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MLB Reportedly Pursuing “Radical Restructuring” Of Lower Minors

By Jeff Todd | October 18, 2019 at 1:11pm CDT

Major League Baseball is pursuing a “radical restructuring” of the lower minor-leagues, according to a report from David Waldstein of the New York Times. While the precise nature of the new arrangement isn’t yet written in stone, it certainly sounds as if significant change is all but inevitable.

Baseball America’s J.J. Cooper has yet more detail on the proposal, which could eliminate approximately one quarter of present minor-league affiliates. Numerous existing leagues would be reorganized in various manners to meet the various proposed goals.

Generally, the league seems to be pursuing a global rationalization and modernization of a system that came together over a long period of time in a somewhat ad hoc manner. There are surely some worthwhile goals in such an effort.

As deputy MLB commissioner Dan Halem puts it in his pitch, the aims include: “upgrading the minor league facilities that we believe have inadequate standards for potential MLB players, improving the working conditions for MiLB players, including their compensation, improving transportation and hotel accommodations, providing better geographic affiliations between major league clubs and their affiliates, as well as better geographic lineups of leagues to reduce player travel.”

There’d assuredly be costs here as well, beginning with the elimination of numerous independently owned ballclubs from the affiliated ranks. The concept would involve some of those teams in some form of “dream league” for undrafted players, though MLB and Minor League Baseball would own and operate the teams. It certainly sounds as if these proving grounds might also threaten the talent pipeline available to current indy ball outfits.

Notably, Minor League Baseball has advised its member teams against investing in any manner that relies upon a continuation of the existing arrangement beyond the 2020 season. That seems to be a fair indication of the seriousness of the principal actors here, even if there’s still uncertainty in the ultimate vision.

This effort has long been in the works. Commissioner Rob Manfred has certainly hinted previously at the possibility of major change, including in comments to Evan Drellich of The Athletic (subscription link) earlier this year. “I think that everybody understands that we have to look at the efficiency of the system that we’re running right now, how many teams, how many players, what we’re paying players, and all those issues are obviously related,” Manfred said.

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Angels Hire Joe Maddon

By Mark Polishuk | October 16, 2019 at 11:24am CDT

11:24AM: Maddon’s contract is a three-year deal worth $12MM, Jeff Fletcher tweets.

10:03AM: The Angels have hired Joe Maddon to be the team’s next manager.  Jeff Fletcher of the Southern California News Group reported (Twitter link) that an agreement had been reached, after MLB Network’s Jon Heyman reported earlier today that Maddon and the Angels were closing in on a deal.  Official terms of the contract haven’t been released, though ESPN.com’s Jesse Rogers reported that Maddon is expected to earn roughly $12MM-$15MM over a three-year deal.

“We are thrilled that Joe is coming back home and bringing an exciting brand of baseball to our fans,” Angels GM Billy Eppler said in an official press release from the team. “Every stop he has made throughout his managerial career he has built a culture that is focused on winning while also allowing his players to thrive. We believe Joe will be a great asset for our Club and look forward to him leading the team to another World Series Championship.”

Joe MaddonThe signing represents something of a homecoming for Maddon, who was a member of the Angels organization from 1975-2005.  After playing four seasons of minor league ball in the Halos’ farm system, Maddon transitioned into scouting, coaching, and managing within the team’s minor league ranks before joining the Major League coaching staff prior to the 1994 season.  Maddon worked as the first base coach and bench coach, serving in the latter role in 2002 during the Angels’ World Series championship year.

From there, Maddon went on to amass a 1225-1044 record over 14 seasons managing the Rays and Cubs, a resume that includes eight postseason appearances, four division titles, both an American League and National League pennant, and (of course) the 2016 World Series title that ended the Cubs’ championship drought after 107 years.

The 65-year-old Maddon has developed a reputation as one of the game’s more innovative motivators and thinkers, though as far back as a year ago, it seemed like rumors were already swirling that 2019 would be Maddon’s last year at Wrigley Field.  Those rumors came to fruition after the Cubs missed the postseason for the first time in Maddon’s tenure (though the team still had a winning record at 84-78), and the Cubs announced that Maddon wouldn’t be brought back on a new contract for 2020 and beyond.

This technically isn’t Maddon’s first time managing the Angels, as his long tenure with the club included two separate stints (totaling 51 games) as an interim manager.  But now he’ll officially take over in the dugout following the abrupt and rather surprising dismissal of Brad Ausmus, who was let go just one season into a three-year deal with Los Angeles.  Speculation immediately began to build about a Maddon/Angels reunion as soon as Maddon’s parting with the Cubs became official, and since Ausmus’ firing came quickly after Maddon became available, it seemed like it was only just a matter of time before Maddon returned to Anaheim.  Still, the Angels did some due diligence in their search, also speaking to former Buck Showalter, John Farrell, and Johnny Washington about the manager’s job.  Showalter was the runner-up for the position, USA Today’s Bob Nightengale tweets.

