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MLBTR Originals

Poll: Should The Phillies Extend Kyle Schwarber?

By Nick Deeds | March 10, 2025 at 1:30pm CDT

Just over a week ago, reporting indicated that the Phillies and slugger Kyle Schwarber have engaged in “broad” conversations about an extension. That came not long after Schwarber expressed a desire to stick in Philadelphia beyond the life of his current contract, which expires at the end of the coming season. While no updates about the status of talks between the sides have been made public since then, it was just over a year ago that the Phillies agreed to an extension with pending free agent Zack Wheeler after reports of mutual interest between the sides gave way to radio silence as the sides hammered out a deal. Things have been similarly quiet regarding Schwarber’s teammate and fellow possible extension candidate J.T. Realmuto, as the sides reportedly have mutual interest in an extension as of last month with few details having emerged since then.

Getting back to Schwarber, it’s understandable why the 32-year-old would have interest in sticking in Philadelphia long-term. Aside from the team’s on-field success, which has seen them capture the NL pennant in 2022 and follow that up with 90- and 95-win campaigns the past two years, Schwarber himself has found an impressive level of consistency in Philadelphia. Across three seasons in a Phillies uniform, he’s slashed .221/.344/.488 with a wRC+ of 128 while never posting a figure below 120. That’s not only a substantial improvement over his career 119 wRC+ prior to arriving in Philly, but the results are also far more consistent on a year-to-year basis: his wRC+ figures prior to joining the Phillies ranged from as low as 91 in 2020 to as high as 146 in 2021.

Aside from the success both Schwarber and the team have enjoyed over the past three seasons, Schwarber may be hoping that avoiding the open market could afford him longer-term stability. The veteran has always been a lackluster defender, and in 2024 he spent virtually the entire campaign at DH. There’s been talk of Schwarber getting more reps in the outfield (or perhaps even at first base) this year, but the market has proved harsh in recent years for players like Schwarber regardless of whether he’s viewed as a bat-first corner option or a pure DH. Veteran DH J.D. Martinez resorted to taking one-year deals with the Dodgers and Mets during both the 2022-23 and ’23-24 offseasons, and he remains unsigned in March for the second consecutive year. Other defensively limited players like Pete Alonso and Anthony Santander ended up with contracts that fell below expectations this winter, while Schwarber’s longtime teammate Anthony Rizzo has seemingly struggled to get any sort of tempting offer this winter.

That’s not to say Schwarber is necessarily doomed to the same fate of underwhelming offers on the open market, of course. Teams are almost always willing to pay for truly elite talent in free agency, and Schwarber’s 131 wRC+ over the past four seasons is good for 25th in baseball over that timeframe. Those numbers are only slightly ahead of Alonso, who ranks 29th with a 129 wRC+, but it’s worth noting that Alonso faced questions about his future production after back-to-back down seasons. Meanwhile, Schwarber’s 2024 was nothing short of excellent as he slashed .248/.366/.485 with 38 homers and a career-high 3.4 fWAR. Another strong season from Schwarber in 2025 would surely line him up for a healthy contract in free agency, even if his age and defensive profile would likely inhibit his ability to land a lengthier contract.

There’s both pros and cons to the idea re-upping with Schwarber from the Phillies’ perspective as well. Schwarber offers rare left-handed power and exceptional consistency for a player with his skillset, but it’s not hard to see why an aging Phillies club might prefer to go with a younger alternative with strong defensive skills rather than continue to trot out a team that relies on both Schwarber and Nick Castellanos as regular fixtures of the lineup in 2026. Schwarber’s strikeout-heavy approach could be cause for concern in theory, but the club is more than capable of balancing that out with more contact-oriented hitters like Bryson Stott, Alec Bohm, and Trea Turner.

Perhaps the strongest argument for keeping Schwarber in the fold is the lack of clear upgrades available in free agency next winter. Unless the Phillies opt to splurge on an aggressive pursuit of either Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Kyle Tucker, they’ll be hard pressed to find a better hitter on the market next winter than the one they already have. Josh Naylor, Eugenio Suarez, and Cody Bellinger (if he opts out) are among the best hitters in the next tier of free agency next year, and while all three are solid players, none of them come close to offering the reliable offensive impact that Schwarber has given the Phillies over the past three years.

Is that impact enough to live with the high strikeout rates and lack of defensive value on what would likely be a two- or three-year extension? Have your say in the poll below:

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MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls Philadelphia Phillies Kyle Schwarber

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Offseason In Review: San Francisco Giants

By Mark Polishuk | March 9, 2025 at 7:25am CDT

While not the blockbuster offseason some fans expected from the Giants' new front office, a couple of big names landed in San Francisco.

