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Anthony DeSclafani Undergoes Season-Ending Flexor Tendon Surgery

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Twins right-hander Anthony DeSclafani will miss the entire 2024 season and at least some of the 2025 season after undergoing a flexor tendon surgery, chief baseball officer Derek Falvey told The Athletic’s Dan Hayes (X link) and other reporters.  The surgery comes with an estimated recovery timeline of 13 months.

DeSclafani developed a forearm strain in Spring Training, and a long-term absence of some kind was expected after the Twins placed him on the 60-day injured list to begin the season.  While this flexor tendon procedure technically represents a better-case scenario than the 13-15 month timeline associated with recovery from a Tommy John surgery, that is probably very small consolation to DeSclafani as he enters into yet another extended injury absence.

Another right flexor strain already ended DeSclafani’s 2023 campaign last July, and he only pitched 19 innings in 2022 due to ankle surgery.  The righty also didn’t pitch at all in 2017 due to a UCL strain, though he was able to avoid surgery in that case.

All of these health woes have marred what has been a pretty solid career for DeSclafani when he has been able to actually pitch.  He has a 4.20 ERA over 942 2/3 career innings with the Marlins, Reds, and Giants over parts of nine Major League seasons, relying on strong control and a plus slider to achieve success.  A 3.17 ERA over 167 2/3 innings for the 2021 Giants represents DeSclafani’s best performance over a full season, and that nice year paid off in the form of a three-year, $36MM free agent deal to return to San Francisco.

Unfortunately, DeSclafani will end up tossing only 118 1/3 innings over the life of that contract.  The Giants moved DeSclafani and Mitch Haniger to the Mariners this offseason for Robbie Ray, and DeSclafani was then flipped again from Seattle to Minnesota as part of the Jorge Polanco trade.  The latter transaction also included $8MM in cash considerations from the Mariners in order to help cover the majority of the $12MM owed to DeSclafani in 2024.

Trading Polanco allowed the Twins to get the second baseman’s $10.5MM salary off the books, and bring two interesting prospects in Gabriel Gonzalez and Darren Bowen into the organization.  Unfortunately for Minnesota, both of the big league-ready elements of the trade package are now hurt — Justin Topa is on the 15-day IL dealing with left knee tendinitis, and DeSclafani’s time with the Twins could potentially end before he throws an official pitch for the team.  Given the circumstances, the Twins could explore signing DeSclafani to a low-cost guaranteed deal or even a minor league contract for 2025, though the club will first monitor his recovery before making any decisions.

In the more immediate term, losing DeSclafani will deprive Minnesota of some veteran rotation depth.  DeSclafani was expected to compete for the fifth starter’s job, or work as a swingman or long reliever if Louie Varland had won the final rotation job in camp.  The Twins might well seek out a seasoned starter to provide some depth amidst their more inexperienced first layer of Triple-A starters, and such a pitcher might also be used in the bullpen, as Topa is just one of several relievers beginning the year on the injured list.

Twins Place Royce Lewis On 10-Day IL, Promote Austin Martin

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11:58PM: Lewis’ quad strain is “severe,” as Twins chief baseball officer Derek Falvey told reporters (including Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press).  The infielder will be shut down for a month and then re-evaluated, so it doesn’t look like Lewis will be back in the majors until mid-May at the absolute earliest.

10:27AM: The Twins have officially placed Lewis on the 10-day IL and called up Martin.  Lewis’ injury is described as a right quad strain, with a retroactive IL placement of March 29.

9:09AM: Royce Lewis had to make an early exit from the Twins’ opener due to a quad injury, and the problem is severe enough that the third baseman will be placed on the injured list, according to La Velle E. Neal III of the Minneapolis Star Tribune (X link).  Former top prospect Austin Martin is being called up to take Lewis’ spot on the active roster, and Martin will be making his MLB debut whenever he appears in his first game.

