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Cubs Rumors

Cubs Select Daniel Palencia

By Darragh McDonald | July 4, 2023 at 1:25pm CDT

The Cubs have selected the contract of right-hander Daniel Palencia, a move first reported by Marcos Grunfeld of El Emergente. The full slate of moves, as relayed by Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic, also sees infielder Patrick Wisdom activated from the injured list. In corresponding active roster moves, infielder Nick Madrigal has been placed on the 10-day IL with a right hamstring strain while right-hander Hayden Wesneski has been optioned. To open a spot on the 40-man for Palencia, righty Brad Boxberger was transferred to the 60-day IL.

Palencia, 23, was originally a prospect with the Athletics, but came over to the Cubs in the 2021 trade that sent lefty Andrew Chafin to Oakland. He’s worked mostly as a starter, but the club recently converted him to relief work upon promoting him to Triple-A.

The results there have been mixed, as he’s posted an ERA of 7.90 through 13 outings. That’s a small sample and there might be some fluky bad luck in there, considering his 50.9% strand rate. He’s struck out 27.3% of batters faced while walking 10.6%. His 4.09 FIP suggests he has deserved better results than he’s actually gotten so far. The Cubs will give him a shot at getting big league hitters out and hope that the wheel of fortune spins in a better direction for him going forward.

Madrigal left yesterday’s game with hamstring tightness and will sit out the next 10 days. It’s unclear how severe his injury is, but the upcoming All-Star break would allow him to miss only a handful of games if it’s on the minor side. He’s only struck out in 9.6% of his plate appearances but has just one home run, producing a .278/.335/.364 batting line. His roster spot will go to a hitter with the opposite profile, as Wisdom has 14 homers but a massive 38.9% strikeout rate, leading to a line of .196/.285/.467.

As for Boxberger, he’ll been on the injured list since May 14 due to a right forearm strain. He’ll now be ineligible to return until 60 days from that initial IL placement, meaning he can technically return after the All-Star break. But since he hasn’t yet started a rehab assignment, that doesn’t seem especially likely, making this transaction a mere formality.

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Chicago Cubs Transactions Brad Boxberger Daniel Palencia Hayden Wesneski Nick Madrigal Patrick Wisdom

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Cubs “Not Inclined” To Extend Marcus Stroman Prior To Trade Deadline

By Nick Deeds | July 1, 2023 at 10:59pm CDT

The Cubs are currently “not inclined” to extend right-hander Marcus Stroman prior to August 1’s trade deadline, according to Ken Rosenthal and Patrick Mooney of The Athletic. The report comes weeks after Stroman stressed his desire to sign a new deal in Chicago but indicated that the club had previously declined to begin extension talks, sparking trade speculation regarding the 32-year-old right-hander.

Per Rosenthal and Mooney, Chicago’s hesitance in inking Stroman to a long-term deal ahead of the deadline comes from uncertainty regarding the club’s path forward. The pair indicate that the club’s baseball operations budget in 2024 will be impacted by the club’s finish to the 2023 campaign, and president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer has expressed a willingness to hold out on making a decision between buying and selling until the last minute.

If the club’s front office plans to hold off on deciding between buying and selling, it’s of little surprise that they would not be interested in extending Stroman. The righty is having a career season in 2023 with a sterling 2.47 ERA that’s 78% better than league average by measure of ERA+ across 102 innings of work. He’s backed that up with a solid 20.8% strikeout rate, 8.6% walk rate, and a phenomenal 59.3% groundball rate that would be his best since 2018 over a full season.

There are signs that regression may be in Stroman’s future. Most notably, just 8.3% of the veteran’s fly balls have left the yard for home runs this season, a mark considerably below his career 13.1% figure. Even in spite of that potential red flag, however, Stroman still figures to be one of the hottest commodities on the free agent market should he opt out of the final one year and $21MM left on his contract at the end of the season. MLBTR rated Stroman as the ninth best pending free agent in the most recent update to our 2023-24 MLB Free Agent Power Rankings, and the Cubs surely expect Stroman to be similarly coveted by rival clubs at the trade deadline if they decide to sell.

