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Reds Sign Matt Davidson To Minors Contract

By Mark Polishuk | January 2, 2020 at 6:18pm CDT

The Reds have signed corner infielder Matt Davidson to a minor league contract, MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand reports (via Twitter).  Davidson will be invited to Cincinnati’s big league Spring Training camp.

Davidson didn’t see any MLB action last season, spending all of 2019 with the Rangers’ Triple-A affiliate and hitting .264/.339/.527 with 33 homers over 528 plate appearances.  These big numbers (posted amidst the most hitter-friendly season in Triple-A history, to be fair) could have inspired the Rangers to keep Davidson in his customary first base/third base role rather than further experiment with him on the mound, as Davidson pitched just one inning of relief work.  Davidson did indicate last February that his pitching exploits were likely to be more of the emergency mop-up variety than of any real attempt to make him a two-way player, following three innings of pitching with the White Sox in 2018.

Selected 35th overall by the Diamondbacks in the 2009 draft, Davidson was sent to the White Sox in a notable December 2013 deal that brought Addison Reed to the desert.  Davidson showed some promise in 31-game cameo with Arizona in 2013 and then hit .224/.291/.435 with 46 homers over 939 PA with Chicago in 2017-18, as his power potential didn’t make up for a lack of average and on-base skills.  There was a lot of swing-and-miss in Davidson’s time as a big leaguer, with 355 strikeouts over 1028 career PA.  Following the 2018 season, the White Sox opted to non-tender Davidson rather than pay him a projected $2.4MM through the arbitration process.

Turning 29 in March, Davidson projects to be a corner infield depth piece for Cincinnati on either their big league bench or at Triple-A.  The addition of a 26th roster spot gives Davidson a greater hope of winning a job in Spring Training, though with Eugenio Suarez and Joey Votto firmly locked into third base and first base duties for the Reds, Davidson doesn’t have much of a path to regular playing time.

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Cincinnati Reds Transactions Matt Davidson

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Latest On Dodgers’ Interest In Mookie Betts

By Mark Polishuk | January 2, 2020 at 5:55pm CDT

The Dodgers have been linked to several superstar players in both free agency and potential trades this winter, though with so many of the big free agents already signed elsewhere, the trade market might be Los Angeles’ best avenue to land a major roster upgrade.  To this end, the Dodgers have continued to explore the possibility of acquiring Mookie Betts from the Red Sox, according to MLB.com’s Jon Paul Morosi.

The deal could potentially be expanded to involve multiple players heading from Boston to Chavez Ravine, as Morosi suggests that David Price might be a fit as the veteran arm the Dodgers are looking to add to their rotation.  With the Red Sox looking to cut payroll and ideally get under the luxury tax threshold, rumors have swirled all winter about Price, Betts, and other high-priced Boston names being floated as trade chips.  Betts is projected for a hefty $27.7MM salary in his final year of arbitration, though that’s certainly a reasonable price to pay (especially for a big-market team like the Dodgers) for one of the sport’s very best players.

As game-changing as the idea of a Betts trade may be, the Sox aren’t actively trying to deal him, since the club would naturally prefer to explore other cost-saving options before parting ways with the 2018 AL MVP.  Moving Price and the $96MM owed to the southpaw through 2022 would be one of those preferred options.  While the Sox have drummed up some trade interest in Price, however, it still seems unlikely that a suitor would take on most of that contract given Price’s age (34) and recent injury concerns.

Moving Betts along with Price would definitely make a trade suitors more willing to absorb perhaps even all of Price’s contract, though obviously the Red Sox aren’t willing to move Betts just for the sake of a salary dump.  Indeed, Sox chief baseball officer Chaim Bloom recently downplayed the idea of giving away any sort of younger talent along with Price, saying “so much of what we’re always going to be trying to accomplish, but certainly now, is to make sure we have as strong a farm system as possible.”

Morosi opines that the Red Sox would want one of the Dodgers’ top young pitchers (i.e. Dustin May or Tony Gonsolin) as part of a trade, though “Boston appears less insistent on” including infielder Gavin Lux as part of a trade package.  It could be for this reason that L.A. is perhaps currently more focused on Betts than on Indians shortstop Francisco Lindor, another All-Star who has been heavily rumored to be on the Dodgers’ list of targets.  The Lindor talks appear to be in something of a stalemate — Cleveland has continued to demand Lux in any deal for Lindor, while the Dodgers think so highly of Lux’s potential that they “have refused to include him in any offer for Lindor alone.”  The Dodgers are also known to be pursuing Cleveland righty Mike Clevinger, so it’s safe to assume that some multi-player offers have been floated in the Tribe’s direction.