It remains to be seen how serious the quad problem might be, yet it represents yet another injury setback in Lewis’ young career.  Since selected as the first overall pick of the 2017 draft, Lewis has been limited to 350 career minor league games and 71 regular-season big league games, primarily due to two right ACL tears.  Between the pandemic-canceled 2020 minor league season and the first of those torn ACLs, Lewis didn’t play a single game over the 2020-21 seasons.

There is little question that Lewis is ready for prime time, given how he has torn up both Triple-A pitching and (in limited fashion) MLB opposition since returning to action in 2022.  Lewis has hit .313/.369/.564 with 18 homers over his 282 plate appearances in the Show, and he was also a force during Minnesota’s playoff run last October.  The Twins installed Lewis into the everyday third base job and were excited to see what he could do over the course of a full season, and this dream could still naturally be reached if this IL stint ends up being relatively minor.

Utilitymen Kyle Farmer and Willi Castro figure to handle most of the third base time while Lewis is sidelined, and Martin figures to add some multi-positional depth in his first time on a Major League roster.  Martin has played shortstop, second base, center field, and left field over his three minor league seasons, and is considered at least a competent defender at any of his positions.

Martin shares some similarities with Lewis as a former high draft pick whose career has been hampered by injury.  The Blue Jays selected Martin fifth overall in the 2020 draft, but then dealt Martin and Simeon Woods Richardson to Minnesota for Jose Berrios at the 2021 trade deadline.  Martin has played in 159 games in the Twins’ farm system over the last two years, as pair of elbow sprains limited his playing time and perhaps his ability to generate power.  A lack of slugging has undermined Martin’s otherwise impressive ability to make contact and draw walks, as he has hit .263/.387/.405 over 252 PA at the Triple-A level.

Between his injuries and limited production in the minors, Martin went from being a top-25 prospect in 2021 to further down top-100 rankings in 2022, to off the pundits’ radars entirely in the last two years of preseason evaluations.  While Martin’s ceiling seems to have been lowered, the 25-year-old seems to be on pace to at least be a utilityman in the majors.  If he can keep making contact and getting on base, this skillset combined with a versatile defensive profile makes Martin potentially a very useful player going forward.

Injury Notes: Twins, E-Rod, Dodgers, Jackson

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The Twins won their season-opener against the Royals yesterday, jumping out to a quick 1-0 lead with a first-inning homer off the bat of burgeoning star Royce Lewis. The former No. 1 overall pick singled in his next at-bat but departed shortly thereafter, coming up lame when going first-to-third on a Carlos Correa double. The Twins announced that Lewis had a quadriceps injury. He underwent an MRI last night, per Phil Miller of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. Further updates figure to be available before tomorrow’s game, though Miller notes that Lewis was optimistic and described the feeling as cramping more than severe pain.

In many ways, it’s a three-inning microcosm of Lewis’ career. The 24-year-old is a .313/.369/.564 hitter in 284 plate appearances — not including last year’s four postseason homers in 26 plate appearances — but he’s also twice torn his ACL and had IL stints for oblique and hamstring strains. A healthy Lewis has superstar potential, but injuries have been far too frequent early in his career. If Lewis requires a trip to the injured list, top prospect Brooks Lee won’t be an option to replace him. The 2022 No. 8 overall pick is dealing with a back injury, and Triple-A skipper Toby Gardenhire tells KSTP’s Darren Wolfson that he’ll be down for about three to four weeks (X link). Minnesota also had an injury scare with right fielder Max Kepler, who exited the game after fouling a ball into his leg. X-rays came back negative, per the Star-Tribune’s Bobby Nightengale (X link).