Of course, the Cubs deciding to sell is no guarantee at this point. The club is 4.5 games out of first place in a weak NL Central as things standing, locked in a virtual tie with a Pirates team they just swept twice last month behind the Brewers and Reds. Additionally, their +32 run differential is the fifth best figure in the NL and the only positive mark of any team in the NL Central. With a four game set against Milwaukee set to start on Monday, Chicago’s standing in the division could look very different by the time the All Star break rolls around, one way or another.

For Stroman’s part, the veteran right-hander seems largely unfazed by the swirling rumors. Asked on Friday if there had been movement in contract negotiations, Stroman confirmed on Friday that there was “nothing new” before praising the organization to reporters (including Mooney): “I have a great relationship with Jed and Carter. It’s been awesome here. I just don’t think they’re in a position right now for me to extend my (time here). Which, I don’t even care. I feel good here. I would love for them to be in play in the offseason. I would love to have an opportunity to sign back here in free agency after the year is done.”

Such praise certainly seems to leave the door open for Stroman to re-up with the club in free agency, or even sooner. As Rosenthal and Mooney note, there’s nothing stopping them from pivoting toward extension talks after the trade deadline in the run-up to free agency. Such a strategy would be risky, of course, as few players extend once they’re that close to hitting the open market and the Cubs don’t have the ability to extend Stroman a Qualifying Offer after the season after he accepted a QO from the Mets prior to the 2021 campaign.

On the other hand, the upcoming free agent class figures to be unusually deep in pitching. Even setting aside two-way phenom Shohei Ohtani, interesting names such as Julio Urias, Aaron Nola, Lucas Giolito, Jordan Montgomery, and Sonny Gray all figure to hit the open market this winter, leaving the Cubs with plenty of options to replace Stroman at the top of their rotation alongside Justin Steele should he exit the organization by way of trade or free agency.

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Chicago Cubs Newsstand Marcus Stroman

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Jordan Holloway Opts Out Of Minors Deal With Cubs

By Nick Deeds | July 1, 2023 at 6:59pm CDT

Right-hander Jordan Holloway is returning to the open market after exercising an opt-out clause in his minor league deal with the Cubs today, MLBTR has learned.

Holloway, 27, made his MLB debut during the shortened 2020 campaign, though he recorded just one out for the Marlins that season. Holloway returned to the majors for a longer audition in 2021, pitching to a 4.00 ERA that was slightly above average by measure of ERA+ (106) and a 4.42 FIP in 36 innings of work. In 2022, Holloway spent much of the season on the injured list and ultimately only appeared in a single game for the Marlins, allowing one run on three hits and a walk over 2 2/3 innings of work while striking out two.

In all, Holloway sports a solid 22% strikeout rate but a concerning 16.2% walk rate in his 39 big league innings of work. Holloway’s issues with the free pass have persisted in his time in the Cubs organization, as the right-hander has posted a 20.6% walk rate in 12 1/3 innings split between the High-A and Triple-A levels this season. Those struggles with control have contributed to his unsightly 6.57 ERA, though his excellent 38.1% strikeout rate is sure to be tempting for potential suitors as Holloway returns to the open market.

Holloway’s exit is a hit to Chicago’s bullpen depth, which had already been tested by recent surgeries for right-hander Codi Heuer and left-hander Brandon Hughes. The Cubs’ 4.05 bullpen ERA as a team this season ranks roughly middle of the pack (7th in the NL, 19th in MLB) as they’ve struggled to find consistent arms to surround a solid nucleus of Adbert Alzolay, Mark Leiter Jr. and Julian Merryweather. Keegan Thompson and Jeremiah Estrada are among the options available to the Cubs in the upper minors who are currently on the 40-man roster, with the likes of Tyler Duffey and Rowan Wick available as options who would need to be selected to the roster.