Major League Signings

  • Willy Adames, SS: Seven years, $182MM
  • Justin Verlander, SP: One year, $15MM

2025 spending: $36MM
Total spending: $197MM

Option Decisions

  • Blake Snell, SP: Opted out of final year of contract ($30MM in 2025)
  • Robbie Ray, SP: Declined to opt out of final two years of contract ($50MM over 2025-26 seasons)
  • Wilmer Flores, IF: Exercises $3.5MM player option for the 2025 season

Trades & Claims

  • Acquired minor league RP Braxton Roxby from Reds for RP Taylor Rogers and $6MM
  • Acquired IF/OF Osleivis Basabe from Rays for cash considerations
  • Acquired international bonus pool space from Red Sox for C/OF Blake Sabol
  • Acquired international bonus pool space from Marlins for minor league RHP William Kempner
  • Claimed C Sam Huff off waivers from Rangers

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Max Stassi, Joey Lucchesi, Jake Lamb, Raymond Burgos, Kai-Wei Teng, Ethan Small, Justin Garza, Miguel Diaz, Lou Trivino, Sergio Alcantara, Enny Romero, Logan Porter

Extensions

  • None

Notable Losses

  • Blake Snell, Rogers, Sabol, Michael Conforto, Mark Canha, Thairo Estrada, Curt Casali, Austin Warren

Willy Adames' $182MM contract represents the largest deal in Giants history, and perhaps marks an end to the narrative that the franchise is unable to attract top-tier talent to the Bay Area.  Bryce Harper, Aaron Judge, Carlos Correa (though that situation was rather unique), and Shohei Ohtani are a few of the major free agents who the Giants pursued but were unable to sign when Farhan Zaidi was the club's president of baseball operations, leaving fans perpetually frustrated at Zaidi's roster-building endeavors.

Things changed even before Zaidi was officially replaced by Buster Posey last September, as Posey (then acting in his capacity as a member of the Giants board of directors) took a very direct role in negotiating Matt Chapman's six-year, $151MM contract extension.  It is rare to see such extensions signed when a player is as close to Chapman was to the open market, and finalizing that deal indicated that Posey might be moving with more aggressiveness once he took the reins as the new PBO.

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2024-25 Offseason In Review Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals Membership San Francisco Giants

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Offseason In Review: Los Angeles Dodgers

By Darragh McDonald | March 7, 2025 at 11:59pm CDT

The Dodgers followed up their World Series win with another aggressive offseason, making many headline-grabbing additions as well as some less splashy moves. Despite years of playoff disappointments, they now go into 2025 viewed as a juggernaut that is despised by all other fan bases around the league.

Major League Signings

  • LHP Blake Snell: Five years, $182MM (includes conditional club option, $52MM signing bonus and $65MM in deferrals)
  • LHP Tanner Scott: Four years, $72MM (includes conditional 2029 club option, $20MM signing bonus and $21MM in deferrals)
  • OF Teoscar Hernandez: Three years, $66MM (includes 2028 club option, $23MM signing bonus and $23.5MM in deferrals)
  • RHP Blake Treinen: Two years, $22MM (includes $5MM signing bonus)
  • OF Michael Conforto: One year, $17MM (includes $8.5MM signing bonus)
  • RHP Kirby Yates: One year, $13MM
  • IF Hyeseong Kim: Three years, $12.5MM (includes 2028-29 club option)
  • LHP Clayton Kershaw: One year, $7.5MM
  • IF/OF Enrique Hernández: One year, $6.5MM

2025 spending: $185.5MM
Total spending: $398.5MM

Option Decisions

  • LHP Clayton Kershaw declined $10MM player option (though re-signed on aforementioned $7.5MM deal with incentives)
  • Team exercised $5MM club option on IF Miguel Rojas
  • Team exercised $3.5MM club option on C Austin Barnes

Trades and Claims

  • Traded IF Gavin Lux to Reds for OF Mike Sirota and Competitive Balance Round A draft pick
  • Traded C Diego Cartaya to Twins for RHP Jose Vasquez
  • Traded OF Dylan Campbell to Phillies for international bonus pool space
  • Traded OF Arnaldo Lantigua to Reds for international bonus pool space
  • Traded RHP Ryan Brasier and cash to Cubs for PTBNL or cash

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Roki Sasaki, Eddie Rosario, David Bote, Michael Chavis, Luis GarcĂ­a, Giovanny Gallegos, Chris Okey, Joe Jacques

Extensions

  • IF/OF Tommy Edman: Four years, $64.5MM (includes 2030 club option, $17MM signing bonus and $25MM of deferrals)

Notable Losses

  • Jack Flaherty, Walker Buehler, Joe Kelly (still unsigned), Kevin Kiermaier (retired), Daniel Hudson (retired), Ryan Brasier, Gavin Lux, Diego Cartaya, Connor Brogdon (outrighted), Brent Honeywell Jr. (non-tendered), Zach Logue (non-tendered)

Things change fast in baseball. The Dodgers finished 2023 on a down note, having been swept out of the NLDS by the Diamondbacks. Though that was their 11th consecutive postseason appearance, many of them had ended in heartbreaking fashion. Fans of the club were in MLBTR's mentions, calling for manager Dave Roberts and president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman to be fired. Fans of other clubs were taunting them for their failed attempts to "buy" a World Series. But they then signed Shohei Ohtani to a heavily-deferred deal, as well as grabbing Yoshinobu Yamamoto and many others, eventually winning it all in 2024.

