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MLBTR Originals

Giants Release Gordon Beckham

By Mark Polishuk | March 23, 2017 at 5:05pm CDT

5:05pm: The Giants have officially released Beckham, the club told reporters (including Andrew Baggarly of the Bay Area News Group).

4:10pm: The Giants will release Gordon Beckham from his minor league contract with the club as per Beckham’s request, MLBTR has learned.  Beckham originally joined the Giants in a late-September trade with the Braves and re-signed with the club in February, joining a very crowded battle within the Giants’ camp to decide the third base and utility infield jobs.

The 30-year-old Beckham will now look for a clearer opportunity elsewhere with teams in need of infield depth.  Most of Beckham’s MLB experience has some at second base dating back to his days as a regular with the White Sox, though he has also seen substantial action at third base over the last three seasons and even some action at short, starting seven games at the position for Atlanta in 2016.  Beckham has hit .211/.285/.340 over 516 PA since the start of the 2015 season, though he does own a career .260/.360/.458 slash line coming off the bench (in 114 PA) over his career.

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MLBTR Originals San Francisco Giants Transactions Gordon Beckham

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Offseason In Review: Oakland Athletics

By Connor Byrne | March 23, 2017 at 8:28am CDT

Check out all the published entries in our Offseason in Review series here.

After finishing among the American League’s bottom three teams in both wins (69) and run differential (minus-108) in 2016, the low-payroll Athletics tried to make a splash in free agency. Oakland’s attempt to land first baseman/designated hitter Edwin Encarnacion went for naught, though, and the club ultimately emerged from the offseason having made several modestly priced signings.

Major League Signings

  • Matt Joyce, OF: Two years, $11MM
  • Santiago Casilla, RP: Two years, $11MM
  • Rajai Davis, OF: One year, $6MM
  • Trevor Plouffe, IF: One year, $5.25MM
  • Adam Rosales, IF: One year, $1.25MM
  • Total spend: $34.5MM

Trades And Claims

  • Acquired RHP Paul Blackburn from Mariners for IF/OF Danny Valencia
  • Acquired IF Jordan Tarsovich from Dodgers for OF Brett Eibner
  • Acquired C Jason Goldstein from Mariners for LHP Dillon Overton
  • Claimed RHP Josh Smith from Reds
  • Claimed LHP Giovanni Soto from Cubs (lost later on waivers to White Sox)

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Alejandro De Aza, Ross Detwiler, Ryan Lavarnway, Chris Parmelee, Jaff Decker, Felix Doubront, Matt McBride, Andrew Lambo

Extensions

  • None

Notable Losses

  • Valencia, Eibner, Overton, Fernando Rodriguez

Oakland Athletics Depth Chart; Oakland Athletics Payroll Information

Needs Addressed

The offseason didn’t unfold the way many thought it would for Encarnacion, whose five-year run in Toronto as an elite hitter didn’t lead to the nine-figure contract that seemed attainable at the outset of free agency. Encarnacion went without a deal for nearly two months before agreeing to join the Indians on a three-year contract with $60MM in guarantees. It was surprising that Encarnacion landed with the Tribe, but it was more of an eye-opener that the A’s were Cleveland’s main competition. After all, the richest contract on the A’s belongs to reliever Ryan Madson, who’s on the second season of a three-year pact worth $22MM. Encarnacion would have averaged $25MM per annum, likely over two years, had he taken the A’s offer. Reeling in the slugger would have been a boon for Oakland, which scored the fewest runs in the AL last season and has a starting first baseman, Yonder Alonso, who brings almost no offensive punch to the table.

“We knew we’d face some headwinds going in,” executive vice president Billy Beane said after losing the Encarnacion sweepstakes. “But again, we saw this as a unique player. … [W]e thought was that type of player who would have served as a real good anchor point with our young pitching and some of our other young players.”

Nearly a month before Encarnacion made his decision, the A’s partially addressed their offensive issues by awarding a two-year, $11MM guarantee to free agent outfielder Matt Joyce. That commitment has a chance to go down as one of the offseason’s biggest bargains, as the lefty-swinging Joyce has typically been a quality hitter and is coming off a career year. Then with the Pirates, Joyce slashed a terrific .242/.403/.463 in 293 plate appearances. The 32-year-old led all batters with at least 250 PAs in walk rate (20.1 percent, a notable improvement over his career 12.5 percent), which was the product of being far more selective than ever. Between 2008, his rookie campaign, and 2015, Joyce hadn’t swung at under 24.7 percent of pitches outside the zone in any individual season. Last year, though, he offered at only 18.2 percent of such pitches. He also showed some of the best power of his career, having logged his highest ISO (.221) since 2010.

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It’s fair to be skeptical of Joyce going forward – he slashed a ghastly .174/.272/.291 in 284 PAs with the Angels only two years ago, and he’s a lifetime .185/.265/.310 hitter against lefties. However, as FanGraphs’ Jeff Sullivan wrote in November, Joyce made intriguing adjustments last season, including lowering his hands and becoming less reliant on pulling the ball. Even if those gains don’t stick, though, the A’s should at least have a capable, reasonably priced platoon right fielder on their hands in Joyce, who has batted .252/.353/.449 in 2,686 career plate trips against righties.

Another newcomer, 36-year-old center fielder Rajai Davis, will join Joyce and primary left fielder Khris Davis to comprise the A’s main alignment in the grass. This isn’t the first go-around in Oakland for Davis, who was previously with the team from 2008-10. As an Indian last season, Davis wasn’t significantly better offensively than either of the A’s top two center fielders, Coco Crisp and Jake Smolinski, but he is a weapon when he gets on base. Davis is coming off a year in which he racked up an American League-high 43 steals – just seven fewer than the A’s 26th-ranked team total (50). He also finished second in the majors to Billy Hamilton in FanGraphs’ BsR metric, a stat in which Oakland ranked dead last. And while Davis was a mixed bag in center last season (minus-five Defensive Runs Saved, 3.6 UZR/150 in 595 innings), he has typically been passable there and should at least be a clear upgrade over Crisp, who registered minus-11 DRS and a minus-37.7 UZR/150 in 290 innings.

After adding Joyce and Davis to their outfield, the A’s sought to upgrade their infield and came away with third baseman Trevor Plouffe and utilityman Adam Rosales on one-year accords. A careerlong Twin until they outrighted him in November, Plouffe isn’t far removed from combining for a .251/.317/.429 line and 6.0 fWAR in 1,214 PAs from 2014-15. That type of production would be welcome for Oakland, though Plouffe struggled in the other five seasons of his career, having registered minus-0.8 fWAR largely because of subpar defensive metrics. That includes last season, when Plouffe was a negative at third (minus-four DRS, minus-17.1 UZR/150 in 519 innings) and hit a below-average .260/.303/.420 in 344 PAs. The 30-year-old does deserve some benefit of the doubt for his latest output, however, as he endured an injury-riddled campaign that featured three trips to the disabled list.

Healthy again, Plouffe will serve as the A’s No. 1 option at the hot corner, meaning Ryon Healy will mostly divide his time between designated hitter and first base. As a rookie last season, Healy played all 72 of his games at third, where he posted Plouffe-like numbers (minus-two DRS, minus-17.5 UZR/150) over 637 innings. Those struggles took away somewhat from the offensive excellence displayed by Healy, who put together a .305/.337/.524 mark in his 283-PA debut.

Rosales, meanwhile, will back up Plouffe, Healy and the rest of the A’s infielders, and he could be especially useful at second base. Starter Jed Lowrie has dealt with injury troubles throughout his career, including a left foot issue that limited him to 87 games last year, and hasn’t stood out offensively since a career year in 2013. Rosales, who was with the A’s from 2010-13, is coming off his own personal-best season. A Padre in 2016, the 33-year-old journeyman was a radically different hitter than he had been from 2008-15. Along with his best-ever batting line, .229/.319/.495 (in 248 PAs), the right-hander accrued highs in home runs (13), ISO (.266, up from a career .140), walk rate (11.7 percent) and hard contact rate (36.9 percent, far above his lifetime 26.4 percent figure). As evidenced by those numbers, not to mention a career-high fly ball rate (46.2 percent) and a bloated strikeout percentage (35.5), it’s clear Rosales sold out for gains in the power department last year. Even if his 2016 proves to be a mirage, Rosales should still give the A’s both a usable option against southpaws (.241/.318/.395 in 644 PAs) and, if Lowrie goes down again, a credible defensive second baseman (13 DRS, 6.6 UZR in 1,007 lifetime innings).

Click to continue…

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Questions Remaining

Both Oakland’s low-cost pickups in free agency and better luck in the health department (the team used the DL a franchise-record 27 times last year) should lead to an improved club this season. However, the A’s are still chock full of question marks. Offensively, runs may still prove hard to come by, as there’s little of intrigue in place after Khris Davis, Healy, a potential Joyce/Mark Canha platoon and slugging shortstop Marcus Semien. Further, although Rajai Davis is now in the fold, Oakland still lacks in the baserunning department. The only other likely starter on the roster who should be any kind of a threat on the bases is Semien, who stole 10 bags last season. At the same time, catcher Stephen Vogt, Khris Davis, Healy, Joyce, Lowrie, Plouffe and Alonso combined for a paltry six.

Speaking of Alonso, it’s certainly conceivable the A’s could have upgraded over him during the offseason; instead, they kept the historically light-hitting first baseman for $4MM. They’ll now hope Alonso’s new fly ball-first approach, which FanGraphs’ Eno Sarris recently covered, will lead to a breakout for the soon-to-be 30-year-old and former top prospect. If not, Beane and general manager David Forst might end up sorry that they didn’t jettison Alonso in favor of an affordable free agent like Steve Pearce, Luis Valbuena, Chris Carter or Brandon Moss (the latter two are former A’s). They also could have retained corner infielder Danny Valencia, who slashed .288/.346/.477 in Oakland over the previous two seasons. There have been behind-the-scenes issues with Valencia, however, which would explain why the A’s got rid of the 32-year-old and why dealing him only returned right-handed pitcher Paul Blackburn, who barely cracks the club’s top 30 prospects list on MLB.com.

Defensively, the A’s didn’t markedly upgrade a unit that placed last in both DRS and UZR in 2016. None of the A’s offseason signings are aces in the field, though it’s possible replacing Valencia with Plouffe at third will go a long way toward bettering their defense (Valencia recorded a woeful minus-18 DRS and an even worse minus-25.6 UZR/150 at the hot corner last year). A bounce-back campaign from Alonso would also help Oakland’s cause. Alonso had been a terrific defender from 2010-15 (29 DRS, 11.2 UZR), but he went backward in 2016 (minus-3 DRS, minus-1.1 UZR).

A better defense would obviously assist the A’s rotation, which features no shortage of uncertainty even as the front office continues to express confidence in the group it has assembled. The questions start at the top, where Sonny Gray, a bona fide ace from 2014-15, went on the DL twice last season and posted a 5.69 ERA and 4.67 FIP in 117 innings. Now battling a lat strain that could keep him out for all of April, Gray’s guaranteed another injury-shortened year. Aside from Gray, back-end starter Kendall Graveman and second-year man Sean Manaea, who certainly encouraged as a rookie, no other season-opening rotation candidate saw much major league action in 2016. Jharel Cotton and Andrew Triggs clearly possess plenty of promise, though, and the out-of-options Raul Alcantara, 24, dominated across 45 2/3 Triple-A frames a year ago. And then there’s Jesse Hahn, who had been an effective big leaguer prior to a miserable 2016 spent between Oakland and Triple-A Nashville. Over 170 innings with the Padres and A’s from 2014-15, Hahn paired a 3.23 ERA with a 51.7 percent ground-ball rate.

While the A’s starters are largely unproven, their bullpen is loaded with experience. Madson, Santiago Casilla, Sean Doolittle and John Axford are all over the age of 30, and each has vast closing experience. All four have also been lights-out in the past, but those days seem gone in the cases of Madson and Axford. The still-effective Casilla is coming off his worst year since 2010 (more on him in a bit), while the good-when-healthy Doolittle only combined for 52 2/3 innings over the previous two seasons. Still, with Liam Hendriks and Ryan Dull joining those four as the A’s top relief options, their bullpen looks solid on paper. It’s potentially concerning that the group is almost exclusively right-handed (Doolittle is the exception), though only Casilla was particularly vulnerable against left-handed hitters last season.

Deal Of Note

"<strongSantiago Casilla” width=”214″ height=”300″ />

The 36-year-old Casilla began his professional career with the A’s in 2000, when he signed as an international free agent who went by the name Jairo Garcia, and stayed with the franchise through the 2009 season. Casilla remained in the Bay Area with the Giants over the past seven years, and he could be in position to finish in Oakland and bring his career full circle. Casilla stands as the only pitcher to whom the A’s handed a major league deal during the winter, and his $11MM guarantee ties Joyce’s deal as the richest they doled out.

In 336 2/3 innings between his first and second A’s tenures, Casilla compiled a 2.42 ERA, 8.3 K/9, 3.5 BB/9 and a 51.7 percent ground-ball rate. He also saved 123 games as a Giant, though he wasn’t exactly a shutdown closer in San Francisco. Manager Bruce Bochy stripped Casilla of the role last year, when he totaled a league-worst nine blown saves and recorded his highest ERA (3.57) since 2009. Given his age, it’s possible Casilla is amid a steep decline, but there are still reasons for his optimism. For instance, Casilla did notch a career-best strikeout percentage (27.0) and his second-best walk percentage (7.9) in 2016. He also exceeded 50 innings for the seventh straight year (58), recorded a respectable grounder rate (47.6 percent) and didn’t experience a drop in velocity.

While Casilla didn’t come at a prohibitive cost, the A’s took a risk in giving a multiyear contract to an aging reliever. Taking that same tack a year ago with Madson and Axford didn’t work out great in either case last season. It’s also worth noting that Casilla’s pact seems rich relative to the ones given to fellow right-handed, over-35 setup men in ex-Giants teammate Sergio Romo (one year, $3MM; Dodgers), former Athletic Joe Blanton (one year, $4MM; Nationals) and Koji Uehara (one year, $6MM; Cubs). In fairness to both the A’s and Casilla, though, he arguably represents the most appealing investment (in terms of recent performance and durability) among the four.

Overview

The Athletics appear to have improved over the winter, but the same can be said for the majority of their AL West rivals. With that in mind, the A’s are likely to have difficulty avoiding a third straight last-place finish in the division. Still, there is quality youth on hand and more potentially on the way. Prospects such as middle infielder Franklin Barreto and third baseman Matt Chapman could overtake the likes of Lowrie and Plouffe sometime this season, which would immediately make the A’s a far more interesting team to watch. More importantly, their introductions could help lay the groundwork for an eventual contender – something the A’s haven’t been since 2014.

What’s your take on the Athletics’ winter?  (Link for app users.)

How would you grade the Athletics' offseason?
C 46.19% (436 votes)
D 22.25% (210 votes)
B 22.03% (208 votes)
F 5.83% (55 votes)
A 3.71% (35 votes)
Total Votes: 944

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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2016-17 Offseason In Review Athletics MLBTR Originals

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Offseason In Review: Chicago White Sox

By Tim Dierkes | March 22, 2017 at 1:54pm CDT

This is the latest entry in MLBTR’s Offseason In Review series. The full index of Offseason In Review posts can be found here.