A few more injury situations worth monitoring as they unfold…

  • The Diamondbacks lost Eduardo Rodriguez to a lat strain late in spring training — a discouraging development for the left-hander, who inked a four-year deal worth $80MM over the winter. No timetable was provided at the time of the injury, but manager Torey Lovullo told the team’s beat yesterday that Rodriguez could throw off a mound in about five days (X link via Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic). Jon Heyman of the New York Post, meanwhile, writes that the Snakes expect Rodriguez to be down for about a month. That’d be a notable absence but far from a worst-case scenario, as lat strains for pitchers can often result in multiple months on the shelf. In 152 2/3 frames last season, E-Rod notched a 3.30 ERA, 23% strikeout rate and 7.7% walk rate for the Tigers.
  • Dodgers skipper Dave Roberts provided a series of updates on some injured pitchers yesterday (X thread via Jack Harris of the L.A. Times). There was good news on both Walker Buehler and Clayton Kershaw, each of whom Roberts described as ahead of schedule. The Dodgers have made clear they’re being cautious with Buehler’s rehab from a second career Tommy John surgery, but the right-hander’s progress so far is encouraging enough that he’ll be back “sooner than I think we anticipated,” per Roberts. Kershaw, who had shoulder surgery in early November, is long-tossing from 120 feet and ahead of initial rehab projections. Roberts’ updates on righties Brusdar Graterol and Blake Treinen were far less encouraging. Both are playing catch but are “a ways away” from activation. Graterol was slowed by hip and shoulder troubles during camp, while Treinen suffered a bruised lung when a comeback liner hit him in the chest. The Dodgers originally suggested that it wouldn’t require a lengthy absence, but Treinen has yet to even throw a bullpen session.
  • Right-hander Luke Jackson exited last night’s game with Giants trainers after suffering some degree of back injury. Shayna Rubin of the San Francisco Chronicle writes that the 32-year-old Jackson underwent an MRI and will be further evaluated today. Jackson missed just under a month with a back strain last year but said following last night’s injury that the initial pain this time around was not as severe as it was in 2023. The Giants inked Jackson to a two-year, $11.5MM contract in the 2022-23 offseason while he was rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. He made his team debut late last May and was excellent when healthy enough to be on the roster: 33 1/3 innings, 2.97 ERA, 30.1% strikeout rate. Last night, however, Jackson’s velocity was down more than a mile per hour from his 2023 average, and he allowed all three hitters he faced to reach base. All three came around to score.

Twins Select Daniel Duarte, Place Anthony DeSclafani On 60-Day Injured List

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The Twins announced this morning that they’ve selected the contract of right-handed reliever Daniel Duarte from Triple-A St. Paul. He’ll make the team’s Opening Day roster. Right-hander Anthony DeSclafani, who’s dealing with a season-jeopardizing elbow strain, has been placed on the 60-day injured list to open a spot on the 40-man roster. Minnesota also placed righty Josh Staumont on the 15-day IL due to a strained left calf. He’ll join a host of Twins hurlers who were already previously reported to be opening on the injured list, including DeSclafani, Jhoan Duran (oblique strain), Justin Topa (patellar tendinitis), Caleb Thielbar (hamstring strain) and Zack Weiss (shoulder strain).

Minnesota claimed the 27-year-old Duarte off waivers from the Rangers over the winter. He’d bounced from Cincinnati to Texas via waivers already, and the Twins succeeded in claiming him then quickly passing him through waivers themselves, allowing them to retain the right-hander without dedicating a 40-man roster spot to him (until today’s return to the 40-man).

Duarte made his MLB debut with the Reds in 2022 but only tossed 2 2/3 innings. He picked up 31 2/3 frames with Cincinnati in ’23, logging a 3.69 ERA that masked a much more concerning 16.9% strikeout rate and 14.7% walk rate. The K-BB profile is ugly, but Duarte averages nearly 96 mph on his heater and has a good slider, in addition to a track record of missing bats in the upper minors (26.8% strikeout rate in Triple-A). His performance in spring training was particularly encouraging: in 12 1/3 innings, he allowed just four runs (2.92 ERA) on ten hits and no walks with a dozen strikeouts and an above-average 47.1% ground-ball rate.

Duarte has a minor league option remaining, so now that he’s been added back to the 40-man, he can be shuttled between Triple-A and the big leagues as the Twins see fit this season. For now, with key relievers like Duran, Thielbar and Topa on the injured list, he’ll have the opportunity to make the roster and look to work his way into a more prominent role with the club.