The club therefore went into the 2024-25 offseason with the wind in their sails and they didn't slow down. Within a few months of their parade, they had signed one of the top free agent starters, a few of the top relievers, some solid outfielders and the most notable international amateur since Ohtani.

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2024-25 Offseason In Review Front Office Originals Los Angeles Dodgers MLBTR Originals Membership

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Poll: Where Will J.D. Martinez Sign?

By Nick Deeds | March 7, 2025 at 7:16pm CDT

Last week, a poll of MLBTR readers revealed an overwhelming consensus about who of the remaining hitters left on the market is the best. More than 59% of respondents selected veteran slugger J.D. Martinez as the best hitter still available in free agency, and it’s not difficult to see why. The 37-year-old is a six-time All-Star who’s been an above average hitter in ten consecutive 162-game seasons, and there aren’t many players in baseball who can offer a resume that includes 331 homers and more than 1,700 hits.

Even so, he’s lingered on the free agent market into March for the second consecutive offseason. Much of that could simply be about his position—or, rather, lack thereof. While it’s certainly not unheard of for clubs to employ a full-time DH, the overwhelming majority of clubs prefer to either rotate regulars through the DH slot in the lineup as a form of rest or utilize a player with some ability to play elsewhere on the diamond there. Martinez does not offer that luxury, having last started more than one game in the outfield back in 2021 and last getting into even 50 games as an outfielder back in 2018.

That inherently restricts his market by blocking him from joining clubs who have regulars at DH already, and it also makes it more difficult for Martinez to fit a club in a bench role. While Justin Turner has similarly acted primarily as a DH in recent years, his ability to play first base or even a little third base in a pinch made him a viable addition to the Cubs’ bench to complement Michael Busch at first and act as a secondary DH option on days where Seiya Suzuki is in the outfield. Martinez lacks that sort of flexibility, and it’s all but impossible for a club to justify carrying a pure DH without a clear pathway to at least semi-regular at-bats.

Another concern is Martinez’s weak platform season. 2024 was Martinez’s worst campaign in years, as he hit just .235/.320/.406 (108 wRC+) with a 28.5% strikeout rate and just 16 homers in 495 trips to the plate for the Mets. Martinez’s expected numbers suggest that poor fortune may have played a role in his down season, particularly in a second half where he hit just .199/.282/.340 (79 wRC+) despite similar strikeout and walk numbers to his first half (130 wRC+) and a strong 13% barrel rate. While the underlying numbers suggest a bounceback season is likely for Martinez in 2025, players in their late 30s often face additional scrutiny in free agency and clubs may have reservations about Martinez’s ability to rebound completely at his age.

That’s not to say there should be no market for Martinez’s services, of course. As previously mentioned, the veteran’s underlying numbers suggest he’s still got the tools necessary to be a well-above average regular. What’s more, even simply repeating last year’s lackluster season would be an upgrade for a number of clubs. 15 teams garnered a wRC+ lower than Martinez’s 106 from their DH mix last year, and a handful of clubs still have questions in that corner of the roster. The Yankees have reportedly been in contact with the slugger with incumbent DH Giancarlo Stanton ticketed for a potentially lengthy absence due to elbow soreness. However, Jon Heyman of The New York Post wrote last night that the Yanks seem to have limited desire to spend at this point of the offseason.

They’re the only club to be publicly connected to Martinez amid a quiet offseason for the veteran, but it’s easy to see a fit for the slugger on clubs like the Giants or Padres that lack a regular option at DH. Meanwhile, the Tigers are reportedly pondering playing Kerry Carpenter in the outfield this year and have a need for additional right-handed thump in their lineup, the Reds got the weakest production in all of baseball out of their DH mix last season, and it’s even possible to imagine teams like the Cardinals and Guardians who have young, left-handed bats locked in at DH having interest in Martinez as a right-handed complement to those players.

Where do MLBTR readers think Martinez will ultimately land? Have your say in the poll below:

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MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls J.D. Martinez

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Poll: Where Will Spencer Turnbull Sign?

By Leo Morgenstern | March 6, 2025 at 8:06pm CDT

Earlier this week, Nick Deeds gave MLBTR readers a chance to voice their opinions about where Kyle Gibson, the top unsigned starting pitcher from MLBTR’s Top 50 Free Agents list, and David Robertson, the top unsigned reliever, would end up. That leaves one more unsigned player from our Top 50 list left to cover: 32-year-old right-hander Spencer Turnbull.