The White Sox set a rebuilding course with a pair of Winter Meetings blockbusters in which Chris Sale and Adam Eaton were cashed in for top prospects.

Major League Signings

  • Derek Holland, SP: one year, $6MM.  Includes performance bonuses.
  • Total spend: $6MM.

Trades And Claims

  • Claimed OF Rymer Liriano off waivers from Brewers
  • Claimed RP Giovanni Soto off waivers from Athletics
  • Acquired 2B Yoan Moncada, SP Michael Kopech, OF Luis Alexander Basabe, and RP Victor Diaz from Red Sox for SP Chris Sale
  • Acquired SP Lucas Giolito, SP Reynaldo Lopez, and SP Dane Dunning from Nationals for CF Adam Eaton
  • Acquired SP Dylan Covey from Athletics in Rule 5 draft
  • Acquired cash from Rangers for P James Dykstra
  • Claimed OF Willy Garcia off waivers from Pirates
  • Acquired 1B Brandon Dulin from Royals for player to be named later or cash

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Cory Luebke, Anthony Swarzak, Geovany Soto, Everth Cabrera, Cody Asche, Peter Bourjos, Blake Smith, Tyler Matzek, Tyler Ladendorf

Extensions

  • Tim Anderson, SS: Six years, $25MM.  Includes club options for 2023 and 2024.

Notable Losses

  • Chris Sale, Adam Eaton, Brett Lawrie, J.B. Shuck, Justin Morneau, Austin Jackson, Alex Avila, Matt Albers, Jacob Turner, Daniel Webb, Anthony Ranaudo, Jason Coats

White Sox Roster; White Sox Payroll Information

Needs Addressed

When I published my White Sox Offseason Outlook on November 5th, the team had not yet tipped its hand as to the offseason direction.  GM Rick Hahn had said in August, “By the time we make our first or second transaction, publicly it will be fairly clear as to our direction.” Hahn wasn’t kidding.  The White Sox staked a very clear rebuilding position with back-to-back Winter Meetings blockbuster trades.  Finally, the team committed to a full teardown.

Feb 28, 2017; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Michael Kopech (78) pitches against the Seattle Mariners during the first inning at Camelback Ranch. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

First, longtime ace starting pitcher Chris Sale was traded to the Red Sox for a bevy of top prospects, led by Moncada and Kopech (pictured at right).  In Moncada, the White Sox acquired the type of player who is rarely traded: a potential perennial All-Star, on the cusp of being MLB-ready.  The switch-hitting Cuban is penciled in as Chicago’s second baseman of the future.  Moncada draws raves from prospect gurus for his power, speed, and arm.  Kopech, meanwhile, is a power pitcher who comes with “front of the rotation potential,” according to Baseball America.  Basabe, while further from the Majors, also rates as one of the team’s top ten prospects now.  The White Sox determined they could not win in the next three years with Sale, and Hahn was able to maximize the return by pitting the Red Sox against the Nationals, Astros, Braves, and others.

Barely 24 hours later at MLB’s Winter Meetings in Orlando, Hahn made a deal to send Adam Eaton to the Nationals for three pitching prospects.  Baseball America ranks Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez both slightly above Kopech, and has all three in the #25-32 range among all MLB prospects.  Like Moncada, Giolito and Lopez have Major League time.  While there may be growing pains, the top assets acquired by Hahn are all close to contributing in 2017.  Dunning played the Basabe role in this deal, as a third piece who is further from the big leagues.  Eaton, 28, is at the top of his game and was the rare veteran player to be dealt with five years of remaining control.  With the Eaton trade, Hahn was able to pull off a second deal that drew raves around the industry.  The total haul for Sale and Eaton leaned toward pitching, a function of Hahn pursuing the best available young players, regardless of position.

A week later, the White Sox filled their rotation vacancy by signing Derek Holland to a one-year deal.  Holland hasn’t had a healthy, valuable season since 2013, but this is the kind of free agent signing we expect to see with a rebuilding club.  In the best case scenario, Holland has a nice first half and the White Sox are able to spin him for a useful, controllable piece in July.

Earlier this week, the White Sox locked up shortstop Tim Anderson to a precedent-setting six-year, $25MM deal.  The contract sets a new record for a player with less than one year of Major League service.  With only 115 days of Major League service under his belt, it’s difficult to project what kind of player Anderson will become.  But at age 23, he already looks like a solid two-win contributor.  And the team has a fantastic recent track record with these types of extensions, having previously signed Sale, Eaton, Jose Quintana, and Nate Jones.

Questions Remaining

With the Sale and Eaton trades occurring in rapid succession, it seemed a Jose Quintana deal wasn’t far behind.  Quintana’s availability this winter was no secret.  While the 28-year-old doesn’t have Sale’s ace reputation, he is a very good starting pitcher on a very team-friendly contract.  With a terrible free agent market for starting pitching, it was surprising no team was willing to meet the demands of the White Sox for Quintana.  The Pirates and Astros were reportedly quite interested, with the Rangers, Yankees, and Braves also connected.  Quintana is undoubtedly a major trade chip for the White Sox in the coming months.  In a February call with MLB.com’s Scott Merkin, Hahn said, “Frankly, there just hasn’t been an offer on the table that has made us feel like, ’Boy we better move now or we are going to be kicking ourselves.'”  While Hahn noted he’s feeling no economic or timing pressure on his remaining trade chips, the team is taking a calculated risk that offers will improve in future.  While a summer Quintana trade currently seems like the most likely scenario, it’s possible a deal could be struck between now and Opening Day.

Rumors were scant regarding first baseman Jose Abreu, outside of a Winter Meetings note that the Rockies were interested.  The White Sox may have run into an overcrowded free agent market, which featured more first base/DH-type bats than there were jobs.  At the lower end, players such as Brandon Moss, Mike Napoli, and Chris Carter took cheaper-than-expected deals.  Abreu, 30, is more appealing than many of those free agents, but not enough to trigger wide reported interest.

In their talks for Adam Eaton, the Nationals reportedly attempted to expand the deal to include reliever David Robertson.  Talks continued, but the Nationals and White Sox have reportedly reached a stalemate on the veteran closer.  With two years and $25MM remaining on his contract, and control problems in 2016, Robertson is not for everyone.  He’s another name to watch this summer.  Perhaps the White Sox will end up eating more money than they were willing to in the winter.  Todd Frazier, a free agent after 2017, is another veteran player who received little reported interest this winter despite hitting 75 home runs over the past two seasons.  The White Sox will be rooting for strong, healthy first halves for many veteran players, which would lead to an active July.  Hahn repeatedly said he would have liked to have made four more transactions this winter, and perhaps Quintana, Abreu, Robertson, and Frazier were the four players.

The team would also be best served moving 32-year-old veteran Melky Cabrera, who will serve as the Opening Day left fielder.  The Melk Man hit about as well as Wil Myers, Adam Eaton, or Mike Napoli last year, but his below-average defense and $15MM salary seems to have limited interest.   One quietly intriguing trade chip this summer will be Nate Jones, a fantastic reliever who is under contract for up to five more seasons.  Jones, a 31-year-old with a 97 mile per hour fastball, is far more valuable than Robertson and could be the best reliever traded this summer.  The White Sox still have a ton of trading left to do.

Aside from all the trades that have yet to happen, the other question is who is actually going to play for the 2017 White Sox.  With a team that is clearly not concerned about winning in 2017, the White Sox have a rare opportunity to use low-pressure playing time to unearth trade chips or future contributors.  Unfortunately, the roster is currently loaded with placeholders devoid of upside.  For example, the club’s Opening Day outfield could feature Cabrera, Peter Bourjos, and Avisail Garcia.  Someone has to stand out there, but hopefully Hahn can identify a few post-hype sleepers to try out in the outfield until long-term fixtures are identified.  The White Sox make a great home for players feeling the roster squeeze.  The release of Lawrie was a step in the right direction, opening up second base for cheaper options led by Tyler Saladino.  The team’s catching position is another area of uncertainty.  The club is hoping 25-year-old Omar Narvaez can keep the seat warm until 2016 first-round pick Zack Collins is ready for The Show.

Overview

In 2017, the White Sox are set to join teams like the Phillies, Reds, Padres, and Brewers as clubs undertaking rebuilds.  It’s the right move for the franchise as Hahn and company look to build a sustainable winner with a deep roster.  The Major League product will get worse before it gets better, as the White Sox will continue to clear the decks of veteran players this summer.

What’s your take on the White Sox’ winter? (Link to poll for mobile app users …)

How would you grade the White Sox' winter?
A 54.87% (2,345 votes)
B 29.36% (1,255 votes)
C 8.82% (377 votes)
D 3.72% (159 votes)
F 3.23% (138 votes)
Total Votes: 4,274

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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2016-17 Offseason In Review Chicago White Sox MLBTR Originals

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Straight From The Heart: The Signing Of Ted Lilly

By Chuck Wasserstrom | March 22, 2017 at 7:15am CDT

StraightFromHeart_620

“You were part of it,” my former boss said with a laugh, “watching me roll around in agony for a couple days in the hotel room and not doing anything about it.”

“We were angling for a palace coup,” I joked, “but the reality is … the doctor gave me warning signs to be looking for, and we all know you weren’t being truthful with us.”

To which he quickly replied: “Well, we had to get Lilly done.”

– – –

It was a Tuesday night in December 2006, and baseball’s annual Winter Meetings were taking place at the Walt Disney World Swan and Dolphin Resort in Orlando, Fla.

Cubs general manager Jim Hendry hadn’t been feeling well all day. He really hadn’t felt right since arriving in Orlando over the weekend. He talked periodically about feeling a little bit of discomfort in his abdominal area, but never let on how much he was hurting.

Mostly, he sat subdued in the Cubs’ suite – which wasn’t like him – chomping antacid tablets like they were M&M’s. Typically, he was animated, lively, tugging at his shirt collar as he worked the room. On this day, he was pale and quiet but determined to do his job.

And I knew he wasn’t his normal self, as I was a member of Hendry’s baseball operations staff.

Leading up to Orlando, the previous couple of months had been an offseason like no other in Cubs history – as Hendry was literally ordered to spend money by his bosses. Tribune Company executives more-or-less gave him a mandate: We want a winner now. We need TV ratings to go up now. We need to be relevant immediately.

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Little did the rest of the baseball world know that Tribune was putting in motion plans to sell the Cubs. And just like selling a house, you had to dress up the product – and a winning team was what the company needed. On Opening Day 2007, Tribune Company executives announced that the club would be put up for sale; when the Cubs were officially sold to the Ricketts family in 2009 for a reported $875 million, it was a nice return on the $20.5 million Tribune had paid to purchase the club in 1981.

Over a six-week stretch leading into the Winter Meetings, Hendry brought in Lou Piniella to manage the Cubs, replacing Dusty Baker. Third baseman Aramis Ramirez was brought back on a mega five-year, $73 million deal just as the free agent signing period was set to begin. Free agent second baseman Mark DeRosa came on board – signing a three-year, $13 million contract. Veteran leaders Kerry Wood and Henry Blanco re-signed with the team. And there was the big splash – the addition of outfielder Alfonso Soriano, who inked an eight-year, $136 million contract.

All of this was done by a team that had gone 66-96 and finished in last place in the National League Central Division race in 2006. Looking back at that offseason, Hendry talked about his new marching orders.

“Obviously, we made a managerial change and decided to go with Lou,” said Hendry, the Cubs’ general manager from July 2002-August 2011. “Coinciding with that, we had a change in regimes. (Team president) Andy (MacPhail) left, and I was told in confidence that Tribune Company was contemplating selling the club. It might take a while – but the directive was that we were going to do business differently around here. We needed to try to win for the company before they sold the club. Basically, I was told: Spare no expense and chase all the high level free agency that you think we need. That was our directive, and that’s what you’re supposed to do. No general manager is going to say, ‘Oh gee, I don’t want to do that. I don’t want to spend the money.’

“Once we did Sori and DeRosa, we felt like we were really good on the field. And the pen was good, too. We knew we needed to round out the starters.”

As Piniella recalled, “Tribune Company had made a commitment to spend some money and shore up the team, and Jim was very aggressive and was getting things done.

“John McDonough, the president of the team, told me when they hired me that they were hiring me to win. They were on a short leash; in other words, they wanted to get this thing shored up right away. Truthfully, I was already in my 60s, and that short-term turnaround situation really appealed to me.”

Hendry, Piniella and the Cubs’ front office group descended upon Orlando anticipating plenty of action to make a worst-to-first run in 2007. Heading into the Winter Meetings, the Cubs’ brass knew they needed pitching, “and Ted Lilly was our target guy,” Hendry said.

On paper, Lilly and the Cubs didn’t exactly look like the right match. He was an American League pitcher. He was a flyball guy. The talk was that his stuff wouldn’t work in hitter-friendly Wrigley Field. But Hendry trusted the scouting reports he had from his talent evaluators.

“One of the reasons he was a target was the recommendation of Stan Zielinski, who just left us,” Hendry said. Zielinski, a pro scout for the Cubs, passed away this past January. “(Major league scout) Ken Kravec really liked him – and Stan loved him, to be honest. Stan was the guy behind the scenes pushing me for Ted. He was a Lilly guy big time. He convinced me that Ted hadn’t been given the due that he deserved.

“Anyway, Ted was a target. We thought we had a really good chance of getting (Hiroki) Kuroda from Japan. Those were our big targets – Kuroda and Lilly. We felt like we had a really great shot at Kuroda, but he decided to wait a year and delay his coming to America. Once Kuroda took himself out of coming over, we really needed to get Ted – and we pursued him vigorously. We had backup plans with Gil Meche and Jason Marquis.

“But Ted was really the focus going into the Winter Meetings. Ted and his agent, Larry O’Brien, were tremendously honest. Ted had told me – in what I guess you’d call the recruitment process leading up to the Winter Meetings – if the Yankees pursued him with the same level that we did, we would probably be his second choice. The Yankees were his first choice … he had been there before. So we were on pins-and-needles leading into the Winter Meetings and the first few days there.”

A little over 10 years later, Hendry – now a special assistant to Yankees general manager Brian Cashman – can reflect on the events of that week and off-season and acknowledge that something wasn’t right when he got off the plane in Orlando.

“Honestly, when I got there, I didn’t feel great,” he said. “I think a lot of it was normal. I was in a rut that most people in that job get in; you know, you’re always working and you don’t take great care of yourself. I felt a certain amount of remorse – I don’t know if that’s the right word – but I felt really bad that Andy (MacPhail) left. And I felt that Dusty (Baker) had done a lot of good things for us and me, but a decision had to be made in October. When you let somebody go that really helped you get started when you first got the job, you don’t feel good about it. I had a good relationship with Dusty – and still do – but at the same time, it wasn’t easy; it did bother me. And I had such a long history with Andy; while he left on his own, it was still a transition for me.

“I don’t know if stress is the right word, but I knew I needed to get this going and start winning again immediately like we did in my first couple of years as GM. It was a different agenda. I also owed a lot of gratitude to (Tribune Company executives) Jim Dowdle and Dennis FitzSimons – who, after 2006, could have shuffled me out the door, too.”

So obviously, there was a lot weighing on his mind in addition to on-field player procurement.

“I never thought I didn’t handle the stress of the job well; I always liked the action,” Hendry said. “But I remember not feeling great when we got to Orlando. I saw (agent) Pat Rooney in the lobby after I got to the hotel and declined an invitation to meet him for a drink later that Sunday night. That was probably a sign. And – how stupid is this looking back – I had a lot of discomfort in my chest starting Monday.