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Chicago Cubs Transactions Jordan Holloway

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Cubs’ Brandon Hughes Undergoes Debridement Procedure On Left Knee

By Anthony Franco | June 28, 2023 at 10:56pm CDT

Cubs reliever Brandon Hughes underwent a debridement surgery on his left knee today, the team informed reporters (including Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times). It was already known Hughes was going under the knife, though this specific surgery represents a change of plans.

Initially, doctors anticipated Hughes would require an osteotomy, a procedure that involves readjusting the bone. A debridement instead involves the removal of damaged tissue from the area. Lee suggests the new procedure comes with a quicker recovery timeline than the osteotomy, which was expected to sideline him into next year’s Spring Training.

The Cubs haven’t provided more specifics on Hughes’ new timeline, leaving it unclear whether a return this season is possible. Teammate Adrian Sampson underwent a debridement surgery on his knee in early May; he began a rehab assignment last weekend, roughly seven weeks post-operation. Obviously, there’s no guarantee Hughes will follow a similar path. The Cubs placed him on the 60-day injured list yesterday, so he’s ineligible to return until mid-August in any event.

Hughes, 27, emerged as a closing option for David Ross late last season. He posted a 3.12 ERA over 57 2/3 frames as a rookie. The southpaw has allowed 11 runs in 13 2/3 innings this year, striking out 17 but issuing eight walks.

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Chicago Cubs Brandon Hughes

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MLB Trade Rumors Podcast: The Angels Trade for Infielders, Indecisive NL Central Teams and Aaron Judge’s Toe

By Darragh McDonald | June 28, 2023 at 9:19am CDT

The latest episode of the MLB Trade Rumors Podcast is now live on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and wherever you get your podcasts! Make sure you subscribe as well! You can also use the player at this link to listen, if you don’t use Spotify or Apple for podcasts.

This week, host Darragh McDonald is joined by Steve Adams of MLB Trade Rumors to discuss:

  • The Angels acquired Eduardo Escobar from the Mets and Mike Moustakas from the Rockies (1:25)
  • The Pirates and Cubs and Cardinals are thinking about their respective trade deadline approaches (7:20)
  • The Yankees’ hopes are hanging on Aaron Judge’s toe (16:05)

Plus, we answer your questions, including:

  • How do you think the Red Sox will approach the deadline? Will they try to toe the line like last season (which did not work)? (18:50)
  • I would like to know what you think the Padres are going to do? They have numerous holes in that lineup, they are selling out game after game at home? You think major trades forthcoming? Or what? (22:40)
  • What do you think are the chances that the Braves trade Vaughn Grissom at the deadline? What caliber of player do you believe a package built around Grissom would bring in? (25:35)

Check out our past episodes!

  • Exciting Youth Movements in Cincinnati and Pittsburgh, Bad Central Divisions and the Dodgers Want Pitching – listen here
  • Marcus Stroman Lobbies for Extension, Mets’ Woes and Astros Seeking Bats – listen here
  • Elly De La Cruz, Alek Manoah’s Demotion and Surgery for Jacob deGrom – listen here
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Atlanta Braves Boston Red Sox Chicago Cubs Colorado Rockies Los Angeles Angels MLB Trade Rumors Podcast New York Mets New York Yankees Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals Aaron Judge Eduardo Escobar Mike Moustakas Vaughn Grissom

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Cubs To Select Jared Young

By Darragh McDonald | June 27, 2023 at 3:35pm CDT

3:30pm: Infielder Miles Mastrobuoni was optioned in a corresponding active roster move, per Sullivan. Left-hander Brandon Hughes, who will require season-ending surgery, has been transferred to the 60-day IL to open a 40-man spot for Young.