Turnbull became a free agent for the first time last offseason. He was coming off a poor final season with the Tigers. After missing all of 2022 while recovering from Tommy John surgery, he pitched to a 7.26 ERA and 5.24 SIERA over seven starts in April and May before suffering a neck injury. Upon his return from the IL in August, Detroit optioned him to Triple-A – even though he was nursing an injured foot at the time. The team would retroactively reverse the option in November (after non-tendering him the week prior), thereby granting Turnbull a full year of service time. Nonetheless, that didn’t change the fact that he spent the final weeks of the 2023 season in the minors, pitching to a 6.23 ERA and 4.25 FIP in eight starts.

Despite such an unceremonious ending to his Tigers tenure, Turnbull landed a $2MM guarantee from the Phillies last February, only $400K lower than his projected arbitration salary. It quickly seemed as if Philadelphia had struck gold, as the righty looked terrific out of the gate. Initially expected to start the season in the bullpen, Turnbull was thrust into the rotation when Taijuan Walker suffered an injury toward the end of spring training. Through six turns in the Phillies rotation during April, Turnbull tossed 32 1/3 frames with a 1.67 ERA and 3.37 SIERA. He struck out 28.3% of the batters he faced while inducing ground balls at a 49.4% rate.

Turnbull didn’t look quite as sharp after transitioning to a bullpen role in May, putting up a 4.26 ERA and 3.80 SIERA over his next 19 innings. Still, the Phillies were confident enough in his skills that they returned him to the rotation at the end of June when Walker suffered another injury. Unfortunately, Turnbull lasted just three innings in his first start in eight weeks, exiting with shoulder soreness and later hitting the IL with a right lat strain. That injury would prove to be season-ending.

All in all, Turnbull finished the 2024 season with impressive numbers: a 2.65 ERA and 3.67 SIERA, both career-bests. His 26.1% strikeout rate and 17.1% K-BB% were the best marks of his career as well. Unfortunately, 54 1/3 innings isn’t much of a sample size, and his lat strain only added to his reputation as an injury-prone pitcher. He has spent time on the 60-day IL in each of the past four seasons, and only once has he thrown more than 60 innings in a season (148 1/3 IP in 2019). Thus, MLBTR described him as “something of a wild card” on our Top 50 Free Agents list this offseason. On a per-inning basis, Turnbull has shown the skills to be an above-average starting pitcher – he has averaged just over 3.0 FanGraphs WAR per 162 IP throughout his career – but that means a lot less for a pitcher who has not proven he can consistently start more than a handful of games per season.

All of that explains why Turnbull remains unsigned into March, and indeed, it sheds light on why he has not been credibly linked to a single suitor this winter. That being said, it’s not as if Turnbull can’t provide value to a major league club. Even with all the time he spent on the injured list in 2024, he was well worth his $2MM salary to the Phillies, producing 0.7 FanGraphs WAR and 1.2 Baseball Reference WAR while helping the team to victory in 12 of the 17 games in which he appeared. In a poll last month, more MLBTR readers voted Turnbull as the top remaining free agent starter than either Gibson or Andrew Heaney. While it now seems unlikely that Turnbull will secure the one-year, $7MM contract MLBTR initially predicted, he surely deserves a major league roster spot for the upcoming campaign.

So, where might Turnbull find that roster spot? At this point in the year, most teams are happy to stick with their in-house rotation options. It makes sense. Those are the guys the catchers, coaching staff, and analytics department are familiar with and the guys each team has been working with all spring. That means someone like Gibson might be forced to wait for an injury to free up a rotation spot he can claim. Turnbull, however, proved he could hold his own in a long-relief capacity last season, which would make it easier for a team to sign him as rotation depth, even if that team does not immediately have a rotation spot available. As he did with the Phillies, Turnbull could join a team with the expectation of pitching out of the bullpen, and eventually, a starting opportunity would almost certainly arise. That flexibility, in addition to the lack of rumors surrounding Turnbull and the relatively low salary he will command, makes it very difficult to narrow down the field of potential landing spots.

Back in November, Tim Dierkes predicted Turnbull would sign with the Padres, Anthony Franco the Rockies, Darragh McDonald the Blue Jays, and Steve Adams the Twins. San Diego and Colorado still seem like possibilities; the Padres are short on rotation depth even after signing Nick Pivetta and Kyle Hart this winter, while Austin Gomber’s shoulder soreness should have the Rockies looking to add another arm. Toronto, on the other hand, already has some good rotation depth in the form of Bowden Francis or Yariel RodrĂ­guez (whichever one does not make the Opening Day rotation). Meanwhile, Minnesota has former top prospects Zebby Matthews, David Festa, and Louis Varland waiting in the wings, as well as Rule 5 draft pick Eiberson Castellano. The Twins have spent more than expected on free agents this winter, and it’s hard to think they’d be willing to spend any more on an area that is already a strength.

