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Which Arms Could The Pirates *Actually* Trade This Summer?

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This week's report that there's "no chance" the Pirates trade ace Paul Skenes, just one and a half seasons into his six-year window of club control, stood out as fairly obvious for most onlookers. That anyone felt it needed to be said at all was more a reflection on the organization as a whole than Skenes himself.

Pittsburgh has taken a step back this season, sitting on pace to win 56 games after winning 76 games in both 2023 and 2024. A rebuild that has seen the Bucs pick ninth or better in five consecutive drafts, including No. 1 overall in 2021 and 2023, has not only failed to produce a contender -- it's failed to even produce a farm system that ranks in the top third of MLB. The team at Baseball America ranked the Pirates with MLB's 16th-best system prior to this season. Keith Law of The Athletic did the same. MLB.com's trio of Jim Callis, Jonathan Mayo and Sam Dykstra ranked the Bucs 14th. ESPN's Kiley McDaniel was more bearish, ranking them 20th.

The Pirates already fired manager Derek Shelton. General manager Ben Cherington can't feel as secure as he did a few seasons ago. Owner Bob Nutting bears the brunt of the blame; his refusal to invest in the roster leaves the front office and coaching staff zero margin for error. Nutting's overwhelmingly frugal nature also leaves veritably no chance that Skenes will be signed long-term.

Just because a trade at some point down the road feels inevitable, however, does not mean it'll happen this year. That's never seemed likely, and while the "no way, no chance, no how" quote was from a Pirates executive who preferred to remain anonymous rather than place their name on those words, GM Ben Cherington soon offered a similar sentiment on the record.

The Pirates, for all their warts, are still a pitching-rich organization. The name at the very top of the pyramid may not be on the move, but the Pirates will have no shortage of pitchers who are legitimately available this summer. There's always a broad range of "availability." Pure veteran rentals will probably be aggressively shopped. Pitchers signed/controlled through 2026 will presumably be available but with a higher price tag. And there will be some arms with even more club control on whom the Bucs will listen but not outright dangle to contenders seeking to bolster their own staffs.

Let's run through some of the likely available inventory.

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Pirates Win Arbitration Hearing Over Dennis Santana

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The Pirates won their arbitration hearing with Dennis Santana, MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand reports.  Santana will earn $1.4MM in 2025, rather than the $2.1MM he was seeking from the arbitration panel.  MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projected Santana to earn a $1.8MM salary via arbitration this winter.

Santana posted a 5.17 ERA in 149 2/3 innings across his first six Major League seasons, and then started off his seventh season with a 6.26 ERA in 27 1/3 frames with the Yankees.  This uninspiring performance led New York to designate Santana for assignment in June, and a subsequent waiver claim from the Pirates opened the door to the best stretch of Santana’s career.

The right-hander suddenly blossomed to a 2.44 ERA over 44 1/3 innings out of the Pittsburgh bullpen, along with a vastly improved strikeout rate (29.1% from 16.5%) from his time in the Bronx.  Santana also reduced his walk rate, and he received a bit more good fortune in the form of a 72.8% strand rate and .264 BABIP — comparatively, Santana had a very low 54% strand rate as a Yankee, and a .301 BABIP.  The decision to cut back on the use of his sinker (previously a primary pitch for Santana) after coming to Pittsburgh unlocked a new level of performance for Santana, and he also credited Aroldis Chapman’s mentorship as a key factor in his success with the Bucs.

Time will tell if Santana can keep his performance up, as he’ll now enter 2025 with much higher expectations as a high-leverage setup arm in Pittsburgh’s bullpen.  While the 28-year-old was hoping to fully cash in by landing a bigger salary in his second trip through the arbitration process, earning $1.4MM is still a great result considering the career crossroads Santana appeared to be at back in June.  From the Pirates’ perspective, Santana’s breakout is found money for the team, plus they have him under arbitration control through the 2026 season as well.

With the Santana case now finalized, the Pirates improve to 2-0 in hearings this offseason.  The team also came out ahead in its hearing with Johan Oviedo, with Oviedo landing $850K instead of his desired $1.15MM salary.

Pirates Claim Dennis Santana, Designate Jose Hernandez

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The Pirates announced they’ve claimed reliever Dennis Santana off waivers from the Yankees. Pittsburgh designated Jose Hernandez for assignment to open a 40-man roster spot. The Bucs also recalled Ryder Ryan from Triple-A Indianapolis to take the bullpen spot opened by yesterday’s designation of Ben Heller.

