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Three Starting Pitchers Looking To Bounce Back In 2026

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Many teams added to their rotations this offseason. Some opted to raise their ceiling by signing big-name free agents. The Blue Jays brought in Dylan Cease, the Red Sox signed Ranger Suarez, and the Tigers added Framber Valdez, to name a few. Others tried to maintain their floor by retaining existing starters and acquiring depth. The Padres fit the latter mold, as they brought in Griffin Canning, Germán Márquez, and Walker Buehler on low-cost deals this week.

While starting pitchers aren’t quite as volatile as relievers, injuries and underperformance still led many to post tough seasons in 2025. Tonight, we take a look at three bounce-back candidates: a top free agent, a veteran starter, and a minor-league signing.

Top Free Agent: Zac Gallen

Gallen has been a front-of-the-rotation arm at his best. From 2022-23, he posted a 3.04 ERA in 394 innings for the Diamondbacks. He struck out 26.4% of hitters in that span and ranked eighth among qualified starters with a 20.4% K-BB rate. His 9.3 fWAR ranked sixth ahead of Giants ace Logan Webb. Entering his age-28 season in 2024, there was reason to believe Gallen would continue to pitch at his prime level.

His numbers that year were still solid, if a step down from ace territory. Gallen missed a month with a right hamstring strain but still made 28 starts with a 3.65 ERA. He actually upped his groundball rate from 41.8% in 2023 to 46.2% in 2024. That said, his strikeout and walk rates both trended in the wrong direction, the latter now closer to average after two years of excellent control. Gallen slipped further in 2025. Though he stayed healthy and covered 192 innings in 33 starts, his ERA jumped to a career-high 4.83, his first below-average mark since 2021. The strikeouts slipped further to 21.5%, while his expected stats (4.28 xERA) suggest he was better than the surface numbers, but not by much.

Gallen entered the offseason as a buy-low candidate, as far as former aces go. We at MLBTR projected him for a four-year, $80MM contract even after his down year. In the end, his market didn’t develop as hoped. Gallen settled for a one-year, $22.025MM reunion with Arizona that nominally matched the value of the team’s qualifying offer in November.

Obviously, the team would love to see him return to his 2022-23 form. At the very least, Gallen figures to provide 30 starts of mid-rotation production, though he’ll undoubtedly aim for more in hopes of securing a multi-year contract next time around. The key for Gallen will be refining his breaking pitches, which graded out poorly in 2025 by Statcast’s run value metric. His curveball was worth 15 runs above average in 2024, but that fell to -4 this year, with opponents slugging over .200 more on the pitch. He’ll also look to bring up the strikeouts and keep the ball in the yard, having allowed the third-most home runs (31) of any qualified starter in 2025.

Veteran Starter: Sean Manaea

Manaea re-signed with the Mets on a three-year, $75MM deal during the 2024-25 offseason. At the time, he was coming off a strong 3.47 ERA in 181 2/3 innings in his return to full-time starting pitching (having mostly been a reliever for the Giants in 2023). With New York in 2024, Manaea struck hitters out at a 24.9% clip and did a decent job at keeping the ball in the yard compared to his career numbers. His .249 BABIP suggested he benefitted from good luck, but even so, he figured to provide solid, mid-rotation value on his new deal.

Unfortunately, his 2025 season was the exact opposite of his 2024. Manaea went down with a right oblique strain in March and missed the first three and a half months of the season. At one point, he experienced a setback when the team found loose bodies in his throwing elbow. Finally debuting on July 13, he made 15 appearances (12 starts) with a 5.64 ERA. Curiously, he posted that high ERA despite striking out a career-best 28.5% of hitters and walking a career-low 4.6%. Meanwhile, his expected stats (4.00 xERA and 3.30 xFIP) painted a much better picture than his surface-level numbers.

On the other hand, Manaea struggled badly with the long ball in 2025, allowing 13 in just 60 2/3 innings (1.93 HR/9). He also curiously ditched his sinker, which was worth 10 runs above average in 2024, to instead throw his four-seamer over 60% of the time. Opponents slugged .129 higher against the four-seamer compared to 2024, when he used it half as much. Manaea also upped his sweeper usage but saw diminished results, including a 9.6% drop in strikeout rate and a .148 increase in slugging.

Perhaps that was a mechanical problem. Manaea adopted a lower arm slot in 2024 and had a very productive second half. The combination of his oblique injury and further attempted mechanical adjustments may have contributed to his poor 2025 numbers, per Mets manager Carlos Mendoza (link via Alex Smith of SNY). The keys for him in 2026 will be regaining his pre-injury mechanics, differentiating the two fastballs like he did in 2024, and continuing to get chases on the sweeper.

Minor-League Signing: Walker Buehler

The current version of Buehler is far from the one who finished fourth in NL Cy Young voting in 2021. The now 31-year-old has pitched 266 1/3 innings since the end of that campaign. He missed all of 2023 while recovering from August 2022 Tommy John surgery. He returned for 16 starts in 2024, but the results were decidedly poor. Buehler struck out just 18.6% of hitters against an 8.1% walk rate and allowed nearly two home runs per nine innings. His once-vaunted four-seamer was now his least valuable pitch at 13 runs below average. Buehler pitched well in the postseason for the World Series-winning Dodgers, though. The Red Sox then took a chance on a one-year, $21.05MM deal.

