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Astros Sign Robinson Chirinos

By Jeff Todd and Steve Adams | December 6, 2018 at 5:08pm CDT

Dec.6: The Astros have now formally announced the signing, which brings their 40-man roster count to a total of 38 players.

Dec. 5: The deal is for $5.75MM, Rosenthal tweets.

Dec. 4, 4:31pm: Chirinos himself confirms to Mark Berman of FOX 26 that he has agreed to a one-year deal with the Astros and will be in Houston tomorrow to take a physical (Twitter link).

3:02pm: The Astros are closing in on a contract with free agent backstop Robinson Chirinos, per Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic (Twitter link). A deal is “believed to be in place” and is pending a physical, he adds. Terms are not yet known. Chirinos is represented by MDR Sports Management.

Robinson Chirinos | Jennifer Buchanan-USA TODAY Sports

Chirinos will join Max Stassi atop the Astros’ depth chart behind the plate and bring an offensive-minded profile to the table. The 34-year-old somewhat surprisingly had a $4.5MM option declined by the Rangers despite hitting a combined .233/.337/.456 with 54 homers in 1178 plate appearances as a Ranger over the past four seasons. Chirinos’ production did dip substantially in 2018 from a career year in 2017, but he was still a roughly league-average bat per park-adjusted metrics like OPS+ (97) and wRC+ (103).

That said, Chirinos doesn’t come with a strong defensive reputation. He’s thrown out 25 percent of opposing base thieves in his career but saw that mark fall to just 10 percent last season, and while he grades out well in terms of blocking pitches in the dirt, Baseball Prospectus has routinely graded him as a below-average framer — never more so than in 2018.

With each of Brian McCann, Martin Maldonado and Evan Gattis hitting free agency, the Astros had a clear need to add some catching help to pair with Stassi, who has yet to fully establish himself as a big league regular. The 27-year-old Stassi (28 in March) batted .226/.316/.394 with eight homers and 13 doubles in 2018. He’s prevented stolen bases at a roughly league-average clip and graded out as a premium framer, but he’s also never topped the 250 plate appearances the Astros gave him last season. Adding Chirinos to the fold will give Houston at least one additional catching option with notable big league experience.

Of course, it’s not out of the questions that the ’Stros further add behind the plate. Houston has often carried three catching options in the past, with McCann, Gattis, Stassi and Maldonado all occupying space on the 40-man roster in various combinations at times.

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Houston Astros Newsstand Transactions Robinson Chirinos

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Red Sox Re-Sign Nathan Eovaldi

By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 4:22pm CDT

4:22pm: The deal has been formally announced. Per Jeff Passan of Yahoo Sports (via Twitter), Eovaldi’s guarantee will actually be an even $68MM over the four-year term.

“We’re very happy to have Nathan back with us,” president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski said in a press release. “He did a tremendous job for us last season, playing a significant role in helping us win the division and the World Series. His performance in the Postseason was outstanding, both as a starting pitcher and as a reliever.”

8:53am: The Red Sox have struck a deal to bring back righty Nathan Eovaldi, pending a physical, according to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic (via Twitter). The ACES client has secured a four-year, $67.5MM contract, according to MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand (via Twitter).

This was a match that MLBTR predicted in its listing of the top fifty MLB free agents. Frankly, that was one of the easier situations to predict, given Eovaldi’s stirring run for the World Series champs. MLBTR guessed Eovaldi would secure a $60MM guarantee over four years, a contract level that seemed quite ambitious at the time but has grown more and more plausible over the course of the winter.

Both the upside and the uncertainty that come with Eovaldi’s flamethrowing right arm are well-known. Having witnessed him up close for several months, concluding with a trial by fire on the game’s biggest stage, the Boston organization was well-placed to decide whether Eovaldi is worth the risk.

That’s not to say there weren’t other pursuers. Ultimately, the Astros, Phillies, Yankees, Brewers, Braves, Angels, White Sox, Blue Jays, Giants and Padres all reportedly had some level of involvement. That wide variety of suitors no doubt drove the bidding to heights that would have been all but unimaginable at the start of the 2018 season.

Once Patrick Corbin went off the board, the sprint for Eovaldi was on. Red Sox president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski, however, clearly had decided that Eovaldi was a top priority. With deep pockets and the allure of a repeat title run aiding his cause, Dombrowski was able to get his target after a final push last night.

If any team is situated to take another shot on Eovaldi, it’s certainly the Sox. He has twice undergone Tommy John surgery, needed another elbow procedure at the outset of the 2018 season, and only once has made over thirty starts in a MLB campaign. Eovaldi’s career ERA of 4.16, compiled over 850 total frames, speaks to his years of generally unfulfilled promise with the Dodgers, Marlins, and Yankees. Noted surgeon Dr. Christopher Ahmad provided an optimistic viewpoint on Eovaldi’s outlook, and fielding-independent pitching measures generally valued the righty above his results, but there’s no denying the risk that comes with this kind of background.