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Boston Red Sox Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Dodgers Francisco Lindor Gavin Lux Mookie Betts

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Minor MLB Transactions: 1/2/2020

By Mark Polishuk | January 2, 2020 at 5:18pm CDT

The latest minor league moves from around baseball…

  • The Rangers announced the signing of outfielder Henry Ramos to a minors contract with an invitation to the club’s MLB Spring Training camp.  Originally a fifth-round pick for the Red Sox in the 2010 draft, Ramos spent his first seven pro seasons in Boston’s farm system before playing in the Dodgers’ organization in 2017-18 and then last season with the Giants’ Triple-A affiliate.  The switch-hitting Ramos (who turns 28 in April) has a .275/.332/.418 slash line over 3323 career plate appearances in the minor leagues, with the bulk of his playing time coming in right field and center field.
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Texas Rangers Transactions Henry Ramos

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Rangers Hire Darwin Barney As Triple-A Manager

By Mark Polishuk | January 2, 2020 at 3:21pm CDT

Veteran infielder Darwin Barney will manage the Rangers’ Triple-A affiliate in Nashville next season, as per a team press release.  The 34-year-old Barney is taking on his first coaching or managerial job, following a playing career that saw him appear in parts of eight MLB seasons.

Barney hit .246/.294/.341 over 2759 career plate appearances and 814 career games with the Cubs, Dodgers, and Blue Jays from 2010-17.  While his numbers at the plate weren’t anything special, Barney’s outstanding glovework earned him a spot as Chicago’s regular second baseman in the early part of the decade.  Over 5113 career innings as a second baseman, Barney posted 53 Defensive Runs Saved and a +6.7 UZR/150.  The 2012 campaign saw Barney post the third-highest (28) DRS total of any second baseman in the last 20 seasons, and Barney was duly was awarded a Gold Glove for his work that year.

Beyond the keystone, Barney also played third base and shortstop as he moved into a utility role later in his career, even amassing 50 innings as a left fielder for the 2016-17 Blue Jays.  Barney signed on with the Rangers on a minor league deal prior to the 2018 season, but was released during Spring Training and didn’t catch on with any other clubs.

As per Baseball Reference, Barney earned roughly $10.25MM over his career.  We at MLBTR wish Barney congratulations on a fine career and wish him all the best as he embarks on the next phase of his baseball life as a manager.

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Texas Rangers Darwin Barney Retirement

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How AL Teams Have Addressed Their Weakest Positions Of 2019

By Mark Polishuk | December 30, 2019 at 12:10am CDT

We took a look earlier tonight at what the National League’s teams have done to improve their weakest position (as per bWAR) from the past season, and now let’s turn our attention to the 15 American League clubs….

Angels (Catcher, -0.7 bWAR): Amidst signing Anthony Rendon and bringing in pitching, the Halos have also been looking for catching help in trade talks and free agent negotiations, with potential targets Jason Castro and Robinson Chirinos still among the remaining available names.  The search for catching has yet to bear fruit, however, leaving Los Angels with Max Stassi and Anthony Bemboom as its current backstop tandem, and hardly an improvement over even the position’s meager 2019 output.  First base was another negative (-0.1 bWAR) position last year, though the Angels are hoping Tommy La Stella keeps up his strong hitting while moving to the primary first base role, and anything can be mined from Albert Pujols in the declining slugger’s 20th Major League season.

Astros (First base, 2.4 bWAR): This is an ideal time to point out that the idea of a “weakest position” is all relative, as the Astros win the prize for the best “worst” position in all of baseball.  Houston would be perfectly happy with a repeat performance from Yuli Guerriel, and utility options Aledmys Diaz and Abraham Toro are on hand to back up the position.

Athletics (Designated hitter, 0.3 bWAR): After signing Khris Davis to a two-year, $33.5MM extension covering the 2020-21 seasons, the A’s couldn’t have been pleased to see Davis post the worst season of his seven-year career.  With just a .220/.293/.387 slash line and 23 homers, the bat-only Davis was a sub-replacement player himself and almost dragged the entire DH spot down with him into negative-bWAR territory.  Oakland can only hope that Davis gets back on track in 2020, or else the low-payroll A’s might find themselves in the awkward position of having to bench their highest-paid player if the club is in another pennant race.

Blue Jays (Right field, -0.1 bWAR): Speaking of highly-paid players coming up short, the Blue Jays received nothing from their right field spot despite the regular presence of Randal Grichuk, who signed an extension in April that guaranteed him $47MM in new money over the next four seasons.  While Grichuk didn’t hit much in 2019, he also wasn’t solely responsible for the lack of right field production, as the likes of Billy McKinney, Brandon Drury, Socrates Brito, and even Eric Sogard and Cavan Biggio all saw time in right while Grichuk was used in center.  It isn’t yet known if Grichuk will remain in right field or again be needed in center, but regardless, Toronto will need Grichuk or another right field option like Derek Fisher to be much more productive.

Indians (Designated hitter, 0.7 bWAR): While the Tribe will technically be keeping the DH spot open for multiple players, it’s probably safe to assume that Franmil Reyes will get the bulk of action at the position.  Acquired from the Padres as part of the Trevor Bauer blockbuster at last year’s trade deadline, a full season of Reyes’ power potential should give Cleveland the extra thump they were missing at DH last season whenever Carlos Santana was at his customary first base spot.