“I was scuffling Monday and Tuesday – trying to grind through it.”

– – –

When he arrived at the Winter Meetings, agent Larry O’Brien had one major task to accomplish: Get a four-year contract for Ted Lilly.

Lilly was coming off a 15-win season … he was left-handed … he had his first shot at free agency and life-altering money … and he was drawing a lot of attention.

Lilly had spent the previous three seasons in the Blue Jays’ starting rotation, recording 37 wins. The southpaw had previously pitched two-plus years in the Bronx – to mixed success – along with spending time in Montreal and Oakland.

About a week before departing for Orlando, O’Brien was homing in on his list of potential landing sites for Lilly when he received a phone call from his client.

“Teddy was up in Davis, California, and his wife, Tasha, was in vet school – cramming for her finals,” O’Brien said. “So Teddy called me and said, ‘Come on up and spend time with me. I’m bored up here. I’m playing golf, and Tasha’s gone 20 hours of the day studying for finals.’ I said, ‘Ted, I’m getting ready for Orlando. I’m looking at who your comp(arable)s are – and what kind of value we’re shooting for.’ And he said, ‘Well, you can do that from up here.’

“I was talking at that point with a few teams. Toronto was very interested in bringing him back. The Yankees were interested; Brian Cashman had liked Ted a lot, and he had pitched for the Yankees before and liked it there. The Giants were interested before they signed (Barry) Zito – and Ted would have loved to have pitched for the Giants. That was the team he grew up rooting for.

“But when I was in Davis – and this is funny – I said to Ted, ‘I heard rumors that Lou Piniella, who is now managing the Cubs, is very interested in you.’ Lou and I knew each other; he managed my brother, Pete O’Brien, with the Mariners back in 1993 – but I hadn’t talked to Lou since then. Now, it’s 14 years later, and Ted and I are talking about him, and I look down at my phone – and Lou’s calling.

“So I said, ‘Hey, speak of the devil, Ted. Look at this.’ I get on the phone, and I said, ‘Hey, Lou!’

“And he said, ‘Hey, Larry. How are you doing?’

“I said, ‘You don’t care how I’m doing. You want to know about Ted Lilly.’

“And he said, ‘Well … that, too.’

“So we started talking, and he said, ‘Listen, Jim Hendry is opening the checkbook for me, and I want Ted Lilly. I want to be the last guy standing at the poker table. I want to get something done.’

“I said, ‘That’s great. I’ll see you in Orlando.’ And we left it at that.

“Lou made it clear to me that, ‘Hey, I want Ted. He’s a priority for me.’ I remember asking him, ‘Are you sure you would be good with Ted?’ Remember that year, he got into trouble with his manager, John Gibbons, who came to take him out of the game. Ted didn’t want to come out, and they ended up brawling in the dugout tunnel. I told Lou that Ted didn’t want to come out of games. And he said, ‘Exactly. That’s why I want him. I’m tired of looking out at pitchers – and they’re looking back at me like you should come and get me. That’s what I love about Ted.’”

Piniella had seen plenty of Lilly from his time managing in both Seattle and Tampa Bay.

“I liked Ted. I had seen Ted pitch with the Yankees, I had seen him with Oakland, and I’d seen him with the Blue Jays,” Piniella recalled. “I thought he competed very, very well – and we were dead right on that issue. This young man was just a tremendous competitor. He had that big curveball, he threw hard enough, and we felt that – in the National League – he would win.

“We needed a left-hander, too. Our pitching was all right-handed, and we needed a left-handed starter with experience.”

Now that the recruiting process had started, the question became … What should the agent be looking for?

“Ted was taking me to the airport, and I told him we needed to talk about what we thought his value should be,” O’Brien said. “And I pointed to one guy – Jarrod Washburn, who had pitched for the Angels. He was a lefty, and I felt that Ted was pretty comparable to him. He had signed a four-year, $37.5 million contract the year before (with the Mariners). I said, ‘You know, Ted, I think it’s very reasonable for us to look for something north of that contract – and see how the market plays out for us.’”

Although Lilly was coming off a 15-13 season for the Blue Jays, he might have received more notoriety for that incident with Gibbons than for his mound performance. In a late August home game, the left-hander was less than thrilled with an early hook from the contest, and a well-publicized skirmish outside of public view broke out between the pitcher and the manager.

At the time, Lilly figured his Toronto days were all but over.

“After the incident, I didn’t think that the Blue Jays had any interest in retaining me,” he said. “I talked to (general manager) J.P. Ricciardi the day after, and I said to J.P. that I didn’t think this was the place and that I’d like to move on. I was emotional and irrational making those statements, but J.P. said that they’d like to keep me around and keep me for years to come. That caught me off guard.

“After the season ended, J.P. told me that they would match any offer that was out there.”

As the Winter Meetings approached, Toronto was still in play to retain the left-hander’s services. Lilly had interest in pitching for Boston, but that interest level wasn’t reciprocated. San Francisco was in play – as were the Yankees.

“I did know that Ted wanted to come back, and we previously had Ted and liked him,” said Yankees GM Brian Cashman. “There was no question about Ted’s ability.

“Simultaneously, there was a left-hander available via Japan that we liked – Kei Igawa. If I remember correctly how the old rules worked, between the posting number and the acquisition cost … Igawa was younger, we had strong reports on him, and I think we had health concerns about Ted. The question wasn’t about Ted’s ability … it was whether he’d stay healthy in the long-term. The acquisition cost on Igawa wasn’t going to be taxed, while all the signing cost of Lilly would be. So that was also a big factor in the process. If all things are equal, you have one guy that looks like he has pristine health, he was younger, and a lot of the money is protected from being taxed because of the way the old rules were set up. There was a whole combination of things – from medicals to financials – that played into the ultimate decision-marking.”

And then in late November, the Cubs appeared on Lilly’s radar.

“It was important to me to find a place that was going in the right direction – especially as our intent was finding a multi-year deal,” Lilly said. “I wanted to go to a club that was going to be in the middle of winning for the next few years.

“To be honest with you, I was kind of surprised when the Cubs got into it. There wasn’t much talk about them early on. But then they certainly made a statement when they signed the top free agent slugger out there in Soriano. That was a very large statement, and it got my attention.

“Then I thought, ‘OK, they made a splash on the top slugger, but what else do they have going on?’

“I remember talking to Jim Hendry on the phone and really leaving that conversation with more confidence about the direction of the club than I did going into it. Jim made it very clear to me that they weren’t done. He didn’t indicate to me who he was intent on signing, but he was being aggressive. Jim went about it in a way that he didn’t overdress it. I appreciated the fact that there was an element of a recruiting pitch in it, but it wasn’t by any means excessive. I felt like he was honest and pretty straight to the point.

“I basically went on Jim’s word that he was going to do everything he could to compete in that division and win that division.”

It was in Orlando where it all came together.

– – –

Tuesday, December 5, 2006

For those of us who had spent any time around Hendry, that Tuesday was a day where you could sense something was amiss. He sent me on several trips to the gift shop for antacids. He was drinking nothing heavier than 7UP and ginger ale.

“That day, from what I was being told, Jim wasn’t his normal self – but I didn’t pick up on it as quickly as the rest of you did because I was new to the Winter Meetings and new in my position,” recalled Randy Bush, who at the time was a special assistant to Hendry. Two weeks later, Bush was officially named assistant general manager. “I really hadn’t been in the environment where Jim was running meetings, but I do recall others in the room telling me that Jim was off, that something was really bothering him. He’s not himself.”

Hendry, for his part, was determined to fight through it.

“I was doing the Tums and the Pepcid … I didn’t think it was my heart at all,” he said. “I talked to (team physician) Dr. (Stephen) Adams, and I didn’t describe it right. That was totally on me. In fairness to him, I was downplaying it; I didn’t want to leave. I decided I could handle this until I got home. He thought maybe it was a gallstone from the way I was telling it to him. I remember – and this is really sad looking back – having two episodes in the afternoon … I kept thinking that if it was a heart attack, it would have been upper left. But I had these pains right in the middle of my chest. They probably lasted two to three minutes. And I remember rolling around on my bed thinking this isn’t normal. And then it stopped – and I proceeded the rest of the day OK.”

Hendry was more concerned about keeping things business as usual. There was the normal trade talk with other clubs. Meetings were set up with agents for later in the day – including O’Brien.

And then came an unexpected knock on the door of the Cubs’ suite. It was O’Brien and Piniella.

O’Brien: “I bumped into Lou in the lobby, and he said, ‘I really want to get something done.’ So he brought me up to Jim’s room. It was Jim, Lou, a bunch of guys were there – including Randy Bush, who had played against my brother and knew him. I had never met Jim Hendry before, and he goes, ‘So you’re Pete O’Brien’s brother. I hated your brother.’ And I said, ‘How can you hate my brother? My brother is the greatest guy. Nobody hates my brother.’ And he goes, ‘I was the head coach at Creighton when your brother was at Nebraska – and he probably hit 10 of his 14 homers his junior year against us.’ That’s how he started the conversation.”

Hendry: “It was kind of a very upfront, fun negotiation. Larry was a different kind of guy in a good way, and he wore his heart on his sleeve. He didn’t have a dishonest bone in him. Everything that happened, he was honest with me.”

O’Brien: “We talked for a while, then I brought up Washburn’s four-year deal. I told him, ‘I’m talking to the Yankees. I’m talking to Toronto. I’m thinking, the number is probably going to have to have a four in front of it.’ Twenty minutes later, Jim committed to four years.”

After the meeting, there was still a lot of work to be done. O’Brien spent the rest of that day checking in with other teams. Hendry had other agents to speak to, including Sam and Seth Levinson – the representatives for free agents Jason Marquis and Cliff Floyd.

Hendry: “The Levinsons were coming by the suite after we were done with our business – maybe 9 at night – to have a drink. And before they got there, I was laying on my bed for a few minutes trying to gather myself. I was having some discomfort, and I called Doc Adams again. I decided that after I got back from the Winter Meetings, I better go see him. But I still wasn’t describing it to him right.”

Seth Levinson: “I don’t have to tell you that Jim is an extraordinary man who redefined what it means to be dedicated to one’s job. He is as passionate, as colorful, as hard working and as honest as any man that I have ever encountered. We spent quite a bit of time in his suite that night discussing Marquis, Floyd and various subjects. It was painfully evident that Jim was not well. He was pale, he seemed to have some shortness of breath and was in obvious discomfort. It was terribly worrisome to everyone. He blew off every plea to see a doctor and took such suggestions and recommendations as insulting. In a historic show of stubbornness, he unwaveringly committed to his style of using self-deprecating humor, razor-sharp insults, and infallible logic to drive home his most practical and critical points.”

Hendry: “After the Levinsons left, which now had to be after 10 o’clock, I had the same spell I had in the afternoon. I had convinced myself that these were gallstones. I remember rolling around in agony with severe pain in the middle of my chest, and when they went away, I thought, ‘If gallstones are this painful, how painful must kidney stones be?’ Looking back, what was I thinking about? The dumbest thing ever was not having [the author] take me to the hospital then. I remember 11ish or so in bed, my chest bothering me. I didn’t know if I should go to sleep. Sooner or later out of tiredness, you just fall asleep.”

Seth Levinson: “After the meeting, I spoke to Lou Piniella – who also was concerned about getting Jim to a doctor. We damn well knew that to get him to a doctor without his consent would require us to Taser him, hogtie him or render him unconscious.”

– – –

Wednesday Morning, December 6, 2006

I got to the suite early – around 7 a.m. – to get the room ready for the morning group meeting. Hendry was already sitting on a sofa in the suite when I walked in.

“I barely slept last night. I was afraid that if I closed my eyes, I wouldn’t wake up,” he said.

Looking back, “When I woke up, thank God I did, I had an overall feeling of just not feeling right,” Hendry said. “It was like nothing I’d had before. It wasn’t dizziness. It wasn’t nausea. It was an overall weird sensation, like an achy feeling right before you have the flu. Something seemed really out of whack. I didn’t have much energy.”

He looked worse, but he was determined to do his job. He was noticeably whiter than the night before – and had that “death warmed over” look to him.

Before the morning group meeting – and after he had gone through the entire bottle of antacid I had brought him the night before – he asked me to go back to the hotel’s gift shop for more.

While in the lobby, I paged Dr. Adams – who was back in Chicago – telling him that something wasn’t right. We both knew that Hendry wasn’t being truthful with anyone. Dr. Adams sent me to the hotel front desk to find a doctor on call. I was told the doctor would come see Hendry as soon as he could.

The morning calendar was tight from a scheduling standpoint. After the daily group discussion, Hendry had a general managers meeting to attend. A follow-up one-on-one with O’Brien was set for late morning.

The Cubs baseball contingent at the morning meeting included Hendry, Piniella, Bush, special assistant Gary Hughes, scouting director Tim Wilken, baseball operations director Scott Nelson, minor league director Oneri Fleita, and other special assistants, scouts and front office staff members.

Hendry: “That Wednesday morning meeting, I kind of sat down more than I usually do. I’d usually be up in front of the boards, talking about if we get this guy … or what about that guy. I think we even talked about what the hell we’d do if we didn’t get Ted. (Agent) Casey Close was dealing with us on Meche, and Lou had an affiliation with Meche from the Mariners. And I knew Meche a little bit from Louisiana. We didn’t know it was going to get to $55 million.”

Hughes: “Really, when you take everything into consideration and the whole seriousness of things, Jim was business as usual. It’s just scary to think of, because that’s what we expected of him. But come on, we were yelling at him – he didn’t belong there. He told me first thing in the morning, ‘I don’t feel good.’ Then find out what’s wrong.”

Bush: “I remember Jim was leading the discussion on different topics sitting in front of the room and just kept chewing antacids like they were candy, one after another after another.”

Hughes: “I kept asking him, ‘What are you doing here?’ He said he was there for our meetings, but I kept telling him he had to get out of there. He kept saying, ‘No, no. I’ll be fine. I’ll be fine.’ He thought it was more important to be around the hotel, running what we were trying to get done. And one of the most important things baseball-wise was trying to get Ted Lilly done.”

Nelson: “After our meeting, Jim and I went to a (general managers) meeting, and I talked to Joe Fitzgerald from MLB – who was running the convention. I asked Joe if he could help find a house doctor. He contacted the hotel rep, who contacted the doctor – and I remember it took forever for that doctor to show up. He wasn’t on site; I think he serviced the whole Disney World community.”

About an hour later, Hendry was examined by the doctor in his hotel room.

Hendry: “This doctor came up and checked me out. He said, ‘If it was me, I’d go to the hospital. My recommendation – I’m going on record that you should go get checked, but I’m not making you.’ That’s what he said. In fairness to him, just like with Doc Adams, I was downplaying it. I didn’t want to leave. I could handle this until I got home. If he had been more forceful and said ‘Hey dude, you could be screwed here. It looks like a heart attack coming,’ I would have gone earlier.”

O’Brien had come to the suite for his meeting. Nelson stalled him while the doctor was finishing examining Hendry, telling the agent that Jim was on a phone call.