Unfortunately, 2025 was not kind to him either. Buehler pitched 126 innings in 26 appearances (24 starts) with a 4.93 ERA. His velocity was down on every pitch except his slider. His strikeout rate fell to just 16.3%, while his 5.5% K-BB rate was fifth-worst among starters with at least 100 innings pitched. Boston released him at the end of August. Though he did alright in a small sample with the Phillies after that, it was clear that Buehler wouldn’t do nearly as well on the market this time around.

Now competing for a back-of-the-rotation spot in San Diego, Buehler will have to work hard to regain some value. He could start with adjusting his pitch mix. He has already steadily decreased his four-seam usage as it continues to lose velocity. Meanwhile, Buehler’s sinker was well-regarded by Statcast in 2025, grading out as 6 runs above average. Making the sinker his primary fastball might help him evolve into a soft-contact, groundball pitcher. His hard-hit percentage and average exit velocity were in the 70th percentile or better in 2025, so building on that might be his best path to prolonging his career.

Photo courtesy of Benny Sieu, Imagn Images

AL East Notes: Chisholm, Palacios, Kiner-Falefa, Bieber

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Yankees second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. is open to extension talks but still hasn’t been approached by the club in that department, he tells Chris Kirschner of The Athletic. Chisholm is entering his final year of club control before he’s slated for free agency.

It’s a similar situation to last year, when it seemed Chisholm was more open to talks than the club. Spring training is a common time for clubs to approach players about extensions, so it’s notable that there’s still no momentum in that department.

The Yankees don’t do many extensions in general and may prefer to wait things out in the middle infield. A year from now, it’s possible that prospect George Lombard Jr. has joined Anthony Volpe and José Caballero in the mix. If the Yanks can cover their middle infield spots internally, then they could focus next winter’s resources elsewhere. If not, they could pivot back to Chisholm as a free agent.

Some more camp notes from around the A.L. East…

  • The Rays are going to get Richie Palacios some third base reps this spring, reports Marc Topkin of The Tampa Bay Times. Palacios has mostly played second base and the outfield corners in his career. His third base experience consists of ten innings in 2024. Adding some more versatility could help him carve out a bench role, though he does have an option remaining. Junior Caminero will be Tampa’s regular at third but his defensive grades weren’t great, so it could make sense for him to occasionally serve as the designated hitter or be replaced by a better defender late in some games.
  • The Red Sox are going to have Isiah Kiner-Falefa play some first base in spring, reports Sean McAdam of MassLive. Kiner-Falefa has loads of experience at every position on the diamond except for first base. The Sox have Willson Contreras as their regular first baseman but the depth is banged up. Triston Casas ruptured his left patellar tendon last year and may not be reading for Opening Day. Romy González is also questionable for the opener due to a shoulder injury that recently required a platelet-rich plasma injection. Kiner-Falefa may not be needed there much due to the presence of Contreras but injuries can happen at any time and Kiner-Falefa also mentioned the possibility of pinch running for Contreras on occasion.
  • The Blue Jays may be getting Shane Bieber back sooner than expected, according to manager John Schneider (link via Keegan Matheson of MLB.com). Schneider said that Bieber is “feeling good” throwing from 120 feet and might throw off a mound within two weeks. Last week, it was reported that Bieber would begin the season on the injured list out of an abundance of caution due to forearm fatigue. This update may not change that timeline, but the team has enough rotation depth to take it slow with his ramp-up regardless. A healthy Bieber would slot in behind Dylan Cease, Trey Yesavage, and Kevin Gausman in the Jays’ rotation. For now, Cody Ponce and Jose Berrios round out the group.

Photo courtesy of Kim Klement Neitzel, Imagn Images

Which Team Will Sign Max Scherzer?

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When we last saw Max Scherzer, he was walking off the mound in Game 7 of the World Series. The future Hall of Famer had held the Dodgers to one run on four hits across 4 1/3 innings and left the game holding a 3-1 lead. It may not have been a vintage performance, but the three-time Cy Young winner did his job. The bullpen just didn’t hold the lead.

While Scherzer ended the year on a high note, his lone season in Toronto was a frustrating one. The nerve issue that has led to soreness in his thumb over the past few season returns early in 2025. He landed on the injured list after his first start and was sidelined into late June. Scherzer was healthy enough after that but didn’t have a great season. He only managed six quality starts among his 17 appearances. His 5.19 earned run average over 85 innings was the highest of his career.

Scherzer’s strikeout and walk rates remain solid. He punched out 23% of opponents while walking around 6% for the second consecutive season. Both marks are a little better than the respective league averages for a starter. The issue is the damage hitters have done when they make contact. Scherzer allowed more than two home runs per nine innings for the first time in his career. It was the fourth-highest homer rate in MLB among pitchers who threw 70+ innings.