Santana, 28, signed a minor league deal with New York over the offseason. He cracked the Yankee roster within the first week of the season. Santana tossed 27 1/3 innings, typically in middle relief, in the Bronx. While he had a decent run through the season’s first month, he’s run into harder times since the calendar flipped to May. Santana allowed 6.26 earned runs per nine while striking out a personal-low 16.5% of batters faced altogether.

The right-hander has posted an ERA above 5.00 in three consecutive seasons. Santana has nevertheless caught the attention of various teams as a middle innings target. Pittsburgh will be his fifth team dating back to 2021. Santana throws relatively hard, sitting in the 95-96 MPH range with his sinker and four-seam fastball. Until this season, that had generally translated into average swing-and-miss rates against MLB hitters.

Santana has exhausted his minor league options. He’ll step directly into Pittsburgh’s bullpen once he reports to the team. The Pirates need to keep him in the majors or again send him into DFA limbo. Santana surpassed the four-year service threshold this season and would be eligible for arbitration for two more years if he pitches well enough to hold the roster spot.

Hernandez, a 6’3″ southpaw, was the third pick in the 2022 Rule 5 draft. The Bucs stashed him in low-leverage relief last season to gain his long-term contractual rights from the Dodgers. While Hernandez struggled to a 4.97 ERA across 50 2/3 innings, his 27.8% strikeout percentage was reason for optimism that he could be a long-term bullpen piece.

The 26-year-old has had a tough follow-up season, most of which has been spent in Indianapolis. Hernandez has allowed 12 runs over 15 1/3 Triple-A frames. He has fanned 21 of 75 batters faced (a solid 28% clip) but walked nine. Hernandez has been limited to 5 1/3 frames of two-run ball at the MLB level this season. His 81.6 MPH average slider velocity and 93.1 MPH fastball speed are each down more than a mile per hour relative to last year.

Pittsburgh will trade Hernandez or put him on waivers within the next few days. He’s in his first of three option years and has a solid track record of missing bats in the minors, so it wouldn’t be surprising if another team takes a low-cost flier.

Yankees Designate Dennis Santana For Assignment

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The Yankees announced this afternoon that they’ve designated right-hander Dennis Santana for assignment. Right-hander Ron Marinaccio was recalled to the majors in a corresponding move.

Santana, 28, signed with the Yankees on a minor league deal over the offseason and quickly broke onto the club’s roster when right-hander Jonathan Loasigia suffered a flexor strain that sent him to the 60-day IL just days into the regular season. The right-hander generally pitched well into early May, with a 3.24 ERA and an even stronger 2.78 FIP despite a lackluster 18.6% strikeout rate. Unfortunately, the wheels came off for Santana from there. Over his last nine outings, the right-hander has been torched to the tune of a 10.97 ERA with a 5.67 FIP. He’s struck out 14% of batters faced, walked 8%, and hit a batter in his last 10 2/3 innings of work.

That brutal stretch ballooned Santana’s ERA to 6.26 on the season, and that left the Yankees to pull the plug on his time in their bullpen. Now, the club will have seven days to either trade Santana or attempt to pass him through waivers, although he’s been outrighted previously in his career and would have the right to reject an outright assignment in favor of free agency even if he were to clear waivers.

What stands out about Santana’s time in the Bronx is how different his peripherals have looked compared to his previous struggles at the big league level. Ever since the right-hander made his big league debut with the Dodgers back in 2018, Santana has struggled with his control despite generally solid strikeout numbers. From 2020 to 2023, Santana pitched to a 4.91 ERA and 4.20 FIP that aren’t entirely dissimilar to the results he got with the Yankees this year, but his strikeout rate of 21.1% and walk rate of 12% were both much higher than the 16.5% and 8.7% figures he posted in the Bronx. If Santana is able to find a way to recoup those lost strikeouts while maintaining his more manageable walk rate from this season, it’s conceivable the 28-year-old could become a valuable relief arm for an interested club.

In the meantime, the Yankees will replace Santana with Marinaccio in their bullpen mix. The righty, 29 on July 1, has enjoyed strong results since he made his big league debut with the club back in 2022. In 104 innings of work, he’s posted a 2.86 ERA despite a more pedestrian FIP of 3.98. That elevated FIP stems from command issues; Marinaccio has struck out an excellent 28.2% of the batters he’s faced in his career, but his 10.9% walk rate in 12 2/3 innings of work this year is currently the lowest of his career. In spite of those shaky peripherals, it’s nonetheless an impressive body of work for the righty, who came from humble beginnings as a 19th-round pick in the 2017 draft. Marinaccio figures to resume his role in the middle of the Yankees bullpen going forward alongside Victor Gonzalez and Michael Tonkin.