Hendry: “Right away, Larry told me that everyone else was out except the Yankees – and that he’d let me know later that afternoon or early that evening what their decision was. That’s when I offered him 4-for-40 (four years, $40 million). When I made him our final offer, he gave me a ‘Bingo – that’s the number we’re looking for. If the Yankees won’t do it, then you’re going to get him.’ And I remember trying to talk him into taking it earlier before he heard from the Yankees. ‘We’ve been with you the whole time. You were our first guy.’ You know, the whole Eddie Haskell deal. But Ted still needed to hear from Brian (Cashman) – which was rightfully so.”

O’Brien: “Jim said, ‘Four years, $40 million.’ Then I called Ted. He still wanted me to talk to San Francisco and New York.”

Lilly: “I didn’t want to rush into something. I just wanted to see if there was any possibility with San Francisco, but I believed we were good (with the Cubs). And when the Cubs made their offer … from the standpoint of Toronto, I just thought it was time for me to move on.”

O’Brien: “I gave [the Giants] a call. They were interested, but they were working on signing Barry Zito to that seven-year deal. So I knew they were going in a different direction.”

– – –

Wednesday Early Afternoon

After O’Brien left the suite, Hendry tried to relax for a while. At that point, he was tiring of everyone telling him to take it easy. Plus, he had already seen the hotel doctor, so he thought he was out of the woods.

Hendry: “Early in the afternoon, Lou, Nelly (Scott Nelson) and I were in the suite, and we were on edge about Ted … and all of a sudden, I remembered we had the Scout of the Year banquet that night to honor (Cubs scouting director) Tim Wilken. I was going to give the introduction, and I hadn’t prepared anything. I was starting to write something down. I was really starting to feel even worse. I had another little thing in front of them, and Lou said, ‘Enough is enough.’”

Piniella: “He had been fighting this thing for over a day. I finally told him, ‘Enough is enough, Jim. You’re going to the hospital whether you like it or not.’”

Nelson: “Lou said he wanted to call for an ambulance. Jim said ‘No, we’ll just go in your car.’”

Piniella: “He fought us tooth-and-nail the whole way. He said, ‘I’m busy working. I’ve got to get a few more things done.’ We told him, ‘Hell, those things can wait.’ We insisted that we take him to the hospital to check him out. In fact, I drove him.”

Nelson: “I remember walking through the hotel lobby with Jim and Lou, heading to Lou’s car. People were stopping to chat with Jim, and we were just trying to get him through. We obviously weren’t telling anybody what was going on. At least the clinic we went to wasn’t too far from the hotel.”

As the afternoon went on, word spread among Cubs personnel that Hendry had gone to the hospital – and that no one outside the organization was to know.

Hughes: “I thought that he was dealing with something that was extremely serious, and he wasn’t telling us. I wasn’t surprised that he went to the hospital; I was just surprised that it took him that long to go. I was thankful that Lou got him there.”

Bush: “I was at a different meeting when the decision was made to take him to the hospital. When I got back to the suite, I was told Jim was getting checked out. Then we started getting verbal reports that there might be some type of heart issue – which was very scary for all of us. Jim was more than a boss to everybody; he was a friend. I remember that the room was very upset. There was a lot of tension, just wanting some information, just wanting to know how he was doing.”

– – –

Wednesday Late Afternoon

After Piniella and Nelson got Hendry to the nearby clinic, the Cubs’ general manager was immediately taken for an EKG.

“It seemed to be going OK,” Hendry said. “I had a resident overseeing it. When it was over, I asked the guy, ‘Give it to me straight, I’ve got to get back to work. How did it look?’ And he implied that it wasn’t that bad, but the doctor had to sign off on it. I remember waiting 15-20 minutes for the doctor, and I was getting antsy. So I went and got dressed.

“I checked my messages and made a few calls. Then the nurse came in and said the doctor needed to see me. When he finally came in, the doctor said he’d have to give me another EKG and that he would monitor it. ‘I don’t think it was done right. There were a few issues that clouded the results. We’re going to have to do it again.’

“I was chapped. I said, ‘Doc, I’ve got to get going. I have things to do.’ He said something medically or legally – whatever – that he couldn’t send me out until he did another EKG.

“Then I said, ‘I promise you, if I have any more trouble tonight, I’ll be back tomorrow.’ And he said, ‘Jim, listen to me. If you walk out that door, you might not make it to tomorrow.’ Ooh … that was kind of a buckler. He stayed in there while I took the EKG again.”

As the day had moved from early afternoon to late afternoon, O’Brien was busy doing his due diligence on behalf of his client. He had talked to the Giants, and knew they were closing in on Zito (the two sides would agree to a seven-year, $126-million contract). He had talked to the Yankees, and was again told that their number one priority was Igawa; the Yankees, who had won Igawa’s posting rights with a bid of $26,000,194, would soon sign him to a five-year, $20-million contract.

O’Brien and Cashman spoke. “Bottom line, Larry O’Brien is a straight shooter … a good man to do business with,” Cashman said. “He tells you exactly the bottom line and what it will take. He was very upfront that Ted wanted to play for the Yankees if we could make it work. Larry constantly stayed in touch with us. We knew they were going down the tracks and he was going to go to the Cubs if we didn’t jump in. At the end of the day, we never made Ted an official offer.”

O’Brien and Lilly spoke. “I told him, ‘The Cubs are great. Lou is great. He loves veteran guys. You’ll be well taken care of,’’ O’Brien said – and it was time to let Hendry know that Lilly was Cubs-bound.

And then the legendary phone call between O’Brien and Hendry took place.

Hendry: “I was on the gurney, still hooked up to the machine, and by now the doctor had alerted me that it wasn’t going good. The funny part is, and it’s not really funny … to this day, I still don’t know why I had my phone in my hand while the EKG machine was on. Most people would have left it in their pants pocket. I took the call on the gurney, hooked up to the machine. I knew there was some kind of complication or problem. And while I was on the gurney – it must have been somewhere between 4-to-5 o’clock by now – Larry O’Brien called me back. I wasn’t thinking about heart surgery when I took the phone call from Larry.”

O’Brien: “I said to Jim, ‘We’ve got a deal.’”

Hendry: “So Larry gave me the good news. I didn’t tell him where I was. He said, ‘He’s not going to the Yankees. He’s a Cub. We got the deal done. 4 for 40.’ And he said, ‘Let’s get the paperwork and the term sheet done right away. I said, ‘Larry, give me a few minutes. I’m going to have Scott Nelson do the work.’ I didn’t want to tell him where I was. ‘I’ll tell Nelly to meet you in the room at 6 o’clock.’”

Piniella: “Lo and behold, instead of just resting and taking care of his health, he was determined to get everything done that we needed done. He was laying there, working on the Lilly deal. He was so determined to get this thing done. It was unbelievable.”

O’Brien: “Then he said, ‘Here, I’m going to let you talk to Lou.’ He gives me to Lou, and I said, ‘What’s going on?’ And Lou said, ‘Hey Lar, it’s great that we’re coming to an agreement.’ And that’s when he said, ‘Jim’s not supposed to be on the phone right now because he’s in the hospital having an EKG. He has some sort of a heart issue.’ And I said, ‘Why didn’t he tell me that? Let’s get off the phone. I don’t want tomorrow’s headlines to be Hendry has a heart attack and dies while negotiating with O’Brien.’”

Nelson: “While I was waiting for him when he was taking the second EKG, I went in the back – and that’s when he was talking to Larry O’Brien. Lou was there with him. Jim’s phone was running low, and after the call he said to me, ‘I need a charger.’ I told him Lou and I will go find one at a store nearby.”

Piniella: “I remember doing that, yes. I really do (laughing). He’s laying there working, his phone was on the brink, and we had to get his phone recharged. That was a priority. Jim was barking at us.”

Hendry: “After talking to Larry, I called Ted and congratulated him. I didn’t tell him a word about me, obviously. I told him we were thrilled to have him, that he made the right choice. You know, the whole deal. The whole time I talked to Ted, I was still on the gurney.”

Lilly: “When I got off the phone, I remember saying to myself, ‘I feel comfortable with this. This is the right place.’ And I had no idea that he was in the physical condition that he was in.”

Hendry: “They made me wait. It turns out the doctor was consulting with another doctor. I thought they were going to let me leave, but then the doctor came in and said, ‘We’re going to either helicopter you or get you an ambulance to get you to a heart hospital 30 miles from here. You’re going to have to have a procedure tonight.’ That was a jolt.”

Nelson: “As we were about to drive off in Lou’s car, we were told we would have a little time before he was transferred. So we thought we had time to go and find a charger. We went to a phone store, we went to Walgreens, it was crazy. We couldn’t find one. And I knew Jim was going to leave pretty soon, and we had to get that charger. Lou was whipping down the streets of Celebration (Fla.). To steal an analogy to Disneyland, it was like Mr. Toad’s Wild Ride. He was going over 60 MPH in a 30. There were humps on these streets, and we were flying all over. Ultimately, we must have got one – although I don’t remember where. Just as we got back, he was in the ambulance – about 30 seconds away from going. I jumped in the passenger seat and boom … off we went.”

Hendry: “Nelly went with me in the ambulance, meaning he wouldn’t be heading back to the hotel. So I called Larry back and finally told him what was going on. He was joking around and said to me, ‘I hope the pressure of this thing didn’t do this to you.’ Since Nelly was going with me, I had to let Larry know he’d have to do the term sheet with Nelly either late tonight or tomorrow.”

Nelson and O’Brien finalized the deal the next morning, as Nelson didn’t get back to the hotel until late Wednesday night.

Hendry: “Like an idiot, I kept calling people from the ambulance. I called Randy to let him know I couldn’t make the banquet.”

Bush: “A number of us went to the Scout of the Year banquet. I was sitting at a table near the back of the room when my phone rang, and it was Jim. I remember whispering in a really hushed voice, ‘Hey, how’s it going?’ And Jim’s response was, ‘Busher, I’ve got good news and bad news. The good news is, we just got Ted Lilly done.’ And I said, ‘That’s great. What’s the bad news?’ And he said, ‘The bad news is, it’s not looking too good for me right now. I’m on my way into the operating room. I have to have a heart procedure. I’ll call you later.’ And he hung up, just like that.”

Hendry: “I called [the author] to make sure to tell Wilken to sell the Rule 5 pick, hung up, and was getting ready to make another call when the paramedic in the back of the ambulance said, ‘Dude, what are you doing? We’re not going for another opinion; you’re going in for a procedure. I can’t tell you how it’s going to go. So why don’t you call the people you love instead of your peers at work and tell them what’s going on.’ And then he said, ‘You might not make it. You never know. You’ve got to quit worrying about business calls.’”

The hospital – Florida Hospital South (now known as Florida Hospital Orlando) – was a 30-mile trip in rush-hour traffic. Taking the advice of the paramedic, Hendry was able to shift his focus to calling family members.

Hendry: “Thankfully, I had just enough time to call my children and (his girlfriend) Vickie before it became breaking news in Chicago. I didn’t want them to hear about me on TV. The calls home were a little tough. The kids weren’t that old … and they were supposed to be flying down to Disney World to meet me for the weekend. When I made the calls home, I didn’t want to make it sound that bad; in ’06, they were still young – 10 and 8. I called the house and told them, ‘You’re going to see it on TV. I’m going into the hospital tonight. It’s just a little procedure, but I’ll be fine. I just wanted to let you know before you see it on TV.’ And I remember my daughter saying to me, ‘Dad, does that mean we’re not coming to Disney on Friday?’

– – –

Wednesday Early Evening

As the ambulance was traveling to Florida Hospital South, the Cubs announced that Hendry had been hospitalized when it was time for his daily Winter Meetings press briefing with members of the local Chicago media.

About 20 minutes later, O’Brien stood in the lobby of the Disney World Swan and Dolphin Resort and, before assembled media, famously made his announcement: “Ted Lilly is a Cub.”

“I recall telling the media that I didn’t want to go over the same story with everybody who was calling me, so I told them I would be at the Christmas tree in the lobby at a certain time – and I’ll give you updates at that point. That’s how I did it,” O’Brien said. “I did tell everyone that Ted was a Cub, and he was really excited about it.”

By now, Hendry had arrived at the hospital and was being prepped for surgery. He was about to undergo an angioplasty – a procedure to open narrowed or blocked arteries that supply blood to the heart. During the procedure, stents were inserted to help prevent the artery from closing.

“When I first got wheeled into the operating room – and I hadn’t met the doctor yet – there was a period of about 60 seconds, maybe two minutes, where I was thinking, ‘I hope this isn’t it,’” Hendry said, “I don’t know why, but I wasn’t as scared as I probably should have been. I’m not tougher than anybody else, but I really wasn’t in a panic mode.

“Looking back, I probably should have been more uptight than I was. They wheeled me right in, and it was the funniest thing. I swear, it was like seeing the cast of Grey’s Anatomy. They were telling me how lucky I was because the best doctor in the whole hospital was a guy named Dr. (Pradipkumar) Jamnadas. They told me he was only on call two or three nights a month, and you don’t know how lucky you are that you’ve got him.

“I saw him walk into the operating room. They had taken my EKG records to show him. He came over and introduced himself and said, ‘Look, I’m going to do this through your groin. You’re going to need some stents, but you’re not going to need open heart. You’re going to be OK. You’re going to make it. I’ve done a bunch of these before.’

“I wasn’t out yet, and he said, ‘We’ll get going in a few minutes.’ Then he leaned in and said, ‘By the way, they call me Dr. J around here.’ And I said, ‘Doc, you better play like him tonight.’

“The next thing I knew, I woke up in the recovery room.”

– – –

Wednesday Night

Looking back, Nelson is able to laugh about that night in the hospital waiting room – standing against a window and alternating cell phones while Hendry’s angioplasty was taking place.

“We get to the hospital, they unload him, and he goes in,” Nelson said. “Now I have his phone … and his phone is blowing up. So I’m going back-and-forth between my phone and his phone. That whole thing was pretty tense. Everything was happening so fast, and I was just fielding phone calls the whole time – call after call after call. I remember having to stand up pressed against a window because the reception was so poor.

“When Jim got out of surgery, they took him into recovery before taking him to intensive care. There were eight beds in a circle – and you couldn’t use cell phones. There was one old-fashioned phone that everybody had to share if they were to talk on the phone. Jim said, ‘Forget that.’ And he starts using his cell phone. He was having a hard time getting reception because of all the machines in the room. He tried using the hospital phone one time, and it was like ‘Screw this.’

“I do remember Jim using his phone that night in the ICU. But I’m still foggy about this … I still don’t remember how I got the charger. I remember whipping through town with Lou looking for the charger, but I know we must have found it – because I was taking calls on his phone that whole time.”

Meanwhile, back at the hotel …

O’Brien: “Before we finalized the deal, I said to Lou, ‘If we make a deal, I want you to buy me a steak dinner at Shula’s Restaurant,’ which was in the hotel. And I said, ‘It can’t be a Cubs credit card, and I want to order whatever bottle of wine I want and whatever steak I want.’ And I asked him, ‘Would you do that?’ And he said, ‘Absolutely.’ So after we made the deal and he got back to the hotel, he said ‘Let’s go.’ Lou and I go to Shula’s, we’re sitting and waiting for our table, and (St. Louis manager) Tony La Russa and (Florida manager) Jim Leyland walk in. La Russa looks at Piniella and said, ‘I heard some rumor. Did you guys get Ted Lilly?’ And Lou said, ‘Absolutely. And you can get it straight from the horse’s mouth. Tony La Russa, meet Larry O’Brien – Ted Lilly’s agent.’”