Mariners (Center field, -0.5 bWAR): It’s been a pretty quiet winter overall for the Mariners, and with the youth movement on, the M’s aren’t likely to bring in veteran help to either support or supplant Mallex Smith as the regular center fielder.  The Mariners will hope that Smith can improve on a lackluster 2019 that saw him take big steps backwards both offensively and defensively, with youngsters like Jake Fraley or Braden Bishop on hand to step in should Smith continue to struggle.

Orioles (Relief pitching -0.5 bWAR): As you might guess, the O’s bottomed out at numerous positions, including negative bWAR measures in left field (-0.4) and center field (-0.1).  The decision to deal Jonathan Villar to the Marlins in a virtual salary dump indicates that Baltimore won’t be spending much of anything on its MLB roster in 2020, so any relief additions will be low-cost veterans and minor league signings.

Rangers (Catcher, -2.0 bWAR): Good news for the Angels, as they didn’t have nearly the worst catching corps in the AL West!  Jose Trevino, Jeff Mathis, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, and Tim Federowicz are all still in the organization, however, with Nick Ciuffo’s minor league deal representing the only new addition.  Like the Angels and probably every other catcher-needy team still on the market, the Rangers have had talks with Chirinos and Castro.  Either would bring some type of stability to a position that was a major weak link for Texas in 2019, even while the club’s more heavily-publicized needs in the rotation and at third base have drawn more attention thus far in the offseason.

Rays (Catcher, 0.7 bWAR): Speaking of teams that need catching help, the Rays have seemingly spent years on a perpetual hunt for backstops, and now just saw Travis d’Arnaud depart for a two-year contract with Atlanta.  This leaves the Rays with Mike Zunino and Michael Perez, and since this combo wasn’t good enough for 2019, Tampa Bay is likely to continue looking throughout the winter.  They’re not equipped to sign Chirinos or Castro if it comes down to a bidding war against most well-heeled clubs, so a trade might be the Rays’ better bet.

Red Sox (Second base, -0.2 bWAR): The newly-signed Jose Peraza is probably Brock Holt’s replacement in the utility infield role, and the keystone looks like it’ll be Peraza’s primary source for playing time given how Boston is mostly set around the rest of the diamond.  Peraza will have to rebound from a poor 2019 campaign, as will re-signed utility infielder Marco Hernandez.  Former top prospect Michael Chavis is a more promising name in the mix, though for now it seems like the Red Sox will mostly deploy him at first base.  The x-factor is Dustin Pedroia, who is hoping for a midseason comeback after missing virtually all of the last two years due to knee injuries.  It isn’t exactly the most inspiring collection of second base candidates, though the Sox don’t have much to spend as they seem largely focused on getting under the luxury tax line.

Royals (First base, -1.9 bWAR): Ryan O’Hearn’s rough season leaves first base as an open question for Kansas City heading into 2020, though the addition of Maikel Franco at third base has shuffled the infield deck.  K.C. could go with a lefty/righty platoon of O’Hearn and Ryan McBroom, or Hunter Dozier or Whit Merrifield could now factor into the first base mix when they’re not in the outfield.  There’s room for the Royals to add an inexpensive first base bat if they aren’t fully prepared to go with the kids.

Tigers (Catcher, -2.2 bWAR): Detroit fielded the worst collection of position players in baseball last season, as the 0.2 bWAR generated in center field and in right field represented the team’s best positions.  The Tigers addressed second base (-0.9 bWAR) by signing Jonathan Schoop and first base (0.1 bWAR) by inking C.J. Cron, and for their biggest need behind the plate, another veteran free agent was acquired in Austin Romine.  The longtime Yankees backup has quietly hit .262/.302/.428 with 18 homers over the last two seasons and 505 plate appearances, and he’ll now get his first real crack at a regular starting job.  There’s no real downside in these one-year deals for Romine, Schoop, and Cron, as the Tigers inch their way back towards respectability.

Twins (First base and left field, 2.0 bWAR): Even the weakest links on the Bomba Squad were still pretty powerful, as Cron hit 25 homers as Minnesota’s primary first baseman and Eddie Rosario swatted 32 home runs in left field.  Cron, however, was non-tendered and the Twins have floated Rosario’s name in trade talks, so the club clearly feels improvement can be found.  Super-utilityman Marwin Gonzalez can handle either position in a pinch and is currently slated for first base, though with the Twins in the hunt for Josh Donaldson, Miguel Sano could find himself shifted from third base across the diamond to first.  If Rosario was dealt, Minnesota could continue its big-game hunting by getting into the Marcell Ozuna chase for the left field vacancy, or just rely on Gonzalez until star prospect Alex Kirilloff is potentially ready to make his big league debut later in the season.

