked as an opener and as a bulk guy behind an opener.
Photo courtesy of Charles LeClaire, Imagn Images
Red Sox Place Garrett Whitlock On Injured List
The Red Sox announced that right-hander Garrett Whitlock has been placed on the 15-day injured list, retroactive to May 25th, with left knee inflammation. Left-hander Tyler Samaniego was recalled to take his spot on the roster.
It’s unclear how much time Whitlock will miss but it’s an unfortunate blow to the Sox. Whitlock has been one of their better leverage arms recently. He racked up 24 holds and a save last year. He has already added another nine holds this season. Combining the 2025 and 2026 campaigns, he has thrown 91 2/3 innings with a 2.45 earned run average. His 8% walk rate and 43.4% ground ball rate in that time are pretty close to par while his 31% strikeout rate is well above average.
The injury is also frustrating due to the way it happened. The Sox and Twins were playing through some rain on Sunday and Whitlock slipped on a wet mound, causing some knee soreness. It seems Whitlock and the club spent the past few days monitoring the knee before deciding to put him on the shelf. Since he hasn’t pitched since then, they have backdated the IL placement by the three-day maximum. If Whitlock’s knee feels better quickly, he could be back in less than two weeks.
The Sox have Aroldis Chapman in the closer role but other arms will have to step in to take over Whitlock’s leverage innings while he’s out. Justin Slaten and Greg Weissert could be some of the options there. Weissert has a 3.80 ERA in 21 1/3 innings for the Sox this year. His 22.3% strikeout rate is around par but his 7.4% walk rate and 46.9% ground ball rate are a few ticks better than average. Slaten spent time on the IL and only has 8 2/3 innings pitched on the year with a 4.15 ERA but a huge 32.4% strikeout rate.
Ideally, Whitlock’s absence will be minimal but any setback for the club looms large at the moment. The Sox are out to a rough 23-31 start, putting them only three games up on the last-place Angels in the American League standings. What is working in Boston’s favor is that many other A.L. clubs are also scuffling, so Boston is only three games back of a Wild Card spot.
Photo courtesy of Paul Rutherford, Imagn Images
Blue Jays Select Charles McAdoo
May 28th: The Jays announced their selection of McAdoo today. Right-hander Connor Seabold is also active after being acquired in a trade yesterday. In corresponding active roster moves, right-hander Chase Lee was optioned to Triple-A and Sosa was placed on the 10-day injured list with a right wrist contusion. To open a 40-man spot for McAdoo, righty Lazaro Estrada was transferred to the 60-day IL. Estrada’s 60-day count is retroactive to April 5th, so he’ll be eligible for reinstatement in a few days. His current status is unclear but he hasn’t yet begun a rehab assignment and likely isn’t close to reinstatement.
May 27th: The Blue Jays are selecting infielder Charles McAdoo onto the MLB roster, reports Jeff Passan of ESPN. They’ll need to open space on the active and 40-man rosters before tomorrow’s series opener in Baltimore.
McAdoo was a 13th-round selection by the Pirates in the 2023 draft. Toronto acquired the San Jose State product the following summer in a deadline trade sending Isiah Kiner-Falefa to Pittsburgh. The righty-hitting McAdoo was amidst a big offensive season between High-A and Double-A. He initially struggled with his new organization, hitting .185 with a 30% strikeout rate to close the ’24 campaign.
The Jays kept McAdoo at Double-A New Hampshire for all of last season. He still struck out a decent amount but stole 34 bases while hitting 16 home runs. It was enough to earn a bump to Triple-A Buffalo this year. McAdoo carries a .250/.356/.436 slash with eight longballs in 202 trips to the plate. He has walked at an excellent 14% clip and, perhaps most importantly, has slashed the strikeout rate to a manageable 20%.
Baseball America ranked McAdoo the #16 prospect in the Toronto farm system on their updated writeup last week. Their offseason report credited him with above-average power and arm strength along with decent speed. The questions have revolved around his middling defensive value and the subpar contact skills he brought into the season.