Piniella: “I remember Tony saying, ‘Boy, you guys have done a lot of things. We better watch out for you next year.’ I think he was right.”

As the night went on, word spread throughout the hotel about Hendry’s hospitalization – and the fact that he was now undergoing a heart procedure.

Bush: “After the Scout of the Year banquet, we all went upstairs. I just remember having this very solemn room, very concerned. As I recall, we didn’t even know what kind of procedure he was having done. We were really concerned and really down. The whole room was just waiting for news.”

Seth Levinson: “When I learned that Jim was taken to the hospital, it was a blow that knocked the wind from my soul.”

O’Brien: “I didn’t really understand the magnitude of it at the time. I was in my own little world, worrying about Ted and being excited about the Cubs and his deal. The magnitude of what was going on with Jim really didn’t sink in until I was back home in California – and I’m thinking, ‘Oh my gosh, this was serious.’”

Then came the reality in the Cubs’ suite. There was still work to be done.

“That night, it was my responsibility to go out in the lobby and sell our Rule 5 pick,” Wilken said. “We had to get underneath 40 on our major league roster. It wasn’t just for Lilly. We had re-signed Henry Blanco a couple weeks before the meetings, and we were getting pressure from New York to get him officially on the roster. With all the guys coming and going, it was kind of a wild and furious time. So that night, I was out working the lobby (the Cubs were drafting third overall), and I’m sure I touched base with at least 25 of the clubs. I was able to reach a deal with Cincinnati and sold the pick for $100,000.”

In order to do that, the Cubs first had to clear a spot on the 40-man roster. To sum things up: Clear a spot … take a Rule 5 selection … trade that selection … and once again have a vacancy, at least for the time being.

Bush and Hughes reached an agreement with Baltimore, with the Cubs sending utility man Freddie Bynum to the Orioles in exchange for Class A pitcher Kevin Hart.

It was the first trade Bush consummated. “I’m glad it worked out. I’m glad Kevin Hart came up and helped us at the big league level.”

– – –

Thursday, December 7, 2006

Hendry woke up Thursday morning feeling great and ready to get back to work – from the ICU.

“Dr. J came in early in the morning and told me he put four stents in – and that I was going to be OK,” Hendry said. “So I had to see what was going on.”

Hughes recalled that he received multiple calls from Hendry during the Rule 5 draft, but couldn’t get the Cubs’ GM to worry about himself.

“That was one of the scariest things I’ve been around,” Hughes said. “I can say all these nice things about Jim, but he’s pigheaded, too. He thought all of that stuff was way more important than his health. All things ended well, but boy oh boy, when you think back at the seriousness of it … you know, God bless Ted, but thank God for Jim.”

What was Hendry missing out on at the Rule 5 draft?

“I got this folded up sheet of paper from the Reds about a minute before the draft,” Wilken said. “We were drafting Josh Hamilton for them.”

And that’s how Hamilton became a Cub for approximately 30 seconds.

– – –

Friday, December 8, 2006

After the Rule 5 draft ended the day before, the major league portion of the Winter Meetings came to a close.

While most of the sport had departed from Orlando, Hendry remained in intensive care and was still trying to consummate deals. From his hospital bed that afternoon, he and the Levinson brothers came to a three-year, $21 million agreement on Marquis – who had won 42 games over the previous three years as a member of the St. Louis Cardinals’ starting rotation.

Seth Levinson: “Amazingly and incomprehensibly, the sick man managed to call me from the ICU. Despite pleas to get off the phone and with the unmistakable beeping noises of hospital machinery in the background, Jim assured me that he was fine. I was dismayed that he wanted to finish the Marquis deal – which we did.”

Hendry: “I remember as soon as I finished the call, this lady came in and took my phone. She was chapped that I had a phone in intensive care. They took my phone for a while. When the doc came to see me, I told him I needed to get my phone back for a couple hours.”

Seth Levinson: “To help make his hospital stay a bit more enjoyable, we sent a singing gorilla to ICU to serenade him with get-well songs. Hopefully, that got his recovery off to a good start, or at least temporarily took his mind off of business.”

Hendry: “The Levinsons sent a gorilla with a dozen black balloons – like I had already died.”

– – –

Final Thoughts

Hendry got out of the hospital on Saturday and stayed another day in Orlando. “I remember taking a walk on the boardwalk near the hotel and just getting my legs back under me. And then on Sunday afternoon, I flew home.

“Looking back, I probably should have been more uptight than I was. I think that it hit me by the time I got home – how lucky I was.”

Lilly was an important part of the Cubs’ rotation for three and a half years, going 47-34 with a 3.70 ERA in 113 starts for the club – winners of the National League Central Division in both 2007 and 2008.

He was a 15-game winner for the Cubs in 2007 … a career-best 17-game winner in 2008 … and an All-Star in 2009. He was traded to the Dodgers at the 2010 trade deadline and went on to pitch through 2013.

“I don’t think Ted got to be Ted until he was with us,” Hendry said. “We got quite a bit of scrutiny for giving Ted four times 10. As we all know now, he earned every penny of it.

“Ted did well for us. He’s a real different cat, but he was a ballsy guy. I used to tell people he’d fight (Muhammad) Ali behind a 7-11 and think he was going to win.”

And to think … the agreement to get his target pitcher took place while Hendry was undergoing an EKG.

“To this day, the story obviously has been embellished in some ways by the fact that a couple hours later I was going to have a heart procedure – but the fact is that Larry O’Brien called me when I was on the gurney,” Hendry said.

“Jim Hendry was a joy to meet and to negotiate with,” O’Brien said. “He was very clear and upfront with me that he wanted Ted Lilly, and if Ted Lilly wanted to be a Cub, then he was going to make that happen. So the negotiation was pretty easy.

“Looking back, this guy was on his death bed – and to have the energy and the stick–to–itiveness and persistence to get this done was pretty amazing.”

And as Cashman summed it up about Hendry being on a gurney at the time the agreement was reached: “Obviously, it turned out to be a tremendous decision for Jim Hendry and the Cubs,” he said. “In real time, I was massively worried for Jim.

“Jim eats, breathes and lives baseball. The passion is unquestioned. If anybody questions his dedication, this is Exhibit A with an exclamation point; that’s just the way he’s wired. I remember that he was trying to get Lou Piniella the best team possible as they took that run to breaking the curse – and they got damned close doing so. Unfortunately, how close they got is probably forgotten. I know we as an industry were worried sick about Jim and his health, but it’s nice to be able to look back on it in a fond way promoting how dedicated Jim is – because he survived it.”

– – –

Chuck Wasserstrom spent 25 years in the Chicago Cubs’ front office – 16 in Media Relations and nine in Baseball Operations. Now a freelance writer, his behind-the-scenes stories of his time in a big league front office can be found on www.chuckblogerstrom.com.

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Braves Release John Danks

By charliewilmoth | March 20, 2017 at 2:20pm CDT

3:27pm: The Braves have officially announced the move.

2:20pm: MLBTR has learned that veteran lefty John Danks asked for and will be granted his release by the Braves. Danks is willing to sign elsewhere, but is not interested in pitching in the minors.

Danks reached a minor-league deal with Atlanta in December, then allowed seven runs while striking out seven and walking six over 9 2/3 innings of spring work. Even before those disappointing performances, Danks seemed unlikely to crack a Braves rotation that will feature Julio Teheran, Bartolo Colon, Jaime Garcia, R.A. Dickey and Mike Foltynewicz. The 31-year-old Danks pitched with the White Sox early in the 2016 season but did not pitch for another team after being released in May.

Danks has pitched over 1,500 innings and won 79 games over parts of ten seasons in the big leagues, all of them with the White Sox, and he stood out as a rotation workhorse from 2008 through 2011. He has, however, had a rough go since shoulder problems that resulted in surgery in 2012 — in the last five seasons, he has a 4.92 ERA, 6.0 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 while dealing with an average fastball velocity that’s gradually slipped from 91.6 MPH to 87.1 MPH last year. He made $65MM over those five seasons thanks to a long-term deal he signed prior to the 2012 season, although that contract expired last fall.

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Offseason In Review: Chicago Cubs

By Tim Dierkes | March 20, 2017 at 11:08am CDT

Check out all the published entries in our Offseason in Review series here.

Fresh off their first World Championship since 1908, the Cubs acquired a top-shelf closer and spent modestly in free agency.

Major League Signings

  • Jon Jay, CF: one year, $8MM
  • Koji Uehara, RP: one year, $6MM
  • Brett Anderson, SP: one year, $3.5MM.  Includes performance bonuses based on starts.
  • Brian Duensing, RP: one year, $2MM
  • Total spend: $19.5MM.

Trades And Claims

  • Claimed RP Conor Mullee off waivers from Yankees (later non-tendered and re-signed to minor league deal)
  • Acquired RP Wade Davis from Royals for OF Jorge Soler
  • Acquired P Caleb Smith from Brewers for a player to be named later or cash. Smith had been taken by the Brewers from the Yankees in the Major League Rule 5 draft and remains subject to those rules.
  • Claimed RP David Rollins off waivers from Rangers (later outrighted and cleared waivers)
  • Claimed RP Dylan Floro off waivers from Rays (later outrighted and cleared waivers)
  • Acquired SP Eddie Butler from Rockies for RP James Farris and an international bonus slot
  • Acquired SP Alec Mills from Royals for CF Donnie Dewees

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Jemile Weeks, Jim Henderson, Munenori Kawasaki, Williams Perez, Andury Acevedo, Gerardo Concepcion, Casey Kelly, Manny Parra, Zac Rosscup, Carlos Corporan, Fernando Rodriguez

Extensions

  • Pedro Strop, RP: Two years, $11.85MM.  Replaced one-year, $5.5MM arbitration deal for 2017.  Includes $6.25MM club option for 2019 with a $500K buyout.

Notable Losses

  • Dexter Fowler, Aroldis Chapman, Jorge Soler, David Ross, Jason Hammel, Trevor Cahill, Travis Wood, Clayton Richard, Joe Smith, Chris Coghlan, James Farris, Donnie Dewees, Armando Rivero, Spencer Patton

Cubs Roster; Cubs Payroll Information

Needs Addressed

An MLB front office never rests.  Before the buzz wore off from the Cubs’ epic World Series parade, Theo Epstein and company met with starting pitcher Jason Hammel regarding his 2017 club option, according to Patrick Mooney of CSN Chicago.  Earlier this month, Hammel explained to reporters, “I love how people were saying it was a choice, because it really wasn’t.  It was either basically pitch out of the bullpen or not have a job.”  Hammel told the Cubs to cut him loose, and the team set off searching for rotation depth to complement Mike Montgomery.

It appeared the Cubs’ top priority was Tyson Ross, the 29-year-old righty who was non-tendered by the Padres in December.  Ross’ lost 2016 culminated in thoracic outlet surgery in mid-October, and the arbitration system would have required the Padres to pay him $7.68MM or more this year.  The Cubs ended up finishing second for Ross, who received a $6MM guarantee from the Rangers in mid-January.

Enter Plan B: 29-year-old southpaw Brett Anderson.  The oft-injured lefty had finally returned to the 30-start milestone with the 2015 Dodgers, and accepted that club’s $15.8MM qualifying offer for 2016.  Things quickly went sour for him, as Anderson was diagnosed with a bulging disk in his back that required surgery in March.  Anderson made his 2016 Dodgers debut on August 14th, but then dealt with a wrist sprain and a blister.  Unlike Ross, Anderson is at least MLB-ready at this moment.  Whether he makes five or 25 starts for the Cubs this year, the Cubs haven’t risked much.  Manager Joe Maddon has indicated Montgomery and Anderson may share the fifth starter job, or the team could occasionally go to a six-man rotation.

Soon after the Anderson signing, the Cubs added two more depth pieces in Eddie Butler and Alec Mills.  Both had been designated for assignment by their former teams and have an option remaining, meaning they’ll likely open the season at Triple-A Iowa.  Butler remains somewhat intriguing, as outlined by Eno Sarris of FanGraphs.

The bottom line: with a returning rotation of Jake Arrieta, Jon Lester, Kyle Hendricks, and John Lackey, the Cubs did not feel the need to go big for their self-created rotation vacancy.  They expressed no reported interest in free agents such as Rich Hill, Ivan Nova, or Charlie Morton, and seemingly were not involved in trade talks for Taijuan Walker, Drew Smyly, Dan Straily, or Jose De Leon.  The assumption is that Chris Sale wasn’t a consideration, given the White Sox’ likely reluctance to send their ace across town.

Feb 21, 2017; Mesa, AZ, USA; Chicago Cubs outfielder Jon Jay poses for a portrait during photo day at Sloan Park. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Cubs also took a measured approach toward center field.  Even with the luxury tax threshold in sight, the Cubs could have afforded to re-sign Dexter Fowler at the $82.5MM he ultimately received from the Cardinals.  But this is a disciplined front office, one that didn’t seem interested in giving Fowler a three-year deal during his previous free agency.  So, gone is the two or three-win player Fowler might be this year, replaced by incumbent Albert Almora and free agent signing Jon Jay (pictured).  The Cubs struck quickly to add Jay, a 32-year-old veteran who can hit for average and play an acceptable center field.  Jay will serve as a safety net for Almora, who turns 23 in April and was drafted sixth overall by the Cubs in 2012.  Baseball America describes Almora as “a potential Gold Glove winner in center.”  If he can show a tolerable bat at the bottom of the Cubs’ order, Almora will have the center field job for years.  Rather than give Fowler a risky long-term deal, the Cubs elected to accept a short-term downgrade and increased risk with center field for 2017.

You may be sensing a trend toward conservatism in the Cubs’ offseason.  Indeed, all four free agents they signed received one-year deals.  During the summer, Epstein and company actually did mortgage a piece of the team’s future, sending potential star infielder Gleyber Torres to the Yankees to rent flamethrowing reliever Aroldis Chapman.

Feb 21, 2017; Mesa, AZ, USA; Chicago Cubs pitcher Wade Davis poses for a portrait during photo day at Sloan Park. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Shortly after the Cubs became World Champions, though, prudence set in.  Record-shattering five-year deals for Chapman or Kenley Jansen didn’t interest the Cubs, who instead made a Winter Meetings deal to acquire Wade Davis (pictured) from the Royals for Jorge Soler.  The deal carries its own kind of risk, just not financial.  In Soler, the Cubs traded away four years of control of a 25-year-old with a potential All-Star bat.  However, Soler had no role in the Cubs’ crowded outfield, hadn’t impressed much in his 765 plate appearances with the team, and had battled injuries throughout his tenure.  His loss has little effect on the 2017 club.  Davis, who the Cubs control for just one year, was among the game’s best relievers from 2014-15.  However, he missed 52 days in 2016 with elbow problems.  The Cubs have said they feel confident about Davis’ health.

The Cubs also added Koji Uehara, who turns 42 in April.  Uehara is about as dominant as a reliever can be with an 87-MPH fastball, though he is an extreme flyball pitcher.  Like Davis, he’s an obvious health risk.  There’s a good chance the Cubs’ bullpen depth will be tested this year, with righties Hector Rondon, Pedro Strop, Carl Edwards Jr., and Justin Grimm expected to have roles.  Strop, who has a 2.65 ERA over the last three years with the Cubs, signed a team-friendly extension that added only $6.35MM in guaranteed money.