That said, the ceiling here is quite compelling. Eovaldi hasn’t even yet turned 29 and sustained an average heater of over 97 mph last year. While he was a bit homer-prone during his time to open the season with the Rays, which hurt his outcomes even as he otherwise showed compelling stuff, the seven-year MLB vet was excellent down the stretch in 2018. He ultimately tossed 54 regular season frames of 3.33 ERA ball with 8.0 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 for the Sox. Over the course of the full campaign, Eovaldi’s swinging-strike rate surged to a career-high 10.7% while he turned in a sturdy 45.6% groundball rate that sat just under his personal mean.

No doubt that late run boosted Eovaldi’s stock, but  it was his postseason showing that cemented his status as a top free agent arm. Eovaldi ended up turning in 22 1/3 frames over the team’s three series. He was excellent every time he took the ball, whether as a starter, late-inning reliever, or long man. Eovaldi ended up permitting just four earned runs on 15 hits and three walks while racking up 16 strikeouts.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Boston Red Sox Newsstand Transactions Nathan Eovaldi

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MLBTR Chat Transcript: Winter Meetings Preview

By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 2:04pm CDT

Click here to read a transcript of today’s chat with host Jeff Todd.

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MLBTR Chats

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Boras: Kyler Murray “Has Every Intention” Of Playing For A’s

By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 2:02pm CDT

Recent top Athletics draft pick Kyler Murray is most famous for his role as a standout quarterback at the University of Oklahoma, but he already inked a $4.66MM deal to join the Oakland organization over the summer. Some whispers have circulated that Murray could be enticed by the NFL draft, where he might also be a first-round talent, but agent Scott Boras largely shot down that idea in a chat today with Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle.

If Boras was not quite fully committing, he nevertheless did not leave much wiggle room for his client. “Kyler has every intention of fulfilling his agreement with the A’s,” said Boras, who adds that Murray “will be in Spring Training with the A’s” (as Fancred’s Jon Heyman indicated earlier this week, on Twitter).

That’s good news for the Oakland organization, which surprised many by taking Murray ninth overall. There is no questioning his immense athletic ability, of course, but the collegiate star is much more accomplished and polished on the gridiron — if only due to the fact that he has focused his attention to that higher-profile collegiate pursuit.

Notably, as Slusser explains, the A’s have a lot to lose if Murray changes his mind. While the club would get its money back, it wouldn’t receive a compensatory pick as occurs in situations where no agreement is consummated in the first place. As part of the initial deal with Murray, the Athletics organization agreed to allow him to finish out his career at OU.

Murray himself had raised a few eyebrows with recent comments in which he seemingly indicated there was still an opening for a football future. Certainly, his draft stock has risen after an immense season for the Sooners, though it still seems unlikely he’d be considered at the very top of the draft class due to his short stature. Regardless, Boras suggests that Murray’s words shouldn’t be parsed too closely. After all, he is being pressed with attention as he nears a potential Heisman Trophy.

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Oakland Athletics Kyler Murray

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Reds Reportedly “Pursuing” A.J. Pollock

By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 1:14pm CDT

As they continue to seek ways of boosting their roster for the 2019 campaign, the Reds are “pursuing” free agent center fielder A.J. Pollock, according to Jon Heyman of Fancred (via Twitter). That aligns well with another Thursday report from ESPN’s Buster Olney, who tweets that the Reds have been “active” in their search for outfield help over the past week. Additionally, Heyman notes, the Cincinnati org is still in on southpaw Dallas Keuchel, who’s arguably the top remaining free agent starter.

We recently noted the potential appeal of Pollock in breaking down the Reds’ offseason opportunities, though at the time it was pure speculation. Since that post went up, the Reds made clear they will indeed be pursuing some change in the outfield mix by non-tendering long-time center fielder Billy Hamilton. That move also saved the club a projected $5.9MM arbitration salary.

With Hamilton out of the picture, the Reds are left with a pair of left-handed hitters in Scott Schebler and Jesse Winker who feature as likely corner outfield pieces. The former is an option up the middle, though he has spent the bulk of his time as a professional in a corner spot.

There’s clearly a roster fit for Pollock, then, though it’s questionable whether the Reds will or should meet his rather lofty asking price. Of course, the club may simply have interest to a lower price point, though there should be some competition that’ll support Pollock’s earning power. The Mets are said to be in the mix, with other teams surely also involved. Entering the offseason, MLBTR predicted a four-year, $60MM deal for Pollock, who’ll also require draft compensation by virtue of having declined a qualifying offer.