Maddon also received some interest from the Padres about their managerial vacancy, though seemingly no official connection between the two sides was ever made.  With eight teams in search for new managers this offseason, the fact that Maddon only formally interviewed with the Angels could indicate that they were each other’s top choice all along, as Maddon would have seemingly been a fit for several other teams in need for new bench bosses.  The Phillies, for instance, have been looking at veteran managers and theoretically would’ve been a prime fit for Maddon, a Pennsylvania native.

The Angels are coming off a 72-90 record in Ausmus’ only season as manager, a disappointing year on the field that was overshadowed by the tragic death of Tyler Skaggs.  Maddon will now be taking over an organization still reeling from Skaggs’ loss, as well as potential future ramifications that could stem from the circumstances surrounding his death.

In terms of on-field matters, the Angels haven’t had a winning record since 2015 and have reached the postseason only once in the last ten seasons (a three-game sweep at the hands of the Royals in the 2014 ALDS).  It isn’t a sterling record for any team, though the Angels’ lack of success particularly stands out given the presence of Mike Trout.  Despite having baseball’s best player for the bulk of the decade, Los Angeles has been consistently hampered by injuries and a lack of return from high-priced acquisitions (such as Albert Pujols, Josh Hamilton, Vernon Wells, and C.J. Wilson).

Between Maddon’s hiring and the fact that Eppler is only under contract for one more season, the Angels seem poised for an aggressive offseason in order to finally get back into contention.  The Halos are widely expected to pursue starting pitching, and the position player side could be improved from within should stars like Justin Upton or Andrelton Simmons rebound from down years.  Shohei Ohtani is also expected to return to the mound following Tommy John surgery, giving L.A. the full benefit of his two-way skills as both a starter and a designated hitter.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

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Angels Nearing Deal With Joe Maddon

By Jeff Todd | October 16, 2019 at 9:22am CDT

9:22AM: “A deal is not imminent” between Maddon and the Angels, Maria Torres of the L.A. Times writes (Twitter link), as details are “still being worked out.”  Likewise, Jeff Fletcher of the Southern California News Group hears from a source that the team is “working on it.”

8:39AM: The Angels are closing in on an agreement to bring aboard Joe Maddon as the team’s manager, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network (via Twitter). It’s expected to be a three-year pact that pays Maddon in the realm of $12MM to $15MM, as per ESPN.com’s Jesse Rogers (Twitter link).

If indeed a pact is completed, it’d be the first domino to fall in a busy winter of managerial movement. And it would bring the Halos an experienced and long-lauded new dugout leader to help flip the script after yet another disappointing campaign.

Maddon just wrapped up a successful stint with the Cubs. He led the Chicago organization to the promised land, finally bringing a championship to Wrigley in 2016, though the good vibes faded a bit in his final year at the helm.  Maddon finished with a 471-339 record in his five seasons in Chicago, reaching the postseason four times.

This match has made sense on paper ever since it became clear that Maddon wasn’t coming back to the Cubs, and speculation grew even heavier once the Halos fired manager Brad Ausmus after just one season. Maddon has a long history with the Angels, having spent more than three decades with the organization earlier in his career.

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Andrew Friedman Expects To Finalize New Contract With Dodgers Soon

By Steve Adams | October 14, 2019 at 1:46pm CDT

Dodgers president of baseball operation Andrew Friedman is unsigned for the 2020 season, but he said in today’s year-end press conference that he expects to wrap up a new contract with the team within the next few days (Twitter links via Jorge Castillo of the Los Angeles Times). Friedman also confirmed that Dave Roberts will return as the team’s manager in 2020, as Castillo originally reported late last week.

Friedman, 42, jumped from his role as the Rays’ executive vice president and general manager to the Dodgers back in 2014, agreeing to a reported five-year, $35MM contract that at the time was the largest deal ever inked by a baseball executive. He aggressively reshaped the Dodgers, trading away the likes of Matt Kemp, Dee Gordon and Dan Haren in his first offseason at the helm (netting Yasmani Grandal, Enrique Hernandez and others, including Andrew Heaney, whom he immediately traded to the Angels for Howie Kendrick).