Yankees Place Jonathan Loaisiga On 60-Day IL, Select Dennis Santana

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8:57am: Loaisiga first felt discomfort in his elbow near the end of his most recent outing on Wednesday, manager Aaron Boone explained to the Yankees beat this morning (X link via Greg Joyce of the New York Post). He called the injury “concerning,” noting that an MRI conducted last night revealed a “significant” strain. Loaisiga and the team are gathering more information on the injury and will determine next steps for the right-hander once they’ve received additional opinions.

7:35am: The Yankees have placed right-handed reliever Jonathan Loaisiga on the 60-day injured list with a right flexor strain, the team announced. In a corresponding move, the team has selected the contract of right-hander Dennis Santana. He’s joining the big league bullpen.

Loaisiga, 29, has all the makings of a high-end leverage reliever but hasn’t been able to stay healthy enough to establish himself in that role. He showed just how dominant he could be back in 2021 when he pitched 70 2/3 innings of 2.17 ERA ball with an above-average 24.4% strikeout rate, a very strong 5.4% walk rate and a sensational 60.6% ground-ball rate. The Nicaraguan-born righty averaged a blazing 98.4 mph on his sinker that season, notched an excellent 13.7% swinging-strike rate and posted a mammoth 41.1% opponents’ chase rate on pitches off the plate.

Unfortunately for both the Yankees and for Loaisiga, that’s the only season in which he’s ever thrown even 50 big league innings. Loaisiga has only reached even 20 appearances in two seasons. Since committing to a bullpen role in 2020, he’s delivered 163 1/3 innings with a 2.98 ERA (3.34 FIP, 3.42 SIERA), 20.3% strikeout rate, 6.5% walk rate and 58% grounder rate. There’s little doubting the raw talent is there to make him a star bullpen arm, but he’s missed time due to a shoulder strain, subsequent shoulder inflammation, elbow inflammation (twice) and now a flexor strain that’ll sideline him into at least the early summer months.

If Loaisiga’s absence extends further than that 60-day minimum, it’s feasible this could spell the end of his time in the Bronx entirely. The right-hander has five-plus years of major league service time and is slated to become a free agent at season’s end.

Santana, 27, signed a minor league pact with the Yankees back in early December. Like Loaisiga, he features a power sinker and strong ground-ball rates when at his best, but he hasn’t found nearly the same success and consistency that Loaisiga has when healthy.

Once one of the Dodgers’ top-ranked pitching prospects, Santana has bounced to the Rangers, Mets and now Yankees since leaving Los Angeles. He’s pitched just 149 2/3 innings in the big leagues and has a pedestrian 5.17 ERA to show for it (though a 4.26 FIP and 4.47 SIERA are a bit more favorable). Santana has averaged just under 96 mph on his sinker in his career and has kept the ball on the ground at a nearly 50% clip since adopting that as his primary offering. But he’s walked more than 12% of his big league opponents and struggled with men on base, resulting in a well below-average strand rate that’s helped to inflate his ERA.

Santana has regularly missed bats at a high level in the upper minors, and his power sinker fits a mold that the Yankees tend to prefer out of their late-inning relievers. He’ll need to improve his command, but Santana wouldn’t be the first relatively obscure arm to break out with the Yankees if he can get himself on track in the Bronx. He’s out of minor league options, however, so it could be a short stint on the 40-man roster if the Yankees feel they need to open another spot in the near future. If he gets a decent leash and can find some success, he’s controllable through the 2026 season via arbitration.

Yankees, Dennis Santana Agree To Minor League Deal

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The Yankees have agreed to a minor league contract with free agent right-hander Dennis Santana, reports Jessica Kleinschmidt. He’ll head to major league camp during spring training and compete for a bullpen job.

While it’s not the news Yankees fans are anxiously awaiting, Santana will add some depth with big league experience to the Yankees’ system. He spent the 2023 season with the Mets organization, where he tallied 10 2/3 innings at the MLB level and yielded seven runs in that time. The hard-throwing Santana has at times shown potential to be a steady big league reliever, but he’s yet to find much consistency at the MLB level.