If the Reds do go big on a single player, it’s certainly arguable it ought to be a pitcher. The rotation, after all, is still riddled with questions. The Reds’ interest in Keuchel was reported about a week ago. In the interim, two of the other best open-market arms — Patrick Corbin and Nathan Eovaldi — have reached deals, perhaps setting the stage for Keuchel and other pitchers to begin negotiating in earnest.

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Cincinnati Reds A.J. Pollock Dallas Keuchel

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Braves Hire Rick Kranitz As Pitching Coach

By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 12:22pm CDT

DECEMBER 6: The Atlanta organization has announced the hiring.

DECEMBER 4: The Braves appear to be closing in on an agreement that will make Rick Kranitz their new pitching coach, per David O’Brien of The Athletic (via Twitter). It’s not clear if and when an announcement will be made, but the report says it’s now “expected” that Kranitz will come aboard.

It came as a surprise when the veteran coach came free after just one season with the Phillies. The driving force was not any particular displeasure with his performance on the part of the Philadelphia organization. Rather, faced with interest from other organizations in assistant pitching coach Chris Young, the Phils decided to promote him to Kranitz’s position.

On the Braves’ side, the organization decided after the 2018 campaign to part ways with Chuck Hernandez. That left the team in need of a new leader in the pitching department, coinciding with Kranitz’s availability.

The Atlanta staff had some notable successes last year, but also some disappointments. Frankly, much the same could be said of the Phillies, so it’s tough assess this move from an outside perspective. Clearly, though, Kranitz enjoys plenty of respect within the industry. He previously served as pitching coach for the Marlins, Orioles, and Brewers.

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Atlanta Braves Rick Kranitz

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Indians Extend Carlos Carrasco

By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 12:15pm CDT

The Indians have struck an extension with veteran righty Carlos Carrasco, announcing the deal just after Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reported it (Twitter link). The ACES client will now be under contract in Cleveland through at least the 2022 campaign.

In addition to his already-exercised 2019 option, Carrasco’s 2020 option will be picked up in advance. He’ll also receive an additional $27MM in guarantees, per Ryan Lewis of the Akron Beacon Journal (Twitter link). That comes in the form of consecutive $12MM salaries for 2021 and 2022 along with a $3MM buyout on a 2023 vesting/club option that is valued at $14MM.

In total, then, the Indians owe Carrasco $44MM in salary for his next four seasons. That’s an incredible bargain for a pitcher who has unquestionably been one of the game’s best, even if he’ll likely move past his prime years during the duration of the agreement.

Of course, the Indians have already achieved enormous value through their original long-term deal with Carrasco, who has been a steady top-of-the-rotation pitcher since signing it. In 722 innings over the past four seasons, he has worked to a 3.40 ERA with a shiny combination of 10.3 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9.

Doubling down on Carrasco represents a notable decision for a club that is reputedly dangling some of its top starters in trade talks. He’ll now presumably stick around for the time being, leaving less certainty surrounding Corey Kluber and Trevor Bauer. Both figure to continue to draw plenty of attention on the trade market.

There’s obviously some risk for the Indians in today’s move, as Carrasco will turn 32 before the 2019 season. It would not have been surprising had the team preferred instead to allow him to finish out his remaining two seasons of club control before deciding whether to commit further. Of course, the contract could well deliver ample cost savings as against the veteran hurler’s on-field value. Carrasco’s velocity is down from his peak, but he also just finished a campaign in which he posted a career-best 15.3% swinging-strike rate.

On the player’s side, Carrasco has clearly continued to prioritize financial security over chasing open-market upside, as he did in his first deal. He was not operating from a position of strength in these talks given the preexisting contract structure, which he agreed to at a much less-certain stage of his career.

Extensions have represented a critical component of the Indians’ roster management strategy in recent years. The team has achieved incredible value in deals with Kluber and Jose Ramirez, though the contract with Jason Kipnis has not aged as well. Cleveland has also reportedly tried to entice star shortstop Francisco Lindor, to no avail.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Cleveland Guardians Newsstand Transactions Carlos Carrasco

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Hisashi Iwakuma Signs With Yomiuri Giants

By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 12:11pm CDT

Veteran hurler Hisashi Iwakuma will continue his playing career in Japan, with the Yomiuri Giants announcing that he has signed on with the club. Japan’s Kyodo News has the story on the deal.

Iwakuma had previously announced at the tail end of the 2018 campaign that he’d return to his native country to keep pitching. The 37-year-old had made one last effort to return to the majors last year, but ended up making only a pair of minor-league appearances with the Mariners — the only MLB organization with which he has pitched.