3:05pm: The Cubs will be selecting the contract of infielder/outfielder Jared Young, reports Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune. Young’s presence at Wrigley Field was first reported on Twitter by @crawlyscubs. Young isn’t on the club’s 40-man roster, so they will have to make a corresponding move or moves in order to make room for him.

Young, 27, was selected to the club’s roster in September of last year and got a cup of coffee in the majors. He had a solid .263/.364/.368 line in 22 plate appearances but was outrighted off the roster in November. He’s spent all of this year mashing in Triple-A. He has 13 home runs in 52 games while walking in 13.8% of his plate appearances and striking out at just a 20.5% rate. His .326/.426/.605 batting line amounts to a 154 wRC+, indicating he’s been 54% better than league average.

Defensively, he’s played a bit of third base and the outfield corners but has seen most of his time at first base. The Cubs haven’t gotten much production at the cold corner this year, as Eric Hosmer hit .234/.280/.330 on the year. He was released and replaced by Matt Mervis, who slashed .167/.242/.289 before getting optioned to the minors. The club returned Cody Bellinger from the injured list before he was 100%, hoping to have him at first instead of his usual center field position but he’s hit just .160/.214/.200 since being activated. Trey Mancini has also seen some time there and hit a tepid .245/.317/.364 on the year.

With all those struggles, it’s understandable that the Cubs are looking for new approaches, especially as they’ve now climbed back into contention. Their 37-39 record isn’t especially impressive but they are just three games back of the lead in the wide open National League Central and they have the best run differential in the division. They’ll now give Young a chance to test his skills against big league pitching again, with just over a month before the club will have to decide whether or not to pursue upgrades at the trade deadline.

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Chicago Cubs Transactions Brandon Hughes Jared Young Miles Mastrobuoni

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Cubs, Shane Greene Agree To Minor League Deal

By Steve Adams | June 27, 2023 at 10:24am CDT

The Cubs have agreed to a minor league deal with veteran right-handed reliever Shane Greene, per the transaction log at MLB.com. The Ballengee Group client been assigned to Cubs’ affiliate in the Arizona Complex League for now, presumably to build up before joining the their Triple-A club in Iowa; Greene has yet to pitch for any team this season.

Greene, 34, had a strong run as a setup man and closer from 2017-20 between the Tigers and Braves. In 221 1/3 innings during that four-year peak, he posted a 3.25 ERA with a 24.2% strikeout rate, 8.6% walk rate, 33 holds and 64 saves. All but one of those saves came with Detroit. Atlanta acquired Greene at the 2019 trade deadline — sending lefty Joey Wentz and outfielder Travis Demeritte to the Tigers in return — but deployed him primarily as a setup man following the swap.

Following the trade, Greene posted a serviceable 4.01 ERA down the stretch for them in ’19 and went on to enjoy a solid 2020 campaign with Atlanta. However, that marks the most recent bit of MLB success for the right-hander. Greene was a late signee in May 2021, ultimately returning to the Braves only to see his results crater. He was torched for 16 runs in 17 innings to begin his ’21 season (8.47 ERA), and things were only marginally better in a brief nine-game cup of coffee with the Dodgers after being released in Atlanta.

Greene saw brief looks with the Dodgers and Yankees in 2022 but only pitched a total of three MLB innings. Overall, since the conclusion of the 2020 campaign, he has just 29 2/3 innings with a dismal 7.09 ERA to show for it. His sinker, which averaged 95 mph during his best year with the Tigers, averaged just 92.6 mph in 2021 and sat at 91.3 mph during last year’s tiny sample of big league work.

Swift decline notwithstanding, Greene represents a no-risk flier for a Cubs team that regularly rolls the dice on veteran rebound candidates in the bullpen. It hasn’t always worked in their favor, of course, but the Cubs have netted strong returns on minimal investments for names like Andrew Chafin, David Robertson, Ryan Tepera, Mychal Givens and Mark Leiter Jr. (among others) in sticking to this approach in recent years. They’ll hope to add Greene’s name to that list of successes in the coming months.