White Sox (Right field, -1.8 bWAR): Chicago only had a cumulative 0.0 bWAR for its outfield as a whole (second-worst total in the majors), with right field being the biggest culprit.  While Nomar Mazara hasn’t been too far above replacement level himself during his four years in the majors, the White Sox are hoping that the newly-acquired right fielder will be a post-hype breakout now that he has landed in a new environment.  A right-handed hitting platoon partner for Mazara could still be pursued, though the Sox are reportedly more focused on bullpen additions than outfielders right now.  The Sox also had a negative bWAR (-0.4) from their designated hitters in 2019, though that position has been firmly bolstered with the signing of Edwin Encarnacion.

Yankees (Designated hitter, 1.8 bWAR): Another position that is only a “weakness” in relative terms, given how the Yankees got great contributions from all over the field despite an almost unimaginable string of injuries.  With these health concerns in mind, obtaining an actual full-time DH probably won’t happen, as New York will want to cycle multiple players through the designated hitter spot for the sake of partial rest days.  Giancarlo Stanton is the likely candidate to receive the majority of DH time in the wake of his injury-filled 2019 season.

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MLBTR Originals

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MLBTR Chat Transcript: Gray, Lindor, Price, Castellanos, Donaldson

By Mark Polishuk | December 29, 2019 at 10:23pm CDT

Click here to read the transcript of tonight’s live baseball chat, moderated by MLBTR’s Mark Polishuk

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MLBTR Chats

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How NL Teams Have Addressed Their Weakest Positions Of 2019

By Mark Polishuk | December 29, 2019 at 7:14pm CDT

Despite all of the free activity we’ve seen to date, a look at the calendar reveals that we’re not yet even halfway through the offseason, so there’s still plenty of time for teams to shore up obvious areas of need.  In this post, we’ll look at what each of the 15 National League teams have done so far to upgrade their weakest positions from the 2019 season (as determined by bWAR).  As you might expect, we ignore the DH category while dealing with NL clubs.  The breakdown…

Braves (Catcher, 0.1 bWAR): Brian McCann’s hot start gave way to a lackluster second half, and Tyler Flowers offered some elite pitch-framing but little else either offensively or defensively.  With McCann now retired and Flowers re-signed, Atlanta made a splash by signing Travis d’Arnaud to a two-year, $16MM deal.  It isn’t a huge investment, though the Braves are betting that d’Arnaud’s strong 2019 performance with the Rays is a sign that he has put his past injury woes behind him.  d’Arnaud was the top non-Yasmani Grandal free agent catcher available, so Braves GM Alex Anthopoulos made a decisive move to not just shore up his own backstop situation, but also remove d’Arnaud as an option for the many other clubs in need of catching help.

Brewers (Shortstop, -0.3 bWAR): After consecutive seasons of sub-replacement level play, Orlando Arcia is no longer Milwaukee’s top option at shortstop, though the former top prospect was retained on an arbitration-avoiding $2.2MM contract for the 2020 season.  It seems like Arcia will lose playing time to, ironically, another former blue chip prospect who has also struggled to hit MLB pitching.  Luis Urias was acquired as part of a four-player trade with the Padres, as San Diego decided after 302 plate appearances over parts of two seasons that Urias wasn’t their second baseman of the future (Fernando Tatis Jr. obviously has shortstop spoken for at Petco Park).  It should be noted that Urias is only 22 years old, and he has posted strong averages and on-base numbers in the minors, so it is certainly still possible that his bat can blossom with a change of scenery.  The Brewers also added veteran utilityman Eric Sogard as part of their near-total infield overhaul, and while Sogard is probably better suited for second or third base at this point in his career, he can provide further depth at the shortstop position.

Cardinals (Right field, 1.4 bWAR): Dexter Fowler and Jose Martinez handled the bulk of right field duties last year, with Fowler rebounding after a dismal 2018 season and Martinez taking a significant step back at the plate after posting impressive numbers in 2017-18.  Fowler’s hefty contract and no-trade clause makes him unlikely to be dealt, so he’s probably the favorite to return next season unless the Cards move him to left field as part of a wider outfield shakeup.  St. Louis has a lot of outfield candidates but are short on true everyday players, so the picture could become a lot clearer if the Cardinals move an outfielder or two to address other needs.  Star prospect Dylan Carlson could end up seeing some time in right field in 2020, though the Cards are probably likely to initially try him out as a center fielder as he makes his Major League debut.

Cubs (Second base, 0.0 bWAR): Addison Russell was non-tendered and Ben Zobrist is a free agent, leaving Nico Hoerner, David Bote, Ian Happ, Daniel Descalso, and the newly-acquired Hernan Perez as options at the keystone.  The Cubs would love it if one of their in-house candidates (particularly a former top-100 prospect like Hoerner or Happ), claimed the job, though Happ could also be considered for center field, another position of need — Cubs center fielders combined for only 0.2 bWAR in 2019.  There’s a ton of uncertainty surrounding these positions and around the Cubs as a whole, yet Chicago’s offseason seems to be at a standstill based on the twin factors of a payroll crunch and Kris Bryant’s service-time grievance.  Bryant’s case won’t be decided until January at the earliest, leaving the Cubs unsure of how to market one of their biggest trade chips as they look to cut salary by any means necessary, even if that means moving established stars like Bryant, Willson Contreras, Anthony Rizzo, etc.