Friedman’s front-office group has been involved in some of the most complex trades in recent history, including not only the Kemp trade but the three-team, 13-player swap with the Braves and Marlins that centered around Hector Olivera, Alex Wood, Mat Latos and the remainder of Bronson Arroyo’s dead-money contract. Friedman even reacquired Kemp from the Braves in yet another financially motivated swap and then traded Kemp to the Reds this past offseason in a further example of juggling funds to remain south of the luxury tax line.

The Dodgers’ baseball operations group has, in some ways, become a pipeline for other organizations throughout the league. Former GM Farhan Zaidi was named Giants president of baseball operations last winter, while former vice president Alex Anthopoulos, who landed with the Dodgers after leaving the Blue Jays, became general manager of the Braves. Gabe Kapler served as the Dodgers’ director of player development before being hired as the Phillies’ manager, and one of Kapler’s top lieutenants, Jeremy Zoll, was hired away by the Twins to serve as their director of minor league operations.

On the field, Friedman’s penchant for aggressive, creative trades and his manipulation of MLB’s waiver/DFA process and shortened injured list minimum have helped the Dodgers to cultivate extraordinary levels of depth on their 40-man roster. That’s been a major advantage for the Dodgers, who have averaged 97 wins and taken home the NL West division title in all five of Friedman’s seasons atop the front office infrastructure. It has not, however, manifested in the form of an increasingly elusive World Series championship. The Dodgers appeared in the World Series in both 2017 and 2018 in addition to an NLCS berth in 2016, but they’ve yet to break through that final plane.

That said, the Dodgers are well-positioned for long-term success. Much of the team’s young talent, including Walker Buehler and Cody Bellinger, is under club control for the foreseeable future. Top prospects Will Smith, Alex Verdugo, Gavin Lux, Dustin May and Tony Gonsolin all reached the Majors in 2019, giving a glimpse at what the future may hold. The ample resources provided by ownership, paired with the apparent annual tradition of dropping some salary and luxury hits on the trade market, should give Friedman’s Dodgers room to be active in free agency. The Dodgers certainly have needs to address as they look to return to a third World Series in four years, but it doesn’t sound as though there are any plans to change who’ll have final say over how those needs are addressed.

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2019-20 Qualifying Offer Value To Decline For First Time

By Jeff Todd | October 11, 2019 at 3:30pm CDT

The value of the qualifying offer will be set at $17.8MM for the coming winter, per Jayson Stark of The Athletic (via Twitter). That’s down by $100K from last year’s mark of $17.9MM.

In every prior year that the QO has been in existence, it has risen. The offer price is set by averaging the salaries of the 125 highest-paid players in the game, so the number is obviously reflective of some broader market changes. Stark points out that some large recent contracts came with low base 2019 salaries, which may have skewed the accounting a bit. Obviously, a detailed assessment would be needed before reaching any firm conclusions. Prior years’ qualifying offer values were $17.4MM (2017-18), $17.2MM (2016-17), $15.8MM (2015-16), $15.3MM (2014-15), $14.1MM (2013-14), and $13.3MM (2012-13).

Any team wishing to receive draft compensation for the loss of a free agent will first have to make that free agent a one-year offer worth that $17.8MM value. Qualifying offer recipients will have 10 days to decide whether to accept or reject the offer and are free to talk with other clubs during that window as they get an early sense of their market value. If a player accepts, he is considered signed for the 2020 season at that rate. Like other free-agent signings, that player would be ineligible to be traded, without his consent, prior to June 15 of the following season.

Only players who spent the entire 2019 season with the same organization are eligible to receive a qualifying offer; midseason trade acquisitions and signings cannot receive one. Nicholas Castellanos of the Cubs and Yasiel Puig of the Indians are therefore not candidates for a QO. Additionally, the 2017-21 collective bargaining agreement added the stipulation that players can only receive one qualifying offer in their career. Brewers catcher Yasmani Grandal and third baseman Mike Moustakas are among the players who cannot receive another this winter. MLBTR’s Connor Byrne took a recent look at the upcoming free-agent class, discussing the variety of players who could be considered for qualifying offers by their respective teams.

Draft compensation under the new system is more complicated than it was under the 2012-16 CBA, as both luxury tax spending and revenue sharing are now factored in to determine the specific penalty and compensation associated with qualified free agents. Each team’s top overall draft pick is protected, but teams with multiple first-round picks can lose their late first-rounders in some cases.

Click here for a full rundown. Here’s a crash course/reminder.