McAdoo has split most of his time between the corner infield spots, along with occasional second base work. He played some outfield in the low minors but has been a full-time infielder since 2025. He has a similar defensive repertoire as Lenyn Sosa, an April trade acquisition who has hit .188/.205/.275 across 84 plate appearances with the Jays. Sosa is out of options, but that’s true of everyone on the Toronto bench aside from the recently activated Nathan Lukes.
Tigers Notes: Skubal, Verlander, Mize, Carpenter, Torres, Báez
Left-hander Tarik Skubal is on the injured list but is in the spotlight regardless. He is working his way back from surgery earlier this month to remove a loose body from his elbow. He has already begun throwing. On Tuesday, he threw 40 pitches over three innings in a sim game. He’ll throw another sim game on Monday, per Chris McCosky of Detroit News.
The Tigers are staying away from specific timelines with Skubal, which is understandable. A surgery for loose bodies in a pitcher’s elbow would normally require an absence of three months or so, if not longer. It’s possible Skubal can return quicker but he’s in uncharted waters. His procedure was performed with a device called a NanoNeedle, which is smaller than a traditional arthroscope. A smaller device means a smaller incision and, hopefully, less swelling, pain and recovery time.
It all sounds nice but Skubal is the first MLB player to have surgery with the device, so there’s no track record here. But with Skubal already throwing a few innings, perhaps it’s possible he’s back on a big league mound sooner than would normally be expected. Even returning in July would be quicker than most other surgeries for loose bodies but June doesn’t feel totally out of the question at this point, though it’s worth reiterating that no one really knows for sure how this will play out.
As he goes through the next stages of his recovery, he will be closely watched since the ramifications of his status are huge. It’s well known that Skubal is one of the best pitchers alive. He won the American League Cy Young in each of the past two seasons, with an ERA barely over 2.00 in each of those campaigns.
He is also an impending free agent and the Tigers are floundering without him. When the news of his surgery dropped on May 4th, the Tigers were 18-17 and tied with the Guardians for the lead in the American League Central. They have since gone into freefall and have a record of 22-34, just one game ahead of the basement-dwelling Angels in the A.L. standings. Despite that poor record, the Tigers are only five games out of a playoff spot, due to the general weakness of the A.L. playoff field.
Trade speculation has been swirling around Skubal for a while. A deal in the offseason never seemed especially likely with the Tigers in win-now mode. If they stay down in the standings, then the possibility will increase. The Detroit front office may be left with some difficult decisions in the coming months, depending how the team plays, how other A.L. clubs play and how Skubal’s health proceeds.
For now, they will be focused on getting him back on the mound. And it’s not just Skubal whose health is in focus, as there are a large number of injuries impacting the club. Their rotation is also without Justin Verlander, Jackson Jobe, Reese Olson and Ty Madden.
Like Skubal, Verlander is on the comeback trail. Verlander made just one start this year before left hip inflammation sent him to the IL. Yesterday, he threw 66 pitches over parts of four innings in a sim game, per Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press. His next step will be a rehab assignment as long as he doesn’t experience any kind of setback in the coming days.
Though it’s encouraging that Skubal and Verlander are making progress, the rotation might take a step back before either of those two can return. Casey Mize only lasted four innings yesterday, departing due to right groin tightness. That’s the same area that sent him to the IL earlier this year, as he spent about three weeks on the shelf from late April until the middle of May. It’s not yet clear if he’ll need to return to the IL this time around.
If the Tigers need to reach further into their depth, they have Sawyer Gipson-Long and Jake Miller on optional assignment. Drew Anderson has been pitching multiple innings out of the bullpen and could perhaps step into the rotation.
On the position player side, there are some guys making good progress. Outfielder Kerry Carpenter and second baseman Gleyber Torres are both going to start rehab assignments in the coming days, per Evan Woodbery of MLive Media Group.