As for other potential suitors, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch recently reported that the Cardinals are considering adding a free agent reliever. While Turnbull isn’t a reliever, strictly speaking, he would likely be an upgrade over an arm like Gordon Graceffo, Kyle Leahy, or Chris Roycroft in a long-relief role. He would also offer depth to a rotation that lost both Gibson and Lance Lynn to free agency. Turnbull could come in especially handy if the Cardinals find a trade partner for one of their more expensive starters, such as Sonny Gray or Miles Mikolas, during the season.

The Guardians, Astros, Angels, White Sox, and Athletics are some more teams that could theoretically make room in their rotations. The Guardians are hoping to get some rotation upgrades midseason when Shane Bieber and John Means return from Tommy John, but they could use some help earlier in the year. RosterResource currently has Triston McKenzie (5.11 ERA, 5.34 SIERA in 20 starts from 2023-24) penciled in as their number five starter. The Astros also have several starters on the IL, leaving Hayden Wesneski, who has only made 22 starts in his career, as their most likely number five starter on Opening Day.

The Angels, arguably, have a complete rotation right now, but that’s only if they trust Reid Detmers in a regular role. The once-promising southpaw spent a significant portion of the 2024 season at Triple-A and pitched to a 6.70 ERA in 17 MLB starts. Meanwhile, the White Sox’s rotation is full of question marks after de facto “ace” MartĂ­n PĂ©rez, but one might think they’d prefer to give as many opportunities as possible to the young arms within their organization. The Athletics are in a similar position.

One last team I would consider is the Mets. While they entered spring training with a surplus of starting pitching, their depth already looks thin after Frankie Montas and Sean Manaea both suffered injuries. Turnbull would likely be a depth upgrade over José Ureña, whom the Mets recently signed to a minor league deal.

So, where do MLBTR readers think Turnbull will ultimately wind up? Have your say in the poll below:

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MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls Spencer Turnbull

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Offseason In Review: Washington Nationals

By Anthony Franco | March 6, 2025 at 3:40pm CDT

The Nationals made a few acquisitions, most notably with a trade for their new first baseman. They eschewed any investments longer than two years. They're probably still a season away from pulling out of the rebuild. If they take a step forward from last season's 71 wins, they should be positioned for a much more aggressive winter going into 2026.

Major League Signings

  • RHP Trevor Williams: Two years, $14MM
  • RHP Michael Soroka: One year, $9MM
  • DH Josh Bell: One year, $6MM
  • RHP Kyle Finnegan: One year, $6MM ($4MM deferred)
  • LHP Shinnosuke Ogasawara: Two years, $3.5MM (plus $700K posting fee)
  • RHP Jorge LĂłpez: One year, $3MM
  • RHP Lucas Sims: One year, $3MM
  • 3B Amed Rosario: One year, $2MM
  • 3B Paul DeJong: One year, $1MM

2025 spending: $38.5MM ($4MM deferred)
Total spending: $47.5MM

Option Decisions

  • Declined $8MM mutual option on 1B Joey Gallo in favor of $2.5MM buyout

Trades and Claims

  • Selected RHP Evan Reifert from Rays in Rule 5 draft
  • Acquired 1B Nathaniel Lowe from Rangers for LHP Robert Garcia

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Franchy Cordero, Andrew Knizner, Konnor Pilkington, Colin Poche, Patrick Weigel

Extensions

  • None

Notable Losses

  • Patrick Corbin, Robert Garcia, Joey Gallo, Tanner Rainey (non-tendered), Joey Meneses (outrighted), Ildemaro Vargas (outrighted), Amos Willingham (via waivers), Michael Rucker (outrighted), Thaddeus Ward (via waivers), Joe La Sorsa (released)

The Nationals finished 71-91 last season, their second straight year landing 20 games under .500. Still, they feel closer to contention than they did 12 months ago. Top outfield prospects James Wood and Dylan Crews made it to the big leagues. The middle infield tandem of CJ Abrams and Luis García Jr. each took steps forward, even if Abrams' season ended with an unceremonious disciplinary demotion. Center fielder Jacob Young had a nice season headlined by Gold Glove-caliber defense. A controllable rotation group of MacKenzie Gore, Jake Irvin, Mitchell Parker and DJ Herz pitched reasonably well.

One can start to see the light at the end of the five-year rebuild. Yet the Nationals entered the offseason with a handful of huge holes. GM Mike Rizzo said in September that the front office was looking to add one or two middle-of-the-order bats. The Nats got very little from their corner infield or designated hitter positions, making those obvious target areas. They're still lacking a true top-of-the-rotation starter, nor did they have much in the way of middle relief depth.