As the stuff has backed up with age and the injuries, Scherzer had a tougher time getting opponents to go after pitches outside the strike zone. He had to challenge them in the heart of the plate more often to compensate, and he’s doing so without the overpowering arsenal he had in his prime. That’s going to lead to some home run trouble.

All that said, Scherzer still attacks the strike zone with a four-pitch mix. His four-seam fastball averaged 93.6 mph last season, well below peak but a tick above where it sat when he posted a 3.95 ERA over eight starts for the Rangers in 2024. He finished the year healthy, would bring a wealth of experience to younger members of a pitching staff, and has a 3.78 ERA over 33 career playoff appearances. There’s still a role for Scherzer in an MLB rotation somewhere.

The 41-year-old has already said he’s not retiring. He hasn’t fully committed to signing before Opening Day, however. In late January, Scherzer told Ken Rosenthal and Will Sammon of The Athletic that while he’s open to signing at any time, he was willing to wait into the regular season to sign with one of the teams he prefers. It seems safe to assume he’s going to pick a team he views as a legitimate World Series contender.

Where might Scherzer end up? A return to the Blue Jays could make sense with Shane Bieber opening the season on the injured list. Toronto still has a five-man rotation of Dylan Cease, Kevin Gausman, Trey Yesavage, José Berríos and Cody Ponce with Eric Lauer around in long relief. Adding to the rotation isn’t a necessity, but bringing Scherzer back would allow them to use a six-man rotation to monitor Yesavage’s workload in the early going.

The Braves entered the spring with lackluster rotation depth and have been hit with injuries to Spencer Schwellenbach and Hurston Waldrep since camp got underway. The Phillies will be without Zack Wheeler to begin the year and are likely counting on both Taijuan Walker and prospect Andrew Painter for season-opening roles.

The Twins are probably losing Pablo López for the season; are they competitive enough for Scherzer to consider signing there? Texas has Kumar Rocker and Jacob Latz competing for the fifth starter role, but Scherzer’s probably out of the price range. The Yankees are awaiting the returns of Carlos Rodón and Gerrit Cole. Projected fourth and fifth starters Ryan Weathers and Luis Gil have minor league options remaining and concerning injury histories.

Where do MLBTR readers expect Scherzer to land?

Where will Max Scherzer sign?

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Brewers, Pat Murphy Agree To New Contract

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6:50pm: Murphy’s deal comes with $8.95MM in new money, reports Jeff Passan of ESPN.

5:50pm: The Brewers and manager Pat Murphy have agreed to a new deal, reports Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic. It’s a three-year contract with a club option for 2029. Murphy was previously going into the final season of a three-year deal he signed ahead of the 2024 campaign. This deal reworks the final year of his previous pact, adds two more guaranteed seasons and the option.

It’s not at all surprising that the Brewers and Murphy have worked out a deal to keep their relationship going. Murphy took over two seasons ago after Craig Counsell surprisingly departed for the division-rival Cubs. The Brewers didn’t miss a beat, going 93-69 in 2024 and winning the National League Central division crown. Murphy won N.L. Manager of the Year honors in his first season at the helm. The club was eliminated in the Wild Card round but awards voting takes place before the playoffs.

It was more of the same last year. The Brewers increased their win total to 97, which was enough for them to repeat as division champs and was actually the best record in the majors. Murphy took home Manager of the Year honors yet again. The club advanced as far as the NLCS but were felled by the Dodgers.

As mentioned, Murphy had initially signed a three-year deal when taking over for Counsell and had already gone through two thirds of that pact. Teams generally don’t like their managers or executives to be serving in lame-duck status. Given Milwaukee’s success during Murphy’s tenure, it seemed highly likely that his contract status would change before the 2026 campaign kicked off.

While there is consistency in the manager’s seat, the roster has seen turnover. Most notably, Freddy Peralta and Tobias Myers were traded to the Mets for Jett Williams and Brandon Sproat. Another big deal saw Caleb Durbin shipped to the Red Sox as part of a trade including six players and a draft pick.

Murphy has had experience guiding the club through such changes. The Brewers traded Corbin Burnes to the Orioles ahead of Murphy’s first season. Ahead of the 2025 campaign, Willy Adames left for the Giants via free agency and Devin Williams was traded to the Yankees. Despite the notable departures, the club has continued to have success in the regular season.

Going into 2026, the club surely expects more success but the division will be tougher. The Cubs and Reds both snagged Wild Card spots last year and have made big moves to upgrade for 2026. The Cubs have added Alex Bregman and Edward Cabrera, among others. The Reds were able to add Eugenio Suárez. The Pirates have one of the best farm systems in baseball and have brought in Brandon Lowe, Ryan O’Hearn and Marcell Ozuna this winter.

Despite the stronger field, the Brewers will go into 2026 as one of the favorites for another strong performance. Murphy will look to get them back to the playoffs yet again and, ideally, take them farther into the postseason.