Torres has been out for about three weeks due to an oblique strain. Since then, Detroit has mostly been deploying a platoon of Hao-Yu Lee and Zach McKinstry at the keystone, but Lee is hitting .194/.237/.306 and McKinstry .168/.232/.228. Torres had an odd .259/.389/.328 line before hitting the IL, with his walks way up but his power down, but that would be a clear upgrade over what the Tigers are getting from the position now.
Carpenter was striking out a lot but still hitting fairly well before a left AC joint sprain put him on the shelf earlier this month. Getting him back into the designated hitter/corner outfield mix should allow the Tigers to take at-bats away from Wenceel Pérez, who has a .163/.226/.260 line on the year, or Gage Workman and his .167/.167/.417 line.
One guy who apparently won’t be back in the mix soon is Javier Báez, who has already missed a month due to a sprained right ankle. Per Christian Romo of the Detroit Free Press, manager A.J. Hinch said this week that Báez’s ankle hasn’t been healing as hoped and he is headed out to see a specialist to try to find more answers.
Photo courtesy of Brett Davis, Imagn Images
Tigers Place Kenley Jansen On IL
The Tigers announced that right-hander Kenley Jansen has been placed on the 15-day injured list with pelvic inflammation. Left-hander Drew Sommers has been recalled to take his place on the roster.
Jansen has been dealing with a groin/abdomen issue for a few weeks. The Tigers announced on May 2nd that he had been day to day due to that ailment, per Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic. From April 30th to May 9th, he only made one appearance, giving him a semi-rest period without a trip to the IL.
He was able to pitch for the past few weeks but the issue flared up again last night. He entered the game in the ninth with Detroit up 4-0. He faced three batters and recorded two outs but was laboring and eventually exited after a visit from the trainer. Brenan Hanifee came in to get the final out.
Perhaps due to the injury, Jansen hasn’t been having his best season. Signed to an $11MM deal in the offseason, Jansen has a 4.80 earned run average through 15 innings. His 30.6% strikeout rate is quite good and a big jump from last year’s 24.4% pace but he is also walking 14.5% of batters faced. That’s well above his 7.8% career rate and last year’s 8.1% clip.
Ideally, taking the time to heal up will get him back on track. Though he’s now 38 years old, Jansen has continued to be an effective reliever. He racked up 29 saves for the Angels last year, posting a 2.59 ERA in the process.
Despite his subpar numbers, it’s a blow for the Tigers. They have already been severely set back by injuries, a big reason why they have fallen to 22-34 on the year. Jansen is now the 15th Tiger on the IL. That list includes five relievers, with Beau Brieske, Bailey Horn, Brant Hurter and Burch Smith being the other four.
While Jansen is out, the Tigers will probably look to guys like Kyle Finnegan, Will Vest and Tyler Holton to step up for leverage work. Finnegan has a 1.75 ERA on the year but he’s very fortunate to have that number. His 13.9% strikeout rate is barely half of league average and he has been walking 17.6% of batters faced. The main reason for that ERA is a 94.1% strand rate he won’t be able to sustain. His 5.13 FIP and 5.99 SIERA aren’t optimistic about him keeping his ERA so low.
Vest is in the opposite position, as he has a high 7.88 ERA he doesn’t deserve. His 23.6% strikeout rate and 9.7% walk rates are both around average, while his 55.3% ground ball rate is quite strong. A tiny 37.7% strand rate has pushed a bunch of runs across the plate. His 3.88 FIP and 3.38 SIERA suggest he has deserved far better.
Holton’s 4.56 ERA is almost a run higher than last year’s 3.66, which seems to be mostly poor luck. His strikeout, walk and ground ball rates are all pretty similar to last year. The major change is that his batting average on balls in play has jumped to .333 after being at .231 last year.
