Steve Adams
- Good morning — and happy offseason! Apologies for the lack of chat last week. We had a pretty big push to get the Top 50 out, finish the Offseason Outlook series, etc. We’ll get back into a rhythm with regular chats on Tuesdays again. We’ll get going at 1pm CT, but feel free to ask a question ahead of time if you prefer.
- Good afternoon! Let’s get underway
- We published our collaborative Top 50 Free Agents and Contract Predictions last week:
https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/2025-26-top-50-mlb-free-agents-…I may differ slightly from contract to contract, but in general, most of the numbers on there are pretty closely in line with my expectations (or at the very least seem pretty plausible to me) - Quick note since many of the early questions are asking for contract predictions on prominent free agents
Hunt for Reds October
- Given the payroll is the same, how can the Reds claim they will compete in 2026? Isn’t it more of the same dumpster diving and wishing something good happens?
Steve Adams
- They nabbed a Wild Card spot in 2025 and did so in a season where they went through notable stretches without Hunter Greene, Tyler Stephenson, Noelvi Marte and others — plus they got nothing out of Matt McLain.They have a handful of notable free agents in Nick Martinez, Emilio Pagan, Zack Littell and Miguel Andujar, but I think most of that group is composed of regression candidates anyhow
- All of which is to say, I don’t think they need to send payroll soaring to compete. Obviously it’d be nice if the Castellinis gave Krall & Co. an extra $20MM or so on top of last year’s budget, but they’ve got some wiggle room right now as it is, especially if they trade Brady Singer
Jays Fan
- Will the Blue Jays pursue Kyle Tucker? I’d like to see them re-sign Bichette AND bring in Tucker.
Steve Adams
- They’ll pursue him. I wouldn’t get your hopes up for a Tucker+Bichette combo, but it’s at least slightly plausible, which is more than can be said for most clubs
Jose G
- What reliever are the Dodgers going got sign?
Steve Adams
- This is a boring answer, but the Dodgers don’t even know the answer to that question yet.I expect they’ll be in on Edwin Diaz, Devin Williams and other prominent bullpen arms though.
Stevey Steve
- Steve why did Baldwin beat out Cade Horton for NL ROY? To me that is a joke. He was unbelievable in the 2nd half. His ERA over his last 14 starts was 1- something. Come on, what are we doing here?
Steve Adams
- Horton would’ve been perfectly deserving, but focusing only on his final 12 starts also ignores a good-not-great 10 starts to begin his career.Drake Baldwin was in the majors all year (Horton wasn’t) and was 25% better than average at the plate as a catcher — a position where the standard player is about 10% worse than average.
I wouldn’t begrudge anyone preferring Horton over Baldwin, but there wasn’t a cavernous gulf between them at all.
I’d also have voted for Baldwin, in full transparency. Sorry! (If Horton had been up on Opening Day and pitched like that in the majors all season, it’d be another story)