Santana once ranked as one of the top pitching prospects in a deep Dodgers system, but his stock has fallen since injuries — most notably a torn rotator cuff in 2018 — slowed his development and eventually pushed him to a bullpen role. He’s spent time with the Dodgers, Rangers and Mets over the past three seasons, in addition to offseason waiver stops in Atlanta and Minnesota.

Overall, Santana carries a career 5.17 ERA in 149 2/3 MLB frames. He averaged 95.9 mph on his fastball last year and is at 96.2 mph for his career. Santana has whiffed 21.2% of his big league opponents and produced grounders at a solid 44.9% clip, but he’s also walked 12% of the batters he’s faced.

Dennis Santana Elects Free Agency

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Reliever Dennis Santana has elected minor league free agency, the Mets informed reporters (including Tim Britton of the Athletic). New York had designated the righty for assignment over the weekend and he has evidently gone unclaimed on waivers.

Santana has been with the Mets since they grabbed him off waivers in mid-March. They’ve designated him for assignment on three separate occasions, running him through waivers each time. The 27-year-old accepted his first two outright stints but decided to seek out other opportunities this time around.

This is Santana’s sixth season logging some major league action. He pitched in nine games for the Mets, allowing seven runs in 10 1/3 innings. He fanned 12 but issued seven walks in that limited look. Santana showed a similar profile over 33 frames with Triple-A Syracuse. He pitched to a 4.91 ERA with a solid 27% strikeout percentage and a lofty 13.2% walk rate.

Consistently throwing strikes has been Santana’s biggest concern throughout his career. In 149 2/3 MLB innings, he’s walked 12% of batters faced. He throws in the mid-90s and has gotten swinging strikes on a decent 11.5% of his offerings but has dished out a few too many free passes, leading to a career 5.17 ERA.

Santana is playing this season on a $1MM arbitration salary. That makes it a bit surprising he declined the outright assignment. As a player with less than five years of major league service, Santana forfeits the roughly $220K in guaranteed salary he was due through season’s end in order to test the market. Perhaps he’ll look for a landing spot with a club in playoff contention over the next 10 days. If Santana signs elsewhere by end of day on August 31 — even on a minor league pact — he’d be eligible for postseason play with a new organization.

Mets Designate Dennis Santana, Select Adam Kolarek

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The Mets announced four roster moves prior to tonight’s game with the Cardinals, including the news that right-hander Dennis Santana has been designated for assignment.  The roster spot was needed to make room for left-hander Adam Kolarek, whose contract was selected from Triple-A Syracuse.  New York also optioned Joey Lucchesi to Triple-A and called up Vinny Nittoli.

This marks the third time that Santana has been designated this season, and on both prior occasions, he cleared waivers and accepted an outright assignment to Triple-A Syracuse.  It would therefore seem likely that Santana might again choose to remain in the Mets organization, though he might more willing to decline an outright and choose free agency (as is his right, because he has been outrighted previously) at this point in the season, now that the trade deadline has passed.  A team in more urgent need of pitching might be interested in Santana and give him a clearer path to the majors, if he might no longer be in the Mets’ plans for the remainder of 2023.

Santana can’t be cleanly sent to Syracuse because he is out of minor league options, which already led to two waiver claims for the veteran righty during Spring Training.  The Twins claimed Santana off waivers from the Braves, and the Mets then claimed him away from Minnesota — between these moves and the fact that Santana was traded from Texas to Atlanta last November, his decisions to accept the outright assignments might also stem from a desire to just enjoy some stability after this carousel of transactions.

Santana hasn’t been particularly effective in his brief stints in New York this season, with a 5.91 ERA over nine appearances and 10 2/3 innings.  Small sample size notwithstanding, the numbers aren’t too different from the 5.12 ERA Santana posted over his 139 career innings with the Dodgers and Rangers from 2018-22.  The 27-year-old Santana also hasn’t pitched well at Triple-A, with a 4.91 ERA over 33 frames with Syracuse this season.

Kolarek signed a minor league deal with the Dodgers over the offseason, and L.A. briefly selected that contract to the active roster in June, resulting in one game and 1 1/3 innings of work for the left-hander during his Dodgers tenure.  Los Angeles traded Kolarek to the Mets just prior to the trade deadline, and the southpaw now looks to get at least a bit of a longer look in New York’s bullpen.  Best known for his time with the Rays and with the Dodgers’ 2020 World Series championship team, Kolarek had a 3.32 ERA over 116 2/3 innings from 2017-20 but then endured a pair of rough seasons pitching with the Athletics.