Turning back to Jansen, his $11MM deal came in the form of a $9MM salary and $2MM buyout on a $12MM club option for 2027, making that a net $10MM decision. That’s roughly around what he got paid this winter, so it would be close to fair value if he were pitching to his usual standards. How he looks when he returns from his injury will impact that decision.
It’s also possible that a team other than the Tigers is making that call. Given the club’s record and position in the standings, it’s possible they go into this summer’s deadline as sellers. Since Jansen isn’t guaranteed anything beyond that buyout, he would be a natural trade candidate, especially since almost all contenders look for bullpen upgrades ahead of the deadline.
Photo courtesy of Lon Horwedel, Imagn Images
Albert Suárez Elects Free Agency
Orioles righty Albert Suárez passed through waivers unclaimed following his recent DFA, the club announced. He rejected an outright assignment to Triple-A Norfolk and is now a free agent.
This marks the second time this season that Suárez has gone unclaimed on waivers and elected free agency. He quickly re-signed on a new minor league contract last time around. The O’s also non-tendered Suárez back in November, only to eventually re-sign him on another minor league deal. Given that history, there’s a good chance Suárez will return the Orioles organization on a new contract before very long.
Suárez, 36, has posted a sharp-looking 2.75 ERA in 19 2/3 frames with Baltimore’s big league club this season, but the underlying numbers aren’t so rosy. He’s only fanned 12.3% of his opponents and issued walks at an unsightly 11.1% clip. Nearly 80% of the batted balls against Suárez have been in the air. He’s gotten by thus far with help from a tiny .186 average on balls in play and a 9.2% homer-to-flyball rate, but both figure to trend in the opposite direction over a larger sample.
Suárez broke into the majors with the 2016 Giants, but his career took off over in Asia after he signed with the Yakult Swallows of Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball. Suárez spent three seasons pitching in NPB and another two with the Korea Baseball Organization’s Samsung Lions before returning to North American ball with the 2024 Orioles. He gave Baltimore 133 2/3 innings of 3.70 ERA ball that season. Injuries cost him much of the 2025 season, but he’s been healthy again in 2026.
Overall, since returning to MLB with the ’24 Orioles, Suárez has a 3.49 ERA, an 18.6% strikeout rate and a 7.8% walk rate in 165 innings. His strong 2024 season makes up for the bulk of that production, but he’s a serviceable depth arm who can operate as a swingman or fifth starter as needed. That might hold appeal to other clubs, but Suárez and the O’s are clearly comfortable with one another, so a new minor league deal — and perhaps several more iterations of this DFA, elect, re-sign cycle — wouldn’t at all be surprising.
Teoscar Hernández To Be Placed On IL With Hamstring Strain
May 28th: Roberts spoke to members of the media after the game and said Hernández will hit the injured list and probably miss at least a few weeks, per Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic. Ardaya later added that Ward will be recalled as the corresponding move.
May 27th: Teoscar Hernández made an early exit from tonight’s game against Colorado. The Dodgers left fielder strained his left hamstring while trying to beat out a ground-ball to shortstop in the second inning. Hernández was visibly frustrated and immediately exited the game. Hyeseong Kim replaced him in left field for the top of the third.
The Dodgers haven’t announced any specifics beyond confirming the apparent hamstring strain. They’ll likely provide more information in the next day or two after he goes for imaging. It’d be a surprise if he avoids the injured list even if the strain is of a lower-grade variety.
Los Angeles just placed Kiké Hernández back on the injured list this evening due to a significant oblique tear. It’ll be well over a month before he’s able to return. Alex Freeland came up from Triple-A to replace Kiké Hernández on the active roster. Manager Dave Roberts said pregame that Freeland would get the majority of the second base playing time, pushing Kim to more of a utility role.
Tonight’s game marked Kim’s first MLB work as a left fielder. He played 85 1/3 innings in center as a rookie. He’d been a full-time middle infielder this year aside from a two-inning cameo in center while playing in Triple-A at the beginning of the season. Kim is athletic enough to play the outfield, but his value is tied mostly to his defensive aptitude up the middle.