The Cubs entered the offseason without much left-handed relief depth.  After reportedly showing interest in top free agent lefty Brett Cecil in November, the club settled on Brian Duensing as their lone Major League signing for this vacancy.  Duensing, 34, spent the first two months of the 2016 season in Triple-A and later missed over two months to elbow surgery.  His effectiveness against lefties has come and gone over the last few seasons.  The Cubs added more lefty relief depth with Rule 5er Caleb Smith, but he’s barely pitched above Double-A and is a long shot to stick in a Major League bullpen all year.  Montgomery may eventually be needed to shore up the Cubs’ left-handed relief, if Anderson is able to handle the fifth starter job.

More analysis after the break …Read more

Questions Remaining

Epstein’s February comments were telling.  According to Patrick Mooney, the Cubs’ president noted, “We really want to be cognizant of leaving some flexibility for in-season moves, leaving a little cushion beneath the CBT (competitive balance tax) threshold for us to be able to operate.”  It’s easy to picture the Cubs acquiring pitching this summer after their relatively quiet winter, especially with health risks like Davis, Anderson, and Uehara.  When that time comes, the Cubs have higher-caliber prospects like Eloy Jimenez and Ian Happ, as well as lesser, blocked prospects like Mark Zagunis and Jeimer Candelario.

In the more immediate future, the Cubs seem likely to trade outfielder Matt Szczur or infielder Tommy La Stella.  Szczur, who is out of minor league options, has few paths to playing time in a Cubs outfield that includes Almora, Jay, Kyle Schwarber, Jason Heyward, and Ben Zobrist.  La Stella can be optioned, but last year he refused to report when the Cubs attempted to send him to Iowa.  It seems that Cubs fans overwhelmingly prefer to keep Szczur, but La Stella is the better roster fit despite last year’s incident.  It’s possible an injury could buy the Cubs some time, but everyone is healthy at present.

Maddon’s creativity will be needed more than ever in 2017.  On any given day, the Cubs are likely to have a few starting-caliber players on their bench.  The trickiest issue might be Heyward.  The 27-year-old had an abysmal Cubs debut with the bat last year, and spent the winter reworking his swing.  With so much talent on the Cubs’ roster as they try to defend their title, a player coming off the season Heyward had would typically need to earn his playing time.  However, Heyward is owed $149MM over the next seven years.  His may be the most untradeable contract in baseball.  Given that guaranteed money, the Cubs badly want to see Heyward become an above-average hitter again.  If Heyward’s struggles continue into May or June, the team will have to grapple with the idea of a $21MM bench player.

Jake Arrieta’s free agency will continue to loom over the Cubs.  Arrieta topped my recent 2017-18 Free Agent Power Rankings, and there has been little traction between the Cubs and agent Scott Boras.  Most assume Arrieta will be allowed to leave and seek a six or seven-year deal elsewhere.  Even a five-year deal in excess of $150MM may be too risky for the Cubs.  As far as the long-term look of the Cubs’ rotation, the team controls both Jon Lester and Kyle Hendricks through 2020.  While they might be able to squeeze another year out of Lackey, the team’s front office will surely be on the lookout for young starting pitching that can help in 2018 and beyond.

Overview

Back in November, Epstein said, “We made two offseasons worth of acquisitions last winter, two offseasons worth of spending.  We were very open about that at the time, knowing this winter there wouldn’t quite be the same type of talent available to us.”  Epstein then went out and validated that comment, making just one significant trade and spending less than $20MM on a quartet of one-year free agent contracts.  Despite the relatively quiet winter, the Cubs again project as the best team in baseball as they look to become the first team to win back-to-back World Championships since the 1999 Yankees.

What’s your take on the Cubs’ winter?  (Link for app users.)

How would you grade the Cubs' offseason?
B 54.95% (1,199 votes)
A 23.14% (505 votes)
C 17.28% (377 votes)
D 2.98% (65 votes)
F 1.65% (36 votes)
Total Votes: 2,182

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Offseason In Review: Toronto Blue Jays

By Mark Polishuk | March 19, 2017 at 7:41pm CDT

This is the latest entry in MLBTR’s Offseason In Review series.

The Blue Jays added several veteran reinforcements to their roster and brought back franchise icon Jose Bautista, though the loss of Edwin Encarnacion may linger as a “what-if” scenario for years to come.

Major League Signings

  • Kendrys Morales, DH/1B: Three years, $33MM
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr., IF/OF: Seven years, $22MM
  • Jose Bautista, RF: One year, $18.5MM (plus $17MM mutual option for 2018 and $20MM vesting option for 2019)
  • Steve Pearce, 1B/OF: Two years, $12.5MM
  • J.P. Howell, RP: One year, $3MM
  • Joe Smith, RP: One year, $3MM
  • Total spend: $92MM

Trades And Claims

  • Claimed RHP Dominic Leone off waivers from Diamondbacks
  • Claimed RHP Leonel Campos off waivers from Padres
  • Claimed C Juan Graterol off waivers from Angels
  • Selected RHP Glenn Sparkman from Royals in the Rule 5 Draft

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Jeff Beliveau, Jonathan Diaz, Jake Elmore, Gavin Floyd, Jarrett Grube, Lucas Harrell, T.J. House, Mat Latos, Rafael Lopez, Brett Oberholtzer, Mike Ohlman, Gregorio Petit, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Jose Tabata

Notable Losses

  • Edwin Encarnacion, R.A. Dickey, Michael Saunders, Brett Cecil, Joaquin Benoit, Scott Feldman, Josh Thole, A.J. Jimenez

Toronto Blue Jays Depth Chart; Blue Jays Payroll Overview

Needs Addressed

When Encarnacion didn’t quickly accept the Blue Jays’ early offer of a four-year, $80MM contract, Toronto moved right on to its Plan B in another experienced slugger in Kendrys Morales.  While Morales’ numbers over the last five years don’t match Encarnacion for either consistency or sheer production, the switch-hitter has still produced above-average offensive numbers for much of his career, and is just a season removed from a .290/.362/.485 line with the world champion Royals in 2015.  Last year, Morales got off to a very slow start in the first two months before heating up to the tune of an .888 OPS over 423 PA from June 1 onward.  Interestingly, Jays GM Ross Atkins suggested that Morales could see a “good deal” of action as a first baseman, though since Morales has played just 16 games at first since the start of the 2015 season, one would suspect Morales will fill more of a primary DH role.

Adding more versatility to the lineup is Steve Pearce, signed to a two-year deal despite undergoing elbow surgery last September.  (Pearce has been limited to DH duty thus far in Spring Training but otherwise looks to be in fine condition.)  Pearce appears to be the Jays’ first choice in left field, though he has also seen time in right, first base and even second base in recent years.

While he has been particularly good against southpaws, Pearce has an overall .266/.348/.485 slash line from 2013-16, making him a solid choice as an everyday player whenever Toronto decides to use him.  Against left-handed pitching, Pearce could play first with Melvin Upton or Ezequiel Carrera handling left field.  With a righty on the mound, Pearce could play left while Justin Smoak starts at first.  Pearce could also spell Bautista in right field on occasion, or serve as a stopgap at second base if Devon Travis’ availability for Opening Day is still in doubt.

Jose Bautista (vertical)Bautista didn’t enter free agency on a high note, as he was limited to just 116 games due to injuries during his age-35 campaign.  It also didn’t help Bautista that the market for free agent hitters in general was rather a cool one this year, and while a number of teams (such as the Indians, Phillies and Orioles) were speculatively linked as interested candidates for a signing, a lack of concrete interest allowed the Jays to re-emerge as suitors in late December.

Though one mystery team reportedly offered Bautista a three-year deal worth more than $50MM, he instead rejoined the Jays for $18.5MM and just one guaranteed year.  One would think that a vintage Bautista season in 2017 will lead the slugger to decline his end of a 2018 mutual option in search of a bigger multi-year contract without the anchor of the qualifying offer weighing down his market.  If that ends up being the case, the Jays couldn’t really complain about getting one final outstanding year from one of the franchise’s greatest hitters, even if they’re no longer in line for draft compensation.

Re-signing Bautista allows the Jays to fill a need in right field, with the hope that a season of better health will allow him to provide better defense.  Bautista still hit .234/.366/.452 with 22 homers despite his injury woes last year, though Toronto will be hoping for more production to help make up for Encarnacion’s departure.

The Jays replaced free agents Brett Cecil and Joaquin Benoit in their bullpen by signing another pair of veterans in lefty J.P. Howell and right-hander Joe Smith.  Before signing Howell, Toronto also considered other southpaws such as Jerry Blevins and Boone Logan.  The Blue Jays did consider making a bigger expenditure on their pen, as the team had some talks with the White Sox about David Robertson.

After parting ways with Josh Thole and Dioner Navarro, the Jays addressed their backup catching needs by signing veteran Jarrod Saltalamacchia to a minor league contract.  “Salty” is the favorite to serve as Russell Martin’s understudy, while the Blue Jays made some other minor acquisitions (i.e. Juan Graterol, Mike Ohlman) to build catching depth.

On the international signing front, Toronto made a splash by signing highly-regarded Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to a seven-year, $22MM deal.  The 23-year-old Gurriel hails from one of Cuba’s most respected baseball families (his father is one of Cuba’s greatest players and his older brother Yulieski plays for the Astros) and could potentially line up at several different positions around the diamond.  Gurriel is probably at least a year away from the big leagues but he stands out as an intriguing building block for the future.

Questions Remaining

Going into the offseason, there was significant doubt as to whether the Jays could re-sign either Bautista or Encarnacion, and a reunion with both seemed totally out of the question.  It seemed like the Jays themselves believed the latter scenario was true, as once Encarnacion rejected that initial offer, the team jumped to sign Morales to fill Encarnacion’s role.  As the winter went on, however, the expected frenzy for Encarnacion’s service never materialized, as the first baseman signed a three-year, $60MM deal (with a $20MM club option year) with the Indians that fell below all industry projections.

Had the Jays held off on Morales and waited perhaps just a few more weeks before re-engaging Encarnacion and agent Paul Kinzer, it’s possible Encarnacion could have ended up back in Toronto at a relative discount price.  Instead, the Jays spent $33MM on Morales (who’s only a few months younger than Encarnacion and an inferior batter with no defensive value) and $18.5MM on Bautista, who certainly wouldn’t be the first star hitter to hit a sudden decline in his late 30’s.

Given the slow-moving market for all the first base/DH types on the market, Morales himself might well have still been available at a lower price tag had the Jays not been in such a rush.  If not Morales, then a scenario certainly exists where the Blue Jays would’ve indeed managed to get the band back together by re-signing both Encarnacion and Bautista.

The Jays headed into the winter with a lineup lacking in athleticism and left-handed hitters, and those issues are still on the books as Opening Day approaches.  “Any organization would be looking to create more balance, more platoon effect and potentially more speed.  But it’s just not as easy as deciding to do that and making that happen,” Atkins said during an end-of-the-season talk with reporters.

Indeed, the Jays’ main three position-player acquisitions don’t really check any of the boxes on Atkins’ general offseason wish list.  Bautista and Pearce are both right-handed bats, while the switch-hitting Morales has better career splits as a left-handed hitter over his career but has posted a better OPS from the right side of the plate in three of the last four seasons.  While Pearce can play multiple positions, Morales is more or less a full-time DH and Bautista’s declining defensive numbers of the last two years argue that he too is best deployed as DH or first baseman at this point rather than as a regular right fielder.  Morales taking the bulk of DH at-bats also means a loss of lineup flexibility — there is now less opportunity to give Martin, Troy Tulowitzki, or Josh Donaldson a break from playing the field while still keeping their bats in the lineup.

The Jays at least checked in on a wide range of players (such as Dexter Fowler, Carlos Beltran, Andrew McCutchen, Charlie Blackmon, Josh Reddick, Matt Wieters, Ian Desmond, Curtis Granderson, Jay Bruce, Sean Rodriguez and their own free agent Michael Saunders) who could’ve potentially been better fits from either a versatility standpoint or by adding more left-handed balance.  Signing the likes of Fowler or Desmond would’ve cost Toronto a first-round draft pick since both players rejected qualifying offers, though one could argue the Jays essentially surrendered a first-rounder anyway by re-signing Bautista, who also rejected a QO.

Atkins has stated that his “best-case scenario” is to have Pearce as the regular left fielder and Smoak as the regular first baseman.  Counting on Pearce for regular outfield duty on the Rogers Centre’s artificial surface is optimistic enough, as beyond his elbow surgery, Pearce has also hit the DL with oblique, hamstring and wrist injuries in the last four seasons.  Believing that Smoak is a late bloomer who can go from being a virtual replacement player (0.3 fWAR in his seven big league seasons) into a viable everyday option at age 30 is perhaps even more questionable.

It remains to be seen if Morales can handle enough first base time to at least spell Smoak against left-handed pitching.  If not, and Pearce or Bautista need to step in at the position, that opens up left or right field for an outfield mix that includes Upton, Carrera, Dalton Pompey, and Darrell Ceciliani.  Until Pearce is fully able to play, at least, the plan for left field appears to be an Upton/Carrera platoon (though the Jays are reportedly also looking around for outfield help).

Upton was a big disappointment after joining the Jays at the trade deadline, and, aside from a brief resurgence with the Padres, has been a below-average offensive producer in three of the last four seasons.  Carrera is a rare left-handed bat on the roster but his career numbers are actually better against southpaws than righties.

Ceciliani is another lefty bat who owns more traditional splits, though he also hasn’t shown much at the MLB level.  The switch-hitting Pompey is still an unknown quantity after struggling badly early in the 2015 season and being limited to mostly pinch-running duty in his subsequent time in the majors.  He is also currently being held out of action after suffering a concussion during the World Baseball Classic.

Still, hoping on unproven commodities like Pompey, Ceciliani, or first base prospect Rowdy Tellez underscores the lack of left-handed hitting options on Toronto’s roster.  Against a right-handed starter, the Jays’ lineup could feature just Morales, Smoak (a modest career .720 OPS against righties) and perhaps the switch-hitting Saltalamacchia as options from the left side, if Martin is on a rest day.  Signing a veteran outfield option like Angel Pagan would be an upgrade, though the Blue Jays are apparently unlikely to land Pagan.

Travis’ lingering injury problems create another potential issue at second base.  For the short term, the Jays could platoon Darwin Barney and Ryan Goins at the keystone, a scenario that would help the team keep the out-of-option Goins on the roster.  Pearce could play second in a pinch if Travis faced a lengthy DL stint, though it would seem almost a waste of Pearce’s versatility to lock him into his least-ideal position, not to mention the fact that using Pearce at second would also weaken left field and first base.

There were rumors earlier this winter that the Blue Jays would explore stretching Joe Biagini out as a starting pitcher so that the righty could go from being an unexpected bullpen breakout star to rotation depth.  The latest word, however, is that Biagini will remain in the relief corps, so the Jays are still thin on depth beyond their solid starting five of Aaron Sanchez, Marco Estrada, J.A. Happ, Marcus Stroman and Francisco Liriano.  Mike Bolsinger could fill a long relief or swingman role, with MLB veterans Mat Latos and Lucas Harrell also in camp on minor league deals and Gavin Floyd also back on a minors contract as he looks to rebound from another injury-plagued season.

Deal Of Note

This section actually addresses multiple deals of note — namely the one-year, $3MM contracts the Jays handed to Howell and Smith, plus the one-year, $7.5MM contract Benoit signed with the Phillies and the whopping four-year, $30.5MM deal Cecil landed from the Cardinals.