They didn't fix all of it. There was never much hope of ownership allowing the front office to jump back in on Juan Soto. They seemingly didn't look at the top of the rotation market, uninterested in making a $200MM+ investment for Corbin Burnes or Max Fried. While they technically did add two middle-of-the-order hitters, they weren't on significant free agent splashes. The Nationals showed some interest in Christian Walker and made sense as an on-paper fit for Pete Alonso, but they ended up taking a volume approach to free agency.

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2024-25 Offseason In Review Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals Membership Washington Nationals

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Offseason In Review: Cleveland Guardians

By Steve Adams | March 5, 2025 at 11:59pm CDT

The Guardians kept their longtime ace but traded their everyday first baseman ahead of his final season of club control. Their offseason featured a blend of creative trades to trim payroll and acquire controllable talent, plus some short-term spending on veterans to replace some of the big leaguers they traded away. It was a vintage Cleveland offseason that should keep them in the mix in what'll be a tightly contested AL Central.

Major League Signings

  • Shane Bieber, RHP: Two years, $26MM (opt-out after 2025 season)
  • Carlos Santana, 1B: One year, $12MM
  • Paul Sewald, RHP: One year, $7MM (includes buyout on 2026 mutual option)
  • Jakob Junis, RHP: One year, $4.5MM
  • Austin Hedges, C: One year, $4MM
  • John Means, LHP: One year, $1MM (club has $6MM option for 2026, no buyout)

2025 spending: $37.5MM
Total spending: $54.5MM

Option Decisions

  • None

Trades and Waiver Claims

  • Acquired RHP Slade Cecconi and Competitive Balance Draft Pick (Round B) from D-backs in exchange for 1B Josh Naylor
  • Acquired 1B Spencer Horwitz and OF Nick Mitchell from Blue Jays in exchange for 2B Andres Gimenez and RHP Nick Sandlin
  • Acquired RHP Luis Ortiz, LHP Josh Hartle and LHP Michael Kennedy from Pirates in exchange for 1B Spencer Horwitz
  • Traded RHP Eli Morgan to Cubs in exchange for OF Alfonsin Rosario
  • Traded RHP Peter Strzelecki to Pirates in exchange for cash
  • Traded OF Myles Straw to Blue Jays in exchange for PTBNL

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Vince Velasquez, Kolby Allard, Parker Mushinski, George Valera (re-signed), Luis Frias, Riley Pint, Dom Nunez

Extensions

  • None

Notable Losses

  • Josh Naylor, Andres Gimenez, Matthew Boyd, Alex Cobb, Nick Sandlin, Eli Morgan, Myles Straw, Peter Strzelecki, James Karinchak (non-tendered), Pedro Avila (outrighted, elected free agency)

The Guardians entered the 2024-25 offseason looking to bolster a roster that made an unexpected run to the American League Championship Series. Cleveland faced decisions on some players with dwindling club control and, as is always the case, some notable payroll limitations. In a departure from most offseasons, however, the Guards found themselves in an unfamiliar position: needing to acquire starting pitching.

Cleveland has emerged as one of the industry leaders in maximizing its rotation output. At times, it feels as though they have an almost magical ability to produce quality starting pitchers out of thin air. In fact, when the Guardians signed righty Ben Lively to a one-year, $800K deal in the 2023-24 offseason, it was the first time they'd signed any free agent starter to a major league contract since inking Gavin Floyd back in 2014. Midway through the 2024 season, they did so again, signing Matthew Boyd to a major league contract.

Both moves worked out splendidly. Boyd started eight games down the stretch and produced a sub-3.00 ERA. Lively finished second on the club with 151 innings and notched a 3.81 ERA and stuck with the club as an arbitration-eligible player. He'll be back in the 2025 rotation. Boyd, however, hit free agency and did so alongside former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber and trade deadline acquisition Alex Cobb.

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Offseason In Review: Houston Astros

By Anthony Franco | March 4, 2025 at 11:59pm CDT

The Astros lost one star in free agency while trading away another. They're moving their longtime second baseman to left field. It'll be a different team, one they hope will remain a top AL contender in the short term while avoiding a true rebuild in the second half of this decade.