As for DeSclafani, the Twins have yet to announce a timetable for his return. Bobby Nightengale of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune wrote last week that DeSclafani’s elbow flared up in his final four to five pitches of a recent game in spring training, and surgery is now a possibility. DeSclafani himself acknowledged as much at the time as he prepared for a consultation with renowned surgeon Dr. Keith Meister.

The Twins acquired the veteran DeSclafani as one of four players in return for Jorge Polanco. The Mariners and Giants are covering all but $4MM of this year’s $12MM salary, so DeSclafani was effectively included in the deal as a low-cost depth option in the rotation — someone to compete with Louie Varland for the fifth spot on the staff. Topa (controllable for another three years), top outfield prospect Gabriel Gonzalez and minor league righty Darren Bowen all have far more long-term value to the organization. Nevertheless, the DeSclafani injury is quite unfortunate for a Twins club whose offseason was punctuated by ownership’s desire to scale back payroll amid uncertainty regarding the team’s television broadcast outlook.

Rays To Acquire Niko Goodrum, Select Him To 40-Man Roster

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The Rays are acquiring utilityman Niko Goodrum from the Twins and will add him to their 40-man roster, reports Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times. The Rays’ interest in Goodrum was first reported yesterday afternoon.

Goodrum had an upward mobility clause in his minor league deal with Minnesota. He triggered that clause, which requires the Twins to gauge interest around the league and see whether another club would be willing to add Goodrum to the 40-man roster. Tampa Bay, in need of infield depth due to injuries, felt it had space and will presumably send cash back to the Twins to acquire Goodrum’s rights and add him to the 40-man roster. Goodrum has a pair of minor league option years remaining, so it’s not a sure thing he’ll go directly onto the Rays’ major league roster.

Goodrum, a veteran switch-hitter who can play just about any position on the diamond, fits the Rays’ typical mold of versatility. His acquisition was surely spurred by injuries to Taylor Walls (recovering from hip surgery) and Jonathan Aranda (who fractured a finger fielding a grounder this week) — to say nothing of the ongoing legal situation surrounding shortstop Wander Franco, whose MLB future is in doubt.

The 32-year-old Goodrum has played in parts of six big league seasons between the Tigers, Astros and Twins — who originally made him a second-round pick back in 2010. Goodrum returned to Minnesota on a minor league pact this winter but didn’t make the Opening Day roster after stumbling to to a .129/.270/.161 slash in 37 spring plate appearances. That ugly performance didn’t deter the Rays, who are surely looking at Goodrum’s versatility, defensive chops and broader track record in making this acquisition.

From 2018-19, Goodrum was a regular with the Tigers. He posted a solid .247/.318/.427 slash in that time while playing solid defense at multiple positions, and for a time he was even Detroit’s primary shortstop. Over those two years, Goodrum tallied 964 plate appearances and swatted 28 homers while swiping 24 bases. His bat tailed off in the three subsequent seasons before a resurgent 2023 showing between the Red Sox’ Triple-A affiliate (.280/.448/.440) and the Korea Baseball Organization’s Lotte Giants (.295/.373/.387).

Goodrum seems likely to claim a bench spot in Tampa Bay. The Rays had previously looked to be whittling down the competition for their final two spots, but Topkin reported earlier this week that they were mulling some outside acquisitions for a backup infielder and backup catcher. Goodrum, it seems, was part of those deliberations and will now add some optionable depth who can be controlled through the 2025 season via arbitration if he makes a good impression on his new club.

Rays Interested In Niko Goodrum

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The Twins announced today that infielder/outfielder Niko Goodrum has been reassigned to minor league camp, indicating he won’t be on the club’s Opening Day roster. Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports that Goodrum has triggered an assignment clause and that the Rays have interest in him.

Goodrum signed a minor league deal with the Twins in December. An assignment clause, also known as an upward mobility clause, requires the signing team to offer the player to the other 29 clubs. If any of those clubs expresses interest, the signing club has to decide between adding the player to their roster or trading them to the interested club. If none of the clubs are interested, then the player would stay with the original signing club.