For teams that signs a qualified free agent…

  • A team that received revenue sharing the previous season will forfeit its third-highest selection upon. Signing a second qualified would result in the loss of that team’s fourth-highest selection. Signing a third would result in the loss of its fifth-highest selection.
  • A team that did not receive revenue sharing and also did not pay any luxury tax penalties would lose its second-highest selection as well as $500K of the league’s allotted international bonus pool. Signing additional qualified free agents would result in forfeiting the third-highest selection and another $500K of international allotments.
  • A team that paid luxury tax penalties must forfeit both its second- and fifth-highest selections in the 2019 draft and forfeit $1MM of international funds. Signing a second would result in the loss of that team’s third- and sixth-highest picks, plus another $1MM in international funds.

For teams who lose qualified free agents…

  • A draft pick after Competitive Balance Round B will be awarded if the team losing the free agent did not receive revenue sharing or if the free agent in question signed a contract worth less than $50MM in guaranteed money.
  • A draft pick after Round 1 will be awarded if the team losing the free agent received revenue sharing and the free agent in question signed for more than $50MM.
  • A draft pick after Round 4 will be awarded if the team losing the free agent paid luxury tax penalties in the preceding season.

This post includes information adapted from prior MLBTR posts on prior seasons’ qualifying offer values.

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Phillies Fire Gabe Kapler

By Steve Adams | October 10, 2019 at 9:46am CDT

Changes are coming in Philadelphia. Gabe Kapler will not return as manager of the Phillies in 2020, the team announced on Thursday. His dismissal creates a nearly unprecedented eighth managerial vacancy around the Major Leagues.

Gabe Kapler | Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Phillies also confirmed previous reports that Chris Young won’t return as the pitching coach in 2020 and announced that interim hitting coach and franchise legend Charlie Manuel will return to his role as a senior advisor to the GM.

Not only will the Phillies be looking for a new manager, pitching coach and hitting coach — they’ll also be looking to revamp their training staff, as neither head athletic trainer Scott Sheridan nor assistant athletic trainer Chris Mudd will have his contract renewed for 2020, per the club. The rest of the coaching staff has been invited back for next season, although it’s certainly possible that the change atop the dugout hierarchy could lead to eventual changes down the pecking order.

Phillies owner John Middleton offered the following statement on Kapler, who had been under contract through next season:

Several years ago, I promised our loyal fans that I would do everything in my power to bring a world championship team to our city.  I will never waver from that commitment.  During the second half of this season and continuing into this week, I have evaluated our organization extensively, a process that included talking to many people both internally and around the league.  Reassuring to me was the endorsement that people outside the Phillies gave to the progress we have made recently, both organizationally and on the field.  Nevertheless, with the knowledge that I have gained from my evaluation, combined with my personal reflection on the 2019 season, I have decided that some changes are necessary to achieve our ultimate objective. Consequently, we will replace our manager. I am indebted to Gabe for the steadfast effort, energy and enthusiasm that he brought to our club, and we are unquestionably a better team and organization as a result of his contributions. With [general manager Matt Klentak] leading our search for our next manager, I am confident that we will find the right person to lead us.

The Phillies organization debated the decision at great length. The Inquirer’s Matt Breen reported earlier this week that Middleton had been seeking opinions from players and front office execs alike as he seemed to genuinely wrestle with whether to bring Kapler back for the final contract of his season. Ultimately, the organization will go in a new direction after a pair of disappointing playoff misses in Kapler’s first two seasons at the helm.

Of course, team record is hardly the be-all and end-all in determining the fate of a manager these days. Managerial changes are also linked to how one maintains order in the clubhouse, aligns with the organization’s vision for the future, oversees the a coaching staff and incorporates input from a club’s front office/analytics department into game flow. The team’s lackluster records in both 2018 and 2019 surely played a role in the eventual decision but were surely just a few of the innumerable factors Middleton weighed in making today’s announcement.

Kapler, 44, played in parts of a dozen Major League seasons and managed in the Red Sox’ minor league system before embarking on a player development trajectory with the Dodgers (where, notably, he worked with current Giants president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi, who is also on the hunt for a new manager). Kapler spent three seasons as the Dodgers’ director of player development prior to being hired by the Phillies — a role in which he placed great emphasis on analytics, player nutrition and mental wellness.

During his time with the Dodgers, Kapler was viewed as a fast-rising managerial candidate, and although things didn’t pan out in Philadelphia, he’ll quite likely garner consideration from other clubs. It’s hardly uncommon for rookie managers to be dismissed from one club before finding success with another — as A.J. Hinch can attest — and MLB Network’s Jon Heyman tweets that Kapler would like to continue his managerial career.

Bob Brookover of the Philadelphia Inquirer first broke the news of Kapler’s dismissal (via Twitter).