Major League Signings

  • 1B Christian Walker: Three years, $60MM
  • LF Ben Gamel: One year, $1.2MM (only $200K guaranteed)

2025 spending: $21.2MM
Total spending: $62.2MM

Option Decisions

  • None

Trades and Claims

  • Acquired LF Taylor Trammell from Yankees for cash
  • Traded RF Kyle Tucker to Cubs for 3B Isaac Paredes, RHP Hayden Wesneski and minor league 3B Cam Smith
  • Traded SS Grae Kessinger to Diamondbacks for minor league RHP Matthew Linskey
  • Traded RHP Ryan Pressly and cash ($5.5MM) to Cubs for minor league RHP Juan Bello

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Miguel Castro, Luis Guillorme, Joe Hudson, Steven Okert, Brendan Rodgers, Zack Short

Extensions

  • None

Notable Losses

  • Kyle Tucker, Alex Bregman, Justin Verlander, Yusei Kikuchi, Ryan Pressly, JosĂ© Urquidy (non-tendered), Caleb Ferguson, HĂ©ctor Neris, Jason Heyward, Kendall Graveman, Seth Martinez (via waivers), Penn Murfee (via waivers), Grae Kessinger, Trey Cabbage (via waivers)

The Astros are seeking their ninth consecutive playoff berth. Houston's incredible run of seven straight trips to the ALCS came to an end, but they still cruised to an AL West title after a ghastly start to the '24 campaign. The contention window certainly hasn't closed, but the front office had its work cut out for them this winter.

Alex Bregman's free agency was the most immediate challenge. Houston has spent up to and occasionally beyond the luxury tax line under owner Jim Crane. They're willing to spend, but that has come with the general caveat that they're not keen on offering long-term contracts. Houston had already allowed George Springer and Carlos Correa to walk in free agency. How much urgency would they show with Bregman?

The Astros made some effort to retain their longtime third baseman. They reportedly offered a six-year, $156MM proposal early in the winter. Bregman remained in pursuit of a contract closer to $200MM. While Houston left the offer on the table, the front office began turning its attention elsewhere when there was no progress towards a deal within the offseason's first six weeks.

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Poll: Where Will Kyle Gibson Sign?

By Nick Deeds | March 4, 2025 at 3:20pm CDT

Yesterday saw the top remaining pitcher on MLBTR’s Top 50 MLB Free Agents list for the winter, southpaw Jose Quintana, come off the board when he reached an agreement with the Brewers on a one-year deal. That makes veteran right-hander Kyle Gibson, the #41 player on this offseason’s list, the top player remaining. With players like Quintana and Andrew Heaney having recently come off the board, it would hardly be a surprise to see that recent run on the remaining starters continue now that the calendar has flipped to March and Opening Day is less than a month away.

Gibson, 37, is the sort of player who tends to go underappreciated by fans but many clubs value. The veteran has typically been a slightly below average pitcher throughout his lengthy career, with a 93 ERA+ across both his 12 seasons in the majors overall and also in the five years since he first departed the Twins in free agency during the 2019-20 offseason. Despite those unimpressive numbers, Gibson still provides value to clubs through volume. The right-hander has posted at least 147 1/3 innings of work in every full season of his career, with only his partial rookie season in 2013 and the 60-game 2020 campaign falling beneath that figure.

While relying on a 37-year-old veteran for volume may seem counterintuitive when it’s common for players to struggle with staying healthy and effective as they age, Gibson has actually proven to be more durable than ever in his mid-to-late 30s: Since the start of his age-33 season in 2021, the veteran has made at least 30 starts each year and qualified for the ERA title in every season. In all, Gibson has made 124 starts with 711 1/3 innings of work total over the past four years. That’s a level of volume that’s become increasingly rare in today’s game: Gibson’s innings total is good for eighth in baseball over that timeframe, while his 124 games started is tied for seventh in baseball with Charlie Morton and Logan Webb.

Veteran innings-eaters of this sort are far from the most coveted assets in the game and will rarely make a club’s playoff rotation, but they still have value to teams in a number of situations. Rebuilding clubs without solid starting depth can often benefit from the stability and leadership a veteran can provide to its arsenal of young arms, and that’s a role Gibson previously filled in Texas. Even teams with playoff aspirations that either have lackluster depth in their rotations or are relying on young arms can benefit from the certainty offered by a player like Gibson; the Cubs and Mets signed Colin Rea and Griffin Canning to major league deals this offseason for their ability to eat innings in a pinch despite the fact that they had two of the three worst seasons among all qualified starters last year according to FIP.

Gibson offers a higher floor than either of those pitchers, though perhaps without the theoretical upside of Canning and the swingman experience of Rea. That should still be enough for the right-hander to command a major league deal this winter, however, and a handful of teams have expressed interest in his services throughout the winter. There appeared to be some level of mutual interest in a reunion between Gibson and the incumbent Cardinals even after St. Louis declined their club option on the veteran at the outset of the offseason, but a winter where the club failed to move a substantial salary like Nolan Arenado has seemingly left the front office’s hands mostly tied.