Photos courtesy of Kirby Lee, Mark Hoffman, Imagn Images

Mets Notes: Baty, Robert, Alvarez, Polanco

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The Mets provided reporters with a few updates on players in camp this week, with Anthony DiComo of MLB.com among those to pass them along. Perhaps most notably, Brett Baty had a minor hamstring issue a few weeks ago and will be on a slower progression.

It doesn’t appear there’s any concern with Baty missing the start of the season. There’s still over a month until Opening Day, so there’s lots of time for Baty to get enough reps before the start of the schedule. Baty had a bit of a breakout in 2025, hitting 18 home runs and slashing .254/.313/.435 for a 111 wRC+. He also seemed to establish himself as a viable defender at both third and second base.

Coming into 2026, he doesn’t have a clear position. The Mets acquired Marcus Semien to cover second and signed Bo Bichette to play third. Baty could roam around the field, playing different spots, perhaps even getting into the outfield with the departure of Brandon Nimmo.

For the early part of the season, there’s already a potential change in plans. Shortstop Francisco Lindor recently required hamate surgery. The Mets are hoping he can be back for Opening Day but it’s also possible he lands on the injured list. In that scenario, perhaps Bichette would spend some time at his previous shortstop position, which would open playing time at third for Baty. The Mets could also keep Bichette at third to get reps and put Ronny Mauricio at short. That would leave Baty potentially battling for right field time with Carson Benge, MJ Melendez, Mike Tauchman and others.

DiComo adds that outfielder Luis Robert Jr., Francisco Alvarez and Jorge Polanco will also be slow-played a bit in camp, not playing in the earlier spring games. In Robert’s case, the club wants him to focus on strengthening his lower half. Robert can be a borderline MVP candidate when healthy but injuries have often led to absences and slumps. Many of his injuries have been related to his hips or hamstrings. He has six big league seasons but has only once played more than 110 games.

The past two seasons have seen Robert post subpar offensive numbers around his injuries. Despite that, the Mets took on his $20MM salary, a notable sum for a club paying a 110% tax on payroll additions. They also gave up Luisangel Acuña and Truman Pauley to get him from the White Sox. With that notable investments, the Mets naturally want Robert to be as healthy as possible for the upcoming campaign. His deal has a $20MM club option for 2027 with a $2MM buyout.

As for Polanco and Alvarez, both have notable injury histories. Polanco has been battling knee issues in recent years. He was limited to 118 games in 2024 and had one of the worst offensive seasons of his career. He was back on the field in 2025 and bounced back offensively but was mostly limited to the designated hitter spot through the first half.

The Mets believed in that bounceback enough to give him a two-year, $40MM deal. They will naturally want to monitor his knee health but also may need to strike a balance as Polanco is expected to move to first base, a new position for him, while bouncing to other spots. He and the Mets will want him to get a decent amount of reps during exhibition play, so they will have to weigh that against the desire for load management.

Alvarez has dealt with a left thumb sprain, left hamate fracture and right thumb sprain over the past two years. Those ailments have limited him to 176 games over the past two years. Keeping him healthy for Opening Day is sensible but, as the starting catcher, he will also need to get in work with all the club’s pitchers.

Photo courtesy of Vincent Carchietta, Imagn Images

Under-The-Radar Trade Possibilities For The Astros

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The Astros have spent the entire offseason looking for a left-handed hitting outfielder. They swapped Jesús Sánchez for Joey Loperfido last week. That saves around $6MM in the difference between Sánchez's arbitration salary and Loperfido's league minimum sum but doesn't change their lineup balance. They added Cavan Biggio on a minor league deal and are reportedly looking at Michael Conforto, who could also settle for a non-roster invite after a rough year in Los Angeles. They're fine depth targets but not locks to even be on the MLB roster -- much less to be a meaningful upgrade.

Free agency only offers those types of reclamation targets at this point. Beyond Conforto, there are also Max Kepler (suspended for the first 80 games after a failed PED test), Jesse Winker and Alex Verdugo. If the Astros are going to make a significant move, it'll have to be via trade. Most of their trade pursuits have been tied to their willingness to field offers on Isaac Paredes given their infield logjam. That's one avenue but obviously not the only way they could trade for a lefty-hitting outfielder.

MLBTR readers are familiar with the top trade targets who fit the bill. Either Jarren Duran or Wilyer Abreu would be an ideal fit but seem likelier to remain in Boston. The Cardinals could deal Lars Nootbaar this spring but may prefer to hold him until the deadline, as they'd be selling a little low with their left fielder coming off a pair of heel surgeries. Last week's Caleb Durbin/Kyle Harrison swap is a reminder that teams explore various avenues that don't involve players who have been the subject of public trade speculation. It's safe to assume the Astros have had some of those conversations behind the scenes. Let's run through a handful of affordable left-handed bats whom they could look to pry from another club.

  • Daylen Lile, Nationals (pre-arbitration, controllable through 2031)

Lile made his MLB debut in late May and hit the ground running, at least offensively. He ran a .299/.347/.498 slash line with nine home runs through 351 plate appearances. Lile is an excellent pure hitter. He has advanced contact ability and has always hit a ton of line drives. Although he doesn't have huge power, he should have a strong offensive floor based on the batting average alone. He's a career .273 hitter in the minors and had the highest "expected" batting average in MLB last year (.302), per Statcast.