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Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2020

By Tim Dierkes | October 10, 2019 at 9:00am CDT

As explained here, Matt Swartz and MLB Trade Rumors have developed an accurate model to project arbitration salaries. This is the ninth year we’ve done these projections, and I’m proud to present the results for 2020.  Official service time is in parentheses next to each player. The Super Two cutoff has been confirmed as 2.115.  For players’ actual arbitration salaries, check out our tracker here.

Angels (9)

  • Tommy La Stella (5.057) – $2.9MM
  • Cam Bedrosian (4.153) – $2.8MM
  • Andrew Heaney (4.150) – $5.0MM
  • Hansel Robles (4.119) – $4.0MM
  • Dylan Bundy (4.026) – $5.7MM
  • Max Stassi (3.049) – $800K
  • Brian Goodwin (3.019) – $2.1MM
  • Keynan Middleton (2.150) – $800K
  • Noe Ramirez (2.139) – $1.0MM

Astros (8)

  • George Springer (5.166) – $21.4MM
  • Brad Peacock (5.165) – $4.6MM
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (4.140) – $4.1MM
  • Carlos Correa (4.119) – $7.4MM
  • Roberto Osuna (4.097) – $10.2MM
  • Chris Devenski (4.000) – $2.0MM
  • Joe Biagini (3.134) – $1.5MM
  • Aledmys Diaz (3.100) – $2.4MM

Athletics (8)

  • Liam Hendriks (5.164) – $5.5MM
  • T.J. McFarland (5.164) – $2.1MM
  • Marcus Semien (5.118) – $13.5MM
  • Robbie Grossman (5.060) – $3.3MM
  • Mark Canha (4.092) – $4.9MM
  • Sean Manaea (3.157) – $3.5MM
  • Chris Bassitt (3.130) – $2.8MM
  • Chad Pinder (3.047) – $1.8MM

Blue Jays (4)

  • Matt Shoemaker (5.166) – $3.8MM
  • Ken Giles (5.113) – $8.4MM
  • Anthony Bass (5.010) – $1.7MM
  • Brandon Drury (3.165) – $2.5MM

Braves (7)

  • Shane Greene (5.075) – $6.5MM
  • Mike Foltynewicz (4.134) – $7.5MM
  • Adam Duvall (3.151) – $3.8MM
  • Dansby Swanson (3.047) – $3.3MM
  • Luke Jackson (3.019) – $1.9MM
  • Grant Dayton (3.007) – $800K
  • Johan Camargo (2.137) – $1.6MM

Brewers (6)

  • Corey Knebel (4.151) – $5.125MM
  • Omar Narvaez (3.089) – $2.9MM
  • Orlando Arcia (3.047) – $2.7MM
  • Ben Gamel (3.029) – $1.6MM
  • Brent Suter (2.161) – $900K
  • Josh Hader (2.115) – $4.6MM

Cardinals (1)

  • John Gant (3.004) – $1.4MM

Cubs (7)

  • Kris Bryant (4.171) – $18.5MM
  • Javier Baez (4.089) – $9.3MM
  • Kyle Schwarber (4.086) – $8.0MM
  • Willson Contreras (3.108) – $4.5MM
  • Albert Almora (3.073) – $1.8MM
  • Jharel Cotton (2.158) – $800K
  • Kyle Ryan (2.139) – $1.1MM

Diamondbacks (7)

  • David Peralta (5.120) – $8.8MM
  • Nick Ahmed (5.054) – $7.0MM
  • Jake Lamb (5.053) – $5.0MM
  • Andrew Chafin (5.020) -$3.2MM
  • Robbie Ray (5.007) – $10.8MM
  • Archie Bradley (4.112) – $3.6MM
  • Matt Andriese (4.071) – $1.4MM

Dodgers (12)

  • Pedro Baez (5.059) – $3.3MM
  • Enrique Hernandez (5.054) – $5.5MM
  • Joc Pederson (5.028) – $8.5MM
  • Chris Taylor (4.037) – $5.0MM
  • Corey Seager (4.032) – $7.1MM
  • Ross Stripling (3.115) – $2.3MM
  • Austin Barnes (3.098) – $1.3MM
  • Scott Alexander (3.097) – $1.0MM
  • Max Muncy (3.027) – $4.6MM
  • Cody Bellinger (2.160) – $11.6MM
  • Julio Urias (2.117) – $1.7MM

Giants (3)

  • Donovan Solano (4.081) – $1.2MM
  • Alex Dickerson (3.120) – $1.2MM
  • Wandy Peralta (2.168) – $800K

Indians (5)