The Rays are known to love versatility and Goodrum can certainly provide that. He is a switch-hitter and can move all around the field, having played each of the seven positions outside of the battery. He’s also stolen 46 bases in 59 attempts in his career. But it’s been a while since Goodrum looked to be a viable hitter in the big leagues, which makes the interest from the Rays somewhat surprising.

Goodrum hit .247/.318/.427 for the Tigers over the 2018 and 2019 seasons, good enough for a wRC+ of 98. That means he was still slightly below average, but that was solid production for a guy who can bounce all around, doing multiple things. However, his offense has been nowhere near as good since. He hit .203/.282/.350 over 2020 and 2021, 74 wRC+, then produced a dismal line of .116/.156/.163 in 2022.

He settled for a minor league deal with the Red Sox last year and had a solid .280/.448/.440 line in 65 games for their Triple-A club. He opted out of that deal in the summer and signed with the KBO’s Lotte Giants, slashing .295/.373/.387 in 50 games for them without hitting a home run, buoyed by a .389 batting average on balls in play. In Spring Training with the Twins, he has a line of .103/.257/.138  in 35 plate appearances.

The Rays have lost a few position players lately, thinning their depth. They knew long ago that Taylor Walls wouldn’t be an option due to his offseason hip surgery but spring injuries will also lead to Josh Lowe, Jonathan Aranda and Jonny DeLuca starting the season on the IL.

The projected lineup is heavily right-handed, with Brandon Lowe and Richie Palacios the only lefties who seem likely to get regular playing time. Goodrum is a switch-hitter but he’s actually been better from the right side in his career. He has a line of .303/.369/.447 against southpaws for a 121 wRC+ but a .199/.274/.369 line against righties, which leads to a wRC+ of just 72.

That makes him less than an ideal fit for a club that already has plenty of right-handed bats but perhaps the Rays are nonetheless interested in adding him as a versatile bench piece to move around as needed. Though he hasn’t had a great showing this spring, he did draw walks in 17.1% of his plate appearances. That generally aligns with the 23.1% walk rate he had in Triple-A last year and the 11.4% walk rate he had in the KBO.

Twins To Place Justin Topa On 15-Day Injured List

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The Twins’ injury-riddled bullpen has lost another pitcher, as right-hander Justin Topa will start the season on the 15-day injured list due to left knee tendinitis.  President of baseball operations Derek Falvey told reporters (including Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press) that Topa suffered the injury by jamming his foot while backing up home plate in a Spring Training game over a week ago.

Topa has already started a shutdown period of 7-10 days, and the Twins will evaluate the situation and start to get Topa ramped back up to game readiness if he emerges from that shutdown feeling better.  Falvey didn’t estimate any timeline on when Topa might be back in action, though since Topa wanted to pitch through the discomfort, it might hint that the issue isn’t overly serious.

“We don’t want tendinitis to track through the year if we can knock it out ahead of time, so we’re going to knock it out now, give him some time down and ultimately build back up.  Hopefully he’s not tracking foo far behind,” Falvey said.

Topa will therefore have to wait a bit longer before making his official debut in a Minnesota uniform, though the 33-year-old has unfortunately gotten used to being patient with injuries.  A pair of Tommy John surgeries sidelined Topa for big chunks of his minor league career and delayed his MLB debut until 2020 when he was already 29 years old.  He was limited to only 18 1/3 innings in the bigs from 2020-22 due to first a flexor tendon strain, and then surgery to address that same issue.

The Brewers dealt Topa to the Mariners last offseason, but the righty finally broke out as a big contributor to Seattle’s bullpen.  Topa posted a 2.61 ERA over 69 innings, powered by an outstanding 57.4% grounder rate and a strong 6.5% walk rate, even if he didn’t miss many bats.  Minnesota was intrigued enough to want Topa included in the four-player package the Twins received from the Mariners in the Jorge Polanco trade.