Diamondbacks (Right field, 0.0 bWAR): Steven Souza Jr. spent the entire 2019 season on the injured list, leaving Arizona to have to make do with veteran Adam Jones taking the bulk of right field playing time.  Souza was non-tendered and Jones is off to Japan, so the D’Backs went with another experienced option by signing Kole Calhoun to a two-year, $16MM deal.  Long a solid performer over his career with the Angels, Calhoun badly struggled in 2018 before bouncing back to hit .232/.325/.467 with 33 homers over 632 PA last season.  In Arizona native Calhoun, the D’Backs hope they’ve found the reliable right field solution that they thought had been acquired in Souza two offseasons ago.

Dodgers (Relief pitching, 1.2 bWAR): Though the bullpen as a whole posted some very good numbers in league-wide categories, the twin concerns of Joe Kelly’s inconsistent year and Kenley Jansen’s uncharacteristically average season left L.A. fans with major questions at the back of the pen.  One possible solution has already been added in Blake Treinen, who was an elite closer in 2018 but was non-tendered by the A’s after a rough 2019 season.  A Treinen who approaches his 2018 form could single-handedly be all the late-game help the Dodgers need, though expect the club to bring at least a couple of new relievers into the mix, at least on minors deals.

Giants (Second base, 0.5 bWAR): Now that the Joe Panik era is over in San Francisco, the Giants hope that youngster Mauricio Dubon can thrive as a regular second baseman.  Dubon will be complemented by infielders Donovan Solano and newly-acquired Zack Cozart, picked up in a salary dump from the Angels.  The keystone is far from the only problem facing the Giants, as it was one of a whopping seven positions that posted a collective bWAR of 1.4 or lower, and the Giants’ 3.2 starting pitching bWAR was the third-lowest in the league.

Marlins (Outfield, -2.0 bWAR): While the right fielders generated 1.2 bWAR, Miami had the league’s worst left field (-1.4 bWAR) and center field (-1.8 bWAR) production.  Combined with the -0.5 bWAR from the bullpen and -0.1 bWAR at second base, that makes it a total of four sub-replacement positions for the 105-loss Marlins.  There’s clearly a lot of work to be done, though the Fish are making an honest effort to improve by adding several veteran players, including their recent agreement with Corey Dickerson on a two-year, $17.5MM contract.  Dickerson should instantly revive the moribund left field situation and add a proven bat to the Miami lineup.

Mets (Center field, 0.2 bWAR): Rumors continue to swirl about New York’s interest in Starling Marte, though the Mets have already made a lower-level center field improvement in acquiring Jake Marisnick from Houston.  Even if a Marte trade with the Pirates doesn’t happen, a full and healthy season from Brandon Nimmo with Marisnick spelling him against lefty pitching and as a late-inning defensive sub should give the Mets some long-awaited stability up the middle.

Nationals (Relief pitching, 0.1 bWAR): The Nats captured their first World Series title despite season-long bullpen issues, and the club has yet to do much to its relief depth besides inking Fernando Abad and Kyle Finnegan to minor league contracts and re-signing Javy Guerra.  With more pressing questions to address in the infield, the District might wait until later in the winter to pursue more veterans on low-cost deals.  Daniel Hudson is being targeted for a reunion, though it may depend on whether or not Hudson can find his desired multi-year contract elsewhere.

Padres (Catcher and first base, -0.2 bWAR each): With $99MM still owed to Eric Hosmer, there isn’t much San Diego can do at first base besides hope that Hosmer rebounds from a subpar 2019 campaign.  As for catcher, stay tuned, since the Padres’ seemingly nonstop trade explorations include a desire to improve behind the plate, with defensive specialist Austin Hedges more likely to be dealt than Francisco Mejia.  (Austin Allen was already traded to the Athletics as part of the swap that brought Jurickson Profar to San Diego.)  Even if no further trading takes place, some improvement could happen from within, as Mejia hit well despite battling injuries last year and was a consensus top-35 prospect heading into the season.

Phillies (Third base, 0.6 bWAR): Maikel Franco was non-tendered, leaving the hot corner open for Scott Kingery to finally claim a regular position in Philadelphia’s everyday lineup.  It’s probably safe to assume Kingery will still do his share of bouncing around the diamond, however, especially if Philly adds another part-time infielder (beyond Josh Harrison or T.J. Rivera) or if top prospect Alec Bohm forces his way into the picture partway through the season.

Pirates (Right field, -0.7 bWAR): Shoulder problems limited Gregory Polanco to only 42 games last season, so Pittsburgh is hoping that a healthy Polanco is enough to turn right field around in 2020.  It remains to be seen how actively the Bucs will shop for any veteran depth as a backup option, as speculation persists that new GM Ben Cherington could take the Pirates into a rebuild.