  • Sandy Leon (5.144) – $2.8MM
  • Francisco Lindor (4.113) – $16.7MM
  • Nick Wittgren (3.071) – $1.3MM
  • Mike Clevinger (3.041) – $4.5MM
  • Tyler Naquin (3.033) – $1.8MM

Mariners (3)

  • Mallex Smith (3.125) – $2.7MM
  • Sam Tuivailala (3.082) – $900K
  • Mitch Haniger (3.048) – $3.0MM

Marlins (4)

  • Jonathan Villar (5.113)  -$10.4MM
  • Jose Urena (4.040) – $4.0MM
  • Adam Conley (3.147) – $1.6MM
  • Jesus Aguilar (3.082) – $2.5MM

Mets (9)

  • Marcus Stroman (5.148) – $11.8MM
  • Jake Marisnick (5.132) – $3.0MM
  • Noah Syndergaard (4.149) – $9.9MM
  • Steven Matz (4.099) – $5.3MM
  • Michael Conforto (4.043) – $9.2MM
  • Edwin Diaz (3.121) – $7.0MM
  • Seth Lugo (3.082) – $1.9MM
  • Brandon Nimmo (3.042) – $1.7MM
  • Robert Gsellman (3.042) – $1.2MM

Nationals (6)

  • Hunter Strickland (4.163) – $1.9MM
  • Michael A. Taylor (4.129) – $3.25MM
  • Roenis Elias (4.069) – $1.9MM
  • Joe Ross (4.018) – $1.4MM
  • Trea Turner (3.135) – $7.5MM
  • Wilmer Difo (3.016) – $1.2MM

Orioles (5)

  • Mychal Givens (4.069) – $3.2MM
  • Hanser Alberto (3.085) – $1.9MM
  • Miguel Castro (3.079) – $1.2MM
  • Richard Bleier (3.074) – $1.1MM
  • Trey Mancini (3.015) – $5.7MM

Padres (10)

  • Jurickson Profar (5.165) – $5.8MM
  • Kirby Yates (5.021) – $6.5MM
  • Greg Garcia (4.083) – $1.7MM
  • Zach Davies (4.020) – $5.0MM
  • Austin Hedges (3.166) – $2.9MM
  • Luis Perdomo (3.086) – $1.0MM
  • Matt Strahm (3.064) – $1.5MM
  • Manuel Margot (3.012) – $2.1MM
  • Hunter Renfroe (2.165) – $3.4MM
  • Dinelson Lamet (2.130) – $1.7MM

Phillies (7)

  • J.T. Realmuto (5.038) – $10.3MM
  • Jose Alvarez (5.035) – $3.0MM
  • Vince Velasquez (4.086) – $3.9MM
  • Hector Neris (4.068) – $4.7MM
  • Adam Morgan (4.017) – $1.6MM
  • Zach Eflin (3.018) – $3.0MM
  • Andrew Knapp (3.000) – $800K

Pirates (9)

  • Keone Kela (5.000) – $3.4MM
  • Michael Feliz (3.169) – $1.2MM
  • Jameson Taillon (3.110) – $2.3MM
  • Chad Kuhl (3.079) – $1.4MM
  • Adam Frazier (3.075) – $3.2MM
  • Joe Musgrove (3.063) – $3.4MM
  • Josh Bell (3.053) – $5.9MM
  • Trevor Williams (3.027)- $3.0MM
  • Erik Gonzalez (3.007) – $800K

Rangers (6)

  • Danny Santana (4.140) – $3.9MM
  • Delino Deshields (4.109) – $2.4MM
  • Nomar Mazara (4.000) – $5.7MM
  • Rafael Montero (3.138) – $900K
  • Nick Goody (3.105) – $1.1MM
  • Joey Gallo (3.103) – $4.0MM

Rays (6)

  • Mike Zunino (5.165) – $4.9MM
  • Tommy Pham (4.107) – $8.6MM
  • Chaz Roe (4.094) – $2.2MM
  • Oliver Drake (3.045) – $1.1MM
  • Tyler Glasnow (2.158) – $1.9MM
  • Daniel Robertson (2.134) – $1.1MM

Red Sox (7)

  • Jackie Bradley Jr. (5.150) – $11MM
  • Mookie Betts (5.070) – $27.7MM
  • Brandon Workman (5.051) – $3.4MM
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (4.130) – $9.5MM
  • Matt Barnes (4.110) – $3.0MM
  • Heath Hembree (4.106) – $1.6MM
  • Andrew Benintendi (3.062) – $4.9MM

Reds (6)