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Chicago Cubs Transactions Shane Greene

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Marcus Stroman Exits With Blister On Right Index Finger

By Nick Deeds | June 25, 2023 at 4:28pm CDT

Cubs ace Marcus Stroman exited his start against the Cardinals in London this morning after just 3 1/3 innings of work due to a blister on his right index finger. Fortunately, as noted by Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune, the injury is not currently considered to be particularly serious. In conversation with reporters following the game, Stroman pointed out that this wasn’t the first time he’s dealt with blisters in his career, likely referencing his 2018 trip to the IL with a blister on his right middle finger. That stint on the shelf ultimately lasted two weeks, but Stroman says that he’s optimistic he’ll be able to make his next start, which would likely be slated for next weekend’s series against the Guardians.

It’s hard to overstate Stroman’s importance in keeping the Cubs afloat this season. After today’s loss to the Cardinals in London, the north siders sport a 37-39 record that leaves them just three games back of the Reds for the division title in a weak NL Central. That the club remains within striking distance in the division can be attributed heavily to the performance of Stroman, whose 2.28 ERA entering play today led the NL, while his 196 ERA+ led the majors.

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Chicago Cubs Chicago White Sox Notes Liam Hendriks Marcus Stroman Mike Clevinger

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Cubs’ Codi Heuer, Brandon Hughes Undergo Season-Ending Surgeries

By Mark Polishuk | June 24, 2023 at 1:20pm CDT

Cubs right-hander Codi Heuer has undergone his second season-ending surgery in as many years, as Heuer underwent a procedure yesterday to address an elbow fracture suffered earlier this week during a Triple-A rehab start.  Left-hander Brandon Hughes will also go under the knife for a distal femoral osteotomy on his left knee that will keep him out of action until at least Spring Training.  (Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times was among those who reported the news.)

It’s another brutal setback for Heuer, who didn’t pitch at all in 2022 after undergoing Tommy John surgery.  His outing on Tuesday was the 15th appearance of his rehab assignment, and it seemed like he was approaching a return to the Cubs bullpen before suffering his latest injury.  While Lee notes that while Heuer’s UCL was at least unharmed by the fracture, there’s “a less definite timeline” for this injury than there is for a Tommy John procedure, since “recover requires immobilization, which adds a wrinkle in the rehab process.”

The 26-year-old Heuer was a sixth-round pick for the White Sox in the 2018 draft, and he went to the other end of the Windy City at the 2021 trade deadline when the Sox sent Heuer and Nick Madrigal to the Cubs in exchange for Craig Kimbrel.  Heuer had made his MLB debut in posting a 1.52 ERA over 23 2/3 relief innings for the White Sox in 2020, and while he ran into some more struggles in his first full MLB season, his 2021 numbers were at least respectable — a 4.28 ERA over 67 1/3 total innings with the Sox and Cubs, albeit with a low 19.9% strikeout rate.

Unfortunately for Heuer, it’ll be an even longer wait before he gets an opportunity to bounce back from that 2021 performance.  He did have a 7.82 ERA over his 12 2/3 Triple-A innings this season, though given how Heuer’s focus was on simply rebuilding arm strength and ramping up for regular pitching work, the lack of results wasn’t necessarily a red flag (though a big 17.5% walk rate is naturally cause for concern).

Hughes posted a 3.12 ERA over 57 2/3 innings in his 2022 rookie season, but also had a sophomore slump, with a 7.24 ERA over 13 2/3 innings this season.  It appears as though his knee issue was a cause, as Lee writes that a past knee surgery from 2015 was leading to some renewed pain for Hughes, and the decision was finally made that another surgery was required.

As Cubs president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer told Lee and other reporters, Hughes has “never really gotten consistently to where he was last year with mechanics because of his knee.  And he’s fought so hard to get out there.  He’s such a competitor.  But it finally got to a point where it’s like, we’re just going to keep [taking] one step forward, one step back over and over.”