Outside of St. Louis, the Athletics and Tigers both reportedly expressed interest in Gibson at varying points during the winter, but both clubs have subsequently brought other rotation veterans into the fold and are no longer clear suitors for starting pitching help. The Guardians, Astros, Padres, and White Sox are among the teams who could theoretically make room for Gibson in their rotation but have not been publicly connected to the right-hander this winter. Aside from those more speculative fits, it’s worth noting that an injury or two could suddenly make a rotation spot available and push a team towards signing Gibson. After all, Quintana signed with the Brewers in a similar situation as the club dealt with injuries to youngsters DL Hall and Aaron Ashby. Other clubs that have suffered rotation injuries this spring include the Red Sox, Mets, Yankees, and Cubs, though it’s unclear if any of those clubs would consider looking outside the organization to fill that void rather than relying on internal depth options.

Where do MLBTR readers think Gibson will ultimately land? Have your say in the poll below:

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Poll: Where Will David Robertson Sign?

By Nick Deeds | March 3, 2025 at 4:58pm CDT

With the calendar now flipped to March, the overwhelming majority of the league’s top free agents have already signed. There are still a handful of stragglers remaining on the market, however, and one of the most notable among those is veteran closer David Robertson.

With his 40th birthday just around the corner, Robertson is still searching for a landing spot ahead of what would be his 17th season in the majors. After a ten-year stretch as a quality late-inning arm for the Yankees and White Sox from 2009 to 2018 where he posted a 2.76 ERA (152 ERA+) with a nearly matching 2.77 FIP, Robertson faded from the spotlight for a few years due to injuries, leading him to pitch in just 19 games total between 2019 and 2021. While many veterans who miss the majority of three consecutive seasons due to injury in their mid-30s either retire or fail to re-establish themselves in the majors, Robertson picked right back up where he left off after signing with the Cubs in 2022.

Since then, Robertson’s played for five different teams across three seasons and found plenty of success. The righty has pitched to a 2.82 ERA (147 ERA+) with a 3.24 FIP in 201 innings of work with a 31.1% strikeout rate. With 40 saves in that time, Robertson is a capable ninth-inning pitcher who’s shown he’s also comfortable handling a setup role. That role flexibility is somewhat rare for elite veteran arms, and could make Robertson a viable option even for teams with a set closer in the ninth inning. Robertson’s overall profile would suggest that he’s likely to land a deal in line with other quality late-inning veterans like Kenley Jansen, Andrew Kittredge, and Jose Leclerc. With that being said, given the late point in the calendar and Robertson’s age, it wouldn’t necessarily be a shock if clubs had some concerns about his ability to get fully up to speed in time for Opening Day on March 27.

In terms of potential suitors, perhaps the most on-paper fit for Robertson’s services is the Diamondbacks. Arizona made no bones about their desire to add a late-inning arm with closing experience throughout the winter, but they’ve been unsuccessful in that pursuit to this point and instead have added middle relief veterans like Kendall Graveman and Shelby Miller as they look to add experienced arms to their relief corps. Robertson would be an immediate and substantial upgrade, but it’s difficult to see a financial fit between the sides given that Robertson is likely in line for a healthy one-year guarantee while the Diamondbacks are already at a franchise record level of spending after an offseason that saw them add star right-hander Corbin Burnes to the rotation. That could lead the club to focus instead on its internal options, a possibility MLBTR’s Steve Adams explored last week.

Plenty of other teams have been connected to Robertson throughout the winter aside from Arizona, though they all come with question marks of their own. The incumbent Rangers added plenty of talent to their bullpen this winter, but lack a proper closer after watching Robertson, Leclerc, and Kirby Yates all depart in free agency this winter. That’s enough to make Robertson a logical fit for the club on paper, but much like Arizona, the club appears to be at or near its budget capacity for the 2025 campaign, which would make adding Robertson to the fold a difficult task.

The Cubs and Tigers were both connected to Robertson at various points throughout the winter, and a return to Chicago in particularly was frequently bandied about in the rumor mill throughout the offseason. Those rumors persisted even after the Cubs added Ryan Pressly to handle the ninth inning, but their subsequent trade with the Dodgers to acquire Ryan Brasier may have put an end to their pursuit of Robertson. Meanwhile, the Tigers have not been connected to Robertson in earnest since signing right-hander Tommy Kahnle, although its worth noting that Kahnle has just eight career saves and that the Tigers were reported to be interested in specifically adding an arm with closing experience to their late-inning mix.

While those are the only teams that have been explicitly connected to Robertson this winter, there’s plenty of other potential suitors for his services. The Red Sox are known to have been in the market earlier this winter for a right-handed reliever who could join Liam Hendriks and Aroldis Chapman in their late-inning mix. The Cardinals are known to covet a veteran right-handed relief arm to replace Kittredge in their bullpen, and the Phillies lost both Jeff Hoffman and Carlos Estevez this winter while only adding Jordan Romano. If a rebuilding club like the Marlins or White Sox was willing to invest some money into the big league roster, either one could reunite with Robertson in the first half before shopping him at the trade deadline for future talent.

Where do MLBTR readers think Robertson will ultimately land? Have your say in the poll below:

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