J.P. Howell

Toronto took a slow-play approach to its bullpen needs, which ended up being a shrewd tactic given the early explosion in relief prices.  Beyond the huge contracts given to star closers Aroldis Chapman, Kenley Jansen and Mark Melancon, you also saw the likes of Cecil, Mike Dunn, Brad Ziegler, Junichi Tazawa, Daniel Hudson and Marc Rzepczynski land multi-year commitments before the end of December.  The market slowed considerably as the winter went on, and thus the Jays landed both Howell and Smith for less than the Phils paid Benoit, let alone the massive outlay that would’ve been required to re-sign Cecil.

Obviously, several factors beyond just asking prices went into these signings (age, various teams’ particular preferences, etc.), including the fact that Howell and Smith are both coming off relative down years by their standards.  Cecil and Benoit were both better pitchers in 2016 than Howell and Smith, though the gap in performance doesn’t equal the $9MM gap in salaries the two pairs will earn in 2017.  Given Benoit’s age (39), Cecil’s rather inconsistent performance last season and the general inherent risk of paying significant money for relief pitching, one could argue the Blue Jays positioned themselves to get more bang for their buck in waiting out the market to sign Howell and Smith in February.

Overview

For the second straight offseason under Atkins and club president Mark Shapiro, the Blue Jays relied more on modest free agent signings rather than trades to upgrade the roster.  (In fact, Toronto was the only team that didn’t swing a single trade all winter.)  The Jays clearly didn’t want to surrender what it would’ve taken to acquire the likes of McCutchen, Blackmon or Granderson, be it prospects or young talent on the MLB roster.  Likewise, Atkins and Shapiro preferred to spread the Jays’ cash around rather than focus the spending on one big signing like Fowler, or what they thought it would’ve taken to re-sign Encarnacion.

Two winters of free agent acquisitions, even on non-blockbuster signings, add up; the Jays’ estimated payroll of over $162.6MM for 2017 will be the largest in franchise history.  With this big payroll in mind and the fact that the Jays focused their attention on veteran signings, the club is clearly still in win-now mode after consecutive trips to the ALCS.  For a team that has championship aspirations, however, the Jays are taking risks both in their lack of depth, and in apparently counting on underachieving players (i.e. Smoak, Upton, Carrera) to play notable roles.  There isn’t much margin for error on this roster if, say, Bautista doesn’t have a bounce-back year, or if an unexpected injury fells a cornerstone player like Donaldson.

Still, with some good minor leaguers in the system, the Jays are leaving themselves room for improvement if they need to make a trade or two at the deadline.  There’s also the possibility that the front office felt it didn’t need to make many changes to what is already a contending team, and that the combined contributions of Morales, Pearce and a revived Bautista will make up for the losses of Encarnacion and (to a lesser extent) Saunders.

What’s your take on the Blue Jays’ winter?  (Link for app users.)

How would you grade the Blue Jays offseason?
C 44.35% (1,562 votes)
B 35.52% (1,251 votes)
D 11.64% (410 votes)
F 5.00% (176 votes)
A 3.49% (123 votes)
Total Votes: 3,522

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images

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2016-17 Offseason In Review MLBTR Originals Toronto Blue Jays

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Offseason In Review: New York Mets

By Connor Byrne | March 19, 2017 at 2:41pm CDT

This is the latest entry in MLBTR’s Offseason In Review series.

For the second straight winter, the biggest offseason question the Mets faced centered on whether they’d re-sign outfielder Yoenis Cespedes. And for the second straight winter, the Mets managed to prevent Cespedes from departing in free agency. As a result, he’ll once again serve as the centerpiece of New York’s lineup as the club tries to log three consecutive playoff berths for the first time in franchise history.

Major League Signings

  • Yoenis Cespedes, OF: Four years, $110MM
  • Neil Walker, 2B: One year, $17.2MM (accepted qualifying offer)
  • Jerry Blevins, LHP: One year, $6.5MM (club option for 2018)
  • Fernando Salas, RHP: One year, $3MM
  • Total spend: $136.7MM

Trades And Claims

  • Acquired cash from Orioles for RHP Logan Verrett
  • Acquired cash from Orioles for RHP Gabriel Ynoa

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Tom Gorzelanny, Wilfredo Boscan, Donovan Hand, Ben Rowen

Extensions

  • None

Notable Losses

  • Bartolo Colon, James Loney, Alejandro De Aza, Kelly Johnson, Jon Niese, Justin Ruggiano

Mets Roster; Mets Payroll Information

Needs Addressed

Aside from Cespedes, whom we’ll address on a more in-depth level later, the Mets brought back three of their other free agents in second baseman Neil Walker and relievers Jerry Blevins and Fernando Salas. General manager Sandy Alderson didn’t do anything else of significance, meaning the Mets are essentially relying on the same roster they did last year. Considering the Mets fought through a rash of injuries to win 87 games and earn a wild-card spot in 2016, Alderson’s continuity-based approach could prove beneficial.

Neil Walker

One of the keys to the Mets’ success last season was Walker, whom they acquired from Pittsburgh in December 2015 for left-hander Jon Niese. That trade has already gone down as a heist for Alderson, as the perennially productive Walker had yet another quality season. Niese, whom the Mets later reacquired from the Bucs for reliever Antonio Bastardo, scuffled with both teams last year. That made it an easy decision for New York to decline Niese’s $10MM option for 2017 in November.

Walker, meanwhile, slashed .282/.347/.476 with a career-high-tying 23 home runs in 458 plate appearances and registered a personal-best 9.3 Ultimate Zone Rating as a defender. Consequently, the belief was he’d test free agency during the winter. While MLBTR projected Walker would garner a three-year, $36MM deal on the market, he ultimately eschewed an opportunity to shop his services around the majors in favor of the Mets’ $17.2MM qualifying offer.

It’s possible Walker, 31, was leery of leaving a high guarantee on the table because of the season-ending back surgery he had last September. Regardless, it seems that issue is behind him. The Mets, after all, nearly awarded Walker an extension in the three-year, $40MM neighborhood last month before talks hit a snag over his 2017 salary. So, although Walker’s long-term future is uncertain, the switch-hitter is in place to function as a linchpin in the Mets’ lineup for at least another year.

Both Blevins and Salas are back for the short term, too, albeit at much lower salaries than Walker. The bigger prize of the two is likely the 33-year-old Blevins, who was quietly great last season. Blevins pitched to a 2.79 ERA with 11.14 K/9 against 3.21 BB/9 in 42 innings and 79 appearances, during which he dominated left- and right-handed hitters alike. Relative to both his 2016 performance and the larger guarantees awarded to fellow lefty setup men like Brett Cecil (four years, $30MM), Mike Dunn (three years, $19MM) and Marc Rzepczynski (two years, $11MM) in free agency, Blevins’ contract looks quite fair for the Mets. Each of Cecil, Dunn and Rzepczynski signed fairly early in the offseason, but Blevins had to wait until February. It’s now possible he’ll work as the Mets’ primary bullpen southpaw through 2018, as his agreement includes a reasonably priced club option ($7MM) for its second and final year.

Salas also went without a contract until February, when he accepted a modest $3MM after a near-flawless showing down the stretch with the Mets last season. The team acquired Salas from the Angels on the final day of August, and he then proceeded to allow just four earned runs in 17 1/3 innings and rack up 19 strikeouts without issuing a walk. The 31-year-old was far less effective over the first five months of the season as a member of the Angels, with whom he posted a 4.47 ERA, 7.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 56 1/3 frames. Last year was a microcosm of the inconsistent Salas’ career, which makes it a gamble (an affordable one, granted) that the Mets are looking to rely on him in a prominent late-game role this season. While the Mets’ best reliever, closer Jeurys Familia, likely serves a season-opening suspension resulting from an October domestic violence incident, they’ll turn to Addison Reed, Salas, Hansel Robles and Blevins as their top end-of-game pitchers.

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Questions Remaining

For a team with such a high ceiling, questions abound. Injuries are a significant concern, especially with respect to third baseman David Wright. The longtime franchise icon appeared in a meager 75 games over the past two seasons as he battled spinal stenosis and a herniated disk in his neck, and he’s now unable to throw because of a shoulder impingement. If Wright is again unavailable for most or all of this year, it won’t necessarily spell doom. After all, the Mets did get by fine without him in both 2015 and ’16, though past third base contributors like Daniel Murphy, Juan Uribe and Kelly Johnson are no longer on their roster. And it would be rather optimistic to expect current hot corner options Jose Reyes and T.J. Rivera to replicate their success from last season.

Reyes, who rejoined the Mets last summer after the Rockies released him in the wake of a domestic violence suspension and a subpar 2015, slashed an above-average .267/.326/.443 in 279 plate appearances with New York. The 33-year-old’s highest ISO (.176) since 2008 largely drove that success, so it’s understandable that projection systems like ZIPS (.267/.326/.391) and Steamer (.256/.308/.375) aren’t bullish on him as the 2017 campaign nears. Rivera was outstanding, too, as he hit .333/.345/.476 in the first 113 trips to the plate of his career. The 28-year-old only walked three times, though, and given that he’s not exactly a burner, he won’t sustain his .360 batting average on balls in play going forward.

Fortunately for the Mets, they do have another utility infielder capable of manning third in Wilmer Flores, but they might need him at first base if starter Lucas Duda is unable to stay healthy. A back injury basically made the powerful Duda a non-factor last season, and he dealt with further troubles early in camp. Duda has since returned and raked in spring action, however.

As is the case with Duda, pitchers Noah Syndergaard, Jacob deGrom, Steven Matz and Zack Wheeler have all looked good this spring after fighting through various injuries last season. The best of the four (and arguably the premier right-hander in baseball), Syndergaard, had the least problematic ailment – a bone spur in his elbow that didn’t require surgery. DeGrom (shoulder) and Matz (a “massive” bone spur) did undergo procedures on the heels of injury-truncated campaigns, on the other hand, and Wheeler hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2014 on account of 2015 Tommy John surgery. There’s more worry over Matt Harvey than any of them, as the (former?) ace endured an uncharacteristically mediocre 2016 that concluded with July thoracic outlet syndrome surgery on his right shoulder. Harvey hasn’t fared well statistically in his return this spring, which would be a lot less alarming if not for the fact that his velocity, normally in the mid-90s, is down at least a couple miles per hour.

It’s clearly still too soon to panic in Harvey’s case, but it’s worth noting that the Mets lost their most durable starter, the revered Bartolo Colon, to the NL East rival Braves in free agency. Colon spent the previous three seasons as a member of the Mets, with whom he delivered no fewer than 191 2/3 innings in each campaign and combined for a decent 3.90 ERA. With his sturdiness and respectable production now out of the picture, and Wheeler perhaps poised to begin the year in extended spring training or the Mets’ bullpen, they’ll need Syndergaard, deGrom, Matz and Harvey to hold up physically. They also have the relatively unproven Robert Gsellman, who shrugged off a 5.73 ERA and 5.20 FIP in 48 2/3 Triple-A innings last season to put up a 2.42 ERA and 2.63 FIP in his first 44 2/3 major league frames. There are reasons to believe the hard-throwing Gsellman is for real, as FanGraphs’ Dave Cameron explained last month, but the track record is limited. While Seth Lugo teamed with Gsellman to unexpectedly pitch the Mets to the playoffs last season, he might begin this year in their bullpen if each of Syndergaard, deGrom, Matz, Harvey and Gsellman get through the spring healthy.

As mentioned earlier, the most notable relief-related questions regarding the Mets center on Familia’s suspension length and Salas’ ability to sustain his performance from last year. The club is also hoping lefty Josh Smoker emerges in the wake of a 15 1/3-inning debut in which he yielded eight earned runs despite a whopping 25 strikeouts. Elsewhere in the ’pen, a bounce-back year from another southpaw, Josh Edgin, could be in the cards after Tommy John surgery cost him all but 10 1/3 innings last season. His place in the Mets’ bullpen isn’t a sure thing, though, as they’re also considering Sean Gilmartin, Tom Gorzelanny and Paul Sewald. Gilmartin and Gorzelanny have been mixed bags in the big leagues, while the soon-to-be 27-year-old Sewald hasn’t yet cracked the majors.

Most of the concerns regarding the Mets’ pitchers focus on health, but the main catcher to whom they’ll throw, Travis d’Arnaud, comes with both durability and performance questions. D’Arnaud has battled one injury after another dating back to his days as a well-regarded prospect, including a shoulder strain last season that likely contributed to his disappointing .247/.307/.323 line in 276 PAs. He was far better the previous year (.268/.340/.485), but even that was over just 67 games and 268 trips to the plate. It might be foolhardy to count on d’Arnaud, then, yet the Mets didn’t prioritize upgrading over him during the winter. They’ll instead rely on d’Arnaud, Rene Rivera and Kevin Plawecki, who combined to offer some of the majors’ worst offensive production from behind the plate last season. To their credit, all three provide defensive value as adept pitch framers.

Speaking of defensive value, it could be hard to come by at multiple outfield spots, where the Mets will start Curtis Granderson in center and Jay Bruce in right. Granderson, who primarily played right over the previous three years, hasn’t seen extensive action in center since 2012. Then a member of the Yankees, Granderson was a liability in the grass (minus-seven DRS, minus-18.1 UZR in 1,364 innings), and he’s now 36 years old. Defensive metrics have regularly been down on Bruce, which was again the case last year (minus-11 DRS, minus-8.9 UZR). Moreover, it seems if things had broken to the Mets’ liking over the winter, he’d be in another uniform.

Facing the possibility of Cespedes’ departure, the Mets exercised Bruce’s $13MM club option and were then unable to find a trade to their liking for the latter after the former re-signed. As a result, they kept Bruce, who joined the team in a trade with the Reds last July and then hit poorly down the stretch (.219/.294/.391 in 187 PAs). Bruce does have eight 20-home run seasons under his belt, including 33 last year, so it’s possible he’ll rebound to help the Mets’ offense. If not, he won’t offer the club any value, and it’ll then turn to currently blocked youngster Michael Conforto. With Cespedes, Granderson, Bruce and Duda on the roster, there’s no way for Conforto to get consistent at-bats, so the 24-year-old might head back to Triple-A and wait for an injury or an underwhelming showing from someone ahead of him on the Mets’ depth chart. In the meantime, the Mets figure to mitigate some of the problems Granderson and/or Bruce could cause in the field by using the defensively brilliant Juan Lagares as a late-game replacement.

Deal Of Note

Yoenis Cespedes

Unlike last year, when Cespedes sat on the open market until late January, a deal came together quickly this offseason for the Cuban-born star. It didn’t help Cespedes’ cause a year ago that he had to compete with other highly touted free agent outfielders in Jason Heyward, Justin Upton, Chris Davis (primarily a first baseman) and Alex Gordon, the first three of whom landed contracts richer than his three-year, $75MM pact.

In addition to guaranteeing a $27.5MM salary for 2016, the Mets retained Cespedes 13-plus months ago by including an opt-out for this past offseason. The latter factor appealed to Cespedes, who took advantage of his ability to void the deal this year in order to test free agency again.