It should take roughly six months for Hughes to recover and then at least a couple more months of rehab time, Lee writes, so Hughes could miss most or all of Spring Training 2024.  It seems very probable that Hughes will start the 2024 season on the injured list in order to give him time to both finish off his recovery, or simply to take part in extended Spring Training in April to make up for lost time.

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Chicago Cubs Brandon Hughes Codi Heuer

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Ricketts: Cubs Are “Buyers Right Now”

By Darragh McDonald | June 23, 2023 at 12:29pm CDT

Cubs chairman Tom Ricketts made an appearance at a fan event in London yesterday, ahead of the club’s matchup against the Cardinals as part of the London Series, and was asked whether the club would be buyers or sellers at the upcoming trade deadline. “Obviously we’re buyers right now,” Ricketts said, per Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune. “Things can come off the rails, but I don’t think they will. I think what we have is a core that can compete for the division and compete for the playoffs and now it’s finding the missing parts to add to it.”

It’s been pointed out by many observers that this year’s trade deadline could potentially have a different alignment than many in years’ past. Due to the expanded postseason and weak Central divisions, very few clubs can be firmly categorized as true sellers and situations can change quickly. As of just two weeks ago, the Cubs were 26-36 and 7.5 games back of of the Brewers while the Reds were 29-34 and five games back. Both clubs have been on hot streaks since then and flipped the script. The Reds are now 40-35 and atop the division, putting them into the buyers camp. The Cubs are 36-38 and just 3.5 games behind and now seem to be thinking of buying as well.

As of just a few weeks ago, there was much speculation about the Cubs potentially trading away rental players like Cody Bellinger or Marcus Stroman, the latter of whom having one year remaining on his contract but the ability to opt out this fall. Putting those names on the market could have put the Cubs in position to reap huge prospect returns but their recent string of victories could now take those names off the table.

The situation is certainly fluid, something that Ricketts made clear in his comments. But it is still interesting to highlight the reality that this summer’s trades might end up being different than other years. The most common type of deal in years past would see a contending club give up prospects in order to acquire a win-now piece from a team buried in the standings. With so few clubs clearly out of contention this year, there may be more deals where contending clubs are on both ends, each trading from a surplus.

As a recent example of one such deal, the Yankees and Cardinals swapped Harrison Bader and Jordan Montgomery at last year’s deadline. The Yankees felt they had enough pitching that they could part with Montgomery in order to upgrade their outfield, while the Cardinals clearly felt the inverse.

All of that is to say that the Cubs could still look to trade pieces from their current roster even if they stay in the race, but it seems their overall approach will be one of gearing up for a postseason push, as opposed to making moves about future seasons. Which part of the roster they look to bolster will obviously depend upon health and performance in the weeks to come.

The bullpen would be an obvious target as the club’s relievers have a collective 4.29 ERA that places them 22nd out of the 30 clubs in the league. The rotation is in good shape right now with Stroman, Justin Steele, Kyle Hendricks, Drew Smyly and Jameson Taillon lined up every five days, but an injury or two could always change the picture in a hurry.

The lineup has some strengths but the infield corners stand out as weak spots right now. The third base combo of Nick Madrigal and Miles Mastrobuoni hasn’t hit much while first basemen Eric Hosmer and Matt Mervis were disappointing enough that each is now off the active roster. Center fielder Cody Bellinger was hurried back from his rehab in order to take over at first but has hit just .105/.182/.158 since being activated.

All told, it will be a fascinating few weeks for the Cubs and for the baseball world as a whole. The club has already shown that a hot stretch can quickly flip the narrative upside-down, though the reverse is also true. Each game in June and July will take on magnified importance as each team tries to calculate their best path forward. For now, it seems the Cubs have put themselves in a position to get back into contention and they hope to keep it that way.

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Chicago Cubs

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