All that said, the 23-year-old looks more like a quality complementary player than a cornerstone of a rebuilding Nationals team. Lile was a mid-tier prospect during his climb through the farm system. Scouts have never doubted the hit tool but have questioned how much all-around impact he'll make. He has fringe-average power. Although he has plus straight line speed, his reads in the outfield are rough. Defensive Runs Saved had Lile a dismal 14 runs below average in just over 600 innings. He was 10 runs worse than average by Statcast.

Single-season defensive metrics can be fluky, but those grades match the eye test. Here are a handful of examples of Lile turning what should have been easy outs into hits, largely by playing very conservatively at the catch point. Maybe he'll improve with time, but he's not a good outfielder right now. The Astros haven't cared much about left field defense, playing Yordan Alvarez, late-career Michael Brantley, and Jose Altuve out there in recent years. The Nationals have a new front office that played no part in drafting or developing Lile. They'd presumably be open to conversations.

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Poll: Which Team Had The Best Offseason?

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The offseason has more or less come to a close at this point. While a handful of players remain available in free agency and there’s always a chance of a surprise trade or two throughout Spring Training, the vast majority of the heavy lifting has been done. As Spring Training begins, it’s worth checking in on what teams around the league did this winter to see which club had the strongest offseason. A look at a few of the candidates:

Baltimore Orioles

After a disastrous 2025 season that saw the club fall to the basement of the American League, the Orioles have been very busy in their efforts to turn things around. A rotation that struggled to stay above water last year saw the return of Zach Eflin as well as the additions of both Shane Baz and Chris Bassitt. Those additions may not have included the front-of-the-rotation ace the Orioles were widely expected to pursue, but the club was aggressive elsewhere on the roster. Ryan Helsley was brought in to close while Felix Bautista is injured, and the club swung a deal for Taylor Ward to help round out their outfield. By far the biggest addition of the winter, however, was slugger Pete Alonso, who signed a five-year, $155MM contract. Alonso adds a legitimate 40-homer threat to the middle of a lineup that struggled to generate much offense outside of Gunnar Henderson last year and was heavily slanted toward lefty hitters.

Chicago Cubs

It’s rare that a team would be in this conversation after losing the offseason’s top-ranked free agent, but there’s a lot to like about the 2026 Cubs even after bidding farewell to Kyle Tucker. Alex Bregman, signed to a five-year, $175MM deal, can’t be expected to be the same offensive force as peak-level Tucker, but he makes up for that by helping to complete what’s arguably become the best defensive infield in baseball alongside Dansby Swanson, Nico Hoerner, and Michael Busch. The move pushes Matt Shaw into a utility role, where he can serve as protection against injury for the club while also potentially sharing time with fellow youngster Moises Ballesteros at DH. The addition of Bregman was complemented by the decision to swing a trade for high-upside righty Edward Cabrera in the rotation. That likely pushes swingman Colin Rea back into a bullpen that’s been rebuilt with Phil Maton, Hunter Harvey, and Hoby Milner after losing Brad Keller, Andrew Kittredge, and Drew Pomeranz back in November.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers’ offseason hasn’t been an exceptionally busy one, but the few moves they wound up making could prove to be the most impactful of any team this winter. They kicked off their offseason by poaching star closer Edwin Diaz away from the Mets, but their biggest splash was the addition of Tucker to their outfield. Diaz and Tucker are both All-Stars with among the highest ceilings in the game at their respective positions. Adding both to an already star-studded roster, the Dodgers managed to address the 2025 team’s biggest weaknesses: a lackluster outfield and a leaky bullpen. They also extended Max Muncy on an affordable one-year deal and reunited with Kiké Hernandez and Evan Phillips. After back-to-back World Series championships, the Dodgers look even better headed into 2026 despite their relatively low volume of transactions.

New York Mets

While the Dodgers mostly kept their 2025 team intact for 2026 with just a few additions, the Mets went in the opposite direction with a complete roster overhaul. Out went Alonso, Diaz, Brandon Nimmo, and Jeff McNeil. Replacing them is a host of talent ranging from new staff ace Freddy Peralta to relievers Devin Williams and Luke Weaver on the pitching side, and a cluster of position players headlined by star infielder Bo Bichette. In addition to Bichette, who’ll move to third base alongside shortstop Francisco Lindor, the team brought in Marcus Semien to handle the keystone, Jorge Polanco to cover first base, and Luis Robert Jr. to work in center field. It’s a busy offseason that completely changed the look of the team that failed to make the playoffs last year, though it remains to be seen if this team will better support Lindor and Juan Soto in their pursuit of a World Series championship.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays finished just shy of a World Series championship last year, and this winter they acted like a team that wanted to leave no stone unturned in their efforts to close the gap. A new-look rotation added Dylan Cease at the front and Cody Ponce at the back. A lineup that lost Bichette in free agency looked to make up for it by bringing in Kazuma Okamoto and Jesus Sanchez. Meanwhile, the team’s shaky bullpen upgraded from hard-throwing righty Seranthony Dominguez by bringing in ever-reliable soft-tosser Tyler Rogers. Missing out on both Bichette and Tucker takes some of the punch out of Toronto’s offseason, but adding Cease to a rotation that already includes Kevin Gausman, Shane Bieber, and Trey Yesavage should make the Jays significantly more threatening than they already were last year.