Alex Call got the start tonight in right field. The Dodgers seemingly wanted to stay away from Kyle Tucker on a rest day. Call has played well in limited opportunities but was acquired mostly for a short side platoon role. If the Dodgers are wary of using him as an everyday player and Teoscar Hernández misses time, they’d probably bring Ryan Ward back up from Triple-A Oklahoma City.
Last year’s minor league home run leader, Ward is hitting .260/.386/.428 this season at OKC. He made his MLB debut in April while Freddie Freeman was on the paternity list, going 2-6 in two games. Tyler Fitzgerald and Alek Thomas are the other position players on optional assignment. Fitzgerald is primarily an infielder and hits right-handed, so he’s not an ideal platoon partner with Call. Thomas has been at the team’s Arizona complex since they acquired from the Diamondbacks two weeks ago, presumably working on mechanical adjustments.
An IL stint would be a sour end to what has been an excellent month for Hernández. He’s hitting .329 with a trio of homers and four doubles in May. After a fairly slow start, he’s been one of the team’s best players over the past few weeks. Assuming the Dodgers close out a 4-1 lead in the ninth inning, they’ll pull 4.5 games ahead of the Diamondbacks and slumping Padres in the NL West.
Latest On Justin Steele
The Cubs provided an update on left-hander Justin Steele this week, as relayed by Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic. The southpaw has been cleared to progress to strengthening and then plyo balls but is still multiple weeks away from throwing a baseball.
Steele underwent surgery to address the ulnar collateral ligament in his elbow in April of last year. He was throwing off a mound by January of 2026 and there was some optimism about a fairly early return this season. That didn’t come to pass. He hit a setback in late April when he suffered a flexor strain, with manager Craig Counsell saying at that time that they no longer expected Steele back before the All-Star break.
Counsell tried to frame this week’s update as positive, in the sense that Steele is now going to start progressing through some standard recovery steps. However, it does feel as though his timeline has been pushed again. As laid out by Sharma, even in a best-case scenario, Steele will start throwing again in the middle of June. After ramping up for a bit, he could go out on a rehab assignment in July and perhaps return in August. Any further setbacks would start to put his season in jeopardy.
“We’re just hopeful to get him back,” president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer said this week. “Obviously, there comes a point where you run out of days, but I don’t think we’re there yet. I know Justin wants to come back more than anything.”
It’s a frustrating situation for Steele and the team. The lefty was a solid member of the rotation from 2022 to 2024, posting a 3.10 earned run average in 78 starts. He was only able to make four starts in 2025 before getting injured. Whether he can top four starts this year is up in the air. Even if he does beat that figure, it won’t be by much.
As of a few months ago, the Cubs were dreaming of a scenario where their rotation core consisted of Steele, Cade Horton, Edward Cabrera and Matthew Boyd this summer. Instead, all four are on the IL. Horton required Tommy John surgery in April and is done for the year. Boyd had meniscus surgery in May and is still on the mend. Cabrera landed on the shelf last week due to a blister.
That has left the Cubs with a starting group consisting of Shota Imanaga, Jameson Taillon, Colin Rea, Ben Brown and Jordan Wicks. Brown is running with the opportunity, with a 2.01 ERA on the year. Imanaga and Rea are posting passable numbers. Taillon has a 5.37 ERA thanks to a spike in home runs. Wicks just got called up from the minors and his first start of the year didn’t go well, as he allowed eight earned runs in 4 1/3 innings.
There’s obviously a big gap between the way the Cubs drew it up and the way it’s playing out. There is some good news in the short term. Sharma relays that Cabrera is expected to return after a minimal stint, so he could be back in about a week. The plan for Boyd is for him to make two rehab starts, the first of which is scheduled for Sunday, so he could be back in a couple of weeks. If everyone else stays healthy, the returns of Cabrera and Boyd could push Wicks back to the minors and someone else to the bullpen.