Mets Designate Edwin Uceta For Assignment

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The Mets announced Wednesday that right-hander Edwin Uceta has been designated for assignment in order to open a spot on the 40-man roster for fellow righty Dennis Santana, whose contract has been selected from Triple-A Syracuse. Right-hander Jose Butto was optioned to Syracuse in a corresponding 26-man roster move.

Uceta, 25, was a waiver claim out of the Pirates organization back in April. He’s missed substantial time this season after undergoing surgery to address a torn meniscus in his left knee — a June procedure that sidelined him for eight weeks. The Mets only recently reinstated him from the 60-day injured list. He’s pitched three shutout frames at the big league level this season and another 7 2/3 innings of one-run ball in the minors. That said, Uceta has also walked six hitters against just two strikeouts in the minors, and he issued a pair of free passes while facing a total of 11 big league hitters earlier this season.

Command has been an issue for Uceta throughout the upper minors (13.4% walk rate in 83 1/3 Triple-A innings) and in the Majors (11.9%). Broadly speaking, he’s shown good ability to spin his four-seamer and to miss bats in the upper minors, but he hasn’t yet found much success above the Double-A level. Uceta has a 4.64 ERA in 83 1/3 innings at the Triple-A level and a 5.80 mark in 40 1/3 frames between the Dodgers, D-backs and Mets in the big leagues.

The 27-year-old Santana has had better, albeit still below-average results in the Majors, working to a 5.18 ERA in 147 2/3 innings between the Dodgers, Rangers and Mets. He tossed 8 2/3 innings for the Mets earlier this season, yielding six runs in that time before being designated for assignment and passed through outright waivers. Since heading to Triple-A, he’s logged 33 innings with a 4.91 ERA, 27% strikeout rate and 13.2% walk rate. Command has been an issue for Santana as well, but he throws harder than Uceta and keeps the ball on the ground far more often.

The Mets have only gotten 6 2/3 innings out of their starters over the past two games, so swapping out Butto for Santana — at the expense of Uceta’s 40-man spot — will give manager Buck Showalter a fresh arm in the event of another short start in the next couple games. Uceta will be placed on waivers or released within the next week. He’s never been outrighted in the past and doesn’t have three years of service time, so if he goes unclaimed the Mets can retain him via outright assignment.

Dennis Santana Accepts Outright Assignment With Mets

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Mets right-hander Dennis Santana went unclaimed on waivers and has been assigned outright to Triple-A Syracuse, per the team’s transaction log at MLB.com. It’s the second time this season the Mets have outrighted Santana, which grants him the ability to reject the assignment in favor of free agency. I’m told that Santana has accepted the assignment and will head to Syracuse, however.

Santana, 27, has appeared in eight games for the Mets this season, tallying 8 2/3 innings but allowing six runs on eight hits — including a pair of homers — and five walks. He’s punched out 11 of 40 opponents and averaged 95.6 mph on his heater. That’s above-average velocity but still down from last year’s 97.7 mph average in Texas. Santana has also tossed 7 1/3 frames for the Mets’ top affiliate in Syracuse, notching a 3.68 ERA with an 11-to-6 K/BB ratio there.

Once considered one of the top prospects in a deep Dodgers system, Santana has begun to bounce around the league, going from L.A. to Texas to Atlanta and to Minnesota before being claimed by the Mets earlier this year. A rotator cuff strain back in 2018 wiped out most of that season, and Santana moved from a starting role to a relief role the following season. He’s seen Major League action in parts of six big league campaigns and compiled 147 2/3 innings, most of which has come with the Rangers over the past two seasons. Overall, Santana has a 5.18 earned run average 21.4% strikeout rate, 11.8% walk rate and 45.4% ground-ball rate as a big leaguer.

Santana has generated swinging strikes, chases on pitches off the plate and grounders at average or better rates throughout his Major League tenure — all while sitting at an average of 96.1 mph with a fastball that has plus spin rates each year. He’ll head back to Syracuse and continue to work on his command in hopes of earning another look at the big league level with the Mets sooner than later. Given the fluid state of the injury-plagued Mets relief corps — they’ve used 17 relievers already, tied for fourth-most in MLB — a strong showing in Syracuse could put Santana back on the big league map before long.

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