Between Topa and Anthony DeSclafani’s more serious matter of a forearm strain, the two non-prospect components of the Polanco trade are now headed for Minnesota’s injured list.  Beyond Topa, the Twins’ bullpen is also missing closer Jhoan Duran to an oblique strain, and Caleb Thielbar to a hamstring strain.

While none of the relievers seem like they’ll miss too much time, naturally losing multiple members of the relief corps is a problem for the Twins.  Falvey and manager Rocco Baldelli said the team is weighing its internal options and also considering bringing a new arm or two into the organization as a matter of due diligence.

“We are monitoring the opt-outs and guys who are around and available and having conversations with different people,” Falvey said.  “More just as we continue to build up depth, we have guys in camp who we think can do some of this, certainly fill some of these roles.  It never hurts when you’re down a few to keep an eye on how to add to that depth.  We’d be doing that even if we weren’t dealing with some injuries.”

MLBTR Podcast: Mutiny In The MLBPA, Blake Snell Signs With The Giants And The Dylan Cease Trade

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The latest episode of the MLB Trade Rumors Podcast is now live on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and wherever you get your podcasts! Make sure you subscribe as well! You can also use the player at this link to listen, if you don’t use Spotify or Apple for podcasts.

This week, host Darragh McDonald is joined by Steve Adams of MLB Trade Rumors to discuss…

  • The recent news of the divide in the MLBPA (2:15)
  • The release of J.D. Davis and its impact on the MLBPA situation (8:45)
  • Recent collective bargaining agreement history and its relation to current MLBPA strife (11:30)
  • Giants sign Blake Snell (17:25)
  • Padres acquire Dylan Cease from the White Sox (23:15)

Plus, we answer your questions, including…

  • Will the Blue Jays make a run at Juan Soto when he hits free agency next year? (33:35)
  • I don’t understand some of the outfielder signings this offseason. How does Hunter Renfroe command $6.5MM when Adam Duvall only gets $3MM? Why would the Twins trade for Manuel Margot when they could have just re-signed Michael A. Taylor? Is there a logical explanation? Or did the Twins and Royals front offices just screw up? (39:45)
  • Do you think that Emmanuel Clase could be traded at the deadline if the Guardians out of it? If so, what do you think he’d fetch at full strength? (43:00)

Check out our past episodes!

The podcast intro and outro song “So Long” is provided courtesy of the band Showoff.  Check out their Facebook page here!

Jhoan Duran, Caleb Thielbar, Anthony DeSclafani To Begin Season On Injured List

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1:39pm: There’s concern that DeSclafani could require season-ending surgery, president of baseball operations Derek Falvey tells Nightengale and others.

1:00pm: Twins closer Jhoan Duran, lefty reliever Caleb Thielbar, and rotation hopeful Anthony DeSclafani will open the season on the 15-day injured list, tweets Bobby Nightengale of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. Duran is dealing with a “moderate” oblique strain, while Thielbar will head to the IL with a strained hamstring. DeSclafani has a more ominous forearm strain and is slated to meet with Dr. Keith Meister for further evaluation.

Beyond that trio of surefire big leaguers, the Twins will also see prospect Matt Canterino and roster hopeful Zack Weiss start on the injured list, tweets Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press. Canterino, long one of the organization’s most promising arms, will be on the Triple-A injured list after suffering a subscapular strain in his shoulder. Weiss, a waiver claim out of the Red Sox organization, has been rehabbing a teres major strain and will be on the major league injured list.

Losing Duran even for a short spell is painful for the Twins, given the flamethrower’s emergence as one of MLB’s premier relievers. Since making his big league debut on Opening Day 2022, Duran has pitched 130 innings of 2.15 ERA ball with 35 saves, 19 holds, a 33.2% strikeout rate, a 7.9% walk rate and a massive 63.4% ground-ball rate. He averaged a ludicrous 101.8 mph on his heater last season and 98.4 mph with his splitter/sinker hybrid (“splinker”). The good news for the Twins is that a moderate strain shouldn’t result in excessively lengthy absence, but even Grade 1 strains have been known to sideline players for upwards of a month. The team hasn’t formally announced a timetable for Duran’s expected return just yet.