Other Options

Plenty of teams had offseasons worthy of praise aside from the five listed above. The Tigers managed to snag arguably the top pitcher available in lefty Framber Valdez on a short-term deal while also reuniting with future Hall of Famer and Detroit legend Justin Verlander, though failing to upgrade the lineup is surely disappointing for fans hoping to see the team make the most of Tarik Skubal’s likely last year in town.

The Red Sox were very busy this winter as they brought in Sonny Gray, Johan Oviedo, Willson Contreras, and Caleb Durbin via the trade market while signing Ranger Suarez and Isiah Kiner-Falefa in free agency, but the team’s failure to reunite with Bregman casts a shadow over their busy winter.

The Astros got the rotation depth they coveted, signing NPB star Tatsuya Imai to a three-year deal with multiple opt-outs and acquiring righty Mike Burrows in a three-team trade that sent outfielder Jacob Melton to the Rays. They’re still too right-handed and have a glut of infielders that could still lead to one more big spring trade.

The Pirates were very active by their usual standards, overhauling the lineup to bring in Ryan O’Hearn, Marcell Ozuna, and Brandon Lowe among others. The Rangers came into the winter without much room to add but managed to come away with a solid bat (Nimmo) for the lineup and a big arm (MacKenzie Gore) for the rotation nonetheless. The Mariners kept Josh Naylor and added Brendan Donovan to the infield. The A’s added only complementary pieces (McNeil, Aaron Civale) in terms of external additions but deserve praise for their franchise-altering extensions of Tyler Soderstrom and Jacob Wilson.

On the flipside, the rebuilding Cardinals managed to shed significant portions of the Contreras, Gray and Nolan Arenado contracts and pulled in a nice return from the Mariners (and Rays) in the three-team Donovan trade.

What team do MLBTR’s readers think had the best offseason this winter? Have your say in the poll below:

Which team had the best offseason?

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Will The Angels Make A Late Offseason Splash?

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It’s been a relatively quiet offseason for the Angels and they are currently slated to open 2026 with a notably lower payroll than last year. What’s unclear is if they plan to use that difference to make a move before the season starts or if they’re simply cutting costs.

The Halos began the offseason with some initial savings. A number of players hit free agency, taking some money off the books. 2025 was the last year of Tyler Anderson’s three-year, $39MM deal, which paid him $13MM annually. Kenley Jansen’s $10MM one-year deal ran its course, among others.

Some of the savings were going to be undercut by an arbitration raise for Taylor Ward. He made $7.825MM in 2025 and was projected to almost double that, with MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projecting him for a jump to $13.7MM in 2026. The Halos quickly avoided that by flipping Ward to the Orioles in mid-November, just a couple of weeks into the offseason. In return, they received Grayson Rodriguez, a former top pitching prospect who has struggled to stay healthy. Since Rodriguez has not yet reached arbitration, they essentially wiped Ward’s entire projected salary from the 2026 payroll.

Not long after that, in late November, it was reported that the Angels were trying to work out some kind of financial arrangement with Anthony Rendon. The frequently-injured third baseman was set to be paid $38MM in 2026, the final year of his ill-fated seven-year, $245MM deal. It took a few months to get everything worked out but the two sides eventually agreed to pay the money over five years in even instalments. The Halos will pay Rendon $7.6MM this year instead of $38MM. That’ll cost them more in future seasons but free up more than $30MM for the short term.

That led to some optimism that the club was clearing the deck for something bold, but that hasn’t come to fruition. The Angels have given big league deals to six free agents, all one-year pacts, none of them worth more than $5MM. Brent Suter got $1.25MM, Jordan Romano and Alek Manoah $2MM each, Drew Pomeranz and Yoán Moncada $4MM apiece, and Kirby Yates $5MM. Put together, those six deals add up to $18.25MM.

Taking everything into consideration, where does that leave the Angels? RosterResource projects them for a payroll of $181MM, though that includes Rendon’s full $38MM salary. They opened last year at $204MM, per Cot’s Baseball Contracts. That means they could have more than $20MM of space relative to last year, before even factoring in the Rendon savings. They probably want to put some of the Rendon money aside for the deferred payouts but theoretically have some extra powder dry in the short term.

Perhaps the plan all along was to wait until late in the winter, as the free agents who linger unsigned the longest usually have to settle for below-market deals. The tide has indeed shifted in that direction recently. Since the start of February, the notable free agent deals have all come in under what MLBTR predicted at the beginning of the offseason.