The Seattle organization got plenty of value from Iwakuma over the years, enjoying 883 2/3 total innings of 3.42 ERA ball spread over six seasons. He was a strong contributor over most of that span, though more recently shoulder problems arose that kept him off of the mound.

Iwakuma will return to a league in which he long thrived before coming to the majors. Over 11 campaigns with the Osaka Kintetsu Buffaloes and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles, Iwakuma worked to a 3.25 ERA with 6.9 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9. He wrapped up his first stint in Nippon Professional Baseball in 2011, launching his MLB career in the ensuing season.

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Transactions Hisashi Iwakuma

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MLBTR Poll: Early NL East Moves

By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 10:35am CDT

The National League East always seemed likely to be a place of great intrigue this winter and beyond, but things have been quite a bit more raucous than might have been anticipated. Four potential east coast powerhouses are presently engaged in an offseason arms race that could lead to a riveting regular season.

While there’s still a ton of time left to make acquisitions this winter, the Braves, Mets, Nationals, and Phillies have each already pulled off some notable strikes. (Marlins fans will have to be content with some minor-league signings.) We’ll round up the moves — for all the details, click the provided links — and then leave a question for MLBTR readers to answer.

  • Braves: signed Josh Donaldson (link); signed Brian McCann (link)
  • Mets: acquired Robinson Cano, Edwin Diaz (link)
  • Nationals: signed Patrick Corbin (link); acquired Yan Gomes (link); signed Kurt Suzuki (link); signed Trevor Rosenthal (link); acquired Kyle Barraclough (link)
  • Phillies: acquired Jean Segura, Juan Nicasio, James Pazos (link)

It certainly wouldn’t be fair to compare these decisions as if they represent the entirety of an offseason. After all, all of these clubs are clearly set up for additional acquisitions — which is a large part of what makes this so fun to witness. Instead, we’ll put it this way: which of these organizations has made the wisest early moves? (Link for app users.)

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MLBTR Polls

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Alex Anthopoulos Discusses Braves’ Remaining Offseason Plans

By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 8:22am CDT

Braves GM Alex Anthopoulos chatted with reporters yesterday about his plans for the rest of the offseason. David O’Brien of The Athletic covered the chatter (links to Twitter).

Perhaps most notably, Anthopoulos indicated that the club’s early signings of Josh Donaldson ($23MM) and Brian McCann ($2MM) absorbed a significant portion of the club’s spending capacity. “We spent a good chunk of our offseason dollars on Donaldson and McCann,” he said.

Anthopoulos did not suggest that the Braves are done giving out contracts, but did hint at the nature of the pursuit. “[W]e still have money to work with,” he said, “but we have to be a little more selective now because we made those moves.”

It certainly doesn’t sound from those words as if Anthopoulos is lining up to participate in any bidding wars. Of course, it’s tough to know exactly how to read these latest comments. They could be seen as an indication that the organization doesn’t plan to make any further free-agent splashes. But they also may simply be designed to keep expectations in line and avoid any perception in the market that the club is interested in wild spending.

MLBTR’s Rob Huff recently examined the Braves’ payroll in detail, concluding that the organization could have something in the range of $50MM to play with this winter. If that’s the case, Donaldson and McCann would represent half of the 2019 availability — while, notably, not adding a dime to future payrolls. It could also be that the organization doesn’t plan to spend as much as that estimate suggests.

It’s worth remembering, too, that the Braves have ample prospect capital to work with in trade talks. That avenue isn’t quite as readily available to their division rivals, who’ll likely be more reliant on adding salary (or otherwise parting with relatively fewer top pre-MLB assets) to make further improvements.

Regardless, value clearly remains a priority for the Braves. Addressing the corner outfield situation, for example, does not appear to be a matter of picking a target and trying to get a deal done. O’Brien tweets that the club sees all the top veterans as potential fits, with the organization preferring to make only a one or two-year commitment if it makes a signing.

Meanwhile, Anthopoulos indicates that the club is working through some scenarios involving starting pitching but has yet to engage the relief market. That doesn’t say much, to be sure, but it could be read to suggest that the Braves won’t push the bidding on free agent pen arms.

The team’s early additions still seem to represent only a piece of the final picture. Certainly, the motivation to continue seeking ways to improve ought to be provided by the ongoing aggression of their division rivals. For now, there doesn’t seem to be any front-burner action in Atlanta. Of course, that can always change quickly. More broadly, it would seem imprudent to rule the Braves out of major moves the rest of the way. It’s worth remembering, after all, that Anthopoulos long insisted publicly that the club was fully content at third base before he landed Donaldson.

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Atlanta Braves

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