Wit Duran sidelined, it’ll likely fall to Griffin Jax and Brock Stewart to handle save situations early in the season. Jax has become one of Duran’s top setup men in recent years and offers an above-average strikeout rate and strong command of a slider-heavy arsenal. Stewart returned from a yearslong MLB absence and multiple arm surgeries brandishing an upper-90s cutter that helped him punch out nearly 36% of his opponents while pitching to a 0.65 ERA in 27 2/3 innings for the Twins last saeson.

The 37-year-old Thielbar has flown under the radar since returning to affiliated ball following a five-year absence in 2020, but he’s quietly been one of the team’s most important relievers in that time. Over the past four seasons, the Minnesota native has given his hometown club 174 innings of 3.21 ERA ball, piling up 45 holds while punching out 30.2% of his opponents against a 7.4% walk rate. He struggled against right-handers last season, yielding a .258/.319/.621 batting line, but Thielbar didn’t have glaring struggles against righties from 2020-22. As with Duran, they’ll hope for a relatively brief absence, but the team hasn’t given any specifics on how long he’s expected to miss just yet.

Word of DeSclafani’s injury is the most concerning of the three. Acquired from the Mariners (who’d picked him up from the Giants previously) as part of the trade sending Jorge Polanco to Seattle, DeSclafani had been in the running to open the season as the Twins’ fifth starter. He was slowed early in camp by some discomfort and is now headed for evaluation with one of the sport’s more notable surgeons.

DeSclafani has struggled to stay healthy throughout his career. He missed the entire 2017 season with a UCL sprain that never required surgery, pitched a mostly healthy year in 2018 and enjoyed one of the best seasons of his career with the Reds in 2019. A teres major strain hobbled him in 2020 and limited him to 33 2/3 innings of 7.22 ERA ball, however. DeSclafani bounced back with a bit 2021 season in San Francisco, working 167 2/3 frames of 3.17 ERA ball over a mostly full slate of 31 starts.

DeSclafani re-signed in San Francisco on a three-year, $36MM deal that hasn’t at all gone according to plan. An ankle injury that eventually required surgery limited him to 19 frames in 2022. Shoulder fatigue and a pair of flexor strains capped him at 99 2/3 frames in 2023. He’ll now be slowed to begin the 2024 season, though a timeline won’t be known until that appointment with Dr. Meister has taken place.

The Twins are only the hook for $4MM of DeSclafani’s $12MM salary. The Giants sent $6MM to the Mariners in their original trade involving DeSclafani, and the M’s sent that plus another $2MM to Minnesota in the Polanco swap. With DeSclafani headed to the injured list, right-hander Louie Varland should have the fifth spot in the rotation all but locked up. He’ll follow Pablo Lopez, Joe Ryan, Chris Paddack and Bailey Ober in what should be a solid Twins staff if everyone can remain healthy. However, the Twins will undoubtedly feel the losses of Sonny Gray and Kenta Maeda, particularly now with their top depth option shelved. In the event of additional pitching injuries, Minnesota would likely turn to one of Simeon Woods Richardson, Brent Headrick or yet-to-debut top prospect David Festa.

As for the others, Canterino is still working his way back from 2022 Tommy John surgery. Injuries have regularly slowed him since being selected in the second round of the 2019 draft. Between shaky health and the scrapped 2020 minor league season, he’s still pitched only 85 professional innings. They’ve been excellent — 1.48 ERA, 39.2% strikeout rate, 10.5% walk rate — but his persistent injury troubles have undercut his considerable upside. As for Weiss, he’s pitched just 27 1/3 MLB frames but has a history of strong strikeout totals in the minors. He could be a bullpen option for the Twins at some point, but for now he’ll collect MLB service and pay while rehabbing. For a 32-year-old with just 91 days of big league service to this point in his career, that’s not insignificant.