  • Trevor Bauer (5.158) – $18.6MM
  • Anthony DeSclafani (5.062) – $5.2MM
  • Michael Lorenzen (4.159) – $4.2MM
  • Curt Casali (3.151) – $1.7MM
  • Travis Jankowski (3.148) – $1.2MM
  • Matt Bowman (3.021) – $900K

Rockies (7)

  • Scott Oberg (4.063) – $2.0MM
  • Jon Gray (4.062) – $5.6MM
  • Trevor Story (4.000) – $11.5MM
  • Tony Wolters (3.161) – $2.0MM
  • Carlos Estevez (3.022) – $1.2MM
  • David Dahl (2.162) – $3.0MM
  • Kyle Freeland (2.144) – $2.4MM

Royals (2)

  • Jorge Soler (4.143) – $11.2MM
  • Mike Montgomery (4.089) – $2.9MM

Tigers (5)

  • Daniel Norris (4.073) – $2.9MM
  • Michael Fulmer (3.157) – $2.8MM
  • Matthew Boyd (3.136) – $6.4MM
  • Buck Farmer (3.083) – $1.1MM
  • JaCoby Jones (2.125) – $1.4MM

Twins (9)

  • Ehire Adrianza (5.131) – $1.9MM
  • Trevor May (5.012) – $2.1MM
  • Eddie Rosario (4.120) – $8.9MM
  • Miguel Sano (4.066) – $5.9MM
  • Byron Buxton (3.160) – $2.9MM
  • Taylor Rogers (3.145) – $3.9MM
  • Tyler Duffey (3.074) – $1.1MM
  • Jose Berrios (3.044) – $5.4MM
  • Matt Wisler (3.042) – $1.0MM

White Sox (5)

  • Alex Colome (5.118) – $10.3MM
  • James McCann (5.028) – $4.9MM
  • Leury Garcia (5.025) – $4.0MM
  • Carlos Rodon (4.168) – $4.5MM
  • Evan Marshall (3.090) – $1.3MM

Yankees (9)

  • James Paxton (5.151) – $12.9MM
  • Tommy Kahnle (4.131) – $3.0MM
  • Gary Sanchez (3.086) – $5.6MM
  • Aaron Judge (3.051) – $6.4MM
  • Chad Green (3.050) – $1.4MM
  • Jordan Montgomery (2.153) – $1.2MM
  • Luis Cessa (2.131) – $1.1MM
  • Gio Urshela (2.127) – $2.2MM
  • Jonathan Holder (2.124) – $800K
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Arbitration Projection Model MLBTR Originals Newsstand

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Brian McCann Announces Retirement

By Steve Adams | October 9, 2019 at 7:54pm CDT

Seven-time All-Star catcher Brian McCann is planning to retire this offseason, he announced to reporters following the conclusion of today’s NLDS loss to the Cardinals (Twitter link, with video, via FOX Sports Southwest). “It’s time to go,” said McCann when asked about his decision. “Fifteen years of catching — it’s sad, but it’s time. I knew about a month and a half ago.”

Brian McCann | Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

After spending three seasons with the Yankees and two with the Astros, the 35-year-old McCann returned to the Braves on a one-year deal this past offseason. It was homecoming in more ways than one, as the Athens, Ga. native and Duluth High School grad was the Braves’ second-round pick back in 2002. The opportunity to return to his hometown and suit up for one more ride with the next generation of Braves stars was a significant factor in his decision to sign with Atlanta in the winter, McCann added.

“That’s a big reason I wanted to come back,” he said. “I wanted to be a part of this again — put this uniform back on, play in front of my family every night. That was a big reason. … Fifteen years is a long time, catching every day. And I got to do it in my hometown.”

Following that 2002 draft, McCann quickly ascended to top prospect status and made his big league debut with the Braves in 2005. He’d ultimately go on to wear a Braves uniform for 10 of his 15 excellent MLB seasons. A six-time Silver Slugger winner, McCann enjoyed 10 seasons in which he tallied 20 or more home runs throughout his big league career. He’ll hang ’em up with a lifetime .262/.337/.452 batting line, 282 home runs, 1018 RBIs, 742 runs scored and 294 doubles.

McCann never won a Gold Glove but was considered a quality defender for much of his career, finishing at 297 of 1194 in throwing out base thieves (25 percent) and with a total of 26 Defensive Runs Saved. He never did much damage during the postseason but did manage a few key home runs, and he of course took home a World Series ring as the primary catcher for the 2017 World Series Champion Astros.

Former teammates have already begun to heap praise onto McCann — perceived by many onlookers as a gruff enforcer but widely beloved by the players with whom he shared a clubhouse. Lance McCullers Jr. (link) and Chipper Jones (link) are among those to offer heartfelt praise for the 15-year veteran’s contributions to their clubs.