Eugenio Suárez was projected for $63MM over three years but settled for $15MM on a one-year deal. Framber Valdez was projected for $150MM over three years but got $115MM over three. Zac Gallen was predicted for $80MM over four years but settled for one-year and $22.025MM, with notable deferrals. Chris Bassitt was projected for $38MM over two years but got a one-year deal worth $18.5MM. Nick Martinez was predicted for $25MM over two but got $13MM on a one-year deal with the Rays. Justin Verlander was always expected to get just one year because of his age, but his heavily-deferred $13MM deal with the Tigers was well below his $22MM projection.

There aren’t many free agents left at this stage of the calendar, but one area with a bit of meat left on the bone is starting pitching. Lucas Giolito, Zack Littell, Max Scherzer and others remain unsigned. Giolito was predicted for two years and $32MM at the start of the offseason but won’t get that now. Littell’s projection was a bit lower at $24MM over two years. Like Verlander, Scherzer’s age will cap him at one-year offers. MLBTR projected $15MM in the fall but that doesn’t seem possible now.

The Angels have added Rodriguez and Manoah to the rotation but there’s room for another arm. Yusei Kikuchi projects as the top guy on the chart. José Soriano will be in there. Soriano is coming off a healthy season but has a lengthy injury history. Rodriguez and Manoah have hardly pitched in the past two years. Reid Detmers is going to get a chance to return to the rotation but was pitching in relief in 2025. Everyone in that group apart from Kikuchi can be optioned to the minors.

Perhaps the Angels are looking to strike in that department, but it’s also possible they have simply been trimming payroll for its own sake. The Angels are one of nine teams who terminated deals with Main Street Sports as that company is apparently in poor shape financially. Early this month, six of those nine pivoted to having MLB handle their broadcasts in 2026. The Angels followed suit a week later.

As recently as 2023, the Angels were getting expected annual revenues of about $125MM from their regional sports network (RSN) deal. Main Street, previously known as Diamond Sports Group, was in bankruptcy proceedings and dropped the Angels going into 2025. The two sides worked out a new deal for last season but presumably with a lower fee payment. That was supposed to be a three-year deal but, as mentioned, the Angels and several other clubs cut ties with the company not too long ago.

Now that the Angels seem to be going the MLB route, that should be another hit. Travis Sawchik of MLB.com reported in January that teams who have lost their RSN deals are now getting about 50% of the revenues they used to receive on those pacts.

Perhaps owner Arte Moreno’s response to that declining revenue is a payroll decrease. That would be a frustrating situation for the club and its fans. The Angels are the club with the longest active playoff drought, with their last appearance coming back in 2014. They won 72 games last year, finishing ahead of just the Twins and White sox in the American League standings. They look like one of the weaker clubs going into 2026. FanGraphs’ Projected Standings have them second from the bottom in the A.L., ahead of just the Sox. The PECOTA Standings at Baseball Prospectus are even more pessimistic, putting the Halos behind Chicago.

Long-term help may not be on the way either. The club has a tendency to use top draft picks on college players and then rush them to the majors, which has contributed to a farm system that isn’t well regarded. Baseball America ranks their system 28th out of the 30 clubs in the majors. ESPN puts them 27th and The Athletic 29th.

Signing someone like Giolito or Littell wouldn’t solve everything that’s currently ailing the franchise, but it would raise the floor on a team that’s currently below sea level. At this part of the calendar, it’s that or nothing. Based on the way the offseason has gone, the smart money might be on nothing.

Photo courtesy of William Liang, Imagn Images

Steven Kwan To Get Center Field Reps In Spring Training

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Guardians manager Stephen Vogt told reporters today that Steven Kwan will get some center field reps during spring training as the club tries to find its best outfield alignment for the upcoming season. Zack Meisel of The Athletic was among those to pass the word along.

Kwan, 28, has logged 4,873 2/3 innings in the outfield in his career. The vast majority of those, 4,689 2/3 innings, have been spent in left field. His center field experience consists of just 31 frames. 30 of those were back in 2022, his debut season, with one frame at that spot last year.

His work in left has been superlative, with the numbers putting him head and shoulders above the rest of the league. Dating back to his 2022 debut, he has been credited with 68 Defensive Runs Saved and 25 Outs Above Average in left. The DRS tally is more than double anyone else at that spot, with Ian Happ coming in second on that leaderboard with a tally of 33. Even though he’s primarily a center fielder, Daulton Varsho is second on the OAA leaderboard for left fielders over the past four years, with his 11 coming nowhere near Kwan. In his four seasons, Kwan has four Gold Gloves and three Fielding Bible awards.

Despite his excellent work in left, the Guards haven’t tried him at the more-demanding center field position. Myles Straw, an excellent defender in his own right, was in center for most of 2022 and 2023. Straw’s poor offense spurred the Guards to move on eventually. He spent most of 2024 in the minors and was traded to the Blue Jays last winter.

The center field job in Cleveland has been fairly open the past two years but the Guards haven’t tried moving Kwan over. That could be because he was comfortable in left and no one was pushing him for the job. The Guards have barely spent any money on free agents in recent years and have also struggled with finishing the development on some of their outfield prospects.