Considering he was widely regarded as the foremost player set to hit the market, it’s no surprise that Cespedes ended up with easily the richest contract in the 2017 class. However, that still didn’t require an overly long commitment from the Mets, who re-upped Cespedes in late November on a four-year, $110MM accord. That was reportedly the max to which the Mets were willing to go, and their proposal ultimately defeated several other suitors’.  It also stopped the Mets from taking other routes, including signing another big-name free agent like center fielder Dexter Fowler or right fielder Jose Bautista. New York showed interest in both as potential contingency plans, though it seems Fowler would’ve made a better fit than Bautista for a team with a logjam of corner outfielders.

With Cespedes now under their control for the long haul, the Mets are left to hope he ages gracefully into his mid-30s. Now entering his age-31 season, Cespedes is coming off two of the best offensive campaigns of his five-year career, having combined for a .286/.340/.537 line with 66 home runs in 1,219 PAs. He also saw his walk rate rise dramatically in 2016 (9.4 percent – up from 6.1 percent from 2012-15), which was the product of chasing fewer pitches out of the zone. If Cespedes’ plate discipline gains stick, that would obviously help justify the Mets’ investment, as would bouncing back from the quad injury that slowed him last season. Cespedes had both his worst baserunning and defensive year as he contended with that issue, and it also hurt his cause that he had to help pick up the slack in center. In 495 innings there, he logged woeful numbers (minus-seven DRS, minus-20.6 UZR/150); conversely, he was stellar across 550 innings in left (four DRS, 9.0 UZR/150), where he has usually thrived.

Overview

It’s easy to imagine 2017 going awry for the Mets if injuries persist, though last year’s team certainly overcame plenty of misfortune to finish among the NL’s top five clubs. With Cespedes and Walker still around to complement what could again be an elite pitching staff, the Mets should push for a playoff spot and perhaps compete for a World Series. Indeed, the club is “all in” on pursuing its first title since 1986, according to Alderson, who has put together the most expensive season-opening roster in franchise history. Should the need arise, Alderson will be ready to add reinforcements during the summer, and he may have to if the Mets are going to overtake the reigning NL East champion Nationals for the division.

What’s your take on the Mets’ winter? (Link to poll for mobile app users …)

How would you grade the Mets' winter?
B 57.36% (1,103 votes)
A 23.92% (460 votes)
C 15.08% (290 votes)
D 2.24% (43 votes)
F 1.40% (27 votes)
Total Votes: 1,923

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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2016-17 Offseason In Review MLBTR Originals New York Mets

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MLBTR Originals

By Connor Byrne | March 19, 2017 at 8:16am CDT

A roundup of MLBTR’s original content from the past week:

  • With the regular season approaching, Tim Dierkes released his first free agent power rankings of 2017. Tim’s list consists of the 10 players who appear poised to earn the most money if they reach the open market next winter. Aces Jake Arrieta, Yu Darvish, Johnny Cueto and Masahiro Tanaka are among the group, leading Jeff Todd to poll readers on which of the four will end up as the No. 1 free agent in next offseason’s class.
  • Comically gifted Brewers right-hander Tim Dillard revealed what goes on inside the mind of a veteran reliever during spring training. A sampling of his inner monologue: “Today, in-between spring training activities, I made time to share some of my baseball knowledge and wisdom with a younger generation of ballplayers. And they found time to remind me that I am still the oldest and most bearded guy in Brewers Minor League camp this year. But in their defense, I did utter these phrases at the field today: “Back in my day.”, and of course, “Not my first rodeo!”’
  • Tim Dierkes released his annual list of out-of-options players who are on 40-man rosters.
  • This year’s Offseason In Review series continued with looks at the Astros, Braves and Cardinals.
  • Finally, Jeff made the case that Royals third baseman Mike Moustakas is facing a make-or-break year.
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Offseason In Review: St. Louis Cardinals

By charliewilmoth | March 17, 2017 at 8:47pm CDT

This is the latest entry in MLBTR’s Offseason In Review series. The full index of Offseason In Review posts can be found here.

The Cardinals added two top free agents this offseason and said goodbye to some longtime contributors as they tinkered with the core that won them 86 games in 2016.

Major League Signings

  • OF Dexter Fowler: five years, $82.5MM
  • LHP Brett Cecil: four years, $30.5MM
  • Total spend: $113MM

Notable Minor League Signings

  • Jose Adolis Garcia, Eric Fryer

Trades And Claims

  • Acquired RHP Chris Ellis, RHP John Gant and 2B Luke Dykstra from Braves for LHP Jaime Garcia
  • Lost OF Jeremy Hazelbaker on waivers to Diamondbacks
  • Lost LHP Tim Cooney on waivers to Indians

Extensions

  • RHP Carlos Martinez: five years, $51MM (includes club options for 2022 and 2023)

Notable Losses

  • Brandon Moss, Matt Holliday, Garcia, Seth Maness, Brayan Pena

Needs Addressed

The Cardinals ended the 2016 season by parting ways with a longtime star, giving the aging Matt Holliday a $1M buyout rather than exercising a $17MM option. Though he hits capably, the 37-year-old Holliday no longer provided enough offense to offset his salary and health and defensive issues. He headed to the Yankees, who can use him as a DH. The Cardinals also saw the departure of another veteran slugger, Brandon Moss, who didn’t receive a qualifying offer from the club before he ultimately landed with the Royals.

The Cardinals thus set about adding another outfielder who could bump 2016 center fielder Randal Grichuk to a corner. They were linked to a number of high-profile names, including Adam Eaton, Charlie Blackmon, Lorenzo Cain, Jarrod Dyson and Ian Desmond, before ultimately signing Dexter Fowler to a five-year, $82.5MM deal.

Dexter FowlerThe Cardinals’ seemingly singular focus on finding a center fielder rather than a corner outfielder initially seemed odd, since advanced stats actually identified Grichuk as a better defensive center fielder than Fowler and several of the other rumored options. UZR pegs Grichuk as being a few runs above average in about 1,200 career innings in center field, and Defensive Runs Saved is even more bullish, rating Grichuk as 14 runs above average. Both stats rate Fowler as a hair above average last year, but below average (sometimes significantly so) in the five seasons before that. Fowler will also be 31 later this month, and though his athleticism makes him likely to age relatively gracefully, his defense seems unlikely to improve as he ages and slows. The Cards reached agreement with Fowler during the Winter Meetings — relatively early in the offseason, and significantly before most of the other outfield bats signed. They also paid almost $20MM more for him than MLBTR projected he’d receive. One wonders whether they might have gotten better value had they kept Grichuk in center and signed one of the many cheaply available sluggers to join him and Stephen Piscotty in their outfield.

There was also another cost to signing Fowler, in that the Cardinals forfeited their top 2017 draft pick, No. 19 overall, to complete the signing. That loss will hurt, particularly since the team also lost its next two picks (Nos. 56 and 75) as part of its penalty for its role in the Astros hacking scandal.

Perhaps that’s overthinking it, however. The only free agent outfielder who compared favorably to Fowler in overall value was Yoenis Cespedes, who was already off the market by the time the Cards landed their man. Unlike some of the defensively challenged sluggers who languished on the free agent market, Fowler’s well-rounded game insures him somewhat against decline. At least in the short term, he should upgrade the Cardinals’ offense with his on-base ability and their defense by virtue of being significantly better than players like Holliday or Moss. And, of course, in signing Fowler, the Cardinals lured a talented player away from the rival Cubs, who replaced him with the much less costly Jon Jay.

More analysis after the break …Read more

Brett CecilThe Cardinals also acted quickly to fill a bullpen spot that opened when lefty Zach Duke had an elbow injury that resulted in Tommy John surgery in October. Another lefty, Tyler Lyons, was set to begin 2017 on the DL after having knee surgery as well. To replace them, the Cards signed Brett Cecil to a four-year deal worth $30.5MM, making a notable commitment to a reliever who isn’t a closer and doesn’t have a track record of dominance, at least not at first glance. (They also gave Cecil a full no-trade clause.) Cecil’s modest 3.93 ERA last season, though, was propelled by a 1.47 HR/9 that’s likely to return to more normal levels in 2017, and his other underlying numbers (11.1 K/9, 2.0 BB/9) are more consistent with the ERAs he posted in 2014 and 2015, which were well under three.

The offseason was also kind to left-handed relievers as a group, with non-stars like Mike Dunn and Marc Rzepcyznski also faring quite well. Of course, Cecil is not a generic lefty (he allowed a .799 OPS against righties in 2016 but dominated them the two previous seasons), so there wasn’t a clear comparable for him on the market. In the end, his $30.5MM deal ranked fourth among this winter’s relief-pitcher contracts, behind only Aroldis Chapman, Kenley Jansen and Mark Melancon.

Cecil’s addition gives the Cardinals a second good lefty to join Kevin Siegrist. He should bolster a bullpen that, thanks in part to injuries to Duke, Lyons and the now-departed Seth Maness, suddenly looked somewhat thin. Cecil will pitch in the late innings, with the terrific Seung Hwan Oh occupying the closer’s role and Jonathan Broxton, Matthew Bowman and wild card Trevor Rosenthal filling in the gaps. (The Cardinals planned to experiment with the idea of having Rosenthal start, but those plans were likely dashed after a spring injury; he now could occupy a multiple-inning relief role.) Newcomer John Gant could be a factor as well, along with Sam Tuivailala and Miguel Socolovich.

The Cardinals also extended 25-year-old righty Carlos Martinez through 2021, with club options for 2022 and 2023. The $51MM deal buys out two of what would have been Martinez’s free agent seasons and gives the Cardinals the chance to control his rights through his age-31 campaign. Martinez would have been eligible for arbitration for the first time this past winter. It’s hard to find comparable recent extensions for starting pitchers, mostly because teams have been reluctant in recent seasons to commit to starting pitchers for five-year periods when they have the option of taking them year to year. Martinez himself has had brief bits of shoulder trouble in both the minors and the Majors, and no starting pitcher is wholly exempt from injury concerns — as fellow Cardinal Lance Lynn, who received a three-year deal a season before missing the 2016 campaign to an elbow injury that required Tommy John surgery, can probably attest. That written, Martinez seems worth the risk. He possesses elite velocity and ground-ball ability, and he ramped up to a career-high 195 1/3 frames in 2016. Acquiring the right to control his age-28 through age-31 seasons offers the Cardinals enormous upside.

Questions Remaining

The Cardinals possess what would appear to be good, consistent players throughout their roster, but their collection of aging veterans and young players looks to be a bit short on star talent. Yadier Molina is now 34, and the days of his five-win seasons in 2012 and 2013 appear to be behind him. Matt Carpenter is coming off an outstanding 2016 season, but the relative impact of his bat should be limited somewhat by the Cardinals’ decision to play him at first base, a move the team made in November to improve the team’s infield defense and clear the way for players at other infield positions. Fowler is fresh off a career-best season and could regress. Jhonny Peralta will be 35 in May and didn’t perform after returning from a wrist injury in 2016. Younger players like Piscotty and Grichuk profile more as very good players than stars. The offense’s best shot at a star-caliber performance might belong to shortstop Aledmys Diaz, and despite his outstanding 2016 rookie season, that seems like an iffy proposition given the (understandable) uncertainties in the Cuban defector’s track record.

In the rotation, Martinez seems like as good a bet as anyone on the roster to function as a true top-level starter. Behind him, the Cardinals will again lean on Adam Wainwright, who’s now 35. He turned in a fine but uninspiring 2016 season after missing much of 2015 due to a ruptured Achilles. Mike Leake’s first season in St. Louis did little to change his profile as a mid-rotation pitcher, although he did post a career-best 1.5 BB/9. Lynn is a question mark after missing all of last season, even though he was quietly terrific in four straight seasons before that. Michael Wacha seems a reasonable bet to rebound after struggling in 2016, but his shoulder health remains a concern. And the team might sorely miss top prospect Alex Reyes, who will be sidelined for the entire 2017 season after having Tommy John surgery last month. Luke Weaver, Gant and others give the Cardinals solid depth, but their rotation still perhaps appears a bit vulnerable behind Martinez.

The questioning tone of the previous two paragraphs may give too negative an impression — the Cardinals have plenty of talent, and much of their success in recent years has been due to surprisingly strong performances by players who didn’t look like impact types before they started posting big numbers. Jedd Gyorko’s 30-homer showing last season after two straight bad years with the Padres is but one example. The Cardinals organization has earned way too much credit to be dismissed. It’s notable, though, the degree to which the Cards are leaning on good players rather than great ones, especially as many of their key assets age.

Speaking of Gyorko, the Cardinals also still must decide how to divvy up playing time in their infield. Despite Gyorko’s strong performance last season, Kolten Wong appears to have the inside track on the second base job, with the Cardinals understandably still interested in the potential for his package of defensive and baserunning tools to add up to something more. Diaz and Peralta currently slot at shortstop and third, respectively, leaving Gyorko without a regular position. Between Wong’s inconsistency and Peralta’s age, though, Gyorko will likely find plenty of playing time. Peralta in particular is coming off a poor season, and it’s easy to imagine Gyorko taking over the starting role at third if Peralta doesn’t bounce back. Gyorko could also occasionally give Carpenter a rest against tough lefties. Greg Garcia, who quietly had a terrific year in 2016, will be a factor at the leftmost three infield positions as well.

Finally, while Molina will obviously handle the bulk of the Cardinals’ catching duties in 2017 (health permitting), the team faces the possibility of a big change at the catcher position in the near future. Molina’s contract contains a mutual option for 2018, but he could be nearing the end of his time in St. Louis, and the team is excited about Carson Kelly, who played in the high minors last season. Molina and the Cardinals are still toying with the possibility of an extension, but the Cards will likely be wary of a big commitment to a 34-year-old catcher, even one as crucial to the team’s recent success as Molina has been. Kelly’s development could also be a factor.

Deal Of Note

In early December, the Cardinals traded lefty Jaime Garcia to the Braves, receiving righties Gant and Chris Ellis, along with infielder Luke Dykstra. It’s a move the Cardinals might not mind having back, thanks to Reyes’ injury. At the time, though, they were looking at what appeared to be a rotation surplus, and Garcia, who had a $12MM option for 2017 before hitting free agency, seemed like the best candidate to depart.

Gant isn’t the pitcher Garcia is, but he’s optionable and controllable, giving the Cardinals a useful bit of flexibility even if he never improves much on his surprisingly interesting 2016 rookie season, in which he posted a robust 8.8 K/9 over 50 innings (albeit with a 4.86 ERA and 3.8 BB/9). He could also become a bullpen asset at some point. Ellis adds a bit of upside to the deal — he walked 5.4 batters per nine innings between Double-A and Triple-A last year but still has an outside shot at a MLB career if he can improve his command. If he does, a future in the bullpen is a possibility. Dykstra looks like a fringe prospect after struggling somewhat in 2016, but he only turned 21 in November and could still emerge as a potentially useful second baseman.

Overview

The Cardinals should remain tough in 2017, although they increasingly look like a team in transition. They will, and should, try to make the playoffs this season, but it will also be interesting to see how younger players like Diaz, Wong, Grichuk, Piscotty, Kelly, Martinez and Weaver develop.

What’s your take on the Cardinals’ winter? (link to poll for mobile app users …)

How would you grade the Cardinals' offseason?
B 51.07% (907 votes)
C 30.86% (548 votes)
A 9.40% (167 votes)
D 5.69% (101 votes)
F 2.98% (53 votes)
Total Votes: 1,776

Photos courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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2016-17 Offseason In Review MLBTR Originals St. Louis Cardinals

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