Those tidbits are somewhat encouraging but also come with asterisks. Cabrera has dealt with blisters throughout his career, with IL stints for them in 2021 and 2025. He’s also been fairly prone to injuries more broadly, having hit 100 innings in a season just once in his career. Boyd also has a spotty health track record, with just one season over 80 innings in this decade.
Even if that group stays somewhat stable for the next few months, it seems fair to expect the Cubs to be looking for more starting pitching this summer. Steele’s status might be more clear as the August 3rd deadline approaches but it will probably be hard to rely on him galloping in to save the day, based on how things have played out this year.
Photo courtesy of Ed Szczepanski, Imagn Images
The Opener: CBA Talks, Ohtani, Ashby
Astros right-hander Spencer Arrighetti gets another crack at the Rangers on Thursday. Arrighetti carried a no-hitter into the eighth inning against Texas two starts ago. His teammates no-hit the Rangers earlier this week. Keep a close eye on the hit column today.
1. MLBPA shares proposal
Collective bargaining discussions are underway with the MLBPA releasing its first official proposal on Wednesday. The league is expected to counter with its own proposal on Thursday. The current collective bargaining agreement expires on December 1. Talks appear to be ahead of schedule this time around. Back in 2021, the league didn’t counter the MLBPA’s initial proposal until August. Negotiations that offseason led to a lockout, but didn’t result in missed games.
2. Ohtani dominates again
Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani tossed six hitless innings on Wednesday against the Rockies. He also chipped in a leadoff home run for good measure. Ohtani lowered his ERA to 0.82. As ESPN points out, it’s the ninth-lowest ERA heading into June among pitchers who have thrown at least 50 innings since 1913. It’s also the lowest mark in Dodgers history through a pitcher’s first nine starts (h/t Alden Gonzalez of ESPN). Ohtani has allowed one earned run or fewer in all but one outing this season. In a hotly contested NL Cy Young race, he’s emerging as one of the top candidates.
3. Ashby wins again
Wins aren’t the most reliable indicator of a pitcher’s effectiveness, but they’re still fun to track, especially when a surprising name is atop the leaderboard. Brewers left-hander Aaron Ashby has managed to pile up a league-leading nine wins, despite working as an opener and middle reliever. The lefty tossed two scoreless innings on Wednesday against the Cardinals. The Brewers pushed two runs across in the eighth inning to take the lead, and Trevor Megill slammed the door to secure the win for Ashby. Guardians right-hander Gavin Williams also picked up his eighth win with a quality start against the Nationals. Chris Sale of the Braves and Davis Martin of the White Sox will go for their eighth wins on Thursday.
Photo courtesy of Jayne Kamin-Oncea, Imagn Images
MLBPA Releases Details Of Collective Bargaining Proposal
The formal process of the next collective bargaining agreement has begun. It was reported two weeks ago that the talks had kicked off with informal introductions. Today, the MLBPA made its first official proposal and released details to the media. Jeff Passan of ESPN, Evan Drellich of The Athletic and Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times were among those to relay the details. As expected, the union’s proposals involve improved outcomes for players. The proposal also has a heavy focus on the revenue-sharing system, as the players are hoping to improve the economic imbalances of the game without the implementation of a salary cap. The league will counter with their proposal tomorrow.
Many of the details involve the adjusting of measures already in place, in a pro-player direction. For instance, the union proposes raising the minimum salary to $1.5MM, almost double this year’s $780K minimum. It would continue to go up to $1.65MM, $1.825MM, $2MM and $2.2MM in subsequent seasons. They also propose expanding the $50MM pre-arbitration bonus pool to $180MM. The Super Two designation that currently goes to 22% of players between two and three years of service would jump to a 44% cutoff. The minimum tender in arbitration would be $3MM. The service time needed for free agency, which is currently six years, would drop to five years for players at least 30 years old. However, teams could keep such players for a sixth year by offering them a contract with a salary that averages out the 125 highest-paid players in the league, which is the same calculus for the current qualifying offer. (Passan relayed those details in a subsequent post.)