That has left them to cycle through a hodgepodge of guys in center, including Ángel Martínez, Tyler Freeman, Lane Thomas, Daniel Schneemann, Nolan Jones and others. No one has really taken hold of the spot and the Guards are going into 2026 with some outfield uncertainty, a common position for them in recent years.

Kwan will be locked into a spot somewhere. The top options for the other two slots could be George Valera and Chase DeLauter, who both received promotions late in 2025. Valera appeared in 16 regular season games and three postseason contests, splitting his time between right field and designated hitter. DeLauter hasn’t even appeared in a regular season game, as he was promoted to make his big league debut in the Wild Card round of last year’s playoffs.

Valera doesn’t appear to be an option up the middle. He has some minor league experience there but his last regular action at that spot was in 2023. He only logged nine Triple-A innings in center in 2024 and was kept in the corners last year. DeLauter did play some center for the Guards in the postseason last year but that seemed to be a sort of emergency plan to get his bat into the lineup. He actually didn’t play any center in the minors last year. His most recent regular run there was 86 1/3 innings of Double-A ball in 2024.

The Guards seemed like a good fit for a center field addition this winter but didn’t land one. They’ve had an extremely quiet winter, with their most notable signing being a $5.5MM deal for reliever Shawn Armstrong, followed by $1.5MM for reliever Colin Holderman. That lack of spending comes in spite of José Ramírez deferring some of his guarantee as part of his new extension. The Guards are also unlikely to pay Emmanuel Clase due to his gambling investigation.

With the lack of offseason activity, the Guards go into the season with Kwan, Valera and DeLauter as their three most exciting outfielders but someone will have to play center. The designated hitter spot could be used for extra flexibility but first basemen Kyle Manzardo and C.J. Kayfus could be sharing that spot.

If Kwan can handle center, it could help the Guards add some thump to a lineup that has been lacking in recent years. They won the American League Central last year mostly due to pitching and defense, as the team as a whole hit .226/.296/.373 for an 87 wRC+, better than just the Pirates and Rockies. Kwan has a .281/.351/.390 line and 112 wRC+ in his career. Valera hit .255/.346/.457 for a 114 wRC+ in Triple-A last year while DeLauter slashed .278/.383/.476 at that level for a 130 wRC+.

It’s also possible that Kwan doesn’t take to center and ends up back in left where he’s comfortable. The Guards could try DeLauter or Valera there but, as mentioned, neither has played a lot of center in recent years. If all three end up as corner guys, that would leave center to guys like Martínez and Schneemann while DeLauter and/or Valera could be battling Kayfus for at-bats in the DH slot. Martínez has a .226/.277/.353 line and 77 wRC+ in his career with Schneemann at .210/.290/.358 and an 84 wRC+.

Guys like Kahlil Watson and Petey Halpin could also get some playing time but are probably behind Valera and DeLauter on the depth chart. Watson is a converted infielder who has only been playing the outfield for a couple of years, though he is considered to be making good progress on the grass. Halpin’s offensive prowess is considered a bit behind the rest of the guys in this group.

Photo courtesy of Ken Blaze, Imagn Images

Rays’ Edwin Uceta Headed For Testing On Shoulder

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Rays right-hander Edwin Uceta is headed for testing after experiencing shoulder discomfort early in camp, reports Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times. Uceta had been planning to pitch for his native Dominican Republic in the World Baseball Classic, but those plans were nixed earlier in camp due to what manager Kevin Cash described as a “cranky” right shoulder. He’s been resting that shoulder and attempted to play catch today but “didn’t feel great” when he did so, per Cash.

Uceta, 28, pitched for four different organizations (Dodgers, D-backs, Mets, Cubs) before landing with the Rays on a minor league deal in the 2023-24 offseason. He’d posted a 5.80 earned run average in 40 1/3 big league innings prior to his time in Tampa Bay, but the Rays’ vaunted pitch lab immediately unlocked something in the hard-throwing righty.

In 2024, Uceta erupted with a 1.51 ERA across 41 2/3 innings, fanning a mammoth 35.8% of the batters he faced against a minuscule 5% walk rate. His 2025 follow-up wasn’t quite as dominant but still resulted in a team-leading 76 relief innings and a 3.79 earned run average. He didn’t quite replicate his sensational rate stats from the ’24 season, but his 32.1% strikeout rate was still excellent and his 8.4% walk rate was about average.

Overall, Uceta has a 2.98 ERA with terrific strikeout and walk rates in 113 2/3 innings with the Rays. His breakout has quickly thrust him into a high-leverage role. He’s saved six games and picked up 28 holds in his two years as a Ray.

With longtime closer Pete Fairbanks out the door, Uceta was among the favorites to take over ninth-inning duties for Cash. If this shoulder injury proves to be relatively minor, that could still be the case. For now, his spring ramp-up is on hold while the team awaits medical evaluation.

There are other potential implications for the Rays. They’ve been receiving recent interest in left-hander Garrett Cleavinger, who has also emerged as a quality late-inning option after being plucked from relative obscurity. However, if the Rays fear a prolonged absence for Uceta, that might make them more wary about parting with Cleavinger in any trade.

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