McCann earned more than $128MM in salary over the course of his career and will be remembered as one of the finest and most durable catchers of his generation. His 282 career home runs trail only Mike Piazza, Johnny Bench, Carlton Fisk, Yogi Berra, Gary Carter, Lance Parrish and Ivan Rodriguez among catchers — all of whom other than Parrish have been enshrined in the Hall of Fame. Best wishes to “B-Mac” in his post-playing days.

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Atlanta Braves Newsstand Brian McCann Retirement

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Twins To Exercise Club Option Over Nelson Cruz

By Jeff Todd | October 9, 2019 at 10:00am CDT

In one of the more predictable items of early offseason business, the Twins have decided to exercise their club option over designated hitter Nelson Cruz, according to Jon Heyman of MLB Network (via Twitter). That decision will not need to be made formally until after the conclusion of the World Series, but it seems the Minnesota organization has already chosen a path.

When Cruz was asked recently about his contract situation, he responded in a manner that almost suggested he would be waiting with baited breath: “I don’t have that call,” he said, “but hopefully they can pick up the option.” But it didn’t take an act of benevolence, or even require much deliberation, for the Minnesota organization to settle upon a return.

This campaign came to a bitterly rapid end, but Cruz was right to note recently that the future seems bright for the Minnesota organization. That’s due primarily to the team’s array of youthful talent, strong farm system, and tidy baseball ops balance sheets. But it’s also based upon the ability to retain Cruz on the heels of a campaign in which he provided valuable leadership and immense offensive production. The veteran DH swatted 41 dingers and turned in a .311/.392/.639 slash during the regular season before producing yet more strong output in the team’s fruitless ALDS appearance.

Cruz was already an elusive free agent bargain, having returned 4.3 wins above replacement (by measure of both Fangraphs and Baseball-Reference) at a cost of just $14MM. Now, the Twins get another bite at the apple for just $12MM. (The alternative was to send Cruz back onto the open market with a $300K buyout.) It might have been interesting to debate the open-market value of a 39-year-old DH after such a massive season, and then to see how the situation would play out. But we may safely presume that Cruz would have attracted ample interest at or above that price point, likely over multiple years.

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Minnesota Twins Newsstand Transactions Nelson Cruz

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Japanese Slugger Yoshitomo Tsutsugo To Be Posted

By Jeff Todd | October 7, 2019 at 4:10pm CDT

Japan’s Yokohama DeNA BayStars announced today that they intend to make star corner outfielder Yoshitomo Tsutsugo available through the NPB-MLB posting system. Jason Coskrey of the Japan Times was among those to cover the news via Twitter. Once he’s formally posted, which will occur between November 1st and December 5th, Tsutsugo will have thirty days to negotiate a contract with any of the thirty MLB teams. He’ll be represented by the Wasserman Agency, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com tweets.

The 27-year-old left-handed-hitting slugger is a ten-year veteran of Nippon Professional Baseball. Accordingly, he won’t be subject to the restrictions on international signings that limited the earning potential for countrymate Shohei Ohtani and certain other younger and/or less experienced players.

Under the new posting system, which went into effect after Ohtani’s signing, the team that agrees to sign Tsutsugo will also need to pay a release fee that is determined by reference to the contract. Teams pay 20% of guaranteed money up to $25MM, 17.5% for promised cash between $25MM and $50MM, and then 15% of anything beyond. There are also some provisions that allow for additional release fees in the event that certain non-guaranteed earnings are triggered.

Tsutsugo has long been on the MLB radar. He has been among the most effective hitters in Japanese baseball since fully establishing himself at the nation’s highest level in 2014. Since that time, Tsutsugo has devoured NPB pitching. In over four thousand career plate appearances, he’s a .284/.382/.525 hitter with 205 long balls.

This past season wasn’t Tsutsugo’s most dominant, as he provided the BayStars with 557 plate appearances of .272/.388/.511 hitting and launched 29 long balls. That’s a far sight shy of his personal-best 2016 output (.322/.430/.680, 44 home runs) but still plenty productive. Indeed, he was the sixth-best hitter in the NPB by measure of OPS.

There ought to be a fair amount of interest in Tsutsugo among MLB teams, though he’s not generally regarded as a quality fielder and isn’t exceptionally youthful. The most direct market competition will likely come from other left-handed-hitting, power-oriented corner bats such as Corey Dickerson and Kole Calhoun. It remains to be seen whether Tsutsugo will be targeted as a first-division regular, solid platoon candidate, or something in between.

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Newsstand Transactions Yoshitomo Tsutsugo

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