Those measures would all directly benefit players financially. They also propose measures that would help players indirectly, by improving the abilities for club to spend. The threshold of the competitive balance tax would jump from $244MM to $300MM, then $315MM, $330MM, $345MM and $360MM in subsequent seasons. Non-monetary penalties, such as the impact on draft picks, would be eliminated. The qualifying offer would be eliminated, along with the penalties for clubs who sign free agents, though the bonuses for lower revenue clubs who lose free agents would be increased. The draft lottery would be expanded to further disincentivize tanking. The rules to address service time manipulation would be expanded.
There would be a “competitive integrity tax” for any team that does not spend $150MM. This would be an inverse to the competitive balance tax, which is already in place. Currently, baseball effectively has a soft cap in the form of that tax. Some teams blow past it but face penalties, both in the form of the payments and the impact of picks being pushed later in the draft. There’s not really a soft floor, as teams who receive revenue-sharing payments don’t really have conditions attached.
The Athletics did lose their revenue-sharing status for a while and they seemed to spend a bit more on players recently because they didn’t want to go down that road again, but no other club has been similarly motivated. The A’s reportedly had to get their CBT number up to $105MM to avoid a grievance but several other clubs have carried CBT numbers well below that without any consequences.
As mentioned, many elements of the proposal involve significant changes to the revenue-sharing system. Under this proposal, teams would actually send out less stadium revenue but there would be a notable increase in terms of the sharing of broadcast revenue. Lower revenue clubs would receive at least $240MM annually but with conditions. Teams who do not spend the revenue-sharing money would be subject to penalties. Teams that do spend that money would receive bonuses if they make the playoffs or have a winning record.
These revenue-sharing details are significant because they are presumably a counter to a salary cap. The league is expected to push for a cap, something they have wanted for decades and have pushed for in the past. Some fans like the idea of a cap because of the economic imbalances in the game. The clubs with greater revenue and higher payrolls have had a lot of success in recent years, with the Dodgers being an oft-cited example. The teams have pushed farther apart recently in terms of broadcast revenue. The clubs in large markets are generally doing fine while many of the smaller clubs have seen their broadcast deals collapse. The league has stepped in and is now handling broadcasts for almost half the league. That setup can reach more viewers via streaming but generally leads to less revenue.
With these revenue-sharing elements, the players appear to be trying to address competitive balance in a way that does not involve a cap. They directly address the broadcast revenue imbalance and would broadly be giving the smaller clubs a greater ability to spend. They also put conditions on the money, so that lower-revenue clubs can’t just pocket what they get from other teams, which is a concern in the current setup.
As mentioned, MLB will make their opening proposal tomorrow, but they have already gone public to oppose what the players have proposed. MLB spokesperson Glen Caplin released a statement, with Drellich among those to relay it, effectively saying that MLB’s position is that this proposal makes competitive balance worse and not better.
It’s worth pointing out that the players won’t get everything they are asking for. The way that collective bargaining works, both sides are going to stake out a bold position at the start. Over the coming months, as the bargaining process plays out, the sides will back down in some areas. The question is how long it will take to find an overall agreement that both parties consider acceptable.
The last round of CBA talks didn’t result in any lost games but went to the brink. MLB locked out the players when the previous CBA expired on December 1st of 2021. That lockout lasted until March 10th. The opening of the 2022 campaign was delayed but a full 162-game season was played. It is expected that this round could be just as contentious, if not moreso. The current CBA again expires on December 1st at 11:59pm Eastern.
For those looking for positive signs, there are some to be found. In Drellich’s column, he points out that things are ahead of schedule, relative to last time. In 2021, the players also made their first proposal in May but the owners didn’t make theirs until August. When the owners make their proposal tomorrow, that will be three months earlier than 2021.
Photo courtesy of Evan Petzold, Imagn Images