It seems unlikely that the Twins will go outside the organization to boost their depth — at least in term of significant salary additions. Owner Joe Pohlad all but declared his team out on top names like Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery earlier in camp when stating that his team was not going to “go out and spend $30MM on a player right now.” The Twins shocked baseball with a pair of Carlos Correa signings that came together under similar circumstances, but it doesn’t seem there’s another splash of that magnitude up their sleeves. Minnesota was reportedly interested in Michael Lorenzen earlier in the offseason, so it’s possible they could still circle back on that front. More likely is that they’ll just ride things out with internal options, perhaps adding a veteran on a minor league deal. A particularly lengthy absence for DeSclafani could create some extra urgency, so the results of his evaluation are worth tracking with a close eye for Twins fans.

Twins Notes: Kirilloff, Santana, Buxton

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Not long after the Jorge Polanco trade cleared room in the Twins’ budget, the front office added Carlos Santana on a $5.25MM free agent pact. The veteran offers an alternative at first base to Alex Kirilloff, who started 58 games there a year ago.

Minnesota has stopped short of declaring either player the starting first baseman. However, Aaron Gleeman of the Athletic opined on Monday that Santana is likely to get the bulk of the reps on the strength of his defensive reputation. Manager Rocco Baldelli indeed suggested Tuesday that defense would be a separator in divvying up playing time.

“Whoever’s the better defensive first baseman is going to play more at first base. I don’t know any other way to put that,” Baldelli said (link via Phil Miller of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune). “There will be a determination when the time comes, when we put our lineups together. Both are going to play a good amount of first base, but the guy who is doing the best job for us on that side of the ball is the one who’s going to play more.”

Santana should have the edge in that regard. The 14-year big league veteran consistently rates as a quality gloveman. Defensive Runs Saved graded him 11 runs above average in more than 1150 innings a year ago. Statcast rated him as more of a solid than excellent defender, estimating he was two runs above par. Kirilloff, by contrast, rated between five and eight runs below average in only 510 first base innings by those metrics.

That’s not to say that Kirilloff’s path to a regular spot in the lineup is blocked. The left-handed hitter has more offensive upside than Santana brings to the table at this stage of his career. Kirilloff is coming off a .270/.348/.445 slash with 11 homers in 88 games. He hasn’t produced much against lefty pitching but owns a .274/.328/.440 batting line in 549 career plate appearances versus right-handers.

Kirilloff should see a good bit of action at designated hitter even if Santana operates as the primary first baseman. Minnesota also isn’t completely closing the book on Kirilloff as an outfielder. The 26-year-old tells Miller that he has continued taking outfield drills and expects to soon log game action on the grass. Kirilloff came through the minors as a corner outfielder. He hasn’t seen a ton of MLB action out there, logging 64 starts over parts of three seasons. Baldelli penciled him into the starting outfield on just 12 occasions last year.

The increased action at first base reflects both Minnesota’s outfield depth and the questions that evaluators have raised about Kirilloff’s athleticism. He’s certainly an inferior defender to Max Kepler in right field. Projected left fielder Matt Wallner has below-average range, although he has as strong an arm as any outfielder in the game.

Byron Buxton has the ability to help cover for a mediocre defender in left field, assuming he stays healthy. He’s among the sport’s best center fielders at full strength, but right knee issues kept him from logging any defensive work in 2023. The Star-Tribune’s Bobby Nightengale spoke with Buxton and hitting coach David Popkins about the difficulty in even remaining in a DH role with the amount of pain through which he had to play last season.

Buxton spoke about the mental challenge of playing through the injury, which he said frequently tightened up between at-bats and made it difficult to decelerate as a baserunner. The Twins are optimistic that he’ll be able to play center field fairly regularly in 2024, although Buxton’s injury history makes it difficult to bank on him starting 100+ games. Minnesota brought in Manuel Margot to serve as a quality fourth outfielder who can spell Buxton in center field and offers a right-handed complement to Kepler, Wallner and Kirilloff in the corners.

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