Reds (Second base, -0.6 bWAR): The Reds headed into the offseason intent on adding some major pieces to what they hope will be a contending team, and to that end they went big (if in a surprising manner) in solving their second base problem.  Cincinnati’s four-year, $64MM deal with Mike Moustakas was notable for being the biggest free agent deal in club history, and a guarantee far beyond any projections for the Moose’s latest sojourn into free agency, as he landed only modest one-year deals in each of the last two winters.  After spending virtually all of his career at third base, Moustakas played 47 games at second base for Milwaukee last season and apparently impressed the Reds enough to make him their long-term answer at the keystone.

Rockies (Center field, -1.0 bWAR): Left field was just behind with -0.9 bWAR, while the outfield as a whole combined for 0.4 bWAR, the third-lowest total of any outfield in baseball last year.  Colorado is another team mired in payroll problems, trying to figure out how to improve not just the outfield, but several sub-standard positions despite a lack of available funds.  Trading Nolan Arenado is the nuclear option that the Rockies may or may not be willing to explore in order to both free up payroll and add some talent to address Colorado’s many needs.  In terms of the outfield, the Rox might juggle some combination of David Dahl along with Sam Hilliard, Garrett Hampson, and Raimel Tapia in left field and right field, with Ian Desmond also still on hand and looking for his long-awaited Rockies breakout.

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Blue Jays Sign Hyun-Jin Ryu

By Mark Polishuk | December 27, 2019 at 8:00am CDT

Two and a half months after GM Ross Atkins vowed to find pitching that could “contribute in significant ways,” the Blue Jays have formally announced the signing of one of the best pitchers on the market, left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu, to a four-year contract. The Boras Corporation client will reportedly be guaranteed $80MM, which will be paid out evenly at $20MM per season. Ryu’s deal doesn’t have any opt-out provisions but is said to contain a partial no-trade clause.

The news ends a spirited market for Ryu’s services, as at least six teams (the Dodgers, Angels, Braves, Padres, Cardinals, and Twins) were all known to have some degree of interest in the southpaw this offseason.  While all of those teams were either playoff clubs in 2019 or are planning to contend in 2020, it was the rebuilding Blue Jays who made the big strike, signaling that their own effort to return to contention is coming sooner rather than later.  The Jays were known to be looking at both the top tier and the lower tiers of the pitching market, though the signing still comes as a surprise, given how Toronto’s previous acquisitions had been more modest.

Ryu joins Tanner Roark, Chase Anderson, and Shun Yamaguchi as newly-acquired members of Toronto’s rotation, completely overhauling a starting staff that was expected to be a major point of emphasis this winter.  Yamaguchi could wind up in the bullpen if the Jays go with some combination of in-house candidates Matt Shoemaker, Trent Thornton, Ryan Borucki, Anthony Kay, or Jacob Waguespack for the final two rotation places.  Star prospect Nate Pearson is also expected to make his big league debut at some point in 2020, so one of those rotation spots could ultimately be earmarked for him down the stretch, or the Jays could ease Pearson into the majors as a reliever.

While Pearson may be the ace of the future, Ryu is now firmly the ace of the present.  The lefty finished second in NL Cy Young Award voting last season on the heels of a league-best 2.32 ERA and 1.2 BB/9, as well as a 6.79 K/BB rate, 8.0 K/9, and 50.4% grounder rate.  ERA predictors weren’t quite as impressed (3.10 FIP, 3.32 xFIP, 3.77 SIERA) with Ryu’s performance, while his modest 90.6mph fastball finished in the bottom 11th percentile in both fastball velocity and spin rate.

On the plus side of the Statcast coin, Ryu was also one of the league’s best pitchers in limiting hard-hit balls and exit velocity, and his .263 wOBA was only slightly lower than his .281 xwOBA.  Despite the lack of fastball velocity, Ryu still had the 26th most effective heater of any qualified pitcher in the sport according to Fangraphs’ Pitch Value metrics, while his changeup was one of the ten most effective pitches in all of baseball in 2019.

Perhaps most importantly, Ryu also tossed 182 2/3 innings last year, his highest workload since his 2013 debut season in MLB and the first time he’d topped even the 126 2/3 inning plateau since 2014.  Ryu had only a couple of minimal injured list stints for minor neck and groin soreness in 2019, as opposed to the much more serious setbacks that plagued him earlier in his career.  Shoulder and elbow surgeries limited Ryu to just a single game in 2015-16, he missed close to three months in 2018 due to a torn groin, and IL stints for foot and hip problems limited him to 126 2/3 IP in 2017.

This injury history and Ryu’s age (he turns 33 in March) were reasons why MLBTR projected him to only land a three-year, $54MM deal, despite his superb 2019 campaign and his overall strong track record in 740 1/3 career innings in the majors.  The Blue Jays could have been compelled to go to four years to convince Ryu to join a team that didn’t offer as clear a path to immediate contention as some of his other suitors.

Even with Ryu signed, it remains to be seen if the Jays will emerge as a threat to return to the playoffs after three straight losing seasons.  The team will be counting on its young core of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Bo Bichette, Cavan Biggio, and Danny Jansen to all take steps forward, while more experienced hands like Randal Grichuk (who had been Toronto’s highest-paid player prior to the Ryu signing) and the newly-acquired Travis Shaw will need to improve on mediocre 2019 performances.

The Ryu signing also re-aligns expectations for the rest of the Jays’ offseason.  On paper, this could be Toronto’s version of the Cubs’ deal with Jon Lester prior to the 2015 season — the big-ticket veteran pitching acquisition that indicated the rebuilding Cubs had enough faith in their up-and-coming young team to go for it after a lengthy rebuild.  If the Jays are serious about challenging for the postseason as soon as 2020, more substantial veteran upgrades could be made to center field, the bullpen, the first base/DH mix beyond Shaw and Rowdy Tellez, or even the rotation.  Closer Ken Giles was widely assumed to be a trade candidate, but now the Blue Jays could perhaps keep Giles for the final year of his contract in order to keep the ninth inning locked down.

The Jays’ current 2020 payroll (as per Roster Resource) projects to be just under $122.2MM, so considering that the 2016-18 clubs all finished the season with payrolls in the $164MM-$167MM range, GM Ross Atkins could have more spending room for further moves.  Ryu is the third-highest contract even given out by the franchise, topped only by Vernon Wells’ $126MM extension in the 2006-07 offseason and the five-year, $82MM free agent deal for Russell Martin prior to the 2015 season.

Ryu is the latest arm to leave what has been a scorching hot market for free agent starting pitchers.  Returning to MLBTR’s Top 50 Free Agents list, Alex Wood (at #39) is now the highest-ranked starter still on the board, as the 14 pitchers ahead of him have all found new deals before Christmas.  As Heyman notes on Twitter, the many teams still looking for rotation upgrades could now be forced to explore the trade market, which could lead to a flurry of deals before Opening Day.

MLB Network’s Jon Heyman first reported the deal (Twitter link). MLB.com’s Jesse Sanchez reported that Ryu would receive a partial no-trade clause. The Toronto Star’s Gregor Chsholm reported the annual breakdown.

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Newsstand Toronto Blue Jays Transactions Hyun-Jin Ryu

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Quick Hits: Dombrowski, Twins, Moore, 26th Player

By Mark Polishuk | December 26, 2019 at 8:59pm CDT

An even 100 years after the most influential trade in baseball history, let’s check out some items from around the majors…

  • After being fired by the Red Sox as their president of baseball operations last September, Dave Dombrowski chose to take some time away from the sport rather than enter what he felt could be “sort of an awkward scenario” of another front office role, the longtime executive tells Alex Speier of the Boston Globe.  Since Dombrowski hopes to land another GM position in the future, “to sit there and be a consultant, some people may view it as you’re sitting over their heads — which would not be the case, but I understand [why it might seem that way]. I think I would look more into that if something doesn’t work out as far as being a general manager. I think I would look more into that in the future, but not this year.”  As a result, this has been a unique winter for Dombrowski, marking the first time since 1978 that he hasn’t been involved in normal offseason business working for a team in some capacity.
  • The Twins have “kicked the tires on the top remaining starters,” as per SKOR North’s Darren Wolfson (Twitter links), and also looked at several other pitchers who have since signed with other clubs, though “never really pursued any aggressively.”  Minnesota entered the offseason with a severe need for starting pitching, and while the club has brought back Jake Odorizzi and Michael Pineda, at least one rotation spot must still be addressed.  With so many top arms already off the board, Wolfson feels the Twins might need to swing a trade in order to add any further pitching upgrades.  In another tweet, Wolfson notes that the Twins didn’t have any interest in left-hander Matt Moore, who is off to Japan after signing with the SoftBank Hawks earlier today.
  • The 2020 season is expected to feature some new rules, perhaps most notably the addition of a 26th player to every active roster.  Baseball America’s Kyle Glaser talked to some managers and GMs about how clubs are preparing to deploy this extra roster spot, particularly given the additional regulations expected to limit teams to 13 pitchers per roster.  If a team wanted an extra hurler at its disposal, they could have a roster of 12 position players and a two-way player, with that two-way player being subject to criteria from the league before being officially designated as such.  “We have some players like Jake Cronenworth (and) Javy Guerra who can go both ways, pitch and get on the field,” Padres general manager A.J. Preller said.  “We talked about specialists — pinch-hit, something like that. It just depends how your roster ends up being finalized when you get to the end of spring training.”
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Minnesota Twins Notes Dave Dombrowski Matt Moore

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Extension Candidate: Luis Robert

By Mark Polishuk | December 26, 2019 at 5:51pm CDT

Is there any prospect quite as exciting as a blue chip center fielder?  White Sox fans have been eagerly awaiting the arrival of Luis Robert ever since he signed for a $26MM bonus with the team back in May 2017.  It was a contract that put the Sox in the proverbial “penalty box” under the old international signing rules, yet the splurge seemed more than worthwhile given the Cuban outfielder’s potential.

Robert’s early progress was hampered by ankle and knee injuries, as well as a thumb sprain.  But, with a clean bill of health in 2019, Robert set upon tearing up the minor leagues, hitting a cumulative .328/.376/.624 with 32 homers and 36 stolen bases (out of 47 steal attempts) over 551 plate appearances for three different White Sox affiliates.  Robert moved from high-A Winston-Salem to Triple-A Charlotte by season’s end, and though he only has 47 games and 223 PA at the Triple-A level, his .974 OPS in Charlotte left little doubt that the 22-year-old Robert is ready for the majors.

White Sox GM Rick Hahn feels the same way, telling reporters in his end-of-year press conference that the Chicago front office didn’t see center field as an area of need this winter since Robert was slated to handle the position for much of the 2020 season.  As to when Robert could make his debut, however, is still up in the air, leaving open the possibility that the Sox could erase all service-time concerns and lock him into the Opening Day outfield by simply inking Robert to an extension.

If this scenario sounds familiar, the White Sox did the exact same thing with another star prospect in Eloy Jimenez last spring.  Before even appearing in a Major League game, Jimenez signed a six-year extension worth $43MM in guaranteed money, and could end up earning $75MM over an eight-year span if the contract’s two club options are exercised.  The deal far exceeded the previous record extension for a player without any MLB experience, which was a six-year/$24MM guarantee for Scott Kingery from the Phillies prior to the 2018 season.  (The Mariners and first base prospect Evan White also agreed to a six-year pact for $24MM in guaranteed salary this past November.)

Robert’s representatives are obviously likely to aim for an extension that will surpass Jimenez’s deal, with the argument that their client offers more future value.  Like Jimenez, Robert is a top-five prospect in the eyes of MLB.com and Baseball America — which rank him third on their top-100 prospect rankings — while Baseball Prospectus’ midseason top 50 ranking placed him fourth.  While Jimenez’s batting ability is renowned, however, evaluators aren’t certain if he’ll be able to offer much defensively as a corner outfielder, and a move to first base could be necessary even within a few seasons.

In Robert’s case, while there is some question as to whether he’ll stick as a center fielder over the long term, he certainly projects to play up the middle for at least the opening portion of his career, which only adds to his five-tool potential.  His 30-30 season across the minors in 2019 indicated his power and speed, and BA and MLB.com rank his throwing arm in the 55-60 range on the 20-80 scouting scale.  Robert’s plate discipline is perhaps still a work in progress since he only posted 28 walks against 129 strikeouts last season, though it isn’t unusual for any young player to deal with a lot of swing-and-miss early in his career.  MLB.com’s scouting report cites Yoan Moncada as a possible comp, and Moncada significantly reduced his own strikeout problems (a league-high 217 in 2018 to 154 in 2019) with the help of Chicago’s hitting coaches.

Beyond the argument that Robert has the higher ceiling than Jimenez, Robert can also seek the higher deal since he has less incentive to sign an extension.  Robert already has that $26MM, remember, so he has already banked one life-changing fortune from his baseball career.  (Jimenez, by contrast, had “only” his initial $2.8MM signing bonus from the Cubs.)  Unless the White Sox were to offer Robert something far above and beyond Jimenez’s contract, Robert might prefer to just bet on himself and see how his initial season or seasons progress before considering long-term deals.

Without an extension in place, the White Sox could keep Robert in the minors for at least the first few weeks of the season, or at least long enough to ensure that they’ll get a seventh year of control over his services.  This would be the latest instance of a team manipulating a top prospect’s service time, and this entire practice has been put under the microscope this offseason now that Kris Bryant’s service time grievance is currently being examined by an arbitrator.  While the arbitrator is widely expected to rule in the Cubs’ favor, a decision reducing Bryant’s remaining team control from two years to one would send many shockwaves around the baseball world, and impact how every club handles promoting its best minor leaguers in the future.  As such, the White Sox might wait until the arbitrator’s ruling before fully diving into extension negotiations with Robert.

Beyond Jimenez, Hahn has extended several other promising White Sox players (i.e. Tim Anderson, Adam Eaton, Jose Quintana, Chris Sale) early in their careers over his seven-plus years as general manager.  A potential Robert contract could be the most unique and, in fact, most expensive of the bunch, though it would mark the latest aggressive move in a winter that has already seen Yasmani Grandal, Edwin Encarnacion, Dallas Keuchel, and Gio Gonzalez come to the South Side in free agency.  Since the club’s rebuild is clearly over, making Chicago’s center fielder of the future into part of the present could be the next step in the lead-up to the most anticipated White Sox Opening Day in years.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

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Chicago White Sox Extension Candidates MLBTR Originals Luis Robert

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